andrej kos "

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Panel 1: Panel 1: Future Networks Future Networks Converged Broadband Services Converged Broadband Services dr. Andrej Kos ([email protected] lj.si) University of Ljubljana Faculty of Electrical Engineering Laboratory for telecommunications i2010 Conference Brdo, Slovenia, May 13th - 14th 2008

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Page 1: Andrej Kos "

Panel 1:Panel 1: Future Networks Future Networks

Converged Broadband ServicesConverged Broadband Services

dr. Andrej Kos ([email protected])

University of Ljubljana

Faculty of Electrical Engineering

Laboratory for telecommunications

i2010 ConferenceBrdo, Slovenia, May 13th - 14th 2008

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22

University of Ljubljana, Faculty of EEUniversity of Ljubljana, Faculty of EE

University of Ljubljana Founded in 1919 Consists of 22 Faculties

& 3 Academies Employes approx. 6,000 Students approx. 56,000

Faculty of Electrical Engineering Students approx. 2,500 Employs approx. 300

Laboratory for telecommuications development of ICT systems and

services, education stuff ~50 (25 + 16 + 9)

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33

ResearchResearch

Research projects at the Faculty of Electrical Engineering Projects that are fully funded by national or EU budged Projects that are fully funded by companies Many variations in between

Turnover of the Faculty 18 mio Euro 50 % comes from the education 50 % comes from research projects

Highest ratio of budget coming from industry (research projects) among members within University of Ljubljana

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Innovation EnvironmentInnovation Environment

Slovenia belongs to a group of countries that have generic ICT research and product development (infrastructure and services) for global market

44

Center of Excelence ICT

Tehnology Network ICT

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Broadband servicesBroadband services

55

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Future Networks and ServicesFuture Networks and Services Broadband “Wireless internet interface« and “RJ45”

connector have become similar to 230 V electrical plugs Net connectivity has become commodity, expected to be everywhere

Today applications (i.e. VoIP, HSI, IPTV/HDTV) are with broadband internet becoming ubiquitous – convergence is happening However, users always find ways to “fill the pipes”

Billing/Charging Flat rate for majority of users (free and fully unlimited ?) Some users willing to pay premium for “classical telco services” Additional ways to colect money - Advertisements

New protocols - IPv6/IPv4 – the toothpaste effect You squeeze the toothpaste until to a certain point, then you give up

(too much effort for the giver results) and buy new one

66

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77

Transition to Future NetworksTransition to Future Networks

Coherent transition to Future networks Interoperability with existing systems + new services

Number of terminals x5, x10, x100

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What Services – a future look ...What Services – a future look ... Social-networking, location, presence Video, multimedia content & interactivity Services that are integrated into private and business

processes/life Communications, traffic, health, learning, entertainment, energy

sustainability, eInclusion, local activities, ...

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Broadband InfrastructureBroadband Infrastructure

99

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1010

Broadband PenetrationBroadband Penetration

EU Broadband penetration rate (January 2008)

7,6

%

8,4

%

8,8

%

9,1

%

9,8

%

13

,7%

13

,8%

14

,2%

14

,6%

15

,0%

16

,1%

16

,9%

17

,1%

17

,3%

17

,4%

18

,3%

21

,2% 2

3,3

%

23

,8% 25

,4%

25

,6%

25

,7%

31

,2%

34

,2%

34

,6%

35

,6%

19

,0%

20

,0%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

BG PL SK EL RO LT CY HU CZ LV PT MT IT SI IE ES AT EU27 EE FR DE LU BE UK SE NL FI DK

January 07

Source: Commission services. Data for FR, NL, AT, EE and LT refer to October 2007

Broadband lines per region (million) January 2008

99,281,6

43,1

50

100

EU US and Canada Japan andKorea

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1111

Future Traffic Demands Future Traffic Demands

Fiber xDSL Cable Wireless ...

Urban Rural

Internet access, VoIP e-mail, IM, files

sharing

1 x IP TV (MPEG-2) High speed internet access, VoIP, e-mail, IM, video conference,

fast file sharing

today tomorrow in near future

3 x IP TV (MPEG-2)

1 x HDTV (MPEG-4)

Very high speedinternet access, VoIP

e-mail, IM, video conference, fast file

sharing

2 x IP TV (MPEG-2)

3 x HDTV (MPEG-4)

25 Mbit/s

50 Mbit/s

75 Mbit/s

Internet access, VoIP e-mail, IM, files

sharing

1 x IP TV (MPEG-2) High speed internet access, VoIP, e-mail, IM, video conference,

fast file sharing

today tomorrow in near future

3 x IP TV (MPEG-2)

1 x HDTV (MPEG-4)

Very high speedinternet access, VoIP

e-mail, IM, video conference, fast file

sharing

2 x IP TV (MPEG-2)

3 x HDTV (MPEG-4)

25 Mbit/s

50 Mbit/s

75 Mbit/s

Is the broadband gap growing …?

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1212

Where are the users in SloveniaWhere are the users in Slovenia

96% of households within xDSL technologies reach 98% of xDSL households with more than 1 Mbit/s possible

downlink capacity 15% of households with inappropriate copper local loop

connection for xDSL deployment

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

5500

1500

0

dolžina krajevne zanke [m]

del

ež u

po

rab

nik

ov

[%]

Local loop length [m]

Us

ers

[%

]

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1313

Technology solutionsTechnology solutions FTTx/xDSL deployment

Optimal remote broadband network elements placementproblem

Optimal timing for migrationscenario is market driven

Inappropriate return of investment (ROI) in rural areas

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

population density

households density

population density 97 67 66 61 57 51 41 30 16

households density 34 23 22 20 19 17 14 10 6

SLO< 200 inh.

/km2< 175 inh./km2 < 150 inh./km2 < 125 inh./km2 < 100 inh./km2 < 75 inh./km2 < 50 inh./km2 < 25 inh./km2

40 % of country

area

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Fixed Wireless BroadbandFixed Wireless Broadband

Rural area definition is crucial population density, GDP

< 10 households/km2 = capacity is not a problem … Reach, not capacity, constrained constrined planninng,

Considering “1 Mbit/s like” downlink capacities WiMAX at 3,5 GHz = ~ LOS PHY channel poor rural coverage in hilly “type A” terrain (IEEE 802.16-20004

standard) < 1 GHz frequencies for WiMAX at 450 MHz => digital dividend policy < 1 GHz frequencies for UMTS/HSPA/LTE at 450 MHz => digital

dividend policy (?)

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CO

1515

CombinationCombination of Technologies of Technologies

To deliver “broadband for all as soon as possible” the optimal solution is a combination of broadband access technologies

Step by step broadband capacity upgrading: Urban areas: from “xDSL speed” To “FTTH speed” Rural areas: “modem speed” To basic “xDSL speed” (with xDSL/FTTx

access network combination) or “WiMAX speed” To “FTTH speed”

Broadband access planning optimization tools with various technologies consideration (not only one) with techno-economical extensions

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Optimisation Optimisation planning toolplanning toolss

Considers real copper network topology Calculates optimal remote access network elements

placement Calculates techno-economic outputs

Net present value, rate of return

Comparison with FWB sistems is “in progres”

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ConclusionConclusion

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ConclusionConclusion Generic research + critical mass of companies + knowledge

Had very positive influence on the development of broadband Slovenia is in size and population perfect for country wide pilot

projects (infrastructure and services) ... IPTV, UMTS/HSPA, MPEG4, local portals

Networks Urban: up to 3 optical connections (already) Rural: from “modem/xDSL” to optimal mix of fiber/copper/radio Tehno-economic optimisations in order to bring broadband to as

many user as possible

Open issues Digital divide (gap), growing? Universal broadband service/connection obligation? How to stimulate operators to build in rural areas

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RezervaRezerva

1919

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Laboratory for TelecommunicationsLaboratory for Telecommunications General aim

development of ICT systems and services, education

stuff ~50 (25 + 16 + 9)

Center for Telecommunications Systems and Services

IP, IPv6, MPLS, Ethernet SS7, SIGTRAN, SIP NGN, FMC, IMS, SDP UMTS, Wimax, ad-hoc MM, IPTV, Mobile TV, DVB-H service development, pilots integration and convergence TM, CT, telecommunication

engineering

Center for Distance Education e-learning LMS and LCMS E-CHO 2020

www.ltfe.org

wap.ltfe.org

wav.ltfe.org

vod.ltfe.org

dl.ltfe.org

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Slovenian TK indicatorsSlovenian TK indicators

2121

End of year 2006 2007

# of mobile users 1.820.000 1.900.000

# of fixed telephony users 840.000 860.000

# of broadband users 280.000 340.000

# of “triple-play” users 30.000 60.000

xDSL technology * 69,5 % 71,7 %

Cable technology * 29,1 % 24,7 %

FTTH technology * 1,0 % 3,2 %

Cable TV/IP TV ratio 10:1 4:1

Broadband households penetration 40,9 % 50,4 %

# of VoIP users 45.000 123.000

* Broadband share

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T-World is changingT-World is changing

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Unified InfrastructureUnified Infrastructure

Unified Infrastructure for Mobile and Stationary WorldUnified Infrastructure for Mobile and Stationary World

Mobile NetworksStationary Networks

WLAN, WiMAX, …

MultiMediaPresenceInstant

MessagingVoIPoD

Mobile World:3GPP

Stationary World:ETSI

Call ServersMedia Gateways

Signalization Gateways

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What Communications Control Plane? What Communications Control Plane? Centralized

1 database worldwide, only 1 operator

Decentralized architecture peer-to-peer updates between terminals

Centralization per domain Operators “Internet Protocol Multimedia Subsystem” - IMS

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StandardisationStandardisation

2525

TTCComm.

FO2

FO6 TR30

TR41TIA

CACCEPT

ECMA

TC-32

1220

15

CEN/CENELEC

CSA

AFNOR

DIN

NNI

NATIONAL

BSIMSAF

Consortia/fora

TR46 TR45

MMTA

EMA

ICSCA

ECTEL

CTIA

CDG

Trade Associations

PHSMoU

CIAJMITF

AIC

5

62

3

9

8

11

15

7

13

ITU-TITU

ITU-D

12

10

16

4ITU-R

7

9

811

10

3 4

1

8021114

1

POSIX

IEEE

ADSLForum

MMCFW3C

NEMA

OMGTINA-C

SIF

Internet2

EIA

SIA PCIAOIDA NIST

ATMForum

FRF

UWCC

ECTF

UL

REGIONALGLOBAL

MPT/TTCCouncil

JEIDA

INSTAC

OITDA

ARIB

MMAC

1

2

ANSI

SEMI

IMTC

IMCTMF

ISO

TC176

TC207

CISPR

TC76

TC74IEC

JTC1SC11

SC7 SC6

SC25

SC29SC27

SC31

L3J22

V1B5

NCITST4

T3CITEL

PCC.III

PCC.I

GSMMoU

MSF

INForum

DMTF

OIF

WDF

TTA IMT-2000

3GPP2

3GPP

IETF

ISOC

ETSIGMM CG

EP

TC

JISC

CTSI

CWTS NM

TR & ACC

IP

JAIN

ASTAP

APT

T1

M1E1

A1

P1S1

X1

NS EMC

Source: Lucent

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AbstractAbstract Next generation broadband technologies evolution and consequently

much higher user bandwidth demands are the main drivers for deployment of high speed broadband access networks. In urban areas with high population densities, broadband services are already well assured. In low-populated rural areas the return of investment is the main disadvantage for faster broadband rollout, thus leading to digital divide. Deployment of broadband access networks with the mix of xDSL, FTTx, and wireless technologies also below 1 GHz may be optimal solution, considering decreasing range of xDSL technologies and vast investments needed for fibre to the home solution.

Based on the pure broadband networks, converged platforms and services are gaining momentum, integrating communication, mobility, collaboration, education, communities and content. These are typically based on new technologies, e.g. Web 2.0, P2P, Grid and IMS. Network and service openness based on open interfaces is important to continue fast development of future networks, thus enabling many companies and individuals to become the drivers of development, thus decreasing the digital divide in the converged services area.

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CVCV ANDREJ KOS graduated and was awarded his Ph. D. degree in

telecommunications from the University of Ljubljana, Slovenia. His current position is Assistant Professor and Head of Research at the Laboratory for Telecommunications (LTFE) at the Faculty of Electrical Engineering, University of Ljubljana. He has extensive research and industrial experience in the analysis, modelling and design of advanced telecommunications systems. He is a project leader of more R&D projects in cooperation with industrial partners. His current project work and research focuses on next generation broadband networks and converged services.

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