andreas götz - living with risk

Nationale Plattform Naturgefahren PLANATPlate-forme nationale „Dangers naturels“Plattaforma nazionale „Pericoli naturali“National Platform of Natural Hazards

Living with risk

Andreas Götz

GRF - Davos August 26, 2012

Nationale Plattform Naturgefahren PLANATPlate-forme nationale „Dangers naturels“Piattaforma nazionale „Pericoli naturali“National Platform of Natural Hazards

2 Presentation name | SubtitleAuthor

Introduction

Dealing with risk

Swiss experience

Living with risk


Safety is a basic human need and one of the key requirements of the welfare of society.

Protection from natural hazards is one of the key requirements of the welfare of society.

Introduction


Ressources

Recognition of competence

Safety

Know - how

Assessmentof risks

Political support

Consulting, Instruments

Education, Capacity

building

1 / 4

Safety

Structural and non-structural

measures


Ressources


Safety

Structural and non-

structural measures

Know - how

Assessmentof risks

Political support


2 / 4

Education, Capacity

building

Safety

Readyness of acteurs

Manpower

National LevelCantonal Level

Local LevelInternational Level


Ressources


Safety

Know - how

Assessmentof risks

Political support


Financial support

3 / 4

Education, Capacity

building

Safety

Structural and non-

structural measures


Manpower + Money




,

Ressources


Safety

Know - how

Assessmentof risks

Political support

Consulting, Instruments Education,

Capacity building

Financial support

Development of economy

Welfare

Budget

4 / 4

Safety

Structural and non-

structural measures


Manpower + Money




Switzerland

„In the heart of Europe“


„Fountain of Europe“

Surface 42’000 km2

Population density190 inh / km2

Precipitation 1’450 mm / y

Switzerland


Landuse Yesterday

Today

Tomorrow

Switzerland


Specific problems in mountainous regions

Space for living and livelihood is limited

Access in times of disaster is difficult

Multi-hazard conditions prevail

Processes are fast and warning time is short

Switzerland


Introduction

Dealing with risk

Swiss experience

Living with risk


guarantee the same safety for everyone in Switzerland

Target

„Mittelland“

„Alps“

„Jura“

Multi-hazard conditions prevail


Damage potential

Events

Availability of space

Target: Reach and keep a defined safety

time

trend

Target and trends


Events

Summer mean temperature + 3 oC (2-7)

Winter mean temperature + 3 oC (2-5)

Outlook 2050

more extreme events

increasing intensity and water volumina


Damage potential

Landuse


Introduction

Dealing with risk

Swiss experience

Living with risk

Swiss Federal Council

Know the risks and be prepared


Target of Swiss Federal Council

Sustainable and consistent level of safety for human beings, buildings and infrastructure within a period of 20 to 30 years.

Level of safety has to be ecologically acceptable

economically viable

socially acceptable


18 members of

- federal agencies - cantons - private sector - research inst. - insurance comp.

Extraparlamentary Commission PLANAT

National Platform for Natural Hazards – PLANAT


What can happen? What is allowed to happen?

Mesures to take?

Assessment of risks

Evaluation of risks

Planning

PLANAT - Main questions and answers

«From protection against natural hazards to the management of risks»

(strategic work – creation of awareness – coordination)


Assessment of risks

yellow zonelow danger• informations for the land-owners

red zonesubstantial danger for constructions and people inside houses• no new constructions allowedblue zonemedium danger• constructions allowed with restrictions

cross-hatched yellow-white zoneremaining danger• pay attention in case of special objects / planning of emergency measures

All kinds of natural hazards must be analized


Evaluation of risks

High protection only for high risks


Avoiding risks Landuse panning

Limiting risks Constructive measures,

organisational measures, Transferring risks

Insurance, … Accepting remaining risk

Planning

Use all possibilities to influence risks


Integrateded Risk Management

Protect life Save life

Resilience

From “words” to “actions” 6 Priorities


1 Knowledge of hazards and risks

Hazard-appropriate behaviour in spatial planning

Provinces and communes are responsible for the compilation of hazards

National level defines the legal framework and provides financial support


2 Increased awareness of natural hazards

Inform the population about the relevant natural hazards

Conserve and promote the knowledge by a dialogue on risk

Easily accessible information


3 Holistic planning of measures

Integrated management has to settle priorities for actions

Measures must be adaptable to changing hazard situations

There is a need for good cost-benefit relation


4 Structures designed to accomodate excess load

Old protective structures often fail in the „overload case“

Measures are needed to prevent an uncontrolled collapse in case of „overload situation“


5 Emergency preparedness

Careful emergency planning to reduce damage in case of extreme events

Emergency concepts on local level

Good cooperation between local administration and experts / emergency staff


6 Timely identification of hazard events

Timely action at community levelnecessitates

perfect functioning of forecasting and warning systems

professional interpretation of the available information


International level

Risk level High

Medium Low

Disaster Risk Reduction – Words are not enough

Swiss Federal Council


International level

1. Welfare of communities is built on sustainability.

2. Concept of resilience must be reflected in sustainable development goals

3. Disaster risk reduction action plans for each country to undertake hazards and risk assessments in a timely manner

4. Set the starting point for negotiations about the post Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) 2015


International level

UN – Global Assessment Report 2011


Final message

"Even if you think you're on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there."

(Will Rogers)