turkish state meteorological service research …4].pdf10 september 2014 durres - albania . database...

TURKISH STATE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE

RESEARCH DEPARTMENT

METEOROLOGICAL DISASTERS DIVISION

Dr. Abdullah CEYLAN

Acting Director of Meteorological Disasters Division

10 September 2014

Durres - Albania

DATABASE FOR METEOROLOGICAL DISASTERS

3 3 June 1948 – Amasya - 92 people died

Disasters on the news

4

Disasters on the news

Newspaper archive:

1919- present

11 September 1957 133 people died

ELECTRONIC LIBRARY

Inguiry

Topics

Abstracts

Hazard and impact maps related to observed meteorological disasters

for the period of 1940-2013 over Turkey.

Hazard Maps for Meteorological Disasters

Temporal and Spatial Distribution of

Meteorological Disasters

Recurrence analysis of extreme meteorological events for 2,

5, 10, 20, 50 and 100-year intervals.

Recurrence Analysis of Extreme Events

IMPACT OF FLOOD ON AGRICULTURE (1940-2010)

IMPACT OF FLOOD ON AGRICULTURE (1940-2010)

11

IMPACT OF FLOOD ON TRANSPORTATION (1940-2010)

Meteorolojik Afet Etki Haritaları

Impact of Meteorological

Disasters on Settlements (2012)

Preparation of Annual Assesment Report

Annual bulletin will be prepared on frequency and intensity

of observed meteorological disasters as well as loss of life and property resulting from these disasters.

Early Meteorological Warning System for Forest Fires (MEUS)

Works related to Early Meteorological Warning System for Forest

Fires (MEUS) being implemented in coordination with General

Directorate of Forestry.

FORECASTING FLOOD

USING ECMWF/WRF

FORECAST DATA OF

PRECIPITATION

We have used only significant flood records which cause loss of life and economic

losses. Observations of extraordinary weather records related to some other hazards such as hail, avalanche, intensive rainfall have been archived in database servers at the Turkish State Meteorological Service since 1940.

Forecasting Urban Floods

Study on forecasting urban flood risk are in the preliminary phase.

In this study, it is aimed to predeterminate the areas which may

experience floods and to warn sectors to be effected. Threshold values

were computed for each station by using disaster records of 182 TSMS

stations for the period of 1980-2006 and 3-10 days’ precipitation

outputs of the ECMWF forecasting model (matrix of 153x49 grid points)

are used in the model.

17

18 09 February 2013 - Muğla

19

20

14-15 March 2013, Antalya

T.C.

ORMAN VE SU İŞLERİ BAKANLIĞI METEOROLOJİ GENEL MÜDÜRLÜĞÜ

DROUGHT MONITORING AND PREDICTION

23

T.C.

ORMAN VE SU İŞLERİ BAKANLIĞI METEOROLOJİ GENEL MÜDÜRLÜĞÜ

24/68

SPEI

Standardised Precipitation-Evapotranspiration

Index

25

SPEI

-25

-20

-20

-15

-15

-15

-15

-15

-15

-15

-15

-15

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10-10

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

-5

00

0

00

0

00

0

0 0 0

0

0

0

0

0 00

00

0

0

0 0 0 00 0

00

0 0

0

00

0

0 00

0

0

0

0

00

0

0

0

0 00

0

0

000

0

00 0

0

55

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

55

5

5

5

5

5

55

55

5

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

1010 1

0

101

0

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

20

20

20

25

Yıl-Ay

Tim

e S

cale

(a)

17244 - Konya (PDSI)

1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2009

10

20

30

40

50

60

27

THANK YOU

Turkish State Meteorological Service Research Department

Meteorological Disasters Division

disaster@mgm.gov.tr