shrinking urchins: two-phase experiment kathy ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz proteomics and...

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Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Proteomics and Biomedicine Group

School of Biological Sciences

Shrinking sea-urchins in a high CO2 world: a two-phase experimental design

Shrinking sea-urchins in a high CO2 world: a two-phase experimental design

Kathy Ruggiero

2 December 2009

Richard Jarrett

CSIRO, Division of Mathematics, Informatics and Statistics

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Two experiments

Walk with me…

Phase 1 Experiment: Simulate a high CO2 world

Phase 2 Experiment: Measure gene expression

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Global warming’s evil twin

Where does all the CO2 go?

• Some CO2 remains in the atmosphere

• Some is taken up by terrestrial plants

• And, some is absorbed by seawater

CO2 absorption

Ocean pH

“Ocean acidification”

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Effects of ocean acidification

Air + 500 + 1000 + 2000 + 5000 + 10000

CO2 in ppm

Molecular mechanisms?

Abnormal morphology• ↓ ability to build shells and skeletal structures

• Swimming, feeding and survival affected

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Parent-pair

Where babies come from

Phase 1 experiment

http://weboflife.nasa.gov/images/urchin.jpg

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Different CO2 worlds

Phase 1 experiment

http://uncw.edu/aquaculture/images/Larval-rearing-tanks.jpg

Divide into 3 cultures

Mid = 540 ppm

High = 970 ppm

Control = 300ppm (current level)

15 ºC

Until 4-arm stage

http://www.ceoe.udel.edu/Antarctica/pluticon.jpg

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

…and warmer oceans

• Split into 5 subsamples

• Subjected to heat stress

Phase 1 experiment

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Phase 1 experiment

…and warmer oceans

• Split into 5 subsamples

• Subject to heat stress

11ºC 15ºC 19ºC 21ºC 24ºC

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Phase 1 experiment

Control

11ºC 15ºC 19ºC 21ºC 24ºC

Mid

11ºC 15ºC 19ºC 21ºC 24ºC

High

11ºC 15ºC 19ºC 21ºC 24ºC

Design summary

x 4

60 samples

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Phase 2 experiment

Measure gene expression

Mid

11ºC

High

15ºC

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Phase 2 experiment

Measure gene expression

Mid

11ºC

High

15ºC

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Phase 2 experiment

Measure gene expression

Mid

11ºC

High

15ºC

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Phase 2 experiment

Measure gene expression

Mid

11ºC

High

15ºC

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

The dilemma

Control

11ºC 15ºC 19ºC 21ºC 24ºC

Mid

11ºC 15ºC 19ºC 21ºC 24ºC

High

11ºC 15ºC 19ºC 21ºC 24ºC

How to pair 60 samples on 30 arrays?

x 4

60 samples

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

ANOVA table

Source d.f.

Between Parent-pairs (PP) 3

Between Cultures in PP 8

Between Subsamples in Cultures in PP 48

CO2 2

Residual 6

HST.CO2 8

Residual 36

HST 4

Total (adj.) 59

Phase 1 design Var Compts

in EMS2 2 2, ,P C

2 2,C

2

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

The challenge

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Design considerations at Phase 2

• CO2 x HST at Phase 1– Estimated between subsamples within cultures within

parent pairs– Want subsamples arrays

Only 2 samples per array So, in our dreams!

“We are most interested in how the response to heat

stress differs between CO2 levels.”

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Design considerations at Phase 2

• CO2 x HST at Phase 1– Estimated between subsamples within cultures within

parent pairs– Want subsamples arrays (as much as possible)

– What if difference is between CO2 levels? CO2 main effect confounded with arrays

Estimated with low precision Only 6 d.f. (at most from Phase 1) to estimate Between

Cultures Expected Mean Square

“We are most interested in how the response to heat

stress differs between CO2 levels.”

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Heat stressed samples Arrays

Group arrays into 6 “sets” of 5

11

15

1921

24

11

19

2415

21Loop 1 Loop 2

11 15 19 21 2415 19 21 24 11

11 15 19 21 2419 21 24 11 15

Set 1 Set 2

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Heat stress samples Arrays

Group arrays into 6 “sets” of 5

11

15

1921

24

11

19

2415

21Loop 1 Loop 2

Balanced incomplete block design w.r.t. heat stress

11 15 19 21 2415 19 21 24 11

11 15 19 21 2419 21 24 11 15

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

6 sets of 5 arraysSet of Arrays

1

2

3

4

5

6

Array1 2 3 4 5

Loop 1

Loop 2

Loop 1

Loop 2

Loop 1

Loop 2

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

BIB design w.r.t. Parent-pair (PP)Set of Arrays

1

2

3

4

5

6

11 15 19 21 2415 19 21 24 11

11 15 19 21 2419 21 24 11 15

11 15 19 21 2415 19 21 24 11

11 15 19 21 2419 21 24 11 15

11 15 19 21 2415 19 21 24 11

11 15 19 21 2419 21 24 11 15

Array1 2 3 4 5 PP CO2

12

34

CC

CC

24

13

MM

MM

41

23

HH

HH

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Parent-pairs (1 vs 2, 3 vs 4) 2 0.667 2 2 2, ,P C Parent-pairs (1+2 vs 3+4) 1 0.556 2 2 2, ,P C

Between Arrays within Sets 24

HST 4 0.375

Within Arrays 29

ANOVA table

Between Sets 5

Total (adj.) 59

CO2 2Parent-pairs 3 0.333

Source d.f. Efficiency Var Compts in EMS

Error 15

2 2 2 2, , ,A P C

HST.CO2 8 0.375Error 12 2 2 2, ,A P

HST 4 0.625 2HST.CO2 8 0.625 2

2 2 2, ,P C

Dye 1 0.111 2 2 2, ,P C

2 2 2 2, , ,A P C

2 2,A 2 2,A

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Design considerations at Phase 2

• An alternative– Consider CO2 at Phase 1

– Estimated between cultures within parent pairs– Want cultures arrays (as much as possible)

– Confound parent pair (PP) with arrays Odd number of samples (15) per PP Must co-hybridize some samples from different PP

“We are most interested in how the response to heat

stress differs between CO2 levels.”

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Two designsSet of Arrays

1

2

3

4

5

6

11 15 19 21 2415 19 21 24 11

11 15 19 21 2419 21 24 11 15

11 15 19 21 2415 19 21 24 11

11 15 19 21 2419 21 24 11 15

11 15 19 21 2415 19 21 24 11

11 15 19 21 2419 21 24 11 15

Array1 2 3 4 5 PP CO2

Design 2

1 C1 M

2 M2 H

3 H3 C

4 C4 M

1 M3 H

2 H4 C

PP CO2

Design 1

1 C2 C

3 C4 C

2 M4 M

1 M3 M

4 H1 H

2 H3 H

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

How do they compare?

Efficiencies

CO2 1, but in top “stratum” ?

HST 0.625 0.428 - 0.594

CO2.HST 0.625 0.307 - 0.428

Effect Design 1 Design 2

Not canonical efficiencies, but based on efficiencies of particular chosen contrasts.

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

In closing…

• Consider Phase 1 design when designing Phase

2 experiment

• Construct EMS for each design

• How do things change if Arrays are considered a

random effect?

• How do things change if we fit Cultures ignoring

Arrays followed by Arrays eliminating cultures?

• How do we do this in LIMMA?

Shrinking urchins: two-phase experimentKathy Ruggiero k.ruggiero@auckland.ac.nz

Acknowledgements

Dr Mary Sewell (University of Auckland)

Prof Gretchen Hofmann (UC, Santa Barbara)

Dr Anne Todgham (San Francisco State University)

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