b. dorfman 11/04 computers: past and forecast part 1 1 benjamin. f. dorfman

14
B. Dorfman 11/04 Computer s: Past and Forecast Part 1 1 Benjamin. F. DORFMAN

Post on 21-Dec-2015

219 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

1

Benjamin. F. DORFMAN

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

2

The historical background of this work briefly described in appendix 1

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

3

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

4

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

5

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

6

Fig. 2 From: V.F. Dorfman, L.V. Ivanov, Problems of Syst.Techn. of Computers, J. New Gener.

Comput. Syst. 2(1989)1,3-23, Berlin [Received: May 5, 1988] This article represents a brief

summary of monograph by same authors: Computer and its Elements, Development and

Optimization, Moscow, 1988 (in Russian; presented to publication in January 1986; printing setting

21.01.87). Cray-3 and ETA-10 added in article. The marks in color in Figure 1 are made now: In

red - the range of top 500 Supercomputers of 2004 and top SC range of 1994, as well as the last

free generations of personal computers.

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

7

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

8

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

9

Marcs in color added now

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

10

Dynamic of elements (Continued)

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

11

M

E

M

O

R

Y The time of random access vs. capacity-- - - Principle limitsThe current best achievements (marked now):

● - Single solid carriers; ■ - assemblages

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

12

The following excerpts from recent press release shows the current state of art in memory

• On the top-end 16-way p5 570, IBM installed AIX 5L V5.3 and DB2 8.1, crammed 512GB of main memory into the box (as much as IBM and rivals were able to support last year on 32-way and 64-way servers) …

• This server had an unbelievable 614.3TB of disk capacity, which is an absurd amount.

• But it would be interesting to see, for instance, what a p5 570 with 16 cores activated would do in terms of TPC-C performance with fewer than 1,640 15K RPM Fiber Channel disk drives whirring around under their frames. Say, with something closer to 5TB or even 10TB of disk capacity, which would still be a lot of capacity for a database server.

• Perhaps disk capacity is as far ahead of server needs as memory capacity is behind it.

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

13

B. Dorfman 11/04 Computers: Past and Forecast Part 1

14