attitudes to basic income in ireland capistrano bi … · in ireland daniel capistrano ucd geary...
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New evidence from the European Social Survey
Attitudes to Basic Incomein Ireland
Daniel Capistrano
UCD Geary Institute for Public Policy
Outline
What is the European Social Survey?
Welfare state attitudes
Attitudes to basic income in Ireland
What is the European Social Survey ?
What is the European Social Survey ?
attitudes,values,opinions
What is the European Social Survey ?
face-to-face interviews
What is the European Social Survey ?
probability samples
What is the European Social Survey ?
+30 countries
20022004
20062008
20102012
20142016
2018
ESS Rounds
ESS Round 9 - 2018
Justice and fairness
Fairness of income, fairness of
educational and job
opportunities, fairness of the
distribution of resources.
20022004
20062008
20102012
20142016
ESS Module: Welfare attitudes
ESS Module: Welfare attitudes
Inequality beliefs
Welfare state scope and responsibilities
Welfare chauvinism
Perceived consequences
Activation policies
Welfare future
Social Europe
ESS Module: Welfare attitudes
Inequality beliefs
Welfare state scope and responsibilities
Welfare chauvinism
Perceived consequences
Activation policies
Welfare future
Social Europe
inequalitybeliefs
Large differences in people’s income are acceptable to properly reward differences in talents and efforts
“
Large differences in people’s income are acceptable to properly reward differences in talents and efforts
“
Large differences in people’s income are acceptable to properly reward differences in talents and efforts
“
Thegovernmentshould takemeasures toreducedifferencesin incomelevels.
“
perceived consequences
Social benefits and services lead to amore equalsociety
“
welfarefuture
Basic Income
Some countries are currently talking about introducing a basic income scheme. A basic income scheme includes all of the following:
• The government pays everyone a monthly income to cover essential living costs.
• It replaces many other social benefits• The purpose is to guarantee everyone a minimum standard of living.• Everyone receives the same amount regardless of whether or not they are
working.• People also keep the money they earn from work or other sources.• This scheme is paid for by taxes.
Basic income - % of missing values
3013
31
48
60
3
10
20
80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Norway
Switzerland
Sweden
Germany
Estonia
Iceland
Austria
Netherlands
France
Spain
Czechia
United Kingdom
Finland
Ireland
Poland
Italy
Belgium
Portugal
Slovenia
Israel
Hungary
Russia
Lithuania
Basic income scheme
Strongly in favourIn favourAgainstStrongly against
3013
31
48
60
3
10
20
80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Norway
Switzerland
Sweden
Germany
Estonia
Iceland
Austria
Netherlands
France
Spain
Czechia
United Kingdom
Finland
Ireland
Poland
Italy
Belgium
Portugal
Slovenia
Israel
Hungary
Russia
Lithuania
Basic income scheme
Strongly in favourIn favourAgainstStrongly against
3013
31
48
60
3
10
20
80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Norway
Switzerland
Sweden
Germany
Estonia
Iceland
Austria
Netherlands
France
Spain
Czechia
United Kingdom
Finland
Ireland
Poland
Italy
Belgium
Portugal
Slovenia
Israel
Hungary
Russia
Lithuania
Basic income scheme
Strongly in favourIn favourAgainstStrongly against
Basic income – GNI per capita
GNI per capita, PPP (current international $)
In F
avou
r –
Ba
sic
inco
me (
mean
)
AT
BE
CH
CZ
DEEE
ES
FI
FR
GB
HU
IL
IS
IT
LT
NL
NO
PL
PT
RU
SE
SI
IE
2.25
2.50
2.75
3.00
20000 40000 60000 80000
NY.GNP.PCAP.CD
Basin
c
Basic income – GINI index
GINI Index (World bank estimates)
In F
avou
r –
Ba
sic
inco
me (
mean
)
AT
BE
CH
CZ
DE EEES
FI
FRGB
HU
IS
IT
LT
NL
NO
PT
RU
SE
SI
IE
2.25
2.50
2.75
3.00
25 30 35
SI.POV.GINI
Basin
c
Basic income – Role of government
The government should take measures to
reduce differences in income levels.
In F
avou
r –
Ba
sic
inco
me (
mean
)
AT
BE
CH
CZ DEEE
ESFI
FRGB
HU
IL
IS
IT
LT
NL
NO
PL
PT
RU
SE
SI
IE
2.25
2.50
2.75
3.00
3.2 3.6 4.0
Gincdif_inv_mean
Basin
c
Who is in favour of basic income in Ireland?
3013 48 10
60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80
Ireland
Basic income support by gender
Male Female
In Favour
Against
62
38
53
47
Basic income support by gender
Male Female
62
38
53
47
55
45
57
43
ESS
Male Female
Basic income support by age group
15-29 30-44 45-59 60+
In Favour
Against
64
36
62
38
54
46
49
51
Basic income support by age group
15-29 30-44 45-59 60+
Finland
56
44
61
39
55
45
52
48
Basic income support by HH income decile
Lowest Highest
Basic income support by HH income decile
Lowest Highest
Poland
Not atall
likely
Not verylikely
Likely Verylikely
How likely not enough money for household necessities next 12 months
Not atall
likely
Not verylikely
How likely not enough money for household necessities next 12 months
Likely Verylikely
Not atall
likely
Not verylikely
How likely not enough money for household necessities next 12 months
Likely Verylikely
United Kingdom
In favour of a Basic Income in Ireland
In favour of a European social benefit –Irish respondents
Inequality beliefs
“
Agreestrongly
Agree Neitheragree nordisagree
Disagree Disagreestrongly
66
34
65
35
54
46
45
55
41
59Social benefits and services lead to amore equalsociety
Inequality beliefs
Agreestrongly
Agree Neitheragree nordisagree
Disagree Disagreestrongly
66
34
58
42
51
49
48
52
41
59Thegovernmentshould takemeasures toreducedifferencesin incomelevels.
“
More…
The Past, Present andFuture of EuropeanWelfare Attitudes
Meuleman et al. 2018