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Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
FUTURE WORK
Nici Zimmermann, Kaveh Dianati and Mike Davies
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
HEW future
Past– Pilot project– Participatory mapping– Quantitative system dynamics– Interactive learning environment– Module (10 lectures)
Future– Continuously piloting new
approaches– Scenarios of uncertainty– Policy work– Organisational decision-making
in housing (values, identity,attention)
– Master‘s course– Transdisciplinary research– ...
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
THE HOUSING CRISIS IN LONDONA SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL
PhD Research Proposal by Kaveh DianatiSupervisors: Nici Zimmermann, Mike Davies
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Research motivation
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Housing affordability
2
4
6
8
10
12
1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015
Ratio of median house price to median earnings
LONDON
ENGLAND
Source: DCLG table 577
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Tenure patterns
-
4.000
8.000
12.000
16.000
20.000
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012
Dwelling stock by tenure (in thousands, 1980-2014)
Owner occupied
Private Rental
Local Authorities
Housing Associations
Source: DCLG table 101
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Research objective and method
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Research objective and method
Objective: To describe the underlying socio-economic structure responsible for the
housing crisis in London
Method: Create a System Dynamics model that can endogenously reproduce past
trends Use the model to explain the current situation Simulate into the future to speculate how the situation may unfold under
BAU Use the model to test various sets of policies
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Research framework
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Research framework
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
The model
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Preliminary insights
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Bite-size insightsThe price-rent loop
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Bite-size InsightsThe price-rent loop
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Bite-size InsightsThe price-rent loop
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Bite-size InsightsDebt accumulation
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
Platform grant plans
• Complex Built Environment Systems– Complexity and context
• Unintended Consequences of Decarbonising the Built Environment– Challenges
• Built Environment Systems Thinking– Integrated solutions
• Mechanisms• Dynamics• Soft AND hard factors• Microworld and connector management of interdisciplinarity• Content areas: moisture, healthy buildings, …
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
EVALUATION AND MOVING FORWARD QUESTIONNAIRE
Mike Davies
Integrated decision-making about Housing Energy and Wellbeing (HEW)4th stakeholder workshop
CLOSING REMARKS
Mike Davies
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