b o n n e v i l l e p o w e r a d m i n i s t r a t i o n appliance standards savings results: 900...

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B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Appliance Standards Savings Results: 900 aMW of Energy Efficiency PRESENTERS Carrie Cobb, BPA Rob Carmichael, Cadeo Group Angie Lee, Navigant September 4, 2014

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B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Appliance Standards Savings Results:

900 aMW of Energy Efficiency

PRESENTERSCarrie Cobb, BPA

Rob Carmichael, Cadeo Group

Angie Lee, Navigant

September 4, 2014

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

2

Standards are transforming

energy consumption

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

3

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Rulemaking Begins Final Rule Announced Compliance Required Standard is Revisited

3 Years 3 to 5 Years

6 Years

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

5

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

19 Models

30 Products

914 aMW

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Product flow Stock

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Time

Ene

rgy

Con

sum

ptio

n Pre-Case

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Aspects of Energy Consumption

Product MixProduct Quantity

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Drivers of Change over Time

New Construction Replacement

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

New Construction/Demolition

Mix

Quantity

Changes product

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Replacement

Old product dies New product arrives

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Standards Drive Changes in

Mix Quantity

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Least efficient Most efficient

1. ROLL - UP

2. SHIFT

3. SWITCH

Mar

ket S

hare

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N1. ROLL - UP

2. SHIFT

3. SWITCH

Mar

ket S

hare

Least efficient Most efficient

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N1. ROLL - UP

2. SHIFT

3. SWITCH

Mar

ket S

hare

Least efficient Most efficient

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Installed Stock in: 2005200620092010200720112008

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Time

Ene

rgy

Con

sum

ptio

n

Standard

Pre-Case

Post-Case

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 -

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

Reflectors

Re

gio

na

l En

erg

y S

avi

ng

s d

ue

to

Sta

nd

ard

s

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 20340

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Water Heaters

Re

gio

na

l En

erg

y S

avi

ng

s d

ue

to

Sta

nd

ard

s

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 20340.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

Distribution Transformers

Re

gio

na

l En

erg

y S

avi

ng

s d

ue

to

Sta

nd

ard

s

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Distribution Transformers

34 aMW

Linear Fluorescent 31

aMW

Reflectors 18 aMW

Sixth Plan above the baseline,

2010-2014

107 aMW

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Water Heater

73 aMW

Linear Fluorescent 44 aMW

Distribution Transformers

67 aMW

Seventh Plan,

2015-2019

263 aMW

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Residential Refrigerators

99 aMW

Water Heaters

123 aMW

Distribution Transformers

233 aMW

Eight, Nine, Ten

2020-2034

544 aMW