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Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest management and build ecosystem resilience in Nepal’s mountain Dharam Raj Uprety, Ph.D Programme Manager: Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management [email protected] IBFRA 2018, IIASA- Vienna, Austria

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Page 1: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest management and build ecosystem

resilience in Nepal’s mountain

Dharam Raj Uprety, Ph.D

Programme Manager: Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management

[email protected]

IBFRA 2018, IIASA- Vienna, Austria

Page 2: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Contents

• Context/Background

• Major risk/challenges

• Research approach

• Drivers of risk reduction

• Evidences of risk reduction

towards resilience

• Conclusion

Page 3: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Context

• Sustainable Forest management has been the priority of the Government since

1990s

• Total Forest Cover has now reached to 44.7%

• Different Forest Management modality including Community based Forestry

• There are 22,266 CFUGs managing 2+million ha of forest with 2.9 million HHs

as members

• Counting other CBFM, about 30,753 community groups

• Different Forestry Projects and programme are being implemented in Nepal

• Growing awareness and capacity build of forest users about forest management

• One of the most vulnerable country in terms of climate change

• About 70% People rely on forest and agriculture to meet their livelihoods

Page 4: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Context: Major risks/challenges of Mountain forests in

Nepal

• Landslide and road expansion in the mountain

• Migration, and Forest encroachment

• Free rider in government managed forests

• Urbanization and settlements

• Weak forest management mainly in the forest

under GoN control

• Expansion of invasive species and climate

change

2/13/2019 4

Page 5: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Research Approach: Role of Forest- adaptation and mitigation

Adaptation MitigationForests

Reducing emission from

Deforestation and degradation

Increase the role of forest as a

carbon sink

Decrease the vulnerability of critical

forest ecosystem

Decrease the vulnerability of forest

dependent people

Page 6: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Driver 1: Community Based forestry and local institutions

CBFM and area covered CBFM and benefitted HH

22266

30

7484

973

2,907,871864,015

71,753

36,797

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1,000,000

10,000,000

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

CommunityForest

Collaborativeforest

Leaseholdforest

Public LandManagement

log

scale

User Groups Benefitted HHs

22266

30

7484

973

2,237,670

76,012

43,317

2,082

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1,000,000

10,000,000

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

Community

Forest

Collaborative

forest

Leasehold forest Public Land

Management

log

sca

le

User Groups Area covered

Page 7: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Driver 2- Declaration of conservation area at high

mountain region

Page 8: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Analysis of Driver and evidence 1: Increasing forest cover,

and ecosystem services in Sindhupalchok district

1990 2010

2010

44%

20%

25%

11% 38%

37%

22%

3%Agriculture

Barren land

Denseforest

Sparseforest

Grasland

Page 9: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Evidence 2: Ecosystem resilience in Dolakha-Bhimeshor

1989 - 2010

Page 10: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

1990

2010

Forest Cover Change

in

Bhimeshwor Cluster

• Total Forest Area increased by 1138.33 Ha (57 ha/yr)

• Dense Forest increased by 3526.08 Ha (176 ha/yr)

Page 11: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Dadapakhar, Dolakha 1975 - 2010

Page 12: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Namdu, Dolakha 1985 - 2005

Page 13: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Evidence 3: Increased forest cover in Mid-

Mountain: 1992 & 2014

76%

4%

19%1%

1992

77%

4%

18%1%

2014

Forest(Dense/Sparse/bushes/Grass

Waterbodies/Riverbed

Cultivated

Barrenland

Forest area has found increased by 1% in Mid-mountain Region ( study of 36

districts)

Page 14: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Change of Forest Cover in 20 years in Mid- mountain

42.0

5.1

-39.7

-20.0

5.8

-3.8

12.3

-50.0

-40.0

-30.0

-20.0

-10.0

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

Area

in ‘0

00 H

ecta

res

Landcover

A total of 42,000 hectares of Dense forest has increased in mid-mountain

Page 15: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Positive change: Deforestation rate is reduced over 20

years

1.7

0.250.18

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

before 1990 1990-2001 1992-2014

Deforestation rate

Page 16: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Conclusion

• Increase the community involvement in forest management ( 30,753 CBFM) in 2018 which was around 100 in 1990 and hence increase forest area ( 39% to 44.7%) and also contribute to reduce deforestation (from 1.7 to 0.18)

• Community based Forestry is the most appropriate management modality for reducing the risk of critical forest ecosystem loss, and thereby build ecosystem resilience in the face of growing climate induced risk, and vulnerabilities.

Page 17: Analysis of the drivers of risk reduction for cool forest ... · Powerpoint presentation template 2017 Author: Andrea Peterhans Created Date: 2/18/2019 10:16:54 AM

Thank you for your attention

Dr. Dharam Raj Uprety

Dr. Bharat Pokharel

Dr. Rabin Niraula

Contact us

[email protected]