analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

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Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutionsProof of concept demonstrationhttp://www.invenq.com

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Page 1: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

Analysing predicted technology

trends for the year 2012

through text mining solutions

invenQ Proof of concept demonstration

http://www.invenq.com

Page 2: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

2

2010 2011 2012 2013

Publication period of

technology trends for

the forthcoming year

Page 3: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

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2010 2011 2012 2013

Publication period of

technology trends for

the forthcoming year

Deloitte USAToday CNN PCW Sentersix Technocrati

Social Business BlackBerry users continze their exodus Touch Computing Dual-Core processors for smartphones Location based services Tablet war

Serious Games The rise of the 4G LTE networks Social gestures Optical disk drives disappear from laptops Social Networking Social media tablets

Enterprise Mobility IPad3 Mobile Payment Data only and reduced-voice cell phone plans poliferate Mobile Search Social media toolbar

Use Empowerment Rise of facebook as a platform Tablet Facebook accounts become necessary to do more stuff on the web Mobile Commerce Social business

Cloud Smartphones Television Mobile payment Mobile Payment Solar technology

Big Data End of physical media Voice Control Peer-to-peer networking Context aware service Search war

Geospatial Visualisation Spatial Gestures Processing enters the cloud Object recognition Increase in mobile phone capabilities

Digital Identities Second Screen HTML5 Mobile instant messaging

Measured innovation Felxible Screen IPv6 starts rolling out Mobile e-mail

Outside-in Architecture HTML5 Consumers borrow more books, movies and music Mobile video

Fewer and better tablets arrive

Page 4: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

Deloitte USAToday CNN PCW Sentersix Technocrati

Social Business BlackBerry users continze their exodus Touch Computing Dual-Core processors for smartphones Location based services Tablet war

Serious Games The rise of the 4G LTE networks Social gestures Optical disk drives disappear from laptops Social Networking Social media tablets

Enterprise Mobility IPad3 Mobile Payment Data only and reduced-voice cell phone plans poliferate Mobile Search Social media toolbar

Use Empowerment Rise of facebook as a platform Tablet Facebook accounts become necessary to do more stuff on the web Mobile Commerce Social business

Cloud Smartphones Television Mobile payment Mobile Payment Solar technology

Big Data End of physical media Voice Control Peer-to-peer networking Context aware service Search war

Geospatial Visualisation Spatial Gestures Processing enters the cloud Object recognition Increase in mobile phone capabilities

Digital Identities Second Screen HTML5 Mobile instant messaging

Measured innovation Felxible Screen IPv6 starts rolling out Mobile e-mail

Outside-in Architecture HTML5 Consumers borrow more books, movies and music Mobile video

Fewer and better tablets arrive

4

2010 2011 2012 2013

Publication period of

technology trends for

the forthcoming year

Different opinions

Page 5: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

Deloitte USAToday CNN PCW Sentersix Technocrati

Social Business BlackBerry users continze their exodus Touch Computing Dual-Core processors for smartphones Location based services Tablet war

Serious Games The rise of the 4G LTE networks Social gestures Optical disk drives disappear from laptops Social Networking Social media tablets

Enterprise Mobility IPad3 Mobile Payment Data only and reduced-voice cell phone plans poliferate Mobile Search Social media toolbar

Use Empowerment Rise of facebook as a platform Tablet Facebook accounts become necessary to do more stuff on the web Mobile Commerce Social business

Cloud Smartphones Television Mobile payment Mobile Payment Solar technology

Big Data End of physical media Voice Control Peer-to-peer networking Context aware service Search war

Geospatial Visualisation Spatial Gestures Processing enters the cloud Object recognition Increase in mobile phone capabilities

Digital Identities Second Screen HTML5 Mobile instant messaging

Measured innovation Felxible Screen IPv6 starts rolling out Mobile e-mail

Outside-in Architecture HTML5 Consumers borrow more books, movies and music Mobile video

Fewer and better tablets arrive

5

2010 2011 2012 2013

Publication period of

technology trends for

the forthcoming year

Different opinions

How can we combine the different –

sometimes contradicting – opinions?

Page 6: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

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The goal of our research is

to develop a method that helps

aggregate the different predictions

Development Pilot testing Evaluation

Page 7: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

Method of analysis: text mining

• Selection of sources (CNN, PCWorld, Technocrati, Deloitte, USAToday, Sentersix) Text elicitation

• Splitting text into a sequence of words Tokineze text

• Unify words Transform cases

• Removing common words Filter Stopwords

• Creating terms, as a series of consecutive words

• Max length: 3 Generate n-Grams

• Filter words on lenght (min. 2 letters) Further filtering

• Overlapping on words and n-Grams Filter of possible overlappings

• Using visualisation tools (word cloud, scatter plot) Visualisation

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Page 8: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

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Page 11: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

Hypothesis confirmed: Different analyses do have

different focus and priorities

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Page 12: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

Hypothesis confirmed:

Different analyses do have

different focus and priorities

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Correlation is low!

Page 13: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

So, what are the summarised,

predicted hot topics for 2012?

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Page 14: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

So, what are the summarised,

predicted hot topics for 2012?

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Page 15: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

Let’s see in details: reliability of a prediction is weighted by its occurence

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No Surprise: Mobile – Mobile Apps - Users

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Social media will be still important – and Facebook will be more dominant than Google

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Portable media devices

Page 19: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

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Least mentioned: Blackberry? Business???

Page 20: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

2012 t h e Y E AR

o f…

Smart mobile phones

Mobile apps

Social media

Portable devices

Content & Search

Page 21: Analysing predicted technology trends for the year 2012 through text mining solutions

invenQ

http: / /www.invenq.com