Builders Advancing Humanity: Past to Future

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John M Smart • Futurist CEO, The Foresight Company • @johnsmart

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Where We Are

Where We May Be Going

Drive, or Be Driven

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Where We Are

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Our Universe Accelerates

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J-curve

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Builder’s Mottos: Faster, Smaller, Cheaper, Smarter, Stabler, Better

Builder’s Frontier: Inner Space

Physical Virtual

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Kuznets curve

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“Software is eating the world.”—Marc Andreessen15

Openness, Tools, and Scale

DevOps: A People-Technology Partnership

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“The billion-dollar tech startup was supposed to be the stuff of myth. Now they seem to be … everywhere.” —Erin Griffith

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Atlassian Revenues

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Where We May Be Going

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Who’ll lead “Cognitive Computing” in 2025?

Culture ● Speed ● Community ● Trust 21

Web 1.0 The Web 1990-2005 Web 2.0 The Social Web 2005-2020 Web 3.0 The Agent Web 2020+

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Deep Learning

Jeremy Howard, TEDx Brussels, Dec 2014

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Bio-Inspired Hardware Arrives

Cortical Concept Map

Valuecosm: Links to concepts, not content

The Knowledge Graph

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This company has been

reported for not practicing

ethical fishing practices

This company has won

best fishing practices

5 years in a row!

Digital Twin… Lobby Twin

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to

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Conversational Coders

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The Singularity, Eventually

~10,000 years of evolution by artificial selection

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Global English

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Crowds Drive Change

Drive, or Be Driven33

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Values FirstOpen Company, No Bullshit

Build with Heart and BalanceDon't #@!% the CustomerPlay, as a Team

Be the Change You Seek

Anchoring ● Availability ● Confirmation ● Sunk Cost ● Framing ● Survivorship ● Planning ● Overconfidence ● Other People’s Money ● Optimism ● Pessimism ● Groupthink ...

Countering Biases

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Servant Leadership

“Innovation Is A Bottoms-Up, Decentralized,

Unpredictable Thing, But That Doesn’t Mean

It Cannot Be Managed.Ó ― Eric Ries

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Being Agile

“The biggest risk is not taking any risk” [and not getting the best bottom-up ideas for risks]”

—Mark Zuckerberg 38

Ideation Platforms

Structured Freedom:

Build A Safety Net, Then Be Fearless

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Demystifying DevOps: A Chat with Damon Edwards

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Scientific Mgmt > Kaizen > Internal Entrepreneurs & Data Scientists

Do you run A/B tests with your products and workflow?

To run experiments, first admit what you don’t know.41

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Team Analytics

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Don’t neglect your own learning.

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Crowdsourcing (31) Open (31) What Matters Most (33) Thinking, Fast and Slow (34) Higher Unlearning (34) Servant Leadership (35) Billion Dollar Lessons (35) The ScrumMaster’s Handbook (36) Work Rules! (36) The Innovator’s DNA (37) The 20% Doctrine (38) The Why Axis (40) People Analytics (42) Swarm Creativity (43) Essentialism (44) The Organized Mind (45) Eat Move Sleep (45)

The Foresight Guide (3) The Innovators (6) The Second Machine Age (7) The Birth of Plenty (9) Antifragile (11) Exponential Organizations (14) Bold: Go Big, Impact the World (14) Running Lean (15) “Welcome to the Unicorn Club” (17) “Atlassian - The Untold Story” (18) Cognitive Computing (20) The Age of Context (25) Modeling in Predictive Analytics (27) Managing the Unexpected (27) StrengthsFinder (29) The Difference (29) Cognitive Surplus (30)

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Further Reading (and Index)

@johnmsmartjohn@foresightcompany.com

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http://www.upsidelearning.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/the-future-of-learning.jpghttp://file.vintageadbrowser.com/gd3msqa3jhr3iu.jpghttp://media.bestofmicro.com/9/T/395633/original/devops.jpghttp://img.deusm.com/eetimes/2015/05/1326576/rcj_IBM_Photonics_Transceiver_Silicon_1.jpg.JPGhttp://cdn.akihabaranews.com/sites/default/files/LG.KIZON_.1.jpghttp://www.gly.uga.edu/railsback/1122/1122Dogs.jpeghttp://www.kallesgroup.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/cortana-windows-phone.pnghttp://www.ricercattiva.it/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/whole_internet.jpghttp://worth1000.s3.amazonaws.com/submissions/811500/811999_abae_1024x2000.jpghttp://static.ddmcdn.com/gif/blogs/dnews-files-2014-09-digital-twin-makes-your-decisions-670-jpg.jpghttps://anosmarques.files.wordpress.com/2015/03/change-ahead.jpghttp://worth1000.s3.amazonaws.com/submissions/811500/811999_abae_1024x2000.jpghttp://kk.org/mt-files/thetechnium-mt/KurzweilLaw.jpghttps://fortunedotcom.files.wordpress.com/2015/01/unicorn_final_full-1.jpg?quality=80http://www.crystalinks.com/13thfloor500.jpghttp://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/1_great_detail.jpghttp://ivn.us/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/what-happens-if-the-highway-trust-fund-gets-too-low-79890.jpg

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Image Credits

http://efrainhostingsolutions.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/tesla_model_s_2014_wallpaper.jpeg http://images.gizmag.com/hero/c-1.jpg http://www.ericssonhistory.com/media/www.ericssonhistory.com_0001/DA1900-32656-LM001518.jpg http://cdn.slashgear.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/windows-phone-8-1-review-sg-111-600x337.jpghttp://www.gly.uga.edu/railsback/1122/1122Dogs.jpeghttp://www.kallesgroup.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/cortana-windows-phone.pnghttp://o.aolcdn.com/hss/storage/adam/9d95ea9fd6bb3e6ee6e592992fe48c7/yeahliveblog_0534.jpg http://worth1000.s3.amazonaws.com/submissions/811500/811999_abae_1024x2000.jpghttp://webneel.com/daily/sites/default/files/images/daily/01-2013/19-futuristic-robot.jpg http://goodhealthremedies.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/cat-dog-horse.png http://www.brw.com.au/rw/2009-2014/BRW/2014/04/01/Photos/8460e3d0-b945-11e3-a0dd-072f09adab84_776457283--646x363.jpg http://blogs.independent.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/scrum1.jpg http://www.agilevelocity.com/media/2013-04-09-18.06.48.jpg http://www.newyorker.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/10/Vara-Mayer-Yahoo-1200.jpg http://www.medcrunch.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/quantified-self-blue-image.jpeg http://cci.mit.edu/images/home_slideshow/measuringcollectiveintelligence.jpg

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Image Credits