annual report of student enrollment projections by county and … · 2016-12-16 · enrollment...

March 2015

Annual Report of

Student Enrollment Projections

By County and By District

Annual Report of

Student Enrollment Projections

By County and By District

Table of Contents

About the Report ............................................................................................................................................ i

Region 10 Counties Report ............................................................................................................................ 1

Collin County Reports ................................................................................................................................... 4

Dallas County Reports .................................................................................................................................. 7

Ellis County Reports.................................................................................................................................... 10

Fannin County Reports ............................................................................................................................... 13

Grayson County Reports ............................................................................................................................. 16

Hunt County Reports .................................................................................................................................. 19

Kaufman County Reports ............................................................................................................................ 22

Rockwall County Reports ............................................................................................................................ 25

Van Zandt County Reports .......................................................................................................................... 28

i

About the Report

The Report

This is a report of projected student enrollment produced by the Administrative Services of the Region 10 Education Service

Center. Its purpose is to project student populations within Region 10, by school district, by county and for the region as a whole, for five years into the future. These data should assist school districts with planning efforts. Two projections are done,

one using six years of historical enrollment data and the second using three years of data. Since most historical enrollment

numbers were collected in the fall, and represent fall student counts, the report generally projects fall enrollments.

The Organization

Page one lists six years of regional historical enrollment data by county. Pages two and three are five-year enrollment projections for each county using three and six years of prior enrollment data respectively. Pages 4-30 contain a series of three page color-coded reports. The first page of each series lists six years of historical enrollment data for each district in the county.

The second and third page of each series lists five-year enrollment projections, for each district in the county, based on three and six years of prior enrollment data respectively.

Some Conclusions

The region as a whole has grown over the last five years, as has each of the counties, except Fannin, Hunt and Van Zandt

Counties. Over this period, Collin County has experienced the greatest growth (17.8%) while Van Zandt County has experienced the greatest decline (-3.6%). Changes in district enrollment over the last five years range from 95% growth (Prosper

ISD) to 13.5% decline (Tom Bean ISD). All counties show a greater projected growth using three years of historical data rather than using six years.

The Methodology

The best predictor for a school district’s fourth grade enrollment, in a given year, is that same district’s previous year’s third grade enrollment. The amount and direction of change can be predicted by previous years’ experience. This procedure, a blend

of Cohort Survival Method and Ratio Analysis, is used throughout the report except for Pre-Kindergarten and Kindergarten. In these cases, previous years’ same grade enrollments have been used as predictors.

If you have questions or suggestions pertaining to this report, please call Rickey Williams at (972) 348-1038.

County

2009-2010

BaseLine

2010-2011

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2011-2012

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2012-2013

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2013-2014

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2014-2015

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

ENROLLMENT ANALYSISSIX YEAR HISTORICAL DATA

REGION 10 COUNTIES

Collin 161,187 167,780 4.1 4.1 173,121 3.2 7.4 177,471 2.5 10.1 183,126 3.2 13.6 189,832 3.7 17.8

Dallas 426,399 429,596 0.7 0.7 433,066 0.8 1.6 437,651 1.1 2.6 441,229 0.8 3.5 443,984 0.6 4.1

Ellis 31,331 32,097 2.4 2.4 32,002 0.3- 2.1 32,210 0.6 2.8 32,627 1.3 4.1 33,143 1.6 5.8

Fannin 5,342 5,344 0.0 0.0 5,259 1.6- 1.6- 5,331 1.4 0.2- 5,348 0.3 0.1 5,338 0.2- 0.1-

Grayson 21,026 21,026 0.0 0.0 21,106 0.4 0.4 21,245 0.7 1.0 21,578 1.6 2.6 21,861 1.3 4.0

Hunt 14,157 13,972 1.3- 1.3- 13,837 1.0- 2.3- 13,841 0.0 2.2- 13,953 0.8 1.4- 13,976 0.2 1.3-

Kaufman 24,249 24,568 1.3 1.3 25,083 2.1 3.4 25,404 1.3 4.8 25,644 0.9 5.8 26,200 2.2 8.0

Rockwall 18,191 18,531 1.9 1.9 18,858 1.8 3.7 19,196 1.8 5.5 19,630 2.3 7.9 20,062 2.2 10.3

VanZandt 4,660 4,629 0.7- 0.7- 4,567 1.3- 2.0- 4,592 0.5 1.5- 4,521 1.5- 3.0- 4,493 0.6- 3.6-

706,542 717,543 1.6 1.6 726,899 1.3 2.9 736,941 1.4 4.3 747,656 1.5 5.8 758,889 1.5 7.4 Totals:

1

County

2014-2015

BaseLine

2015-2016

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2016-2017

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2017-2018

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2018-2019

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2019-2020

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

ENROLLMENT ANALYSISPROJECTED ENROLLMENT USING THREE PRIOR YEARS

REGION 10 COUNTIES

Collin 189,832 196,377 3.4 3.4 203,009 3.4 6.9 210,109 3.5 10.7 217,700 3.6 14.7 225,734 3.7 18.9

Dallas 443,984 449,449 1.2 1.2 456,217 1.5 2.8 464,362 1.8 4.6 474,083 2.1 6.8 485,431 2.4 9.3

Ellis 33,143 33,834 2.1 2.1 34,682 2.5 4.6 35,554 2.5 7.3 36,493 2.6 10.1 37,610 3.1 13.5

Fannin 5,338 5,343 0.1 0.1 5,365 0.4 0.5 5,418 1.0 1.5 5,465 0.9 2.4 5,538 1.3 3.7

Grayson 21,861 22,315 2.1 2.1 22,776 2.1 4.2 23,364 2.6 6.9 24,015 2.8 9.9 24,733 3.0 13.1

Hunt 13,976 14,166 1.4 1.4 14,350 1.3 2.7 14,497 1.0 3.7 14,772 1.9 5.7 15,072 2.0 7.8

Kaufman 26,200 26,661 1.8 1.8 27,225 2.1 3.9 27,864 2.3 6.4 28,519 2.4 8.9 29,283 2.7 11.8

Rockwall 20,062 20,493 2.1 2.1 20,991 2.4 4.6 21,453 2.2 6.9 22,039 2.7 9.9 22,676 2.9 13.0

VanZandt 4,493 4,514 0.5 0.5 4,581 1.5 2.0 4,633 1.1 3.1 4,705 1.6 4.7 4,794 1.9 6.7

758,889 773,152 1.9 1.9 789,196 2.1 4.0 807,254 2.3 6.4 827,791 2.5 9.1 850,871 2.8 12.1 Totals:

2

BaseLine Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

ENROLLMENT ANALYSISPROJECTED ENROLLMENT USING SIX PRIOR YEARS

REGION 10 COUNTIES

County

2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020

Collin 189,832 195,083 2.8 2.8 199,839 2.4 5.3 204,455 2.3 7.7 209,074 2.3 10.1 213,485 2.1 12.5

Dallas 443,984 447,079 0.7 0.7 449,564 0.6 1.3 452,169 0.6 1.8 455,576 0.8 2.6 459,370 0.8 3.5

Ellis 33,143 33,504 1.1 1.1 33,917 1.2 2.3 34,197 0.8 3.2 34,389 0.6 3.8 34,624 0.7 4.5

Fannin 5,338 5,324 0.3- 0.3- 5,324 0.0 0.3- 5,351 0.5 0.2 5,366 0.3 0.5 5,398 0.6 1.1

Grayson 21,861 22,178 1.5 1.5 22,469 1.3 2.8 22,827 1.6 4.4 23,214 1.7 6.2 23,653 1.9 8.2

Hunt 13,976 14,031 0.4 0.4 14,040 0.1 0.5 13,998 0.3- 0.2 14,098 0.7 0.9 14,158 0.4 1.3

Kaufman 26,200 26,534 1.3 1.3 26,902 1.4 2.7 27,313 1.5 4.2 27,764 1.7 6.0 28,265 1.8 7.9

Rockwall 20,062 20,393 1.6 1.6 20,725 1.6 3.3 20,924 1.0 4.3 21,159 1.1 5.5 21,349 0.9 6.4

VanZandt 4,493 4,504 0.2 0.2 4,542 0.8 1.1 4,545 0.1 1.2 4,528 0.4- 0.8 4,527 0.0 0.8

758,889 768,630 1.3 1.3 777,322 1.1 2.4 785,779 1.1 3.5 795,168 1.2 4.8 804,829 1.2 6.1 Totals:

3

District

2009-2010

BaseLine

2010-2011

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2011-2012

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2012-2013

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2013-2014

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2014-2015

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year


Collin

Allen 18,119 18,731 3.4 3.4 19,364 3.4 6.9 19,748 2.0 9.0 20,277 2.7 11.9 20,663 1.9 14.0

Anna 2,233 2,298 2.9 2.9 2,347 2.1 5.1 2,528 7.7 13.2 2,597 2.7 16.3 2,874 10.7 28.7

Blue Ridge 673 646 4.0- 4.0- 657 1.7 2.4- 633 3.7- 5.9- 656 3.6 2.5- 719 9.6 6.8

Celina 1,900 1,950 2.6 2.6 2,010 3.1 5.8 2,035 1.2 7.1 2,071 1.8 9.0 2,201 6.3 15.8

Community 1,624 1,614 0.6- 0.6- 1,642 1.7 1.1 1,637 0.3- 0.8 1,675 2.3 3.1 1,830 9.3 12.7

Farmersville 1,452 1,440 0.8- 0.8- 1,442 0.1 0.7- 1,472 2.1 1.4 1,526 3.7 5.1 1,549 1.5 6.7

Frisco 33,600 36,831 9.6 9.6 39,706 7.8 18.2 42,710 7.6 27.1 46,053 7.8 37.1 49,644 7.8 47.8

Lovejoy 3,230 3,388 4.9 4.9 3,540 4.5 9.6 3,649 3.1 13.0 3,739 2.5 15.8 3,828 2.4 18.5

McKinney 23,933 24,427 2.1 2.1 24,730 1.2 3.3 24,444 1.2- 2.1 24,566 0.5 2.6 24,811 1.0 3.7

Melissa 1,378 1,449 5.2 5.2 1,593 9.9 15.6 1,685 5.8 22.3 1,892 12.3 37.3 2,119 12.0 53.8

Plano 54,359 54,909 1.0 1.0 55,057 0.3 1.3 54,657 0.7- 0.5 54,295 0.7- 0.1- 54,689 0.7 0.6

Princeton 2,987 3,193 6.9 6.9 3,253 1.9 8.9 3,436 5.6 15.0 3,611 5.1 20.9 3,790 5.0 26.9

Prosper 3,629 4,344 19.7 19.7 4,850 11.6 33.6 5,497 13.3 51.5 6,440 17.2 77.5 7,076 9.9 95.0

Wylie 12,070 12,560 4.1 4.1 12,930 2.9 7.1 13,340 3.2 10.5 13,728 2.9 13.7 14,039 2.3 16.3

161,187 167,780 4.1 4.1 173,121 3.2 7.4 177,471 2.5 10.1 183,126 3.2 13.6 189,832 3.7 17.8 Totals:

4

District

2014-2015

BaseLine

2015-2016

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2016-2017

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2017-2018

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

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2018-2019

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year

2019-2020

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year


Collin

Allen 20663 21,156 2.4 2.4 21,563 1.9 4.4 22,040 2.2 6.7 22,603 2.6 9.4 23,172 2.5 12.1

Anna 2874 3,071 6.9 6.9 3,245 5.7 12.9 3,468 6.9 20.7 3,661 5.6 27.4 3,859 5.4 34.3

Blue Ridge 719 758 5.4 5.4 808 6.6 12.4 864 6.9 20.2 914 5.8 27.1 969 6.0 34.8

Celina 2201 2,304 4.7 4.7 2,399 4.1 9.0 2,495 4.0 13.4 2,611 4.6 18.6 2,740 4.9 24.5

Community 1830 1,967 7.5 7.5 2,103 6.9 14.9 2,229 6.0 21.8 2,380 6.8 30.1 2,532 6.4 38.4

Farmersville 1549 1,572 1.5 1.5 1,622 3.2 4.7 1,678 3.5 8.3 1,703 1.5 9.9 1,745 2.5 12.7

Frisco 49644 53,249 7.3 7.3 56,865 6.8 14.5 60,425 6.3 21.7 64,093 6.1 29.1 67,656 5.6 36.3

Lovejoy 3828 3,931 2.7 2.7 4,012 2.1 4.8 4,090 1.9 6.8 4,154 1.6 8.5 4,253 2.4 11.1

McKinney 24811 25,060 1.0 1.0 25,352 1.2 2.2 25,659 1.2 3.4 26,018 1.4 4.9 26,493 1.8 6.8

Melissa 2119 2,340 10.4 10.4 2,593 10.8 22.4 2,841 9.6 34.1 3,084 8.6 45.5 3,334 8.1 57.3

Plano 54689 54,657 0.1- 0.1- 54,680 0.0 0.0 55,004 0.6 0.6 55,490 0.9 1.5 56,264 1.4 2.9

Princeton 3790 3,989 5.3 5.3 4,192 5.1 10.6 4,406 5.1 16.3 4,622 4.9 22.0 4,855 5.0 28.1

Prosper 7076 7,996 13.0 13.0 8,997 12.5 27.1 10,066 11.9 42.3 11,181 11.1 58.0 12,376 10.7 74.9

Wylie 14039 14,327 2.1 2.1 14,578 1.8 3.8 14,844 1.8 5.7 15,186 2.3 8.2 15,486 2.0 10.3

189,832 196,377 3.4 3.4 203,009 3.4 6.9 210,109 3.5 10.7 217,700 3.6 14.7 225,734 3.7 18.9 Totals:

5

District

2014-2015

BaseLine

2015-2016

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2016-2017

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2017-2018

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

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2018-2019

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% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

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2019-2020

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year


Collin

Allen 20663 21,077 2.0 2.0 21,330 1.2 3.2 21,575 1.1 4.4 21,816 1.1 5.6 21,942 0.6 6.2

Anna 2874 3,014 4.9 4.9 3,130 3.8 8.9 3,289 5.1 14.4 3,420 4.0 19.0 3,557 4.0 23.8

Blue Ridge 719 734 2.1 2.1 757 3.1 5.3 780 3.0 8.5 796 2.1 10.7 809 1.6 12.5

Celina 2201 2,277 3.5 3.5 2,342 2.9 6.4 2,400 2.5 9.0 2,472 3.0 12.3 2,548 3.1 15.8

Community 1830 1,909 4.3 4.3 1,987 4.1 8.6 2,048 3.1 11.9 2,132 4.1 16.5 2,215 3.9 21.0

Farmersville 1549 1,548 0.1- 0.1- 1,572 1.6 1.5 1,593 1.3 2.8 1,577 1.0- 1.8 1,573 0.3- 1.5

Frisco 49644 52,855 6.5 6.5 55,955 5.9 12.7 58,893 5.3 18.6 61,854 5.0 24.6 64,621 4.5 30.2

Lovejoy 3828 3,940 2.9 2.9 4,016 1.9 4.9 4,071 1.4 6.3 4,085 0.3 6.7 4,114 0.7 7.5

McKinney 24811 24,752 0.2- 0.2- 24,621 0.5- 0.8- 24,400 0.9- 1.7- 24,136 1.1- 2.7- 23,872 1.1- 3.8-

Melissa 2119 2,287 7.9 7.9 2,496 9.1 17.8 2,702 8.3 27.5 2,918 8.0 37.7 3,155 8.1 48.9

Plano 54689 54,429 0.5- 0.5- 54,030 0.7- 1.2- 53,675 0.7- 1.9- 53,262 0.8- 2.6- 52,835 0.8- 3.4-

Princeton 3790 3,953 4.3 4.3 4,108 3.9 8.4 4,274 4.0 12.8 4,449 4.1 17.4 4,626 4.0 22.1

Prosper 7076 8,023 13.4 13.4 9,100 13.4 28.6 10,306 13.3 45.6 11,634 12.9 64.4 13,133 12.9 85.6

Wylie 14039 14,285 1.8 1.8 14,395 0.8 2.5 14,449 0.4 2.9 14,523 0.5 3.4 14,485 0.3- 3.2

189,832 195,083 2.8 2.8 199,839 2.4 5.3 204,455 2.3 7.7 209,074 2.3 10.1 213,485 2.1 12.5 Totals:

6

District

2009-2010

BaseLine

2010-2011

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year

2011-2012

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2012-2013

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

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2013-2014

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% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

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2014-2015

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year


Dallas

Carrollton/FB 25,920 26,159 0.9 0.9 26,343 0.7 1.6 26,265 0.3- 1.3 26,232 0.1- 1.2 26,210 0.1- 1.1

Cedar Hill 8,270 8,183 1.1- 1.1- 8,155 0.3- 1.4- 8,280 1.5 0.1 7,866 5.0- 4.9- 7,883 0.2 4.7-

Coppell 9,947 10,170 2.2 2.2 10,621 4.4 6.8 10,945 3.1 10.0 11,304 3.3 13.6 11,570 2.4 16.3

Dallas 157,111 157,162 0.0 0.0 157,575 0.3 0.3 158,960 0.9 1.2 159,713 0.5 1.7 160,253 0.3 2.0

DeSoto 9,069 9,144 0.8 0.8 8,947 2.2- 1.3- 8,894 0.6- 1.9- 9,404 5.7 3.7 9,604 2.1 5.9

Duncanville 12,876 12,902 0.2 0.2 13,034 1.0 1.2 13,153 0.9 2.2 13,053 0.8- 1.4 12,945 0.8- 0.5

Garland 57,650 57,628 0.0 0.0 57,940 0.5 0.5 57,881 0.1- 0.4 57,461 0.7- 0.3- 57,436 0.0 0.4-

Grand Prairie 26,395 26,541 0.6 0.6 26,613 0.3 0.8 26,921 1.2 2.0 27,616 2.6 4.6 28,340 2.6 7.4

Highland Park 6,437 6,685 3.9 3.9 6,804 1.8 5.7 6,848 0.6 6.4 7,037 2.8 9.3 7,091 0.8 10.2

Irving 33,798 34,273 1.4 1.4 34,851 1.7 3.1 35,057 0.6 3.7 35,403 1.0 4.7 35,191 0.6- 4.1

Lancaster 6,181 6,272 1.5 1.5 6,151 1.9- 0.5- 6,540 6.3 5.8 6,818 4.3 10.3 7,052 3.4 14.1

Mesquite 37,100 37,508 1.1 1.1 38,025 1.4 2.5 38,851 2.2 4.7 39,909 2.7 7.6 40,273 0.9 8.6

Richardson 34,570 35,828 3.6 3.6 36,803 2.7 6.5 37,788 2.7 9.3 38,062 0.7 10.1 38,618 1.5 11.7

Sunnyvale 1,075 1,141 6.1 6.1 1,204 5.5 12.0 1,268 5.3 18.0 1,351 6.5 25.7 1,518 12.4 41.2

426,399 429,596 0.7 0.7 433,066 0.8 1.6 437,651 1.1 2.6 441,229 0.8 3.5 443,984 0.6 4.1 Totals:

* Sunnyvale ISD projections include estimated data for high school grades prior to 2007-2008 and PK prior to 09-10.

7

bakerc

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District

2014-2015

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2016-2017

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2017-2018

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2018-2019

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Dallas

Carrollton/FB 26210 26,320 0.4 0.4 26,595 1.0 1.5 27,002 1.5 3.0 27,492 1.8 4.9 28,082 2.1 7.1

Cedar Hill 7883 7,799 1.1- 1.1- 7,779 0.3- 1.3- 7,723 0.7- 2.0- 7,717 0.1- 2.1- 7,696 0.3- 2.4-

Coppell 11570 11,888 2.7 2.7 12,248 3.0 5.9 12,642 3.2 9.3 13,079 3.5 13.0 13,582 3.8 17.4

Dallas 160253 161,809 1.0 1.0 163,633 1.1 2.1 166,384 1.7 3.8 169,505 1.9 5.8 173,215 2.2 8.1

DeSoto 9604 9,976 3.9 3.9 10,340 3.6 7.7 10,625 2.8 10.6 11,012 3.6 14.7 11,445 3.9 19.2

Duncanville 12945 12,799 1.1- 1.1- 12,753 0.4- 1.5- 12,732 0.2- 1.6- 12,794 0.5 1.2- 12,872 0.6 0.6-

Garland 57436 57,584 0.3 0.3 57,757 0.3 0.6 58,186 0.7 1.3 58,899 1.2 2.5 59,707 1.4 4.0

Grand Prairie 28340 29,265 3.3 3.3 30,330 3.6 7.0 31,416 3.6 10.9 32,440 3.3 14.5 33,620 3.6 18.6

Highland Park 7091 7,181 1.3 1.3 7,339 2.2 3.5 7,506 2.3 5.9 7,683 2.4 8.3 7,924 3.1 11.7

Irving 35191 35,576 1.1 1.1 36,077 1.4 2.5 36,377 0.8 3.4 37,092 2.0 5.4 37,949 2.3 7.8

Lancaster 7052 7,351 4.2 4.2 7,675 4.4 8.8 7,953 3.6 12.8 8,244 3.7 16.9 8,586 4.1 21.8

Mesquite 40273 41,034 1.9 1.9 41,878 2.1 4.0 42,869 2.4 6.4 43,996 2.6 9.2 45,288 2.9 12.5

Richardson 38618 39,236 1.6 1.6 40,047 2.1 3.7 41,042 2.5 6.3 42,070 2.5 8.9 43,243 2.8 12.0

Sunnyvale 1518 1,631 7.4 7.4 1,766 8.3 16.3 1,905 7.9 25.5 2,060 8.1 35.7 2,222 7.9 46.4

443,984 449,449 1.2 1.2 456,217 1.5 2.8 464,362 1.8 4.6 474,083 2.1 6.8 485,431 2.4 9.3 Totals:


8

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Dallas

Carrollton/FB 26210 26,183 0.1- 0.1- 26,207 0.1 0.0 26,252 0.2 0.2 26,302 0.2 0.4 26,311 0.0 0.4

Cedar Hill 7883 7,742 1.8- 1.8- 7,653 1.1- 2.9- 7,522 1.7- 4.6- 7,421 1.3- 5.9- 7,301 1.6- 7.4-

Coppell 11570 11,893 2.8 2.8 12,229 2.8 5.7 12,573 2.8 8.7 12,928 2.8 11.7 13,287 2.8 14.8

Dallas 160253 160,617 0.2 0.2 160,263 0.2- 0.0 160,189 0.0 0.0 159,969 0.1- 0.2- 159,589 0.2- 0.4-

DeSoto 9604 9,776 1.8 1.8 9,967 2.0 3.8 10,062 1.0 4.8 10,267 2.0 6.9 10,540 2.7 9.7

Duncanville 12945 12,783 1.3- 1.3- 12,676 0.8- 2.1- 12,535 1.1- 3.2- 12,452 0.7- 3.8- 12,306 1.2- 4.9-

Garland 57436 57,224 0.4- 0.4- 56,705 0.9- 1.3- 56,221 0.9- 2.1- 55,793 0.8- 2.9- 55,217 1.0- 3.9-

Grand Prairie 28340 28,774 1.5 1.5 29,287 1.8 3.3 29,737 1.5 4.9 30,068 1.1 6.1 30,492 1.4 7.6

Highland Park 7091 7,182 1.3 1.3 7,324 2.0 3.3 7,452 1.7 5.1 7,565 1.5 6.7 7,712 1.9 8.8

Irving 35191 35,430 0.7 0.7 35,646 0.6 1.3 35,574 0.2- 1.1 35,917 1.0 2.1 36,122 0.6 2.6

Lancaster 7052 7,274 3.1 3.1 7,499 3.1 6.3 7,704 2.7 9.2 7,976 3.5 13.1 8,250 3.4 17.0

Mesquite 40273 40,964 1.7 1.7 41,622 1.6 3.3 42,368 1.8 5.2 43,199 2.0 7.3 44,075 2.0 9.4

Richardson 38618 39,578 2.5 2.5 40,614 2.6 5.2 41,755 2.8 8.1 42,827 2.6 10.9 43,921 2.6 13.7

Sunnyvale 1518 1,659 9.3 9.3 1,872 12.8 23.3 2,225 18.9 46.6 2,892 30.0 90.5 4,247 46.9 179.8

443,984 447,079 0.7 0.7 449,564 0.6 1.3 452,169 0.6 1.8 455,576 0.8 2.6 459,370 0.8 3.5 Totals:


9

bakerc

Rectangle

District

2009-2010

BaseLine

2010-2011

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2011-2012

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2012-2013

Count

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Count

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Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year


Ellis

Avalon 332 334 0.6 0.6 301 9.9- 9.3- 322 7.0 3.0- 337 4.7 1.5 372 10.4 12.0

Ennis 5,830 5,829 0.0 0.0 5,838 0.2 0.1 5,790 0.8- 0.7- 5,732 1.0- 1.7- 5,802 1.2 0.5-

Ferris 2,417 2,427 0.4 0.4 2,441 0.6 1.0 2,396 1.8- 0.9- 2,461 2.7 1.8 2,454 0.3- 1.5

Italy 638 612 4.1- 4.1- 556 9.2- 12.9- 549 1.3- 13.9- 511 6.9- 19.9- 577 12.9 9.6-

Maypearl 1,103 1,051 4.7- 4.7- 1,032 1.8- 6.4- 1,010 2.1- 8.4- 1,035 2.5 6.2- 1,053 1.7 4.5-

Midlothian 7,330 7,572 3.3 3.3 7,553 0.3- 3.0 7,564 0.1 3.2 7,723 2.1 5.4 7,899 2.3 7.8

Milford 251 251 0.0 0.0 216 13.9- 13.9- 230 6.5 8.4- 245 6.5 2.4- 244 0.4- 2.8-

Palmer 1,128 1,106 2.0- 2.0- 1,079 2.4- 4.3- 1,096 1.6 2.8- 1,158 5.7 2.7 1,145 1.1- 1.5

Red Oak 5,408 5,515 2.0 2.0 5,503 0.2- 1.8 5,634 2.4 4.2 5,608 0.5- 3.7 5,629 0.4 4.1

Waxahachie 6,894 7,400 7.3 7.3 7,483 1.1 8.5 7,619 1.8 10.5 7,817 2.6 13.4 7,968 1.9 15.6

31,331 32,097 2.4 2.4 32,002 0.3- 2.1 32,210 0.6 2.8 32,627 1.3 4.1 33,143 1.6 5.8 Totals:

10

District

2014-2015

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% Change Previous

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Year


Ellis

Avalon 372 404 8.6 8.6 437 8.2 17.5 471 7.8 26.6 501 6.4 34.7 536 7.0 44.1

Ennis 5802 5,780 0.4- 0.4- 5,831 0.9 0.5 5,879 0.8 1.3 5,921 0.7 2.1 6,024 1.7 3.8

Ferris 2454 2,509 2.2 2.2 2,580 2.8 5.1 2,676 3.7 9.0 2,756 3.0 12.3 2,845 3.2 15.9

Italy 577 600 4.0 4.0 622 3.7 7.8 653 5.0 13.2 679 4.0 17.7 715 5.3 23.9

Maypearl 1053 1,102 4.7 4.7 1,143 3.7 8.5 1,193 4.4 13.3 1,239 3.9 17.7 1,288 4.0 22.3

Midlothian 7899 8,108 2.6 2.6 8,378 3.3 6.1 8,625 2.9 9.2 8,885 3.0 12.5 9,213 3.7 16.6

Milford 244 258 5.7 5.7 270 4.7 10.7 283 4.8 16.0 296 4.6 21.3 312 5.4 27.9

Palmer 1145 1,184 3.4 3.4 1,230 3.9 7.4 1,268 3.1 10.7 1,311 3.4 14.5 1,362 3.9 19.0

Red Oak 5629 5,724 1.7 1.7 5,786 1.1 2.8 5,878 1.6 4.4 6,014 2.3 6.8 6,159 2.4 9.4

Waxahachie 7968 8,165 2.5 2.5 8,405 2.9 5.5 8,628 2.7 8.3 8,891 3.0 11.6 9,156 3.0 14.9

33,143 33,834 2.1 2.1 34,682 2.5 4.6 35,554 2.5 7.3 36,493 2.6 10.1 37,610 3.1 13.5 Totals:

11

District

2014-2015

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% Change Previous

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Year


Ellis

Avalon 372 386 3.8 3.8 403 4.4 8.3 420 4.2 12.9 436 3.8 17.2 457 4.8 22.8

Ennis 5802 5,695 1.8- 1.8- 5,643 0.9- 2.7- 5,562 1.4- 4.1- 5,458 1.9- 5.9- 5,384 1.4- 7.2-

Ferris 2454 2,479 1.0 1.0 2,515 1.5 2.5 2,558 1.7 4.2 2,578 0.8 5.1 2,594 0.6 5.7

Italy 577 582 0.9 0.9 586 0.7 1.6 597 1.9 3.5 609 2.0 5.5 628 3.1 8.8

Maypearl 1053 1,058 0.5 0.5 1,048 0.9- 0.5- 1,047 0.1- 0.6- 1,041 0.6- 1.1- 1,037 0.4- 1.5-

Midlothian 7899 8,002 1.3 1.3 8,126 1.5 2.9 8,186 0.7 3.6 8,222 0.4 4.1 8,295 0.9 5.0

Milford 244 244 0.0 0.0 242 0.8- 0.8- 242 0.0 0.8- 245 1.2 0.4 251 2.4 2.9

Palmer 1145 1,156 1.0 1.0 1,173 1.5 2.4 1,185 1.0 3.5 1,206 1.8 5.3 1,226 1.7 7.1

Red Oak 5629 5,728 1.8 1.8 5,787 1.0 2.8 5,852 1.1 4.0 5,933 1.4 5.4 5,990 1.0 6.4

Waxahachie 7968 8,174 2.6 2.6 8,394 2.7 5.3 8,548 1.8 7.3 8,661 1.3 8.7 8,762 1.2 10.0

33,143 33,504 1.1 1.1 33,917 1.2 2.3 34,197 0.8 3.2 34,389 0.6 3.8 34,624 0.7 4.5 Totals:

12

District

2009-2010

BaseLine

2010-2011

Count

% Change Previous

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Year

2011-2012

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% Change Previous

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Year


Fannin

Bonham 1,955 1,927 1.4- 1.4- 1,910 0.9- 2.3- 1,951 2.1 0.2- 1,943 0.4- 0.6- 1,912 1.6- 2.2-

Dodd City 317 329 3.8 3.8 327 0.6- 3.2 347 6.1 9.5 359 3.5 13.2 385 7.2 21.5

Ector 251 283 12.7 12.7 247 12.7- 1.6- 275 11.3 9.6 269 2.2- 7.2 270 0.4 7.6

Honey Grove 609 600 1.5- 1.5- 589 1.8- 3.3- 584 0.8- 4.1- 586 0.3 3.8- 610 4.1 0.2

Leonard 894 888 0.7- 0.7- 883 0.6- 1.2- 869 1.6- 2.8- 886 2.0 0.9- 877 1.0- 1.9-

Sam Rayburn 443 460 3.8 3.8 479 4.1 8.1 483 0.8 9.0 498 3.1 12.4 488 2.0- 10.2

Savoy 298 305 2.3 2.3 291 4.6- 2.3- 273 6.2- 8.4- 272 0.4- 8.7- 288 5.9 3.4-

Trenton 575 552 4.0- 4.0- 533 3.4- 7.3- 549 3.0 4.5- 535 2.6- 7.0- 508 5.0- 11.7-

5,342 5,344 0.0 0.0 5,259 1.6- 1.6- 5,331 1.4 0.2- 5,348 0.3 0.1 5,338 0.2- 0.1-Totals:

* Sam Rayburn ISD projections include estimated data for PK grades prior to 2009-2010.

13

bakerc

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2014-2015

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Fannin

Bonham 1912 1,880 1.7- 1.7- 1,851 1.5- 3.2- 1,847 0.2- 3.4- 1,836 0.6- 4.0- 1,842 0.3 3.7-

Dodd City 385 403 4.7 4.7 422 4.7 9.6 431 2.1 11.9 453 5.1 17.7 460 1.5 19.5

Ector 270 267 1.1- 1.1- 268 0.4 0.7- 264 1.5- 2.2- 265 0.4 1.9- 270 1.9 0.0

Honey Grove 610 630 3.3 3.3 645 2.4 5.7 654 1.4 7.2 668 2.1 9.5 691 3.4 13.3

Leonard 877 866 1.3- 1.3- 873 0.8 0.5- 892 2.2 1.7 885 0.8- 0.9 885 0.0 0.9

Sam Rayburn 488 502 2.9 2.9 519 3.4 6.4 533 2.7 9.2 544 2.1 11.5 563 3.5 15.4

Savoy 288 297 3.1 3.1 303 2.0 5.2 319 5.3 10.8 340 6.6 18.1 344 1.2 19.4

Trenton 508 498 2.0- 2.0- 484 2.8- 4.7- 478 1.2- 5.9- 474 0.8- 6.7- 483 1.9 4.9-

5,338 5,343 0.1 0.1 5,365 0.4 0.5 5,418 1.0 1.5 5,465 0.9 2.4 5,538 1.3 3.7 Totals:


14

bakerc

Rectangle

District

2014-2015

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Fannin

Bonham 1912 1,900 0.6- 0.6- 1,890 0.5- 1.2- 1,902 0.6 0.5- 1,907 0.3 0.3- 1,927 1.0 0.8

Dodd City 385 389 1.0 1.0 394 1.3 2.3 389 1.3- 1.0 395 1.5 2.6 386 2.3- 0.3

Ector 270 267 1.1- 1.1- 268 0.4 0.7- 262 2.2- 3.0- 261 0.4- 3.3- 262 0.4 3.0-

Honey Grove 610 609 0.2- 0.2- 604 0.8- 1.0- 594 1.7- 2.6- 581 2.2- 4.8- 570 1.9- 6.6-

Leonard 877 858 2.2- 2.2- 853 0.6- 2.7- 859 0.7 2.1- 838 2.4- 4.4- 822 1.9- 6.3-

Sam Rayburn 488 511 4.7 4.7 535 4.7 9.6 554 3.6 13.5 571 3.1 17.0 593 3.9 21.5

Savoy 288 296 2.8 2.8 303 2.4 5.2 331 9.2 14.9 373 12.7 29.5 408 9.4 41.7

Trenton 508 494 2.8- 2.8- 477 3.4- 6.1- 460 3.6- 9.4- 440 4.3- 13.4- 430 2.3- 15.4-

5,338 5,324 0.3- 0.3- 5,324 0.0 0.3- 5,351 0.5 0.2 5,366 0.3 0.5 5,398 0.6 1.1 Totals:


15

bakerc

Rectangle

District

2009-2010

BaseLine

2010-2011

Count

% Change Previous

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Year

2011-2012

Count

% Change Previous

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Year


Grayson

Bells 793 760 4.2- 4.2- 775 2.0 2.3- 783 1.0 1.3- 780 0.4- 1.6- 752 3.6- 5.2-

Collinsville 543 545 0.4 0.4 550 0.9 1.3 547 0.5- 0.7 521 4.8- 4.1- 535 2.7 1.5-

Denison 4,488 4,480 0.2- 0.2- 4,399 1.8- 2.0- 4,399 0.0 2.0- 4,408 0.2 1.8- 4,544 3.1 1.2

Gunter 771 792 2.7 2.7 832 5.1 7.9 804 3.4- 4.3 778 3.2- 0.9 797 2.4 3.4

Howe 976 999 2.4 2.4 1,023 2.4 4.8 1,006 1.7- 3.1 1,052 4.6 7.8 1,024 2.7- 4.9

Pottsboro 1,256 1,281 2.0 2.0 1,310 2.3 4.3 1,342 2.4 6.8 1,348 0.4 7.3 1,387 2.9 10.4

S & S Consolidate 843 822 2.5- 2.5- 821 0.1- 2.6- 830 1.1 1.5- 870 4.8 3.2 841 3.3- 0.2-

Sherman 6,680 6,755 1.1 1.1 6,876 1.8 2.9 6,895 0.3 3.2 7,113 3.2 6.5 7,163 0.7 7.2

Tioga 207 186 10.1- 10.1- 208 11.8 0.5 313 50.5 51.2 347 10.9 67.6 385 11.0 86.0

Tom Bean 793 788 0.6- 0.6- 769 2.4- 3.0- 743 3.4- 6.3- 719 3.2- 9.3- 686 4.6- 13.5-

Van Alstyne 1,355 1,353 0.1- 0.1- 1,296 4.2- 4.4- 1,298 0.2 4.2- 1,331 2.5 1.8- 1,399 5.1 3.2

Whitesboro 1,551 1,489 4.0- 4.0- 1,489 0.0 4.0- 1,507 1.2 2.8- 1,516 0.6 2.3- 1,573 3.8 1.4

Whitewright 770 776 0.8 0.8 758 2.3- 1.6- 778 2.6 1.0 795 2.2 3.2 775 2.5- 0.6

21,026 21,026 0.0 0.0 21,106 0.4 0.4 21,245 0.7 1.0 21,578 1.6 2.6 21,861 1.3 4.0 Totals:

* Tioga ISD projections include estimated data for 9th grade prior to 2012-2013.

16

District

2014-2015

BaseLine

2015-2016

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2016-2017

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2017-2018

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2018-2019

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2019-2020

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year


Grayson

Bells 752 749 0.4- 0.4- 748 0.1- 0.5- 741 0.9- 1.5- 733 1.1- 2.5- 725 1.1- 3.6-

Collinsville 535 522 2.4- 2.4- 523 0.2 2.2- 510 2.5- 4.7- 496 2.7- 7.3- 492 0.8- 8.0-

Denison 4544 4,645 2.2 2.2 4,730 1.8 4.1 4,874 3.0 7.3 5,017 2.9 10.4 5,172 3.1 13.8

Gunter 797 792 0.6- 0.6- 802 1.3 0.6 827 3.1 3.8 858 3.7 7.7 891 3.8 11.8

Howe 1024 1,067 4.2 4.2 1,089 2.1 6.3 1,134 4.1 10.7 1,176 3.7 14.8 1,213 3.1 18.5

Pottsboro 1387 1,405 1.3 1.3 1,424 1.4 2.7 1,423 0.1- 2.6 1,454 2.2 4.8 1,498 3.0 8.0

S & S Consolidate 841 862 2.5 2.5 884 2.6 5.1 924 4.5 9.9 960 3.9 14.1 993 3.4 18.1

Sherman 7163 7,313 2.1 2.1 7,457 2.0 4.1 7,636 2.4 6.6 7,834 2.6 9.4 8,057 2.8 12.5

Tioga 385 432 12.2 12.2 483 11.8 25.5 542 12.2 40.8 603 11.3 56.6 668 10.8 73.5

Tom Bean 686 666 2.9- 2.9- 657 1.4- 4.2- 642 2.3- 6.4- 622 3.1- 9.3- 613 1.4- 10.6-

Van Alstyne 1399 1,452 3.8 3.8 1,518 4.5 8.5 1,590 4.7 13.7 1,654 4.0 18.2 1,745 5.5 24.7

Whitesboro 1573 1,639 4.2 4.2 1,691 3.2 7.5 1,764 4.3 12.1 1,843 4.5 17.2 1,901 3.1 20.9

Whitewright 775 771 0.5- 0.5- 770 0.1- 0.6- 757 1.7- 2.3- 765 1.1 1.3- 765 0.0 1.3-

21,861 22,315 2.1 2.1 22,776 2.1 4.2 23,364 2.6 6.9 24,015 2.8 9.9 24,733 3.0 13.1 Totals:


17

District

2014-2015

BaseLine

2015-2016

Count

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% Change Baseline

Year

2016-2017

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year

2017-2018

Count

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% Change Baseline

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% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year

2019-2020

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year


Grayson

Bells 752 745 0.9- 0.9- 737 1.1- 2.0- 720 2.3- 4.3- 699 2.9- 7.0- 675 3.4- 10.2-

Collinsville 535 526 1.7- 1.7- 528 0.4 1.3- 512 3.0- 4.3- 491 4.1- 8.2- 478 2.6- 10.7-

Denison 4544 4,598 1.2 1.2 4,636 0.8 2.0 4,718 1.8 3.8 4,791 1.5 5.4 4,873 1.7 7.2

Gunter 797 807 1.3 1.3 837 3.7 5.0 879 5.0 10.3 925 5.2 16.1 977 5.6 22.6

Howe 1024 1,058 3.3 3.3 1,072 1.3 4.7 1,106 3.2 8.0 1,125 1.7 9.9 1,141 1.4 11.4

Pottsboro 1387 1,403 1.2 1.2 1,418 1.1 2.2 1,412 0.4- 1.8 1,433 1.5 3.3 1,462 2.0 5.4

S & S Consolidate 841 848 0.8 0.8 848 0.0 0.8 861 1.5 2.4 867 0.7 3.1 858 1.0- 2.0

Sherman 7163 7,251 1.2 1.2 7,309 0.8 2.0 7,368 0.8 2.9 7,422 0.7 3.6 7,471 0.7 4.3

Tioga 385 455 18.2 18.2 546 20.0 41.8 661 21.1 71.7 811 22.7 110.6 1,001 23.4 160.0

Tom Bean 686 660 3.8- 3.8- 643 2.6- 6.3- 618 3.9- 9.9- 586 5.2- 14.6- 559 4.6- 18.5-

Van Alstyne 1399 1,427 2.0 2.0 1,465 2.7 4.7 1,510 3.1 7.9 1,552 2.8 10.9 1,622 4.5 15.9

Whitesboro 1573 1,624 3.2 3.2 1,658 2.1 5.4 1,707 3.0 8.5 1,756 2.9 11.6 1,790 1.9 13.8

Whitewright 775 776 0.1 0.1 772 0.5- 0.4- 755 2.2- 2.6- 756 0.1 2.5- 746 1.3- 3.7-

21,861 22,178 1.5 1.5 22,469 1.3 2.8 22,827 1.6 4.4 23,214 1.7 6.2 23,653 1.9 8.2 Totals:


18

District

2009-2010

BaseLine

2010-2011

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2011-2012

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2012-2013

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2013-2014

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2014-2015

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year


Hunt

Bland 591 576 2.5- 2.5- 585 1.6 1.0- 617 5.5 4.4 599 2.9- 1.4 584 2.5- 1.2-

Boles 529 530 0.2 0.2 516 2.6- 2.5- 531 2.9 0.4 520 2.1- 1.7- 505 2.9- 4.5-

Caddo Mills 1,457 1,485 1.9 1.9 1,548 4.2 6.2 1,548 0.0 6.2 1,546 0.1- 6.1 1,593 3.0 9.3

Campbell 392 406 3.6 3.6 374 7.9- 4.6- 367 1.9- 6.4- 367 0.0 6.4- 377 2.7 3.8-

Celeste 511 484 5.3- 5.3- 464 4.1- 9.2- 474 2.2 7.2- 451 4.9- 11.7- 453 0.4 11.4-

Commerce 1,626 1,596 1.8- 1.8- 1,623 1.7 0.2- 1,570 3.3- 3.4- 1,503 4.3- 7.6- 1,554 3.4 4.4-

Greenville 4,956 4,837 2.4- 2.4- 4,744 1.9- 4.3- 4,660 1.8- 6.0- 4,804 3.1 3.1- 4,742 1.3- 4.3-

Lone Oak 925 871 5.8- 5.8- 937 7.6 1.3 931 0.6- 0.6 965 3.7 4.3 1,000 3.6 8.1

Quinlan 2,543 2,552 0.4 0.4 2,450 4.0- 3.7- 2,531 3.3 0.5- 2,588 2.3 1.8 2,542 1.8- 0.0

Wolfe City 627 635 1.3 1.3 596 6.1- 4.9- 612 2.7 2.4- 610 0.3- 2.7- 626 2.6 0.2-

14,157 13,972 1.3- 1.3- 13,837 1.0- 2.3- 13,841 0.0 2.2- 13,953 0.8 1.4- 13,976 0.2 1.3-Totals:

19

District

2014-2015

BaseLine

2015-2016

Count

% Change Previous

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Year

2016-2017

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year

2017-2018

Count

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% Change Baseline

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2018-2019

Count

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Year

% Change Baseline

Year

2019-2020

Count

% Change Previous

Year

% Change Baseline

Year


Hunt

Bland 584 577 1.2- 1.2- 578 0.2 1.0- 576 0.3- 1.4- 577 0.2 1.2- 574 0.5- 1.7-

Boles 505 502 0.6- 0.6- 489 2.6- 3.2- 482 1.4- 4.6- 479 0.6- 5.1- 479 0.0 5.1-

Caddo Mills 1593 1,646 3.3 3.3 1,698 3.2 6.6 1,728 1.8 8.5 1,782 3.1 11.9 1,840 3.3 15.5

Campbell 377 379 0.5 0.5 381 0.5 1.1 387 1.6 2.7 394 1.8 4.5 394 0.0 4.5

Celeste 453 442 2.4- 2.4- 440 0.5- 2.9- 441 0.2 2.6- 446 1.1 1.5- 446 0.0 1.5-

Commerce 1554 1,593 2.5 2.5 1,606 0.8 3.3 1,632 1.6 5.0 1,654 1.3 6.4 1,700 2.8 9.4

Greenville 4742 4,794 1.1 1.1 4,868 1.5 2.7 4,904 0.7 3.4 5,025 2.5 6.0 5,118 1.9 7.9

Lone Oak 1000 1,030 3.0 3.0 1,063 3.2 6.3 1,097 3.2 9.7 1,129 2.9 12.9 1,166 3.3 16.6

Quinlan 2542 2,550 0.3 0.3 2,550 0.0 0.3 2,554 0.2 0.5 2,574 0.8 1.3 2,626 2.0 3.3

Wolfe City 626 653 4.3 4.3 677 3.7 8.1 696 2.8 11.2 712 2.3 13.7 729 2.4 16.5

13,976 14,166 1.4 1.4 14,350 1.3 2.7 14,497 1.0 3.7 14,772 1.9 5.7 15,072 2.0 7.8 Totals:

20

District

2014-2015

BaseLine

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Count

% Change Previous

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Year

2016-2017

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2018-2019

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Hunt

Bland 584 590 1.0 1.0 600 1.7 2.7 605 0.8 3.6 612 1.2 4.8 609 0.5- 4.3

Boles 505 509 0.8 0.8 500 1.8- 1.0- 500 0.0 1.0- 502 0.4 0.6- 508 1.2 0.6

Caddo Mills 1593 1,646 3.3 3.3 1,693 2.9 6.3 1,715 1.3 7.7 1,757 2.4 10.3 1,799 2.4 12.9

Campbell 377 366 2.9- 2.9- 358 2.2- 5.0- 349 2.5- 7.4- 338 3.2- 10.3- 321 5.0- 14.9-

Celeste 453 442 2.4- 2.4- 438 0.9- 3.3- 441 0.7 2.6- 445 0.9 1.8- 440 1.1- 2.9-

Commerce 1554 1,585 2.0 2.0 1,577 0.5- 1.5 1,577 0.0 1.5 1,579 0.1 1.6 1,595 1.0 2.6

Greenville 4742 4,679 1.3- 1.3- 4,622 1.2- 2.5- 4,514 2.3- 4.8- 4,488 0.6- 5.4- 4,400 2.0- 7.2-

Lone Oak 1000 1,017 1.7 1.7 1,037 2.0 3.7 1,051 1.4 5.1 1,062 1.0 6.2 1,069 0.7 6.9

Quinlan 2542 2,560 0.7 0.7 2,577 0.7 1.4 2,611 1.3 2.7 2,685 2.8 5.6 2,795 4.1 10.0

Wolfe City 626 637 1.8 1.8 638 0.2 1.9 635 0.5- 1.4 630 0.8- 0.6 622 1.3- 0.6-

13,976 14,031 0.4 0.4 14,040 0.1 0.5 13,998 0.3- 0.2 14,098 0.7 0.9 14,158 0.4 1.3 Totals:

21

District

2009-2010

BaseLine

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Count

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2011-2012

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Kaufman

Crandall 2,774 2,841 2.4 2.4 2,945 3.7 6.2 3,034 3.0 9.4 3,167 4.4 14.2 3,297 4.1 18.9

Forney 7,797 8,070 3.5 3.5 8,229 2.0 5.5 8,540 3.8 9.5 8,633 1.1 10.7 8,995 4.2 15.4

Kaufman 3,716 3,747 0.8 0.8 3,817 1.9 2.7 3,756 1.6- 1.1 3,848 2.4 3.6 3,767 2.1- 1.4

Kemp 1,565 1,575 0.6 0.6 1,504 4.5- 3.9- 1,457 3.1- 6.9- 1,436 1.4- 8.2- 1,455 1.3 7.0-

Mabank 3,324 3,319 0.2- 0.2- 3,389 2.1 2.0 3,392 0.1 2.0 3,391 0.0 2.0 3,460 2.0 4.1

Scurry-Rosser 897 900 0.3 0.3 970 7.8 8.1 1,008 3.9 12.4 977 3.1- 8.9 1,005 2.9 12.0

Terrell 4,176 4,116 1.4- 1.4- 4,229 2.7 1.3 4,217 0.3- 1.0 4,192 0.6- 0.4 4,221 0.7 1.1

24,249 24,568 1.3 1.3 25,083 2.1 3.4 25,404 1.3 4.8 25,644 0.9 5.8 26,200 2.2 8.0 Totals:

22

District

2014-2015

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Kaufman

Crandall 3297 3,449 4.6 4.6 3,595 4.2 9.0 3,778 5.1 14.6 3,931 4.0 19.2 4,126 5.0 25.1

Forney 8995 9,231 2.6 2.6 9,537 3.3 6.0 9,822 3.0 9.2 10,108 2.9 12.4 10,418 3.1 15.8

Kaufman 3767 3,807 1.1 1.1 3,856 1.3 2.4 3,911 1.4 3.8 3,993 2.1 6.0 4,031 1.0 7.0

Kemp 1455 1,448 0.5- 0.5- 1,461 0.9 0.4 1,476 1.0 1.4 1,506 2.0 3.5 1,539 2.2 5.8

Mabank 3460 3,498 1.1 1.1 3,536 1.1 2.2 3,598 1.8 4.0 3,665 1.9 5.9 3,750 2.3 8.4

Scurry-Rosser 1005 1,004 0.1- 0.1- 1,001 0.3- 0.4- 1,004 0.3 0.1- 1,002 0.2- 0.3- 1,016 1.4 1.1

Terrell 4221 4,224 0.1 0.1 4,239 0.4 0.4 4,275 0.8 1.3 4,314 0.9 2.2 4,403 2.1 4.3

26,200 26,661 1.8 1.8 27,225 2.1 3.9 27,864 2.3 6.4 28,519 2.4 8.9 29,283 2.7 11.8 Totals:

23

District

2014-2015

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Kaufman

Crandall 3297 3,434 4.2 4.2 3,553 3.5 7.8 3,721 4.7 12.9 3,873 4.1 17.5 4,063 4.9 23.2

Forney 8995 9,174 2.0 2.0 9,394 2.4 4.4 9,594 2.1 6.7 9,799 2.1 8.9 10,020 2.3 11.4

Kaufman 3767 3,763 0.1- 0.1- 3,751 0.3- 0.4- 3,731 0.5- 1.0- 3,720 0.3- 1.2- 3,645 2.0- 3.2-

Kemp 1455 1,428 1.9- 1.9- 1,418 0.7- 2.5- 1,403 1.1- 3.6- 1,399 0.3- 3.8- 1,395 0.3- 4.1-

Mabank 3460 3,482 0.6 0.6 3,497 0.4 1.1 3,531 1.0 2.1 3,586 1.6 3.6 3,645 1.6 5.3

Scurry-Rosser 1005 1,030 2.5 2.5 1,054 2.3 4.9 1,079 2.4 7.4 1,103 2.2 9.8 1,145 3.8 13.9

Terrell 4221 4,223 0.0 0.0 4,235 0.3 0.3 4,254 0.4 0.8 4,284 0.7 1.5 4,352 1.6 3.1

26,200 26,534 1.3 1.3 26,902 1.4 2.7 27,313 1.5 4.2 27,764 1.7 6.0 28,265 1.8 7.9 Totals:

24

District

2009-2010

BaseLine

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Year


Rockwall

Rockwall 13,771 13,976 1.5 1.5 14,229 1.8 3.3 14,380 1.1 4.4 14,627 1.7 6.2 14,992 2.5 8.9

Royse City 4,420 4,555 3.1 3.1 4,629 1.6 4.7 4,816 4.0 9.0 5,003 3.9 13.2 5,070 1.3 14.7

18,191 18,531 1.9 1.9 18,858 1.8 3.7 19,196 1.8 5.5 19,630 2.3 7.9 20,062 2.2 10.3 Totals:

25

District

2014-2015

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Rockwall

Rockwall 14992 15,325 2.2 2.2 15,729 2.6 4.9 16,090 2.3 7.3 16,537 2.8 10.3 17,032 3.0 13.6

Royse City 5070 5,168 1.9 1.9 5,262 1.8 3.8 5,363 1.9 5.8 5,502 2.6 8.5 5,644 2.6 11.3

20,062 20,493 2.1 2.1 20,991 2.4 4.6 21,453 2.2 6.9 22,039 2.7 9.9 22,676 2.9 13.0 Totals:

26

District

2014-2015

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Rockwall

Rockwall 14992 15,230 1.6 1.6 15,489 1.7 3.3 15,639 1.0 4.3 15,823 1.2 5.5 15,971 0.9 6.5

Royse City 5070 5,163 1.8 1.8 5,236 1.4 3.3 5,285 0.9 4.2 5,336 1.0 5.2 5,378 0.8 6.1

20,062 20,393 1.6 1.6 20,725 1.6 3.3 20,924 1.0 4.3 21,159 1.1 5.5 21,349 0.9 6.4 Totals:

27

District

2009-2010

BaseLine

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VanZandt

Canton 1,985 2,011 1.3 1.3 2,016 0.2 1.6 2,069 2.6 4.2 2,065 0.2- 4.0 2,062 0.1- 3.9

Wills Point 2,675 2,618 2.1- 2.1- 2,551 2.6- 4.6- 2,523 1.1- 5.7- 2,456 2.7- 8.2- 2,431 1.0- 9.1-

4,660 4,629 0.7- 0.7- 4,567 1.3- 2.0- 4,592 0.5 1.5- 4,521 1.5- 3.0- 4,493 0.6- 3.6-Totals:

28

District

2014-2015

BaseLine

2015-2016

Count

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Year

2016-2017

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% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year

2017-2018

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2018-2019

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2019-2020

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VanZandt

Canton 2062 2,091 1.4 1.4 2,132 2.0 3.4 2,164 1.5 4.9 2,209 2.1 7.1 2,264 2.5 9.8

Wills Point 2431 2,423 0.3- 0.3- 2,449 1.1 0.7 2,469 0.8 1.6 2,496 1.1 2.7 2,530 1.4 4.1

4,493 4,514 0.5 0.5 4,581 1.5 2.0 4,633 1.1 3.1 4,705 1.6 4.7 4,794 1.9 6.7 Totals:

29

District

2014-2015

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2015-2016

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Year

2016-2017

Count

% Change Previous

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% Change Baseline

Year

2017-2018

Count

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% Change Baseline

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2018-2019

Count

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2019-2020

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% Change Previous

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Year


VanZandt

Canton 2062 2,091 1.4 1.4 2,125 1.6 3.1 2,141 0.8 3.8 2,151 0.5 4.3 2,165 0.7 5.0

Wills Point 2431 2,413 0.7- 0.7- 2,417 0.2 0.6- 2,404 0.5- 1.1- 2,377 1.1- 2.2- 2,362 0.6- 2.8-

4,493 4,504 0.2 0.2 4,542 0.8 1.1 4,545 0.1 1.2 4,528 0.4- 0.8 4,527 0.0 0.8 Totals:

30

annual report of student enrollment projections by county and … · 2016-12-16 · enrollment...

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