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Sustainability Report IV

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Annex IV: Sustainability Report

Annexes

Annexes

Sustainability Report IVObjective

1. TheobjectiveofthisreportistoassessthesustainabilityimplicationsofthePreferredDevelopmentOption1asrecommendedundertheStudyonHongKong2030:PlanningVisionandStrategy(HK2030Study)usingtheComputerAidedSustainabilityEvaluationTool(CASET).

Background

2. TheHK2030Study,transcendedfrompastterritorialplanningstudies,adoptsanapproachdifferentfromthepreviousstudies.ItisanimportantparttotheGovernment’scollaborativeefforttoachieveourvisionas“Asia’s world city”.Towardsthisvision,theStudyaimstoprovideaspatialplanningframeworktoguidefuturelanduseandprovisionofmajorinfrastructureinthenext20to30years.

3. Undertheoverarchinggoalforsustainable development,wehavesetoutthree broad directionsinpreparingourplanningstrategy:(a)providingaqualitylivingenvironment;(b)enhancingeconomiccompetitiveness;and(c)strengtheninglinkswiththeMainland.Thesedirectionsarebothcrosscuttingandinter-dependent.

4. TheHK2030Studyhasbeencarriedoutinfourstages.Weconsiderthat,beingahighlycompactcity,HongKong’sfuturespatialdevelopmentpatternshouldadopttheplanningconceptofclusteringthebulkofdevelopmentaroundmasstransitrailwaystationstofacilitatefastandmassmovementofpeopleinanenvironmentally-friendlymodeoftransport.Betterutilisationofdevelopmentopportunitiesintheexistingbuilt-upareaswhereinfrastructurecapacitiespermitwouldberecommended.Whilemassiveconstructionprogrammeslikethenewtownsofthe1970sto1990swillnotbeembarkedupon,newdevelopmentareas(NDAs)ofamoderatescaleinnorthernNewTerritoriesareproposedtoprovidelandforamixtureofusesincludinghousing,employment,highereducationandhigh-value-added/cleanindustrialprocesses.Thesewillbecomprehensivelyplannedtoprovideanalternativechoiceoflivingwhichemphasisesbothqualitylivingspaceandresident/userconvenience.

1 PreferredDevelopmentOption,undertheHK2030Study,concernsaboutthefuturespatialdevelopmentpattern,outliningwhere,whattypeandhowmuchdevelopmentwouldtakeplaceatdifferentplanninghorizons.Asummaryofthemajorassumptions,planningparametersanddevelopmentproposalsofthePreferredDevelopmentOptionisatAppendix 1.

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Approach

5. ApreliminarysustainabilityassessmentofdifferentinitialdevelopmentoptionsundertheReferenceScenario2wasundertakenduringStage3oftheStudyinNovember2003withaviewtocomparing,inbroad-brushterms,thesustainabilityoftheseinitialdevelopmentoptionsandscopingoutmajorissuesbasedonexistinginformationavailableforfurtherassessmentintheensuingstageofStudy.

6. Forthepurposeofthissustainabilityassessment,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionfortheHK2030Studyiscomparedwiththe“withoutscenario”situationin2030soastoascertaintheacceptabilityofsustainabilityimplicationsofthePreferredDevelopmentOptiontoberecommendedandidentifykeyissuesthatneedtobefurtherexaminedoraddressedduringtheimplementationstage.

7. Underthe“withoutscenario”situation,thepopulationandeconomicgrowthinHongKongisassumedtoincreaseinasimilarmagnitudewiththatoftheHK2030Study,exceptthatthelatterhasassumedahigherintakeoftalent/skilledworkersandinvestorsinthelong-termtobeinlinewiththevisionforgrowthtowardsaknowledge-basedeconomy.Forthisreason,wehaveassumedcertaindegreeofgrowthanddevelopmentevenunderthe“withoutscenario”scenarioandhencetherewillalsobeprovisionofkeyinfrastructure,roadsandrailprojectsaswellasgrowthinvariouseconomicsectorsandfurtherexpansionintheurbandistrictsandintheNewTerritoriestocopewiththedevelopmentpressureandneedsofthesociety.

8. ThedifferencesbetweenthePreferredDevelopmentOptionandthe“withoutscenario”situationinclude,interalia,developmentoffurthercontainerterminalfacilitieseitheratNorthwestLantau(NWLantau)orSouthwestTsingYi(SWTsingYi),NDAsatnorthernNewTerritoriestoaccommodateadditionalpopulation,provisionofnewemploymentnode,highereducationfacilitiesaswellasspecialindustrialuse,andthestrategic

2 UndertheHK2030Study,theReferenceScenariohasbeensetoutaswhatweenvisagethefuturewillbelikebasedonthebroadtrendsandvisiontarget,andbytakingintoaccountexistingpoliciesandknowncommitments.ThekeyassumptionsandconsiderationsusedinderivingtheReferenceScenarioincludepopulation,employment,landrequirementsforvarioustypesofusesuchashousing,economic,transportandkeyinfrastructures.BasedontheresultsandrecommendationsoftheSEAandotherdetailedassessments,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionfortheHK2030StudywillthenbeformulatedinStage4.

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Sustainability Report IVroadlinksandrailwaynetworkassociatedwiththesenewdevelopmentproposals.CommitteddevelopmentproposalandinfrastructureprojectslikeKaiTakPlanningReview,HarbourAreaTreatmentScheme(HATS)Stages2AandB(astrategicsewerageinfrastructureimprovementschemetoimprovetheoverallwaterqualityoftheVictoriaHarbour)havebeenassumedunderallthescenarios.Asummaryofthemajorassumptions,planningparametersanddevelopmentproposalsofthePreferredDevelopmentOptionisatAppendix 1.

9. InviewofthestrategicnatureoftheHK2030Study,manyofthedevelopmentproposalsarebroadlyconceptualandwillbesubjecttofurtherdetailedassessmentsorstudiesbeforeproceedingtotheimplementationstage.Inthisregard,thesustainabilityassessmentconductedatthisstageisgenerallyaqualitativeone,withinputofinformationfromotherdetailedassessmentslikestrategictransportmodelling,economicandfinancialassessmentsaswellasstrategicenvironmentalassessment(SEA),whereappropriate,forquantitativeanalysis.

Scenarios Considered

10. Twoscenarioshavebeenassessedthroughoutthesustainabilityassessment:

“WithoutScenario”: BaselinesituationofHongKongin2030.

Scenario1a: Situationin2030withpossiblenewcontainerterminaldevelopmentatNW Lantauandtheimplementationofthemajordevelopmentproposalsassetoutinparas.7to8andAppendix 1.

Scenario1b: Situationin2030withpossiblenewcontainerterminaldevelopmentatSW Tsing Yiandtheimplementationofthemajordevelopmentproposalsassetoutinparas.7to8andAppendix 1.

11. SinceScenarios1aand1bonlydifferfromeachotheronthepossiblelocationofthefuturecontainerterminal,theywillbecomparedwiththe“withoutscenario”situationaltogetherinthefollowingparagraphs.Findingsonthedifferencebetweenthesetwoscenarioswillbehighlightedinthetext,whereappropriate.

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Assumptions Made

12. ThefollowingassumptionsweremadeundertheHK2030Studyfortheassessment:

(a) Populationwillincreaseupto7.2millionby2010,7.8millionby2020and8.4millionby2030.

(b) GDPgrowthratesperannumareassumedtobe4%(between2005and2010),3.5%(between2011and2020)and3%(between2021and2030)respectively.

(c) PendingcompletionoftheEcological,FisheriesandWaterQualityImpactAssessmentStudyfortheproposedcontainerterminaldevelopmentatNWLantau,bothpossiblecontainerterminallocationsinNWLantauandSWTsingYihavebeentakenintoaccountintheStudy.

(d) Cross-boundaryinteractionswillbeimprovedthroughthecompletionofnewcross-boundarylinksincludingtheHongKong-ShenzhenWesternCorridor(SWC),HongKong-Zhuhai-MacaoBridge(HZMB),Guangzhou-Shenzhen-HongKongExpressRailLink(ERL).Anothercross-boundarylinkatLiantang/HeungYuenWaihasbeenproposedforfurtherstudiesanditsdetailshasnotbeentakenintoaccountinthecurrentReferenceScenario.

(e) Agradualchangefromcoaltogaspowergeneration,supplementedbyenvironmentallysustainablesourcesofenergyhasbeenassumed.

(f) Expenditureoninfrastructuralfacilitieswillbeincreasedforsupportingthenewdevelopmentsintheterritory.

(g) PossibleroadandrailinfrastructuresaregenerallybasedontheThirdComprehensiveTransportStudy,theSecondRailwayDevelopmentStudyandthelatestNWNTTrafficandInfrastructureReview.MajortransportinfrastructuresassumedtotakeplaceundertheStudyarelistedinAppendix 1.

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Sustainability Report IVAffected Indicators

13. Afterrespondingtotheprescribedquestions,32indicatorshavebeenconfirmedas“affectedindicators”and10indicatorsarefoundtobelessaffectedunderScenario1a(Appendix 4).Thesame32indicatorsarefoundaffectedunderScenario1bbeingassessed.

Economy

14. Affectedindicators:Cost-Benefit,FixedCapital,PrivateRentandUnemploymentRate

(a) Theassessmentindicatedsmallimprovementtothecost-benefitandunemploymentrateandmoderateimprovementtothefixedcapitalandprivaterent.

(b) TheeconomicandfinancialassessmentsconductedinStage4re-affirmedthat,overallspeaking,thefinancialcostoftheproposedinfrastructuraldevelopmenttotheGovernmentcan,inbroadterms,becoveredbytherevenuereturnsubjecttofurtherdetailedassessment.DevelopmentoftheNDAsinthenorthernNewTerritoriesmightbringaboutsomeeconomiccostforusingtherurallandresource.Withrespecttothefuturecontainerterminaldevelopment,theanalysisconcludedthatbothpossiblelocations,i.e.NWLantauandSWTsingYi,havetheirbenefitsgiventheircloseproximitytotheproposedHZMBandtheexistingcontainerterminalsinKwaiTsingDistrictrespectively.

(c) Overallspeaking,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionwouldenhanceHongKong’seconomiccompetitivenessthroughtheprovisionofadequatelandforCBDGradeAoffices,generalbusinessuse,specialindustrialuse,NDAsdevelopment,strategictransportnetworkandanewcontainerterminal.Also,theHKIA2025recentlyannouncedbytheAirportAuthorityHongKong,hassuggestedthatstudiesonthefeasibilityoftheconstructionofathirdrunwaywillbeconducted.

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(d) Althoughthereisnoquantitativedataonthenumberofjobplacestobecreatedduringtheconstructionandoperationstagesoftheproposeddevelopments,nodoubtitwillhelpreducetheunemploymentrateofHongKonginthemediumtolong-termwhentheyarecommenced.Moreover,theStudyhasassumedahigherintakeoftalentandskilledworkersafter2021inordertofilltheshortageintheworkingpopulationagainstprojectedemployment.

(e) Withtheproposeddevelopments,itisexpectedthatprivaterentwillstabiliseinthelongrunasaresultofadequatehousingsupplyinthemarketwiththeNDAsdevelopment,furtherdevelopmentofnewtownsandurbanrenewalprojectstomeetlong-termhousingneeds.

Health and Hygiene

15. Affectedindicators:CommunicableDiseasesandRespiratoryDiseases

(a) Theassessmenthasrevealedslightimprovementtotheindicatorsoncommunicableandrespiratorydiseases.

(b) Theadoptionofarail-baseddevelopmentapproachforthefutureNDAs,togetherwithotherenvironmentallyfriendlymodesoftransport,isexpectedtoinducereductioninvehicularemissionsinthemediumtolong-term.AccordingtotheresultsoftheSEAundertakenfortheStudy,theairqualitymodellingindicatesgeneralimprovementsin2030withtheimplementationofthecommittedcontrolmeasures.However,theconcentrationofsomeairpollutantsinsomeareaswouldworsen.Thesechanges,coupledwithpositivedesignintransportinfrastructure(suchasplacingstrategicroadundergroundorsubmergedandminimizingthroughtrafficinresidentialneighbourhoods),advancementoftechnologies(likeswitchingtoEuroIVorVemissionstandardsinfutureyears)couldhelpimprovetheairqualityandhencereducerespiratorydiseases.

(c) Regardingtheindicatorofcommunicablediseases,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionadvocatesthedevelopmentoflowtomedium-densityNDAstoprovidemorechoicesoflivingtopeople,whichwillalsohelpthinningoutthecongestedurbanenvironment.Theurbanenvironmentwillbefurtherimprovedthroughurbanrenewal

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Sustainability Report IVprojectsaswellasvariouspedestrianplansandareaimprovementplansinselectiveurbandistricts.Thelesscongestedandwell-vegetatedenvironmentwillhelpreducethepopulationsusceptibletothesehealththreats.

Natural Resources

16. Affectedindicators:ConstructionWasteandEnergyConsumption

(a) ThereismoderatedeteriorationintheconstructionwasteindicatorparticularlyunderScenario1a,wherereclamationandconstructionofadditionalroadlinkstoconnectthe‘artificialisland’withexistingtransportnetwork(thoughcontainerterminaldevelopmentcouldalsobeviewedasavaluabledepositoryforsurplusconstructionanddemolitionmaterials)willgeneratealotofwasteduringconstruction.ThedeliveryofinertC&DmaterialsforbeneficialreuseinMainlandreclamationprojectsmayneedtocontinueiflocalpublicfilloutletsremaininsufficient.

(b) MSWgenerationislikelytohavestabilisedorbeguntodecrease.However,aspointedoutintheHK2030SEA,theoperationofthenewcontainerterminalatNWLantau,ifselected,willinvolvesignificantmaintenancedredging,whichwillcausesignificantimpactstothelimitedcapacityofthemuddisposalareas.Thismayresultintheneedtofurtherextend/replacetheexistingmuddisposalareas.Ontheotherhand,thereisalsoaneedtohandlethecontaminatedmudatSWTsingYi,shouldthefuturecontainerterminalbelocatedhere(Scenario1b).ThesitefortheproposedLokMaChauLoop,whichwaspreviouslybeingusedasadumpingsiteforsoftsediment(ofwhichaboutonemillionm3couldbecontaminated),alsorequiresfurtherstudied.

(c) Increaseinpopulationandeconomicactivitiesmayinducecorrespondingincreaseintheconsumptionofenergy.However,theHK2030SEAconcludedthattherearemany‘cleanenergy’sourcesdevelopedorbeingdeveloped,e.g.theuseofdistrictcoolingsystem,windorsolarenergy.Thesuccessfulintroductionofthese‘clean’or‘freeofcharge’energyinfuturewillhelpreduceourenergyconsumptioninthelong-term.Moreover,giventhatarail-based

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approachhasbeenrecommendedinthedevelopmentofNDAsundertheStudy,itisconsideredthattherewillbeimprovementstothisindicatorinthelongrunasNDAdwellersareexpectedtorelymainlyonthismodeofpublictransportinconnectingtheurbanareas.Theconstructionofmajorroadsandportinfrastructureswillalsohelpimprovetheenergyefficiencyaspectasboththepeopleandgoodscouldbemovedinashorterandfastermannerwhichwillbebeneficialtosavetheenergyconsumed.TheimpactsofNDAsdevelopment(whichmaybelessenergyefficientduetolongertraveldistance)andurbanrenewalprojects(resultinginmorepeoplemovingoutfromthecongestedcitycentre)mayhavebeenoffsetinviewofthelongplanninghorizonofthisstrategicstudy.

Society and Social Infrastructure

17. Affectedindicators:EducationAttainment,EducationExpenditure,HousingInadequacy,HousingWaitingList,LivingSpaceandOpenSpaceShortfall

(a) Theassessmenthasrevealedmoderateimprovementstotheindicatorsonhousinginadequacyandhousingwaitinglistwhilstsmallimprovementtothelivingspaceindicator.

(b) ThePreferredDevelopmentOptionwillsetforthstrategytoprovideadequatelandforhousingdevelopmentfortheincreasedpopulation.Intheperiodbetween2003and2030,atotalrequirementofabout924,000units(averaging34,000peryear)hasbeenassumed.ThroughthedevelopmentoftheNDAs,furtherdevelopmentofnewtownsandurbanrenewalprojects,itwillprovidesufficientprivateandpublichousingunitstomeetfutureneedsandhencehelpshortenthewaitinglistandaddressthehousinginadequacyinHongKong.

(c) Ontheotherhand,oneofthebroadplanningdirectionsoftheStudyistoprovideabetterqualitylivingenvironmentthroughbetterurbandesign,implementationofvariouspedestrianplansandareaimprovementplansinselectiveurbandistrictsaswellastheprovisionof‘quality’openspacetopeople.Bothscenarioshavesimilarperformanceinthisrespect(smalltomoderateimprovementtotheindicatorsonlivingspaceandopenspaceshortfall).

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Sustainability Report IV(d) Theindicatorsoneducationattainmentandexpenditureareexpected

toimproveslightlyunderbothscenariosastheproposedNDAswouldreservelandfordevelopmentofadditionalhighereducationfacilities.

Biodiversity

18. Affectedindicators:ManagedMarineHabitat,ManagedTerrestrialHabitat,MarineEco-valueandTerrestrialEco-value

(a) AccordingtothefindingsoftheHK2030SEA,bothcontainerterminaloptionswouldhavenegativeimpactsontheindicatorsonmarineandterrestrialeco-values,inparticulartheNWLantaucontainerterminaloption.Comparativelyspeaking,the“withoutscenario”situationperformsslightlybetterthanScenarios1aand1bonthesetwoindicators.

(b) TheSEAfindingsre-affirmedthatthedeterminingfactorofthemarineeco-valueindicatoristhelocationofthefuturecontainerterminal.ThepossibleNWLantaucontainerterminalislocatedincloseproximitytoanecologicallysensitivearea.Thenewcontainerterminal,ifselectedtobelocatedinNWLantau,willdisturbthehabitatoftheinternationallyprotectedChineseWhiteDolphinaswellasthedesignatedMarineParkatShaChauandLungKwuChauandapotentialMarineParkinSouthwestLantau(FanLau).Conversely,theenvironmentalperformanceofTsingYicontainerterminaloptionwillbesimilartothe“withoutscenario”,i.e.aslightimprovementtotheindicatorwhentheproposedHATSStage2A(targetedforcompletionin2013)andStage2B(subjecttotheresultsofreviewtobecarriedoutin2010/11)aswellasotherseweragemasterplansareimplementedinfuture.

(c) Theassessmentindicatedthattheremaybemoderatenegativeecologicalimpactstotheindicatoronterrestrialeco-value,particularlytheproposeddevelopmentatLokMaChauLoopforspecialeconomicuse,whichislocatedincloseproximitytotheMaiPoRamsarsiteandissurroundedbycontiguousfishpondswithhighecologicalvalue.ThesiteisinvicinityoftheWetlandConservationAreaandhenceitspotentialecologicalimpactwouldneedtobecarefullyassessedbeforeproceedingtotheimplementationstage.

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(d) Ontheotherhand,itisfoundthatbothScenarios1aand1bwillperformslightlybetterthanthe“withoutscenario”totheindicatorsonmanagedmarinehabitatandmanagedterrestrialhabitat.Thisismainlybecausethoseareaswhichareofecologicalimportance,suchasRamsarsite,SitesofSpecialScientificInterest,WetlandConservationAreaandBufferArea,CountryandMarineParks,etc.havebeendefinedasoneofthe“no-go”areasundertheHK2030Studyandwillnotbeconsideredasasourceofsupplyinmeetingthelandrequirementofvarioususesatastrategicplanninglevel.

(e) Inconclusion,theHK2030SEAproposedfurtherstudiesbeconductedtounderstandingreaterdetailtheimpactsandsignificanceofpotentialhabitatlossordegradation.Whilst,alltheproposedmajordevelopmentswillbesubjecttodetailedEIAstudiesatthedetailedplanningstage.

Leisure and Cultural Vibrancy

19. Affectedindicators:ArchaeologicalSites,HistoricalSites,SignificantLandscapeFeatures(Area)andSignificantLandscapeFeatures(Point)

(a) GiventheHK2030Studyisconductedatastrategiclevel,itwouldnotbepracticalnorpossibleforthePreferredDevelopmentOptiontosaythatithasbeendrawnuptoavoidpotentialimpactstoallarchaeologicalandhistoricalsites.Forthisreasonandontheunderstandingthatbotharchaeologicalsites,andhistoricalandculturalsitesofconservationvaluehavebeendefinedas“no-go”areasundertheStudy,theassessmentconcludedthatthescenarioswillhaveaveryslightdeteriorationtotheindicatorsonarchaeologicalandhistoricalsites.Nevertheless,considerationwouldbegiventoprotectthesesitesandrecommendnecessarymitigationmeasuresduringthedetailedplanningstageatdistrictplanninglevel.AnotherexampleisthatduringthearchaeologicalsurveycarriedoutfortheSWC,NgauHomShekBeachSitehasbeenidentifiedasasiteofculturalheritageandarescuedexcavationhasbeencarriedoutbeforecommencementofwork.Performanceofthe“withoutscenario”situationwouldbeslightlybetterthanScenarios1aand1bbutnoremarkableimprovementtothesetwoindicatorsisanticipatedunlesstherearechangestotheconservationpolicyinfuture.

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Sustainability Report IV(b) Theassessmentrevealedthattherewillbesmalldeteriorationtothe

indicatorsonsignificantlandscapefeatures(area)andsignificantlandscapefeatures(point)mainlyinconsiderationofthefuturecontainerterminaldevelopmentateitherLantauorTsingYi,NDAsdevelopmentatnorthernNewTerritories,furtherdevelopmentofnewtownsaswellastheassociatedstrategicroads,railwaysandkeyinfrastructuretocopewiththegrowthinpopulationandincreaseineconomicactivities.AccordingtotheSEAfindings,developmentofNWLantaucontainerterminal,ifselected,mayaffecttheopenseascapesaswellasthenaturalcoastlineanduplandofLantauIsland,whichisverysensitivetochangeandmaybedifficulttomitigatethevisualimpacts.Also,developmentoftheNDAsintheNewTerritoriesmayresultinimpactstothenaturallandscapes,whichmaynotbeeasilyreplenishedoncedamaged.Assuch,specialattentionneedstobemadeatthedetailedplanningstage.The“withoutscenario”situation,comparingwithScenarios1aand1b,isexpectedtoperformbetterinviewofnoNDAsdevelopmenthasbeenassumed.

Environmental Quality

20. Affectedindicators:BeachWaterQuality,CarbonDioxideEmittedPerYear,CriteriaAirPollutants,ExcessiveNoise,MarineWaterQuality,RiverWaterQualityandToxicAirPollutants

(a) Asawhole,alltheindicatorstriggeredarefoundtohavegeneralimprovementsunderbothscenarioswiththeimplementationofthecommittedcontrolmeasures.However,theconcentrationofsomeairpollutantsinsomeareaswouldworsen.Theassessmentgenerallyechoeswiththefindingsofthepreliminarysustainabilityassessmentconductedin2003.

(b) Onmarinewaterquality,theHK2030SEAconcludedthattherewillbeanoverallimprovementinthewaterqualitywithinHKSARinthemediumtolong-termmainlybecauseoftheimplementationoftheHATSandvariousseweragemasterplans.Stage2AoftheHATSisanticipatedtobecompletedin2013whereastheimplementationofitsStage2Bwillbesubjecttoareviewtobecarriedoutin2010/11.UponfullimplementationoftheHATS,waterqualityinthe

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VictoriaHarbourWaterControlZone(WCZ)isexpectedtoimprovesignificantly.

(c) TheSEAfindingsalsopointedoutthatlarge-scaleconstruction/reclamationworkforportfacilitiesmayhavesignificantimpactstothewaterflowpatterns.Duringtheconstructionstage,theSWTsingYioptionwouldleadtoelevatedSuspendedSolid(SS)levelsintheWesternBufferWCZandhenceadverselyaffectthedispersionofthepollutiondischargedfromtheStonecuttersIslandSewageTreatmentWorks(STW).Ontheotherhand,theNWLantauoptionwouldleadtoelevatedSSlevelsinNorthWesternWCZ,resultingfromthedredgingandfillingforthereclamationprogramme.Moreover,thephysicalpresenceofthenewcontainerterminalwouldhavepotentialdisruptiontotheexistingsewageoutfallofTaiOSTWandreprovisioningofitsoutfallwouldberequired.

(d) CompletionoftheHATSandplannedseweragemasterplanswouldbringaboutmoderateimprovementtothebeachwaterqualityasaresultoftheprovisionofdisinfectionfacilitiesattheStonecuttersIslandSTW,whichwillgreatlyreducetheproportionofbacteriallevelinVictoriaHarbourWCZandWesternBufferWCZ.Theresultisthepossiblere-openingofthebathingbeachesintheTsuenWanareawithinthestudytimeframeof2010.

(e) Nevertheless,theSEAalsopointedoutthatwithimplementationoftheseproposals,thebackgroundwaterpollutionlevelfromPearlRiverandShenzhencatchmentswillbemoreinfluentialtoHongKonginthefuture.

(f) Majorsourcesofcriteriaairpollutantsandtoxicairpollutantswouldbemotorvehicleandpowerplants.Infuture,theHK2030SEAidentifiedthatthemostimportantcontributortoHongKong’sairpollutionin2030willbefrompowergeneration3.Thecontributionofthemarineemissionsin2030isexpectedtoincrease.Theairqualitymodellingresultsalsorevealedthatthereislikelytobegeneralimprovementsintheairqualityin2030withtheimplementationofthecommittedcontrol

3 BasedontheairqualitymodellingfindingsoftheSEA,73%ofSO2,36%ofPM10and40%ofNOXisduetopowergeneration,whilst36%ofNOXisduetomarinevesseltrafficcomparedtoa12%contributionofNOXfromroadbasedvehicles.

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Sustainability Report IVmeasures.However,theconcentrationofsomeairpollutantsinsomeareaswouldworsen.Theimprovementinairqualityismainlyduetotheadoptionofarail-baseddevelopmentapproachfortheNDAsandtheuseofenvironmentallyfriendlymodesoftransport,technologicaladvancement(e.g.possibleintroductionofEuroVemissionstandards,useofwindandsolarenergy,etc.)andmorecross-boundarycooperationonenvironmentalmattersareexpectedinthecomingyears.

(g) Theassessmentindicatedasmallimprovementtotheindictoronexcessivenoiseunderbothscenarios.Therewillbeanimprovementtotheoverallnoiseenvironmentinthefuture,especiallyintheexistingindustrialandresidentialinterfaceareasinviewofthedecreaseinindustrialactivitiesandcontinuedeconomictransformationinHongKong,despitethefactthattrafficvolumemayincreasewiththegrowthintotalpopulationinHongKong.Accordingtotheroadtrafficnoisemodellingresults,therewillbeadecreaseinproportionoftotalpopulationsusceptibletoexcessivenoise4.Withaviewtoidentifyingproblematicareastoreducepotentialroadtrafficnoiseimpacts,preliminarynoiseassessmenthasbeencarriedoutfortheNDAsbeforethePreferredDevelopmentOptionisfinalized.Besides,itisalsoanticipatedthatwiththedevelopmentonquietconstructionmethod/equipmentaswellastheadoptionofarail-basedapproachanduseofenvironmentallyfriendlymodesoftransportinthemediumtolong-term,thenoiseimpactscouldbecontrolledtoanacceptablelevel.

(h) Ontheriverwaterqualityindicator,theproposedNDAsandconstructionoftheassociatedroadandrailwayprojectsmayinevitablyaffectriverwaterqualitybothduringconstructionandoperationstages.Thiscouldbemitigatedtosomeextentwiththeprovisionofsewerageinfrastructure.Nevertheless,itissuggestedthattheextentofimpactsshouldbeexaminedfurtheratthedetailedplanningstage.

4 ResultsoftheSEArevealedthatthetotalpopulationexposedtoaroadtrafficnoiselevelof>70dB(A)L10(1hour)willbeatabout1.4millionin2030,or17%ofthetotalpopulation.

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Mobility

21. Affectedindicators:FreightCosts,TravelDistanceandTravelSpeed

(a) Theassessmenthassmalltomoderateimprovementtotheindicatorsonfreightcosts,traveldistanceandtravelspeed,andtheresultisinlinewiththatofthepreliminaryassessmentconductedin2003.

(b) Withthecompletionofthenewcross-boundarytransportinfrastructurelikeSWC,HZMBandERL,itwillgreatlyimprovetheaccessibilitybetweenHongKongandtheMainland,inparticulartheconnectionbetweenourportandairportwiththePRDregion.Itisanticipatedthattherewillbeageneralreductionoffreightcosts.Inconsiderationofthepossiblecontainerterminallocations,theNWLantauwouldhavetheadvantageoflocatingclosetotheHZMB,whilsttheSWTsingYisitewillbenefitfromthecomparativelylowerinter-terminalcost.

(c) Comparingwiththecurrentsituation,theStrategicTransportAssessmentresultsindicatedthatthetraveldistancerequiredtoworkandschoolisexpectedtoimproveveryslightlyinfutureyearsthoughmorepopulationwouldbeaccommodatedinNDAsinthenorthernNewTerritories.Withtheproposedtransportroadlinksandrailwayprojectsimplemented,itisconsideredthatthestrategiccorridorswouldbeabletocopewiththedemands.Nevertheless,localtrafficproblemswouldneedtobedealtwithseparatelyatthedetailedplanningstage.

(d) Ontheindicatoroftravelspeed,theStrategicTransportAssessmentrevealedthattheaveragevehiculartravelspeedisexpectedtomaintainorimproveveryslightlyinfutureyearswiththeimplementationoftheplannedcross-boundaryanddomestictransportinfrastructureaswellasotherplanningstrategiestomeetfutureneedsofpopulationgrowthandincreaseineconomicactivities,e.g.adoptionofarail-basedapproachindevelopingtheNDAs.NewcontainerterminalatNWLantau,ifselected,willalsoresultinanimprovementtocargovehiclemovementintheurbanarea.

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Sustainability Report IVOther Major Considerations:Non-quantifiable indicators

22. Apartfromtheabove,thefollowingnon-quantifiableindicatorsshouldbetakenintoaccount:

(a) ThePreferredDevelopmentOptionfortheHK2030StudyisformulatedbasedonourvisiontodevelopHongKongasthe“Asia’sworldcity”.Ithastakenintoaccounttherequirementforprovisionofadequatelandtomeetthefutureneedsforpopulationandeconomicgrowth,housing,employment,developmentofanewcontainerterminal(withlocationateitherNWLantauorSWTsingYi)andotherstrategicinfrastructure.IndevisingthePreferredDevelopmentOption,weneedtoensurethatthedevelopmentstrategiesformulatedundertheStudycouldberealizedinasustainablemannerandwouldbeconducivetoenhancethequalityofourlivingenvironment.

(b) Inlinewiththepreliminarysustainabilityassessmentconductedin2003,thePreferredDevelopmentOption,apartfromsettingstrategytomeetlong-termhousingneeds,assumesthatexistingurbansiteswouldbedevelopedfirst.Asaresult,existingandplannedinfrastructurecouldbebetterutilizedandthecostofdevelopingNDAscouldalsobespreadouttoalongertimeframe.SuchanapproachisalsoinharmonywiththeGovernment’sFirstSustainableDevelopmentStrategyannouncedin2005,whichemphasizestheimportancetospeedupimprovementstotheolderurbanareaenvironment.

(c) ThePreferredDevelopmentOptionwouldenhanceHongKong’soverallurbanlandscapethroughthinningoutofpopulationfromthecongestedurbandistricts,urbanrenewalprojects,KaiTakPlanningReviewandanumberofareaimprovementschemes.Thiswillhelpfosterasenseofplaceamongstthecitizens,providepeoplewithagreenerandcleanerenvironmentaswellasanimprovedaestheticalvaluebothintermsofthecityscapesandurbanlayout,whichwillinturnresultinimprovementstothesocial,psychologicalandbehavioraldimensionsofthecommunityandhelpachieveourvisionofprovidingpeoplewithaqualitylivingenvironment.

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(d) Ontheotherhand,accordingtothefindingsoftheHK2030SEA,thekeylandscape(andvisual)impactsrelatingtothePreferredDevelopmentOption(underbothScenarios1aand1b)willbethatassociatedwiththefundamentalchangeinlandscapecharacterresultingfromtheNDAsdevelopmentinthenorthernNewTerritories.TheSEA,bymakingreferencetothe“LandscapeCharacterMapofHongKong”publishedbythePlanningDepartment,concludedthatitwillbeimpossibletomitigatetheimpactsresultingfromtransformationfromlargelyrurallandscapestomedium-tohigh-riseurbanenvironment.Tominimizethepossiblelandscapeandvisualimpactsonthesurroundingarea,thelayoutfortheNDAswillbedrawncarefullyandmitigationmeasuressuchaslandscapeplantingandsteppedbuildingheightswouldberecommendedatthedetailedplanningstage.

DevelopmentofthefuturecontainerterminalatNWLantau,ifselected,willresultinmoresignificantlyadverselandscapeimpactsthanSWTsingYicontainerterminaloptionastheexistinglandscapecharacterofNWLantauisremoteandexposed,characterizedbyopenseascapes(punctuatedbymarinevessels)aswellasnaturalcoastlineanduplandsofLantauIsland.Thisarea,accordingtotheHK2030SEA,isverysensitivetochangeanditwillbeimpossibletomitigatethevisualimpactsoftheportfacilitiesontourists,hikersandpleasurecrafts.

(e) Withrespecttotheurbandesignaspect,thePreferredDevelopmentOptionaimsatprovidingbetterqualitylivingenvironmenttopeoplethroughtheprovisionofpedestrianfriendlyenvironment,improvedopenspacenetworkaswellasbetteraccessforthedisabledandelderly.ThesearewitnessedintheimplementationofNDAsdevelopment,urbanrenewalprojects,theon-goingareaimprovementschemesandpedestrianplansinvariousurbandistricts.Again,thisalsoechoeswiththeGovernment’srecentlyannouncedFirstSustainableDevelopmentStrategy,whichrecommended,interalia,theneedtopromotesustainableurbanplanninganddesignpracticesthatwillensureHongKongtobecomeanattractiveandenjoyableplaceinwhichtoliveandwork.

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Sustainability Report IV(f) ThePreferredDevelopmentOptionformulatedundertheStudyis

preparedwithreferencetotheGovernment’slatestpolicyinitiativesandtheresultsofvariousdetailedimpactassessmentsaswellastheviews/commentsofthecommunityobtainedduringthestudyprocess.Togaugetheviewsofthepublic,atotalofthreeroundsofconsultationhadbeenconductedin2001,2002and2003respectively.TosolicittheviewsoftheMainlandauthorities,inparticulartheirviewsandcooperationonthetopicofstrengtheninglinkswiththeMainland,theStudyTeam,duringStage3PublicConsultation,visitedvariousplanningbureaux/authoritiesinthePRDregionandMacao.Inthelightoftheabove,thepublicacceptabilityofthePreferredDevelopmentOptionformulatedundertheStudymightbepositive.AsummaryofcommentsreceivedinthepreviousthreestagesofpublicconsultationisatAppendix 3.

Analysis and Evaluation

23. TheSustainabilityAssessmentdiagramisatAppendix 2.

24. Itisnotedthatbothscenarios1aand1b,i.e.withpossiblecontainerterminallocationsatNWLantauorSWTsingYi,willbringaboutimprovementtotheEconomy,HealthandHygiene,SocietyandSocialInfrastructure,andEnvironmentalQuality,buthaveadverseeffectsonsomeoftheindicatorsunderBiodiversityandLeisureandCulturalVibrancy.Incomparison,scenario1b(SWTsingYicontainerterminaloption)willbringaboutlesserenvironmentalimpactsthanscenario1a(NWLantaucontainerterminaloption).

Major Cross-sectional Issues

25. Thefindingsofthepreliminarysustainabilityassessmentconductedin2003isgenerallyapplicabletotheassessment.Inbrief,itisrevealedthattheenvironmentalimpactsaremainlycausedbydevelopmentoftransportationinfrastructureandportfacilitiesaswellasNDAsatthenorthernNewTerritories.PendingthecompletionoftheEcological,FisheriesandWaterQualityImpactAssessmentStudyfortheproposedcontainerterminaldevelopmentatNWLantau,wewillhaveamorein-depthandthoroughunderstandingofthelikelyimpactsofthetwopossiblecontainerterminallocations.Withrespecttotheimpactsofothermajordevelopment

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IV Sustainability Report

proposals,theyhavebeenassessedandevaluatedinbroadtermsundertheHK2030SEAand/orthedetailedtechnicalassessmentsbeforethePreferredDevelopmentOptionisfinalized.Furtherstudies/assessmentswouldbecarriedoutatthedetailedplanningstage.

26. AsstrengtheninglinkswiththeMainlandisoneofthemajorplanningdirectionsoftheHK2030Study,theimpactsonenvironmentismainlycausedbytheconstructionofcross-boundarystrategicroadlinkandrailprojectslikeHZMBandERLaswellasthepossibledevelopmentoftheFrontierClosedArea(FCA),inparticulartheLokMaChauLoop,tocaterforourfuturedevelopmentneedsinviewofitsproximitytotheexisting/plannedcross-boundaryfacilitiesandShenzhen’scentralbusinessdistrict.Fromamacrodevelopmentpointofview,developmentoftheLoopaswellastheFCAwillhaveeconomicbenefitsifitcancombinethestrengthsofHongKongwiththoseofShenzhen.Ontheotherhand,developmentofadditionalcross-boundarytransportfacilities,apartfromthebenefitsofmakingoptimizeduseofboththeportsandairportsinthePRDregionandprovidingimpetusforHongKong’sfurthergrowth,itwillinturnsupportandenhancedevelopmentofthePRDregionfromtheeconomicdevelopmentpointofview.Fromthesocialperspective,suchdevelopmentswillalsohelpspeeduptheintegrationofHongKongwiththeMainland.Nevertheless,inviewofthecomplexityoftheseissues,detailedassessmentsarethereforerequiredtoassessthepossibleimpactsattheimplementationstage.RegardingthefutureuseoftheareastobereleasedfromtheFCA,aconsultancystudywillsoonbecommissionedbythePlanningDepartmentwithaviewtoformulatingaplanningframeworktoguidetheconservationanddevelopmentofthearea.

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Sustainability Report IVRecommendation

27. ThesustainabilityofthePreferredDevelopmentOptionfortheHK2030StudyisconfirmedasitwillhelprealizeourvisiontodevelopHongKongas“Asia’sworldcity”.Themajorproposalswouldprovideforthenecessaryinfrastructuretocopewithourfuturepopulationandeconomicgrowth.Theywillalsobringaboutpositiveeffectsonthesocialaspectintermsofprovidingabetterqualitylivingenvironmentandenhancingtheaccessibilitiestodifferentkindsoffacilities.Inaccordancewiththefindingsoftheassessment,bothscenariosperformmuchbetterthanthe“withoutscenario”situation.ThereisnosignificantdifferencebetweenScenarios1aand1binmostofaspects,excepttheTsingYicontainerterminaloptionwillperformslightlybetteronthoseindicatorsrelatedtoBiodiversity.

Attachments

Appendix1: MajorAssumptions,PlanningParametersandDevelopmentProposalsofthePreferredDevelopmentOption

Appendix2: SustainabilityAssessmentDiagramAppendix3: Asummaryofcommentsreceivedinthepublic

consultationsofthepreviousthreestagesoftheHK2030Study

Appendix4: AlistofthoseindicatorstriggeredintheSustainabilityAssessmentprocessbutareconsideredirrelevanttotheScenario

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Appendix 1

Major Assumptions, Planning Parameters and Development Proposals of

the Preferred Development Option

Thefollowingisasummaryofmajorplanningparametersanddevelopmentproposals,assumptionsonkeyinfrastructurefacilities,roadnetworkandrailprojectsassumed.

I. Population and Employment

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Note:Assumespopulationwillgrowataslowerrateofabout0.7%perannum.Asteadyrateofeconomicgrowth(annualGDPgrowthat4.0%initiallyandgraduallyfallingto3.0%)isassumed.

Base Year 2010 2020 2030ResidentPopulation 6.8 7.2 7.8 8.4Employment 3.0 3.5 3.7 4.0(inmillion)

Annexes

Sustainability Report IVII. Housing Land Requirement

III. Economic Land Requirement

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Note:‘GeneralBusiness’landusecoversprivateoffices(excludingCBDGradeAoffices),industrial/officeuses,flattedfactoriesandprivatestorages.‘SpecialIndustrialUses’involvehighvalue-added,high-techproductionandlogisticsactivitiessuchasindustrialestates,scienceparkandCyberport,etc.Thefloorspacerequirementtakesintoaccounttheexistingsurplusstockandtheneedtoaccommodatea‘naturalvacancy’factor,alevelofvacancyevenunderanormalhealthymarketsituation.

Base 2010 2020 2030

Demand Req’t Year 2003–30 2003–30 CBDGradeA 4.1 5.1 5.8 6.7 2.6 2.7OfficesGeneral

33.0 35.5 36.2 38.2 5.2 5.4BusinessSpecial

4.0 5.5 6.0 6.7 2.7 2.9IndustriesTotal 41.1 46.2 47.9 51.6 10.5 11.0(GFAinmillionm2)

Note:Intheperiodbetween2003and2030,atotalrequirementofabout924,000units(averaging34,000peryear)isassumed.

Base Year 2010 2020 2030HousingStock 2,394 2,642 2,948 3,319AccumulativeRequirement - 248 553 924(inthousandunits)

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IV Sustainability Report

Todeterminetheoptimumlocationforthenewterminal,twolocations,namelyNorthwestLantauandSouthwestTsingYi,havebeenexaminedundertheStudyonHongKongPort–MasterPlan2020(HKP2020Study).WhilstadecisiononthepreferredlocationforthenewterminalispendingcompletionoftheEcological,FisheriesandWaterQualityImpactAssessmentStudyfortheproposedcontainerterminaldevelopmentatNorthwestLantau,theHK2030StudyhastakenintoaccountbothpossiblecontainerterminallocationsintheReferenceScenarioforthepurposeofassessment.

IV. Strategic Infrastructure

Port Development Ourassumptionsforfuturecontainerthroughputandterminal

capacitiesareasfollows:

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Source:HKP2020Study

Note:Themaximumcapacityoftheexistingcontainerport(CT1to9)isaround18.6millionTEUs,withapotentialforfurtherincreaseby1.7millionTEUs,andpossiblymoreifadditionallandandotherproductivitymeasuresareintroduced.Iftheprojecteddemandisrealized,thereislikelytobeaneedforanewcontainerterminal(CT10)inthefirsthalfofthenextdecade.

Base Year 2010 2020 2030Cargo Throughput 12.8 18.0 28.8 34.5Terminal Capacity CT1–8,CT9(part) 13.1 - - -CT1–9 - 19.8 21.7 23.0CT10 - - 7.2 11.6Total 13.1 19.8 28.9 34.6(inmillionTEUs)

Annexes

Sustainability Report IVPort Back-Up (PBU) Land

ThecurrentsupplyofPBUlandis378hain2003.TheHKP2020StudypredictsthatthetotaldemandforPBUlandwillincreasewithportthroughputbutthetrendfortheseusestomoveovertheboundarynearthecargocentresinthePRDisexpectedtocontinue.IftheprojecteddemandofPBUlandistoberealized,wewouldneedtoidentifyadditionallandtoaddressthisdemand.

Airport

In2005,theHongKongInternationalAirport(HKIA)providedservicesto40.7millionpassengersandhandled3.4milliontonnesofcargo.TheAirportAuthorityHongKonghasrecentlypublishedanupdateoftheAirportMasterPlan(knownastheHKIA2025)toguidethefuturedevelopmentoftheHKIAupto2025.Ithasprojectedthatby2025,HKIAwillserve80millionpassengers,handle8milliontonesofcargoand490,000aircraftmovementseachyear.

AlthoughithasproposedstudiesonthefeasibilityfortheconstructionofathirdrunwayattheHKIA,thisproposalhasnotbeentakenonboardunderthePreferredDevelopmentOptionoranyofthe“WhatIf”Scenariosforassessmentintheabsenceofanydetailsonthisproposalatthisstage.

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Base Year 2010 2020 2030PBULand Demand 260 204 309 398Supply 378 - - -Knownsources - 439 480 500(inhectares)

Source: HKP2020 Study and Planning Department’s estimation

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IV Sustainability Report

V. Committed and Assumed Major Transport Projects

Railway Projects

Major Road Projects

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By 2010(committedinadditiontoexistingrailnetwork)• TseungKwanOSouthStation• KowloonSouthernLink• SheungShuitoLokMaChauSpurLineBy 2020(inadditionto2010network)• ShatintoCentralLink• KwunTongLineExtension• NorthernLink• HongKongSectionofGuangzhou-Shenzhen-HongKong

ExpressRailLink• WestIslandLine• SouthIslandLine(East)By 2030(inadditionto2020network)• NorthHongKongIslandLine• SouthIslandLine(West)

By 2010(committedinadditiontoexistingnetwork)New Territories• Route8(ShatintoTsingYi)• CastlePeakRoadWidening(TsuenWanArea2toSiuLam)Cross Boundary• HongKong-ShenzhenWesternCorridor• DeepBayLink

Annexes

Sustainability Report IV

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Notes:1. *TheStrategicNorth-SouthLinkbetweenNWNTandNorthLantau

standsforthepossiblealternativeoptionsbeingconsideredintheNWNTTrafficandInfrastructureReview,whichcovercandidateprojectsofLamTeiTunnel,TaiLamChungTunnel,TsingLungBridge,TuenMunWesternBypass,TuenMun-ChekLapKokLink,TuenMunEasternBypass,andLinkOptionsbetweenTuenMunandLantau.

By 2020(inadditionto2010network)Hong Kong• Central-WanChaiBypass• IslandEasternCorridorImprovement(CausewayBay-

NorthPoint)Kowloon• GascoigneRoadFlyoverwidening• CentralKowloonRoute• TrunkRoadT2(KaiTak–ChaKwoLing)New Territories• ToloHighway/FanlingHighwaywidening

(IslandHouseInterchange-Fanling)• TseungKwanO-LamTinTunnel• CrossBayLinkatTseungKwanO• Hiram’sHighwayDualling(ClearwaterBayRoad-SaiKungTown)• LantauRoadP1(TungChung–SunnyBay)• *StrategicNorth-SouthLinkbetweenNWNTandNorthLantauCross Boundary• ^HongKong-Zhuhai-MacaoBridge(HZMB)• HZMB’sNorthLantauHighwayConnection

By 2030(inadditionto2020network)Hong Kong• TheFourthHarbourCrossing• Route4(KennedyTown–Aberdeen)asanalternativeto

SouthIslandLine(West)New Territories• EasternHighway(NENTtoKowloon)• TsingYiLantauLink-withCoastalroadand

ChokKoWanLinkRoad(PaTauKwuSection)

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IV Sustainability Report

VI. Demand for Cross-Boundary Road Traffic

UndertheReferenceScenario,thedailycross-boundary(two-way)vehicletrafficonanormalweekdayisassumedasfollows:

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Car Bus / Coach TotalBase Year 8,200 3,600 11,8002010 34,900 4,800 39,7002020 63,000 9,400 72,4002030 96,400 12,900 109,300

Goods Vehicle Container Truck TotalBase Year 14,800 12,800 27,6002010 24,400 23,100 47,5002020 35,000 35,400 70,4002030 39,400 39,900 79,300

2.^TheGovernmentsofGuangdong,HongKongandMacaohavecommissionedaconsultanttostudyonthelocationsandarrangementsoftheBoundaryCrossingFacilities(BCF)underthemodeof“SeparateLocationofBCF”fortheHZMB.

3. ItshouldbenotedthatprojectsassumedarepurelypostulatesforstrategictransportassessmentsofthedevelopmentscenariosundertheStudy.Theneed,scopeandtimingofeachoftheassumedtransportprojectswouldbesubjecttofurtherreview.

4.TheproposedLiantang/HeungYuenWaicontrolpointandtheconnectiontotheShenzhenEasternCorridor,whichissubjecttofurtherstudies,hasnotbeenincludedinthePreferredDevelopmentOptionforassessment

Annexes

Sustainability Report IVVII. Other Strategic Infrastructure

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WasteManagement

SewageTreatment

PowerSupply

WaterSupply/Treatment

Telecommunications

• ThecapacityofsolidwastehandlingfacilitiescouldbeenhancedbyextensionofexistinglandfillsandplanningofnewlandfillsaswellasdevelopmentofintegratedwastemanagementfacilitiesandtheEcoPark.

• RemainingstagesoftheHATSandseweragemasterplanreviewswillbecompletedbefore2020.

• Gradualchangefromcoaltogaspowergeneration,supplementedbyotherformsofrenewableenergysuchaswindpower,solarenergy(nomajorlandimplications)etc.

• Dongjiangwaterwillremainasoneofthemajorsourcesofrawwaterandthesupplyquantityshouldbecommensuratewiththedemand.

• Desalinationisoneofthepossiblealternativewatersources.Coastalsitesforsuchinstallationsmayberequiredsubjecttofurtherstudy.

• AfeasibilitystudyontheengineeringstrategyfortheTotalWaterManagementinHongKongisbeingconductedwhichwillmapoutthelong-termstrategyonthedistributionofwatersupplyfromvarioussourcesformeetingthewaterdemand.

• ExtensionofTeleportisenvisagedtocaterforlong-termrequirement.

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IV Sustainability Report

VIII. Major Development Proposals / Projects

ThefollowingmajordevelopmentproposalsareassumedtotakeplaceorcompletedwithinthestudytimeframeoftheHK2030Study:

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Development ProposalsCentralReclamationIIICyberportHongKongDisneylandHongKongInternationalAirportDevelopmentsKaiTakDevelopmentLantauConceptPlanproposalsLogisticsParkatSiuHoWanNewDevelopmentAreas-KwuTungNorth,FanlingNorth&PingChe/TaKwuLing(Three-in-OneScheme)andHungShuiKiuNgongPing360OceanParkRedevelopmentRecoveryParkinTuenMunScienceParkatPakShekKokTseungKwanOFurtherDevelopmentTungChungDevelopmentUrbanrenewalprojects(various)WanchaiDevelopmentIIWestKowloonCulturalDistrict

Annexes

Sustainability Report IVAppendix 2

Sustainability Assessment Diagram(Assessment Year : 2030)

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Indicators Without Scenario 1a Scenario 1b ScenarioArchaeologicalsites Beachwaterquality Carbondioxide

emittedperyearCommunicablediseases Constructionwaste

Cost-Benefit Criteriaairpollutants Educationattainment Educationexpenditure Energyconsumption Excessivenoise Fixedcapital Freightcosts Historicalsites

Housinginadequacy Housingwaitinglist Livingspace

Managedmarinehabitat

Managedterrestrialhabitat

Marineeco-value Marinewaterquality Openspaceshortfall Privaterent Respiratorydiseases Riverwaterquality Significantlandscape features(area)Significantlandscape

features(point)Terrestrialeco-value

Toxicairpollutants Traveldistance Travelspeed Unemploymentrate

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IV Sustainability Report

Legends

Annotatesnochangetothecurrentbaselinesituation

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Improvement DeteriorationVery Small Small

Moderate

Moderate to Large

Large

Very Large

Note:Scenario1a:PreferredDevelopmentOptionwithpossiblecontainerterminallocationatNorthwestLantauScenario1b:PreferredDevelopmentOptionwithpossiblecontainerterminallocationatSouthwestTsingYi

Annexes

Sustainability Report IVAppendix 3

A Summary of Comments Received in the Previous Three Stages of HK2030 Public Consultation

ConsultationforStage1(formulationofobjectives),Stage2(keyissuesandevaluationcriteria)andStage3(scenarioanddevelopmentoptions)werecompletedinApril2001,March2002andMarch2004.Belowisasummaryofmajorcommentsreceivedinthesethreestagesofpublicconsultation:

Stage 1

• TherearelargedegreeofcommunityconsensusonthemissionoftheHK2030StudywhichistoachievethevisionforHongKongtobecomeAsia’sworldcityandamajorcityofChina;

• TheImportanceofsustainabledevelopmentandbetterlivingenvironmenthasbeenwidelyrecognised;

• Itisagreedthatthereisaneedtoenhanceattractivenessofharbourandcityscape;

• Populationpolicyisneeded;and• NeedforstrongtieswithPRDhasbeenestablished.

Stage 2

• Itisurgedforadditionalcross-boundarytransportconnections;• Betterutilizationoflandandwaterresourcesareneeded;and• Thereisaneedtostrikeabalancebetweeneconomic

development,e.g.furtherportexpansion,andenvironmentalsustainability.

Stage 3

• Theprovisionofaqualitylivingenvironmentasakeyplanningdirectionissupported,anditisurgedformeasurestoenhancethelivingenvironmentbeputinplaceassoonaspossible;

• ThedirectionofstrengtheninglinkswithMainlandissupported;

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IV Sustainability Report

• Theneedfora‘vision-driven’populationassumptionfor2030hasbeenaccepted,however,theassumptionofthepopulationmaybeonthehighside;

• Itisconsideredthattheprevailingdevelopmentdensitylevelsaregenerallyacceptable,however,lowerplotratiosshouldbeintroducedonnewdevelopmentsitessuchastheharbour-fronts;

• Therearediverseviewsonconsolidationordecentralizationdevelopmentpattern;

• TherearediverseviewsondevelopmentoftheFrontierClosedArea(FCA).Thosedidnotsupportmainlyforconservationorenvironmentalprotectionreasons,othersurgedforanearlyopeningupoftheFCAandthatdevelopmentsshouldbeallowedintheFCA;

• ThereareoverwhelmingurgefortheGovernmenttominimisetheextentofreclamation,andtoenhancepublicinvolvementintheplanningofharbour-frontareas;and

• Therearemixedviewsontheneedforauniversitytown.

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Sustainability Report IV

Appendix 4

Indicators Triggered in the SustainabilityAssessment Process but are

Considered Not Relevant to the Scenarios

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IndicatorsCancerElderlycareservicesFreshwatersupplied

IncomedifferentialLandfillcapacityLocalfreshwaterMunicipalwaste

RegisteredvolunteersStudentsjoiningcommunityservicesUrbtixticketssales

Reasons for Removing IndicatorsNotrelevantNodirectimpactNosignificantimpact;DonjiangwateristhemoreimportantsourceofwatersupplytoHongKongNodirectimpactNodirectimpactNodirectimpactNosignificantdifferenceinquantityofmunicipalwastepercapitaisanticipatedNotrelevantNotrelevant

Notrelevant