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21 st ALADIN General Assembly, Darmstadt, 8 December 2016 “TOUR D'ALADIN” 2016 HIGH- LIGHTS

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Page 1: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

21st ALADIN General Assembly, Darmstadt, 8 December 2016

“TOUR D'ALADIN”

2016

HIGH-

LIGHTS

Page 2: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Algeria● January, 2016: Enlargement of AROME domain (from only Northern Algeria to the

whole country)

● September, 2016: Activating Dust modules in AROME with a recent cycle (cy 40t1)

AROME_DUST ALADIN_DUST

*Coupled with ALADIN (1h) ARPEGE (3h)*Horizontal resolution 3 km 14 km*Nombre of points 1024*972 250*250 *Nomber of vertical levels 60 70*Run out to T+48h T+48h

AROME_DUST ALADIN_DUST

*Coupled with ALADIN (1h) ARPEGE (3h)*Horizontal resolution 3 km 14 km*Nombre of points 1024*972 250*250 *Nomber of vertical levels 60 70*Run out to T+48h T+48h

AROME_DUST ALADIN_DUST SAT Observation(EUMETSAT)

Page 3: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Austria

● Development of AROME-Nowcasting version:1.2km AROME, including radar assimilation and latent heat nudging

of INCA precipitation analysis

● AROME-EPS: Development of extended SPPT scheme to perturb partial physics

tendencies (turbulence, microphysics, shallow convection,…)

INCA analysis AROME-OPER (2.5km)

AROME-Nowcasting (1.2km)

Page 4: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Belgium: RMI-EPS protoype

Courtesy Geert SmetCourtesy Geert Smet

Page 5: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Bulgaria

● porting of cy41t1 – cy41t1 running on E-suite

● Denitsa Baracova defended master degree thesis on the Numerical study on the effect of charge sepatation at low cloud temperature and effective water content on thunderstorm electrification.

● She will continue with a PhD!

● cy41t1 ported for Open MP.

● It is running on e-suite in configuration ALADIN + SURFEX. Configurations ee927 upper air and surface, integration job (001), in line and off line Fullpos and add surf are working well.

● The new clim files were created.● The thesis was done by Denitsa

Baracova under the supervision of Boryana Tsenova

Page 6: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Croatia

● Surface– New z0 (and other topography)

● Based on hi-res input● More realistic fields

– SST from OSTIA and ROMS● Improved precipitation

– MESCAN ● More physical SWI

MESCAN masking CANARI default

SWI after 6 weeks with 3h cycling

24h prec Oper SST OSTIA+ROMS SST

2 km

Low roughness length in operational forecast meant really smooth mountain and excess wind speed at 10 m above ground in certain type of weather.

Month of forecasts and measurements

measuredAlaro0Alaro1vANew clim¼ z0Sqrt(z0)

Wind at 10m in March 2016Forecasts with different physics and z0measured

Alaro0Alaro1vANew clim¼ z0Sqrt(z0)

Page 7: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Czech Republic

● DA of Mode-S MRAR data – impact of new high-resolution

aircraft data is studied

– positive impact was foundin the nowcasting context and in the first hours of NWP forecast

– further optimizations of horizontal and vertical thinning (25km & 15hPa)and observation errorswas proposed

requestMode-S MRARupper-air wind & temperatureobservations

Mode-S radar

Page 8: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

France

Brier Skill Score, added value of PEARO (blue line) versus PEARP (global system, red line) : threshold event is RR > 1mm/6h, computed over 302 instances of the EPS systems (Dec. 2015 - Oct. 2016). The higher the Brier Skill Score is, the better the probabilistic system performed for that event.

Convection-permitting EPS (PEARO)● 12 members● 2.5km / 90 levels● 09 and 21 UTC● 45h forecast range● Operational status expected for end

2016● Figure: added value of PEARO with

respect to global EPS (PEARP)

Page 9: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Hungary Assimilation of AMDAR humidity

Useful information about the vertical structure of the troposphere

More frequent observations and good agreement with TEMP profiles

But currently there are very few measurements

(a) (b) Temperature 2m 09UTC

Cloudiness 09UTC

Page 10: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Morocco3D-VAR Assimilation AROME-MAROC

Local Convention

al observation

s

Local Convention

al observation

s

GTS Convention

al observation

s

GTS Convention

al observation

s

Local Data Base

Local Data Base

6 Ensemble members from

ARPEGE (Dynamical Adaptation)

6 Ensemble members from

ARPEGE (Dynamical Adaptation)

FESTAT computations

over 15/08/2016 to 30/08/2016

period

FESTAT computations

over 15/08/2016 to 30/08/2016

period

B matrix

B matrix

Domain characteristics:

Page 11: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Poland

Operational verificationHARP – Hirlam-Aladin R-Package already runs operationally for Aladin-Poland. This point to point verification is done as for single station as for all stations together, and is used for deterministic forecast. There are three meteorological models we can verify: ALARO, AROME and GFS. The observational data we use for this verification are synoptic stations data, with next step - adding automatic stations and radar data with spatial verification methods.

AROME B matrix

Here are examples of the interactive verification menu and the results of verification for single station and all stations together, for last 30 days of forecast and all daily runs together.

Preparations for DA in AROME had started. B matrix was built on the base of our domain AROME ensamble forecast, with LBC from AEARP. Domain is 799x799 grid points, with 2km horizontal resolution, 60 vertical levels. 6 members, two times per day forecast was performed for 30 days.

Page 12: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Portugal

RMSE WIND10M [m/s]

RMSE H2M [%]

RMSE T2M [K]

surface DA

oper

336 Iberian surface observation stations 2016.07.19 12UTC

● Validation and impact of the surface data assimilation scheme by the OI_main method

● Local implementation of a 3DVAR testbed ● Neighbourhood

sharing of SYNOP WMO BUFR data

Towards a data assimilation system for AROME-Portugal

Page 13: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Romania

JAXA – Global satellite mapping of precipitation

ALARO-0 operational domain Observations ALARO-1 operational domain

ALARO-1 SELAM domain

• ALARO cy40

• 19.09.2016

• 24 h cumulated precipitation

Page 14: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Slovakia

General update of the operational suite (autumn 2016): catch up with the state of the art ALADIN system & overall improvement

Old system New system

HPC IBM:10 Power7 nodes, AIX IBM: 12 Power7+ nodes, linux

code cycle 36T1_bf10 40T1_bf05

model resolution 9km/37 levels 4.5km/63 levels

physics ALARO 3MT ALARO-1vA

MSLP T_vertT2m

Page 15: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Slovenia

● Two-way atmosphere-ocean coupling of ALADIN, POM and MFS models

– Precipitation forecast close to the coast is sensitive to ocean conditions

OBS

OPER 2W PROD 2W ASSIM+PROD

?

Page 16: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

TunisiaParallel Suites (on the HP research computer)

Configuration of AROME-TunisiaAROME-Tunisia 1.3 1.3 kmkm(CY38t1, Coupled to ARPEGE 10Km, Time step 45s, 90 levels) Installation of the cycle 40t1_ bf.05 on HP computer

ALADIN preoperational

AROME HARMONIE

Model version CY38t1_bf.03 CY38t1op2 CY38t1_bf.03

Spatial Resolution 7.5 km 2.5 km 2.5 km

Vertical Levels 70 60 65

Boundaries ARPEGE 10km ARPEGE 10km ALADIN 7.5km

Time step 45 0s 45 s 45 s

Fig1: Vertical profile of the standard deviation of specific humidity, temperature, vorticity and divergence for AROME-TUNISIE

Fig2: Horizontal variance spectra at 800hPa for AROME–Tunisie and ALADIN-TUNISIE

AROME- MEDJERDA

Model version CY40

Resolution 1.3 km

Vertical Levels 90

Boundaries ARPEGE 10km

Time step 45 s

Center (8.75,36.5)

N° Points 128*85

AROME-MEDJERDA

Background error covariance matrix computation and

assessment for AROME 2.5 km & ALADIN 7.5 km

AROME 3DVAR

AROME Spin-up Observation

AROME-TUNISIE 2.5 km 3DVAR - 23/09/2016 Flood event a small domain over Medjerda catchment

3DVAR Data Assimilation Implementation

Page 17: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

Turkey

• Continuing Application Developments based on ALADIN System

Interactive Skew-T Diagram Highway Forecast System

- enable to plot Temp diagram for a given point

- various stability indices, hodograph,contrail, - Developed for planning travels & safe transports

icing potential,vertical velocity … - Route can be selected through cities

- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs

• Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource

- ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational since June 2016

- New HPC (SGI ICE XA 4032 core, E5-2690 v4, 2.60GHz) & will be installed in Jan 2017

- Plans for 2017 (Domain Enlargement, Operational AROME 4 times/day, 3Dvar with ALARO)

Page 18: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

DA in the countries?

4

● Be, Mo, Pl, Pt, Tu, Tk (6/9) are working on DA but not operational● There is a fresh momentum (of young people) in Al, Bg(PhD), Pl, Tu

Page 19: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

25th Anniversary

www.cnrm.meteo.fr/aladin/

Page 20: “TOUR D'ALADIN”- sharing source code with Poland Met.Serv. (IMGV) - Based on ALARO model outputs • Updates of Operational Suites & HPC Resource - ALARO-1 cy40T1 is operational

The ALADIN Flyer