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ASX Emerging Growth London Presentation Aspire Mining Limited March 2011

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Page 1: Aspire Mining Limited › akm › wp-content › ... · 1. Assumes 65% washing yield from non oxide coal to product 2. 93.3Mt Measured, 182.4Mt Indicated, and 55.0Mt Inferred Enterprise

ASX Emerging Growth London Presentation

Aspire Mining Limited

March 2011

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Forward Looking Statements & Disclaimer

Forward Looking StatementsCertain statements in the presentation are or may be “forward‐looking statements” and represent the Company’s intentions, projections, expectations orbeliefs concerning among other things, future exploration activities. The projections, estimates and beliefs contained in such forward looking statementsnecessarily involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may cause the Company’s actual performance in future periods to differ materiallyfrom any express or implied estimates or projections.

DisclaimerNo representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by the Company that the material contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to becorrect. Except for statutory liability which cannot be excluded, each of the Company, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims anyresponsibility for the accuracy , fairness, sufficiency or completeness of the material contained in this presentation, or any opinions or beliefs contained inthis document, and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in negligence) for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person as a consequenceof any information in this presentation or any error or omission there from. Any opinions expressed in the presentation are subject to change without notice.

All persons should seek appropriate professional advice in reviewing or considering the presentation and all other information with respect to the Companyand evaluating the Ovoot Coking Coal Project and the other Mongolian coal assets. The presentation does not purport to contain all of the information thatmay be required to evaluate all of the factors that would be relevant in determining whether to deal in the Company’s securities, including but not limited toany person’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Each person should make, and will be taken to have made, its own investigation, assessment andanalysis of the information in this presentation and other matters that may be relevant to it considering whether to deal in the Company’s securities.

This presentation is not for distribution in, nor does it constitute an offer of securities for sale in, Canada, Japan, or in any jurisdiction where such distributionor offer is unlawful. Neither this presentation nor a copy of the presentation can be taken or transmitted into the United States of America, its territories orpossessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions or to any US person as defined in Regulation Sunder the US Securities Act 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”). Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of United Statessecurities laws. The presentation and any oral statements made in connection with it are not an offer of securities for sale in the United States.

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I am a Country

• Which has an indigenous population with a long and proud history• Which is one of the least populated countries in the world, with vast deserts• That is resource rich particularly in gold, coal and iron ore but hampered by lack 

of infrastructure• For which China has become the most important trading partner in recent years• That has a 99% literary rate• Which has one of the most successful economies and stock markets since the 

GFC

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AUSTRALIA MONGOLIA✓ ✓

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Ovoot Exploration Camp

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Mongolian Projects

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Ovoot Project:330.7mt JORC Resource

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Ovoot Coking Coal Project

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Zuun Del Prospect

JORC Resource area

Hurimt

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What is the Value of Aspire Mining Limited?

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1. Assumes 65% washing yield from non oxide coal to product2. 93.3Mt Measured, 182.4Mt Indicated, and 55.0Mt Inferred

Resource 330.7 MtEnterprise Value

~ US$500mil

$2.25/t of saleable coal$2.50/t of saleable cokingcoal 1

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Competent Person StatementThe technical information contained in this announcement in relation tothe JORC Compliant Coal Resource for the Ovoot Coking Coal Project inMongolia has been reviewed by Mr Chris Arndt and Dr Bielin Shi of CSAGlobal Pty Ltd. Mr Chris Arndtt is a Fellow of the Australasian Institute ofMining and Metallurgy and has sufficient experience which is relevant tothe style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and tothe activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person asdefined in the 2004 Edition of the "Australasian Code for Reporting ofExploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves”. Dr Bielin Shihas sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralisation and type ofdeposit under consideration and to the activity which she is undertaking toqualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the“Australasian Code for Reporting of Mineral Resources and OreReserves”. Mr Arndt and Dr Shi of CSA Global Pty Ltd consent to theinclusion in the announcement of the matters based on this information inthe form and context in which it appears.

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World Coking Coal Provinces

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Mature RegionRamp-up regionEmerging region

N.E & S.E BC (USA)

Appalachia (USA)

Poland, Germany

Shanxii, China

Moatize (Mozambique)

Kuzbass (Russia)Elga & E.Siberia

Mongolia/SouthGobi

Kalimantan (Indonesia)

Bowen Basin (Australia)

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Why the Interest in Mongolian Coal?

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• Mongolia is expected to be a major supplier to China, the fastest growing market for Coking Coals!

Chinese Coking Coal Imports

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Fastest Growing Provinces in China

10Source: SouthGobi

Eastern ChinaGDP per capita = US$4,789FA investment growth = 12%

Central ChinaGDP per capita = US$2,817FA investment growth = 16%

Western ChinaGDP per capita = US$2,499FA investment growth = 37%Proportion of fiscal stimulus

allocated = 62%

Ovoot project

Tavan TolgoiOvoot Tolgoi

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Comparing Value of Coal Deposits

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Coking Coal deposits are substantially more valuable than export thermal coal

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Comparing Value of Coal Deposits

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What is sold in the first 25 years drives Net Present Value

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Value of Riversdale: Benga Deposit

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1. 25 year mine life at 20mtpa ROM – 100% of Benga Project

Reserve 502 Mt (100%)Enterprise Value

= US$3.9bn‐ US$0.5bn (less cash & value of ZAC 

Anthracite  mines)‐ US$2bn (less value of Zambeze project )US$1.4bn Value for 65% of Benga deposit

$8.60/t of saleable coal (export)$14.00/t of saleable coking coal

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Value of Mongolian Mining Corp.

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1. Based on disclosed washing yields to final product2. Applied to resources above 300m. Note that recoverable reserves are 182mt of both coking and

thermal coals.Total resource would support 15mtpa ROM for 25 years.

Resource 423 Mt

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1

1

2Enterprise Value

~ US$4.6bn‐ US700m  (less cash)= US3.9bn

$14.50/t of saleable coal$25/t of “saleable” coking coal

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What is the Value of Aspire Mining Limited?

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1. Assumes 65% washing yield from non oxide coal to product2. 93.3Mt Measured, 182.4Mt Indicated, and 55.0Mt Inferred

Resource 330.7 MtEnterprise Value

~ US$500mil

$2.25/t of saleable coal$2.50/t of saleable cokingcoal 1

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Competent Person StatementThe technical information contained in this announcement in relation tothe JORC Compliant Coal Resource for the Ovoot Coking Coal Project inMongolia has been reviewed by Mr Chris Arndt and Dr Bielin Shi of CSAGlobal Pty Ltd. Mr Chris Arndtt is a Fellow of the Australasian Institute ofMining and Metallurgy and has sufficient experience which is relevant tothe style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and tothe activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person asdefined in the 2004 Edition of the "Australasian Code for Reporting ofExploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves”. Dr Bielin Shihas sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralisation and type ofdeposit under consideration and to the activity which she is undertaking toqualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the“Australasian Code for Reporting of Mineral Resources and OreReserves”. Mr Arndt and Dr Shi of CSA Global Pty Ltd consent to theinclusion in the announcement of the matters based on this information inthe form and context in which it appears.

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Relative Values

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….Aspire looks undervalued

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Why this Undervaluation?

Not suggesting we deserve an immediate 10x rating• Need full washing yield analysis• Need to articulate development time frame• Articulate logistics solutions including rail• Capex and Operating estimates• Time

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The Goal is Clear!

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Contact details 

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Aspire Mining LimitedABN: 46 122 417 243ASX Code: AKM

Unit 2, 454 Roberts Road, Subiaco, Western Australia, 6008Web:  www.aspiremininglimited.com

David Paull  :  Tel :  +61 8 9381 1995Managing Director Mob :  +61 (0) 407 22 5291

Email: [email protected]