approach to soy demand estimation approach to soy demand estimation by atul g. mundhra
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Approach to Soy Demand Estimation
Approach to Soy Demand Estimation
By Atul G. MundhraBy Atul G. Mundhra
Soy Demand SectorsSoy Demand Sectors
Local demand of Soymeal in following segment: Protein Life Estimates Trade Estimates
a. Poultry and aqua 27.00 30.00
b. Edible & Pharma 5.85 5.85
c. Industrial 0.15 0.15
Local demand of Soybean other than Processing
a. Direct edible use 0.75 0.50
b. Export as an
organic seed 1.25 1.00
Figures are in Lac tons
Soy Demand Estimate of last 5 Years
Years Domestic SAARC Countries
(Including Edible & Industrial) (PNB)
2008-09 23.00 6.86
2009-10 30.00 7.70
2010-11 32.00 8.25
2011-12 29.00 9.00
2012-13 33.00 9.00
Figures are in Lac tons
Soy demand in IndiaSoy demand in India
Mainly Poultry and Aqua Feed Industry (Lac Tons)
At Present PY
a. Organized / integrated Sector 21.00 22.00
b. Un-Organized Sector 6.00 6.00
Switch-over to Quality Standards
At Present PY
1. Hi-Pro 4.50 4.00
2. Non Hi-Pro 22.50 24.00
Protein Life estimates
Geographical Distribution of Soy ConsumptionGeographical Distribution of Soy Consumption
a. East India – West Bengal, Orrisa, Eastern UP, (Lac Tons) 7 State of North East 4.50
b Western India – Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, CG 5.00
c North India – West UP, Punjab, Haryana, Uttranchal, Delhi, Rajasthan, Himachal, JK 6.00
d South India – AP, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Kerala 11.50
10 % variation in consumption may happen in above area
Protein Life estimates
Available Substitute of Soymeal to Indian Feed Industry
Available Substitute of Soymeal to Indian Feed Industry
a. Ground-nut Meal (Traditional Product)b. Guar Mealc. Rapeseed Meald. Cotton Extractione. Maize Glutenf. Fish Meal
Quantum of Substitute product in Coming year of Oilseed
Quantum of Substitute product in Coming year of Oilseed
At Present Likely Availability
(Lac Tons)
a. Ground-nut Meal 4.00 7 to 8
b. Guar Meal / Powder 0.50 0.50
c. Rapeseed Meal 0.60 1.00
d. Cotton Meal 0.40 0.75
e. Maize Gluten Nominal Nominal
f. Fish Meal Data NA Data NA
Thank You !!!Thank You !!!
Presented in Soy India Round Table meetPlace – Hotel Leela, Mumbai
Date – August 2, 2013
Sincere acknowledgement to our Research Team :
CA Naynesh GandhiNikhil Parwal
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