“knowledge is power.” francis bacon...“knowledge is power.” francis bacon. paf 101 module 5,...
TRANSCRIPT
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“Knowledge is power.”
Francis Bacon
PAF 101Module 5, Lecture 1
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Class Agenda•Announcements • Intro to Module 5•Prince System•Assignment
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Challah for Hunger BakeWednesday 11/08/17 5:00-8:00
Thursday 11/09/17 5:00-8:00@Hillel
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Fireside Chat- Featuring Sarah
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Dale Carnegie Principles
• Don't criticize, condemn or complain.
• Give honest and sincere appreciation.
• Arouse in the other person an eager want.
• Become genuinely interested in other people.
• Remember that a man's name is to him the sweetest and most important sound in any language.
• Be a good listener. Encourage others to talk about themselves.
• Talk in the terms of the other man’s interest.
• Make the other person feel important and do it sincerely.
• Avoid arguments.
• Never tell someone they are wrong
• If you're wrong, admit it quickly and emphatically.
• Begin in a friendly way.
• Start with questions the other person will answer yes to. Let the other person do the talking.
• Let the other person feel the idea is his/hers.
• Try honestly to see things from the other person's
point of view.
• Sympathize with the other person.
• Appeal to noble motives.
• Dramatize your ideas.
• Throw down a challenge.
• Begin with praise and honest appreciation.
• Call attention to other people's mistakes indirectly.
• Talk about your own mistakes first.
• Ask questions instead of giving direct orders.
• Let the other person save face.
• Praise every improvement.
• Give them a fine reputation to live up to
• Encourage them by making their faults seem easy to correct.
• Make the other person happy about doing what you suggest.
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Community Service Reminder• The Final Community Service Form is
due in class on 12/4• Use the online form on the 101
website, located in the Service section.
• If you have any questions, please email Sarah at [email protected]
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Integrating the Groups•From 19 groups to 9 groups •Top groups choose first, you will have 20 seconds to make a decision
•Listen carefully to the instructions before moving around or there will be a crisis
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Group # Points
5 37
12 36
1 34
8 34
17 30
14 29
3 27
7 27
9 25
16 25
11 24
10 23
15 23
13 22
19 22
2 21
4 21
6 21
18 21
Competition PointsWinners
Losers
As of 11/08/2017
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Competition Points
New Group Old GroupABCDEFGHI
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FG
D
HBC
EI A
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Follow Along with the Module 5 Exercises
Select a policy from your previous modules or not so you can predict its
chances of being implemented
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Policy Triangle
Societal
Problems
A
Players
B
Public
PolicyC
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The Prince System
What is the Prince System?
A Method for Forecasting Decisions and Coming
Up with Strategies to Get What You Want
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Some Users of the System•U.S. Department of State•C.I.A.•U.S. Army Corps of Engineers•U.S. Forestry Service•Diebold Automated Office Programs•American Library Association•Political Risk Services
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Step 1
Describing the Policy to be Implemented
Example: Get A New Loan
The Prince System
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Family Issues•Get a New Loan•Pay for Children’s Education•Buy Vacation Home for Parents
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Step 2Identify Key Players
Example:
Father, Mother, Son, Daughter
The Prince System
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Step 2 RevisedFull List of Key Players
Example:Father, Mother, Son,
Daughter, Creditors, Grandfather
The Prince System
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Step 3 Estimate Position (-5 to +5)Players PositionFather +5Mother - 4Son +2Daughter +2Creditors 0Grandfather - 5
Total = 0
The Prince System
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Players Position X Power = Prince Score
Father +5 X 3 = +15
Mother - 4 X 2 = - 8
Son +2 X 1 = +2
Daughter +2 X 1 = +2
Creditors 0 X 5 = (5)
Grandfather - 5 X 5 = - 25
Step 4 Estimate Power (1 to 5)
Total = -14
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Step 5 Estimate Priority (1 to 5)Players Position X Power X Priority = Prince
ScoreFather +5 X 3 X 5 = +75
Mother - 4 X 2 X 5 = - 40
Son +2 X 1 X 1 = +2
Daughter +2 X 1 X 4 = +8
Creditors 0 X 5 X 2 = (10)
Grandfather -5 X 5 X 3 = - 75
Total = -30
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Step 6 Calculate Probabilities
Step 2:Players
Step 3:Position
X Step 4:Power
X Step 5:Priority
= Step 6a:Prince Score
Father +5 X 3 X 5 = +75
Mother - 4 X 2 X 5 = - 40Son +2 X 1 X 1 = +2
Daughter +2 X 1 X 4 = +8
Creditors 0 X 5 X 2 = (10)
Grandfather -5 X 5 X 3 = - 75
Step 1: Action to be Predicted Get a New Loan
=90210 = .43
Sum of Positive Scores and One Half of Neutral ScoresSum of Absolute Values of All Scores, IncludingNeutral Scores
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Strategy ToolHostility-Friendship Chart
Player Father Mother Son Daughter Creditors Grandfather
Father x + - + - -
Mother - x + - - +
Son - + x - - +
Daughter + - - x - +
Creditors + + + + x +
Grandfather - + + + 0 x
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Prince ChartStep 2:Players
Step 3:Position(+5 to –5)
X Step 4:Power(1 to 5)
X Step 5:Priority(1 to 5)
= Step 6a:Prince Score
Father +5 X 3 X 5 = +75
Mother - 4 X 2 X 5 = - 40Son +2 X 1 X 1 = +2Daughter +2 X 1 X 4 = +8Creditors +2 X 5 X 2 = +20
Grandfather +2 X 5 X 3 = +30South DakotaSavings
+5 X 5 X 2 = +50
Step 1:Policy to be Implemented Get a New Loan
Sum of Positive Scores and One Half of Neutral ScoresSum of Absolute Values of All Scores, IncludingNeutral Scores
= 185225
= .82
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Prince Analysis Steps
1. Identify Necessary Actions
2. Identify Key Players
3. Estimate Position (-5 to +5)
4. Estimate Power (1 to 5)
5. Estimate Priority (1 to 5)
6. Calculate Probabilities
7. Formulate Prince Strategies
Ex. 9.1
Ex. 9.2
Ex. 9.3
Ex. 9.4
Chapter 10
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Step 1: Choose a Policy (9.1) •Does not have to be related to previous work, but it is advised.
•Must address the correct geographic area.
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Assignment•Read Chapter 9 by next class!•Get your community service hours completed!
•Sit with your new group for the rest of the semester
•Module 5 Due December 8