analyst briefing presentation fy11 operating...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Presentation
NDR Hosted by DB-Tisco Securities, Europe - April 22-26, 2013
Disclaimer
This presentation includes forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including
those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. This
presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements including, in particular, statements about
future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive
environment, regulation and supply and demand.
PTTGC has based these forward-looking statements on its views with respect to future events and
financial performance. Actual financial performance of the entities described herein could differ
materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of
estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated.
Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements represent estimates and assumptions only as of the date that they were
made. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and PTTGC does
not undertake any duty to update the forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions
associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
2
Agenda
PTTGC Business Profile
Strategy and Execution
Market Outlook
FY12 Performance Recap
3
A Chemical Flagship of PTT Group with Compelling Strengths
4
• Largest gas-based petrochemical producer in
Thailand and the fifth in Asia
• Highly competitive cost structure with pricing
arrangement for gas feedstock based upon
equitable return on investment for both PTT and
PTTGC
• Fully integrated petrochemical and refinery
operations with diversified product portfolio
covering full hydrocarbon chain
• Strong footprint in fast growing regions with 5
operating countries worldwide
• Committed to operational excellence targeting
best in class/ first quartile business efficiency
$18.8bn
SALES
$1.9bn
EBITDA
$1.1bn NET PROFIT
3,509
EMPLOYEES
$812mn
FREE CASH
FLOW*
>= 30%
DIVIDEND
POLICY
2012 Figures, FX THB 30
8.45 MTPA
CAPACITY
*Free cash flow for investment after excluding debt service and dividend
Flexible Feedstock and Highly Competitive Cost Structure
5
Flexible Feedstock and By-Product Enhancement
PTTGC's refinery (145 KBD) is one of the most complex refineries in Thailand, with Nelson Index of 10.17 and refining capacity accounting for 13% of country’s total capacity
Value enhancement from by-product exchange among Olefins, Aromatics and Refinery units highlights operational integration and efficiency:
- CR from Aromatics units sent to Refinery to produce middle distillate
- Pygas from Olefins unit sent to Aromatics for BTX - Offgas from Refinery sent to Cracker for olefins
products
Feedstock Supply Product Marketing
Refinery
Aromatics
Olefins /
Polymers
Others
Condensate
Crude Oil
Others
Ethane, Propane, LPG
C5-C9
C10-C25
C2-C4
Olefins
100% Polymers (1)
46% (2)
54% (2)
Feedstock Supply Commercial Agreements Product Marketing Commercial Agreements
Customers
Others
70% (2)
30% (2)
103
318
799 824 830 883
951 967 1,006
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
MDEEthane
NAMEthane
NEA LPG NAMNaphtha
MDE LPG MDENaphtha
NEANaphtha
SEANaphtha
WEPNaphtha
Global Ethylene Cash Cost by Region
USD/Ton
2012E (3)
1. PTT owns 50%, PTTGC and IRPC each owns 25% in PTTPM.
2. FY12
(5)
Source: IHS (formerly CMAI) as of July 2012.
Note: MDE = Middle East, NAM = North America, NEA = Northeast Asia, SEA = Southeast Asia, WEP = Western Europe.
3. PTTGC ethylene cash cost is based on Company estimate and ethane cracker only. 2012 PTTGC cash cost takes into
account the effect of the renewal of gas price agreement.
4. MDE cash costs are average values of Iran and Saudi Arabia.
(5) (4)
FY12 Sales Portion by Business Unit
6
68%
32%
Refinery
Aromatics
31%
69%
Export
Domestic 8%
92%
Export
Domestic
Export Domestic
Olefins
Export
65%
Domestic 35%
Polymers
Export
Domestic 30%
70%
EO-Based
Export
Domestic 23%
77%
Green (ME, FA)
Total Sales
THB 563 billion*
39%
22% PTTGC
Others 39%
34%
35%
31%
PTTGC
34% 33% PTTGC
Others
Others 33%
By Thailand’s Market Share
HDPE
LDPE
LLDPE
Import
Import
Import
Sales portion in quantity (ton)
*2012 Figure, FX THB 30
Natural Gas
Crude Palm Oil
Crude
Condensate
Cracker
Aromatics Plants
Refinery
Ethylene
HDPE
LLDPE
LDPE
MEG
Propylene
Oleochemicals
Paraxylene
Benzene
PTAPET Fiber/Resin
EO
Ethanolamine
Ethoxylate
Cyclohexane
CumenePhenol
Acetone
EB/SM
PS
BPA
Methyl Ester(B-100)
PC
Caprolactam Nylon 6
Fatty Alcohol
MMA PMMA
Epoxy Resins
ABS
SBR
PP
PTT Phenol
Petroleum Products
- LPG- Reformate- Light Naptha- Jet Fuel- Diesel- Fuel Oil
Reformate, Heavy
Naphtha
Pygas
Condensate Residue,
Hydrogen
Light Naphtha
C3,C4
OffGas Mixed C4 Butadiene
PO
PUTDI/HDI
Toluene
Polyols
Orthoxylene
Cracker Bottom,
Hydrogen
PA Plasticizer
1. PTTGC does not currently produce these products.
REFINERY & SHARED FACILITIES
AROMATICS OLEFINS POLYMERS EO-BASED
PERFORMANCE GREEN CHEMICALS
HIGH VOLUME SPECIALTIES
Feedstock Upstream Intermediates Downstream
Proximity to Suppliers and Customers
Exchange Stream
Products
By-Products
Potential Product Opportunities (1)
Petroleum Products - LPG - Reformate - Light Naphtha - Jet Fuel - Diesel - Fuel Oil
Fully Integrated Petrochemical and Refinery
Operations with Diversified Product Portfolio
7
Agenda
PTTGC Business Profile
Strategy and Execution
Market Outlook
FY12 Performance Recap
8
PTTGC’s Strategies Overview
9
“To be a Leading Chemical Company for Better Living”
10
Methodical approach to achieving business excellence
Operational
Excellence
Marketing
Excellence
Synergy Project
Excellence Debottleneck
CAPEX
Excellence
Energy
improvement
Reliability
improvement
Other Improvement
Product
development
Customer / Portfolio
mgmt
Strategic pricing
Build global reach
Sales force
effectiveness
Product upgrade
Cost saving from
share tank and
facility
Steam Cost
reduction
PX expansion
Olefin & Polymer
expansion
Refinery derivative
Polymer derivative
Capital Project
Management
Engineering
Procurement
Construction
Project Mgmt.
1 2 3 4 5
Core Uplift 1-Step Adjacencies Emerging Business Models
2012
EBITDA uplift USD 53 mn USD 25 mn USD 9 mn
Execution to Reflect a Well Defined Strategy
“In 2012, we achieved EBITDA uplift of USD 87mm from Operational Excellence,
Marketing Excellence, and Synergy Project Excellence”
Operational Excellence
------- LAGGARDS-------- -------- LEADERS ------
To achieve 1st quartile of energy efficiency and reliability
Refinery
- Alternative feedstock
- Opportunity crude and
condensate
- Processed high tan crude
- Reliability Improvement
- Catalyst improvement
- Yield improvement
- Plant flexibility improvement
- New feedstock sourcing (Condensate)
- Yield Improvement
- Variable cost improvement
- Energy saving program for HDPE I-1
- Hexane/nitrogen recovery unit
installation
Aromatics Olefins and Olefins Derivatives
Major Activities in 2012
Benefit Expected per Year
2013-2017
~ USD 91 mn
2012 Achievement
EBITDA uplift
USD 53 mn
Uncommitted CAPEX for
Op Ex
2013-2017
~ USD 150 mn
11
Core Uplift 1-Step Adjacencies Emerging Business Models
Source: Solomon Associates and Phillip Townsend Associates
Refinery and aromatics benchmarked against Asia Pacific peers
Olefins, polymers and EO/EG benchmarked against world peers
1
Major Activities for Polymers BU in 2012
Benefit Expected per Year
2013-2017
~ USD 85 mn
2012 Achievement
EBITDA uplift
USD 25.1 mn
Uncommitted CAPEX
for Mkt Ex 2013-2017
~ USD 10 mn
Marketing Excellence Core Uplift 1-Step Adjacencies Emerging Business Models
39%
22% PTTGC
Others 39%
34%
35%
31%
PTTGC
34% 33% PTTGC
Others Others 33%
HDPE
LDPE LLDPE
Import
Import Import
- Expanded domestic sales of
- LLDPE 34% (2012 target = 27%)
- LDPE 34% (2012 target = 30%)
- Total PE : 36% (2012 target = 32%)
- Increased portion of high value
products (HVP) from 7% to 10% of
total polymers revenue, and
expanded 7 grades of HVP
12 12
2
Synergy Projects Excellence
Exchange Stream
Products
By-Products
2012 Achievement
EBITDA uplift USD 9.1mm
Synergy Projects
Expected
Investment
(USD mm)
Expected
Benefit per
year
(USD mm)
Target
Completion Progress
1.Product upgrade
1.1 Offgas 177.7 76.7 4Q/14
- BoD approved additional budget for
enclosed ground flare, pipe-rack and
pipeline around US$35.7mm.
- Tie-in works in each plant are on going.
1.2 C3/C4 Stream 5.5 35.1 End of
2012
- Completed.
- Benefit capture depends on economic and
supply availability of each feed type.
(subject to HDPE spread)
1.3 Heavy Aromatics 0.0 1.3 Jan. 1,
2012 - Completed.
1.4
Heavy Gasoline,
Light Cracker
Bottoms and
Cracker Bottom
5.7 28.8 End of
2012
- Completed.
- 1st batch of 3-stream was transferred to
refinery on Dec 20th, 2012.
1.5 Pure H2 via New
PSA 19.8 6.6 2Q/14
- Construction is 24%- on schedule
- Completed commercial negotiation for PSA
package.
- BOI approved PSA project to get investment
promotion.
2. Cost Saving from
share tanks and jetty 0.0 0.6 2Q/12
- Signed contract with Thai Tank Terminal to
maximize utilization of existing idle facility –
completed.
3. Steam cost reduction Under Study Under
Study 4Q/14
- Construction permit for box culvert is on
going to discuss with external related parties,
plan to get permit within Q1/2013.
Total 208.7 149.2
3
Cracker
Refinery
Natural Gas
Condensate
Crude
Light
Naphtha
OffGas
Pygas C3, C4
Condensate
Residue,
Hydrogen
Cracker
Bottom,
Hydrogen
Reformate,
Heavy
Naphtha
Aromatics
Plants
13
Core Uplift 1-Step Adjacencies Emerging Business Models
14
Debottleneck/By-Product Value Enhancement 4
Core Uplift 1-Step Adjacencies Emerging Business Models
Debottleneck - PTTPE Cracker and Polymer
Plants
Downstream debottleneck expansion to
capture fully-integrated margin by converting
additional ethylene into downstream products
Expected additional capacity of 15-20%.
Subject to feedstock availability from PTT
Status: Under study of plant configurations
Debottlenecking - PX capacity
Investment of US$143mm
Increases existing capacity at AROII
from 655Kton to 770Kton (total PX
capacity from AROI and ARO II to
increase from 1,195 Kton to 1,310 Kton)
Expects completion by 3Q/15
Status: Under technical study
Quench oil tower modification project
Investment of US$3 mm
To reduce naphtha: gas portion (liquid/vapor
ratio) from 0.95 to 0.60 at I4-1 (mixed feed
cracker)
Expects completion by end 2014
Status : Under technical study and procurement
C4 Value Enhancement
Investment of US$262mm
C4 upgraded to Butadiene 75 kton and Butene-1
25kton
Expects completion by 2013 and starts commercial
operation 1Q/14
Status: Under construction
2014 2015 2014 2016
15
CAPEX Excellence
Be a world-class center of excellence for
capital projects and maintenance service
Capital Project Management
Capital Project management
Engineering
Procurement
Construction
Project management
Management System (organization, roles, processes, systems)
People system (capabilities, mindsets and behaviors)
Conceptual
design
FEED
Detailed
design
Quality gate
approach
Eng. Process
mgmt.
Minor plant
modification,
small proj.
Lean
engineering
Cost effective
sourcing
Global
sourcing
Life cycle cost
assessment.
Vendor
management
Demand
management
Procurement
process mgmt.
Construction
process mgmt.
Subcontractor
management
Site
management
Site safely
Testing
commissioning
Master
scheduling/
schedule mgmt.
People and
resource mgmt.
Proj. cost
control
Risk identification
and mitigation
Perf. mgmt.
(Incl KPls)
Interface mgmt.
Contract and
claim mgmt.
Document control
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
31
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
Important value levers for
capex optimization
Vis
ion
Syst
em
s, C
ap
abili
ties,
Pro
cess
es,
Tools
(1) Engineering (2) Procurement (3) Construction (4) Project mgmt.
Core Uplift 1-Step Adjacencies Emerging Business Models
5
Upcoming Key Projects Core Uplift 1-Step Adjacencies Emerging Business Models
Rapid Project: PC and PO Chains with Petronas in Malaysia, to
complete by 2016
To expand downstream product portfolio & build up HVS
strategic initiative
Total investment of US$1,760mm & PTTGC expects to
contribute 25% of the equity component
Signed HoA with Petronas and Itochu for the feasibility study
Under feasibility study , Basic Engineering Package & JV
Agreement phase
To access high demand growth downstream markets in Indonesia
Pertamina and PTTGC will co-develop the detailed feasibility study
for the Indonesian petrochemical complex.
Signed HoA in Apr 13 and target to sign JV agreement in Dec 13
Estimated investment is US$4bn, with D/E > 1 under project finance
Sinochem : JV partnership with
Sinochem International (SI)
16
To secure access to China downstream
market
Signed MoU to jointly explore potential
collaboration e.g., PU and PC chains and
Bio-based chemicals
17
1st Ranking
2nd Ranking
Final Ranking
• Inline with PTTGC Growth
Strategy
• Marketing network, Technology,
Feedstock Advantage, Focus
End Use Market, Key Country
• Investment Size
Criteria
• Economic Return
• Marking and business
attractiveness
• Ease of entry into business
• Company management capability
• Technology Competitive
advantage
• Project attractiveness, economic
return
• Risk and mitigation plan
• Environmental and social impact
• Portfolio fit
Target
Corporate ROIC
14%
Project IRR
>15%
Key Criteria of Investment Screening Process
2011 Target2017
Target2022
Operational Excellence, Marketing Excellence, Capital Expenditure Excellence
Continues to Strive for Strong Profitable Growth
18
Synergy Project Excellence
Debottleneck
563
HVS
Green
Sales in THB Bn
Phase 1: Foundation for Growth Phase 2: The Growth Mode
We aim to grow ~5 percent p.a. in the next ten years
HVS
Green
New Global Hub
Expected EBITDA Benefit
Uplift 15-30%
~ 620 - 650
Actual
2012
Based on constant Dubai crude year 2012 at USD 109 per bbl
~ 800 - 900
Agenda
PTTGC Business Profile
Strategy and Execution
Market Outlook
FY12 Performance Recap
19
- PX price remains strong on the back of
limited feedstock supply (reformate) due
to T/A season of refineries in NEA, and
high cotton price.
- BZ price also constrained by limited
feedstock (Pygas) from lower run rate of
naphtha crackers in NEA - Ethylene price is seen as volatile following
crude prices. However, 1H13 price is
supported by downstream derivatives
demand (beverage & packaging) on the
back of summer season in EU and US
- HDPE price expected to improve from
previous year from improving demand
Key Trends for Petrochemical Market in 2013
20
World GDP revised to 3.3%, down from 3.5% in January
China’s economy grew at an annualized rate of 7.7% in 1Q, down from 7.9% in 4Q/12
- Crude oil prices expected to remain in the
range of 100-110 usd/bbl following
mixed economic sentiment.
*IMF, Apr 2013
- Phenol price will continue to be
pressured by supply/demand imbalance
with 800kton in 2013, and 1 Mton in
2014 coupled with rising feedstock cost
- Demand should however pick up in 2016
with less capacity addition
Agenda
PTTGC Business Profile
Strategy and Execution
Market Outlook
FY12 Performance Recap
21
Key Financial Highlights YoY Stronger on volume driven
22
2011 2012 % YoY 4Q/2012
Revenue 500,305 562,811 12% 144,595
EBITDA 54,423 55,879 3% 16,281
Net Income 30,033 34,001 13% 10,389
EPS (THB/share) 6.7 7.5 13% 2.3
Adjusted EBITDA* 48,920 55,045 13% 16,312
Note* Exclude impact of inventory value and commodity hedging
Unit in THB million
48%
20%
21%
2% 3% 6%
Segmental Results – FY12 Olefins and Olefins Derivatives Business contributed greatly to EBITDA
23
204
141
105
11 16 23
270
114 116
13 16 33
Refinery Aromatics Olefins andDerivative
Green Phenol Others
FY11 FY12
6.6 4.7
29.6
0.8 3.1 4.1
8.2 8.8
31.6
0.8 1.0
4.6
Refinery Aromatics Olefins andDerivative
Green Phenol Others
FY11 FY12
Unit in THB billion Unit in THB billion
Adjusted EBITDA Margin by Core BU
Revenue Breakdown Adjusted EBITDA Breakdown
15%
16%
57%
2% 2%
8%
FY12 Revenue Breakdown (%) FY12 Adjusted EBITDA Breakdown (%)
Refinery Refinery
Aromatics
Aromatics Olefins
and
Derivatives
Phenol
Green
Green
Phenol Others Others
FY11 FY12
Refinery 3% 3%
Aromatics 3% 8%
Olefins and Derivatives 28% 27%
Phenol 20% 6%
THB
563 Bn
THB
55 Bn
Olefins
and
Derivatives
FCF for Inv. 7,428
FCF for Inv. 9,908
FCF for Inv. 5,992
FCF for Inv. 24,346 2,003
8,146
26,795
30,532
9,431
18,054
32,787
54,878
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
1Q/12 2Q/12 3Q/12 4Q/12
FCF for Inv.Debt Service and DividendCash from Operation
34.6
240.5
238.0
100.8 136.8
60.0 61.2
Strong Financial Position
24
• Free Cash Flow for Investment
• Key Financial Ratios • Dividend – Solid Payout Ratio
As of Dec 31, 2011 As of Dec 31, 2012
THB 436 Billion THB 373 Billion
Cash + ST Investment
CA
PPE
Non CA
Share
holders’
Equity
IBD
Liab.
• Balance Sheet
Dec 31, 11 Dec 31, 12 ROA 8.05% 7.80% ROE 14.41% 14.28% Net IBD / Equity 0.47 0.32 Net IBD / EBITDA 1.79 1.38
FY11 FY12
EPS (Baht/Share) 6.66 7.54
Dividend (Baht/Share) 2.98 3.40
Payout Ratio (%) 45% 45%
THB Million
32.4
235.3
208.5
82.6
120.2
22.6 44.3
2%
44% 54%
11.6 11.9
7.6 9.5
19.2
12.7
7.7
11.7
0.5
30.5
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
PTTGC PPCL Others
Diversified Debt Exposure and Repayment Schedule
25
Cost of long term debts ~ 5.0% (Include W/H Tax)
Average loan life after refinancing - 5.4 Years
Debt Profile as at Dec 31, 2012
Maturity of Financial Debt as at Dec 31, 2012
Debenture
ST Loan
LT Loan
63%
37%
THB
USD & Foreign
62%
38% Floated
Fixed
THB Billion
Agency Credit Rating
Moody’s Baa2
S&P BBB
Treasury policy Net IBD to Equity ratio of ≤ 0.7x
Net IBD to EBITDA ratio of ≤ 2.4x
26
4.0
-2.0
5.1
1.6
10.0
7.5
1.5 1.9 2.9
2.0
6.6
8.2
1Q/12 2Q/12 3Q/12 4Q/12 2011 2012
EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 2011 2012 +/-
Market GRM 3.73 5.94 4.66 4.96 4.71 -5%
Hedging Gain/(Loss) -0.40 0.02 0.63 -0.73 0.35 -148%
Stock Gain/(Loss) Net NRV 1.7 2.51 -0.63 2.50 -0.30 -112%
Accounting GRM 5.03 8.47 4.66 6.73 4.76 -29%
YearQuarter
Refinery BU Performance Market GRM softened QoQ, YoY upon lower spreads, however, sales increased from plant’s smooth run
27
13% 13% 14% 14% 14%
46% 52% 50% 48% 50%
12% 9% 8% 11% 9%
28% 27% 28% 27% 27%
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 FY11 FY12
Total Production Volume in %
Ref+LN+Others
Jet
Diesel
Fuel Oil
149 147 146 131 146
36 55 55
31
51
103% 101% 101%
90%
100%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
0
50
100
150
200
250
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 FY11 FY12
Crude CR+Other feed CDU Rate
Total Intake in KBD CDU Rate
CR+Other
feed
Crude
58 mbbl 69 mbbl
Unit in THB bn
2011 2012
Dubai in 4Q/12 started at 109 usd/bbl and ended at 108 usd/bbl
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 2011 2012 +/-
Dubai crude 106 106 107 106 109 3%
ULG95-Dubai 10 16 14 14 15 7%
Jet-Dubai 18 20 19 19 18 -5%
Diesel-Dubai 17 19 18 18 17 -6%
FO-Dubai -2 -2 -9 -6 -4 -33%
Quarter Year
1.9 1.0
3.4 4.1
6.9
9.6
1.0 1.3 2.3
4.2 4.7
8.8
1Q/12 2Q/12 3Q/12 4Q/12 2011 2012
EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA
28
22% 23% 22% 24% 23%
13% 14% 14% 15% 14%
23% 25% 24% 22% 24%
42% 39% 40% 39% 39%
80%
90% 91% 88% 86%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 FY11 FY12
Total Production Volume in % Total intake in %
LN+Others
CR
BZ+CX PX+Xylene
group
Aromatics BU Performance Strong BZ spread and higher discount on condensate contributed to high margins YoY
84% 89% 84% 84% 86%
16% 11% 16% 16%
14%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 FY11 FY12
Reformate+
Other feed
Condensate
Unit in THB bn
2011 2012
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 2011 2012 +/-
Condensate 923 918 925 926 946 2%
PX FECP-Condensate 560 426 604 615 538 -13%
BZ SPOT KR-Condensate 74 259 431 160 261 63%
Naphtha-Condensate -26 -3 19 12 -3 -125%
Quarter Year
1,360 kton
255 kton
5,082 kton
829 kton
Import
39% Import
30%
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 2011 2012 +/-
P2F 121 243 387 181 257 42%
Hedging Gain/(Loss) 0 0 -5 0 -2 -900%
Stock Gain/(Loss) Net NRV 1 64 -2 35 13 -64%
Accounting P2F 122 307 380 216 268 24%
Quarter Year
29
92%
86% 89%
87% 87%
8% 14% 11% 13% 13%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
4Q11 3Q12 4Q12 FY11 FY12
Gas NaphthaTotal intake
7.2 7.7 8.3 8.4
29.6 31.6
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY11 FY12
Olefins and Olefins Derivatives Adjusted EBITDA in THB bn
Olefins and Olefins Derivatives BU Performance Better performance YoY thanks to higher gas feed while prices were in mixed performance
Price and Spread in USD/ton
Sales Volume in Kton and Utilization Rates
*External sales
+/-Sale Volume
(K Ton)
Utilization
Rate
Sale Volume
(K Ton)
Utilization
Rate
Sale Volume
(K Ton)
Utilization
Rate
Sale Volume
(K Ton)
Utilization
Rate
Sale Volume
(K Ton)
Utilization
Rate
Sales
Volume
Olefins* 172 77% 188 91% 169 88% 737 80% 748 88% 2%
HDPE 181 85% 198 92% 203 100% 758 95% 778 99% 3%
LLDPE 117 113% 111 113% 117 111% 337 89% 396 100% 18%
LDPE 33 59% 96 113% 63 71% 158 56% 273 88% 72%
MEG 87 78% 91 93% 101 96% 279 65% 350 88% 26%
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 20122011
759 928 897 3,222 3,574
Unit: USD/Ton 4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 2011 2012 +/-Naphtha 888 915 944 938 943 1%
HDPE 1,329 1,343 1,393 1,373 1,380 1%
HDPE-Naphtha 441 428 449 434 437 1%
LLDPE 1,217 1,341 1,399 1,339 1,354 1%
LLDEP-Naphtha 328 426 455 401 411 2%
LDPE 1,408 1,327 1,369 1,602 1,362 -15%
LDPE-Naphtha 520 412 425 664 419 -37%
MEG 1,362 1,065 1,247 1,314 1,179 -10%
MEG-0.65 Ethylene 672 285 411 542 379 -30%
81%
19%
Phenol Performance Weaker YoY from lower spreads and BPA unplanned shutdown
30
0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2
3.1
1.0
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY11 FY12
Adjusted EBITDA in THB bn
Sales Volume in Kton and Utilization Rates
Phenol and BPA P2F in USD/ton
USD/Ton4Q/2011 3Q/2012 4Q/2012 2011 2012 YoY
Phenol-BZ 303 264 165 613 267 -57%
BPA-Phenol 241 212 189 384 205 -47%
Phenol and BPA Market Spread in USD/ton
P2F = PH + 0.62 AC – 0.872 BZ – 0.468 PY
P2F = BPA - 0.853 PH – 0.275 AC
YoY
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 2011 2012
Phenol Margin 378 401 366 721 435 -42%
BPA Margin 196 171 167 379 157 -56%
Quarter Year
Sales Portion of all Products in Quantity (%)
21 34 41
133 151
25 33 35
87
110
98%
128% 129%
114% 119%
73%
102%
83% 79% 74%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
4Q/11 3Q/12 4Q/12 2011 2012
Phenol BPA Phenol U-Rate BPA U-Rate
Export
Domestic
Contract 76%
Spot 24%
Contract 86%
Spot 14%