asx investment videos · 2014-01-13 · asx investment videos top stocks 2014 disclaimer: the...

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SPEAKER: Martin Roth, Author LOCATION: Melbourne DATE: December 2013 ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not in any way reflect the views, opinions, recommendations, of ASX Limited ABN 98 008 624 691 and its related bodies corporate (ASX). Information and material presented at the seminar is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial product advice. Investors should obtain independent advice from an Australian financial services licensee before making investment decisions. No responsibility is accepted by ASX for any loss or damage arising in any way (including due to negligence) from anyone acting or refraining from acting as a result of this information or material. © Copyright 2013 ASX Operations Pty Limited ABN 42 004 523 782. All rights reserved 2013 .

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Page 1: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

SPEAKER: Martin Roth, Author

LOCATION: Melbourne

DATE: December 2013

ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS

Top Stocks 2014

DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and

do not in any way reflect the views, opinions, recommendations, of ASX Limited ABN 98 008 624 691

and its related bodies corporate (“ASX”). Information and material presented at the seminar is for

educational purposes only and does not constitute financial product advice. Investors should obtain

independent advice from an Australian financial services licensee before making investment

decisions. No responsibility is accepted by ASX for any loss or damage arising in any way (including

due to negligence) from anyone acting or refraining from acting as a result of this information or

material.

© Copyright 2013 ASX Operations Pty Limited ABN 42 004 523 782. All rights reserved 2013.

Page 2: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Agenda

1. Insights from 20 years of Top Stocks

2. How companies make the list and what it means

3. Some high-profile companies that did not make the list

4. Five top small and mid-cap companies that made Top Stocks 2014.

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Page 3: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Purpose of Top Stocks

- Need for independent sharemarket information for beginners in ‘90s

- Wanted to identify safe, secure, reliable stocks

- And provide a list that be could compared simply across the years.

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Page 4: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

The big insight from Top Stocks

- Focus on buying companies, not stocks

- Australia has lots of very good listed companies

- Narrow your search, stick to the best, and weigh up the valuation.

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Page 5: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

To make Top Stocks, a company must: - Be in top 500 on ASX by market capitalisation (ie The All Ordinaries

Index) - Be listed for five years

- Earned a profit and dividend in each of those five years

- Have a Return on Equity (ie the return on each dollar of

shareholders’ funds invested) of at least 10 per cent

- Have a debt-to-equity ratio below 70 per cent - Not be a listed investment company, property trust, or foreign company.

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Page 6: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Is there much turnover on the list?

- Only 3 companies have made each list: (CBA, Westpac, ANZ Bank)

- Depending on the year, about 20 per cent turnover on list

- Also, plenty of exceptional companies don’t make list, because: - Not paying a dividend, to reinvest for future growth

- Have high debt, because cash flows are very strong.

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Page 7: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Is every company in Top Stocks a buy?

- No!

- Investors must weigh up if the share price reflects the company’s quality and prospects. Top Stocks doesn’t consider valuations

- The starting point is to invest only in exceptional companies.

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Page 8: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Why did some big-name stocks miss out?

- Telstra: Debt too high to make criteria (but very strong cash flow)

- Wesfarmers: Coles acquisition dulled its Return on Equity (ROE)

- Coca-Cola Amatil: Debt slightly too high.

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Page 9: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Companies that stood out: Perpetual (PPT)

Perpetual:

- Wealth management group

- Operational recovery continues

- Cost base lowered

- Leverage to rising sharemarket

- Stars aligning for company.

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Page 10: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Retail Food Group (RFG) Retail Food Group:

- Franchisor of convenience food chains

- Strong position in gourmet pizza market

- Growing overseas

- Expanding rapidly in coffee roasting

- Potentially higher operating margins.

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Page 11: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Tassal Group (TGR) Tassal:

- Leading Atlantic salmon producer

- Salmon demand growing strongly

- Focus on domestic business a winner

- Lower $A makes competing imports dearer.

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Page 12: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Greencross (GXL) Greencross:

- Acquirer of veterinary practices

- Consolidating fragmented industry

- Large market size in Australia

- Adding animal hospitals, pet insurance etc.

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Page 13: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

Austin Engineering (ANG) Austin Engineering:

- Mining services company

- Focuses on truck manufacturer, repair

- Relatively more defensive service business:

◦ Miners have to maintain trucks

- Expanding in US and Latin America.

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Page 15: ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS · 2014-01-13 · ASX INVESTMENT VIDEOS Top Stocks 2014 DISCLAIMER: The views, opinions or recommendations of the presenters are solely their own and do not

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