saprezentacio filei ( e n g)

National-wide survey of political attitudes and approaches towards ongoing processes

2011, 11–22 November

Institute of Social Studies and Analysis

Georgian Development Research Institute

The Institute of Social Studies and Analysis carried out the

national-wide survey of political attitudes and approaches

towards ongoing processes in Georgia by the voting-age

population (age of 18 and more) on November 11-22, 2011.

• Approximately 3000 respondents were interviewed in 11 regions of Georgia including Tbilisi. The multi-stage cluster sampling methods model was applied. Respondents were selected in the families (households) based on random selection principles. In each region the sample unit were distributed with such proportions that the results would have been representative for each region. For the whole sample Margin of Error does not exceed 1.8% with 95% of reliability. The interviews were based on face to face method. The survey provided maximum of anonymity for the respondents.

KEY FINDIGS OF THE SURVEY

Georgian Orthodox Church

The ministry of Interior

NGOs

The Defence Ministry

The Presidential institution

Tbilisi City Hall

The Ministry of Education

The Government of Georgia

Georgian media

The Parliament of Georgia

Taxation services

Tbilisi City Assembly

Prosecutor’s office

The Ministry of Healthcare

Georgian Court

1.80

0.70

0.60

0.60

0.30

0.30

0.20

0.20

0.20

0.10

0.10

0.00

0.10

0.10

0.10

Evaluation of the activities of different institutions and structures

(means on five point scale: -2 “very negative; +2 “very posi-tive”)

PositiveNegative

Not sup-port at all37%

Not support rather than support16%

Neutral27%

More sup-port

rather than not sup-port8%

Support completely5%

Difficult to answer7%

Do you support the decision according to which the number of MPs should be increased up to 190?

Definitely

I think I will

I don’t think I will

I decided not to

Refuse to answer

I don’t know/ Haven’t decided yet

77.7

11.4

2.0

4.7

0.4

3.8

Would you participate in the forthcoming parliamentary elections in 2012?

It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the elections

It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the revolution before the elections

It is acceptable to change the ruling power through the revolution if the government falsifies the results of the

elections

I consider it currently impossible to change the lead-ership at all

Difficult to answer

75.7

3.2

3.6

12.2

5.3

Which way is acceptable for changing of ruling power?

Tota

lly s

up...

Rath

er s

upp.

..

Rath

er n

ot ..

.

Tota

lly n

ot...

Diffi

cult

to...

33.4

22.9

13.6 13.1

17.0

Chart Title

Bidzina Ivanishvili decided to enter politics, to create his political force and to participate in the 2012 parliamentary elections. Do

you support this decision?

Extr

emel

y po

s...

Mor

e po

sitiv

e...

Nei

ther

pos

iti...

Mor

e ne

gativ

e...

Extr

emly

neg

a...

Diffi

cult

to a

n...

24.122.1 21.4

10.28.3

13.9

How would you evaluate Bidzina Ivanishvili’s first steps in the politics?

A new political force will enter politics and that will change the existing situation in the country for the

better

The current situation will not change in the country after Ivanishvili’s coming into politics

After Ivanishvili’s coming into politics the existing situation in the country will be worsen

Difficult to answer

52.8

16.1

8.0

23.0

Please answer, what are your expectations with Bidzina Ivanishvili coming into politics for the future development of the country?

United National MovementBidzina Ivanishvili’s Party

Christian-Democratic MovementLabour Party

Free DemocratsRepublican PartyNew Rights Party

National ForumDemocratic Movement- United Georgia

Georgian PartyTopadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia

People’s PartyGeorgian Democratic Party

Georgian TroupeNational-Democratic Party

Conservative PartyGeorgian way

None from the listed (I would cross out ev-eryone)

I wold not participate in votingRefuse to answer

Difficult to answer

36.032.0

4.31.61.5

0.80.60.60.30.20.20.20.10.10.10.10.1

2.22.83.4

12.8

If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly?

Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party

Christian-Democratic Movement

United National Movement

Free Democrats

Labour Party

National Forum

Republican Party

New Rights Party

Democratic Movement- United Georgia

Georgian Party

Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia

People’s Party

Georgian Democratic Party

Conservative Party

National-Democratic Party

Georgian Troupe

Georgian way

None from the listed (I would cross out everyone)

I wold not participate in voting

Refuse to answer

Difficult to answer

12.412.2

8.85.7

3.52.5

2.01.3

0.90.80.60.50.40.20.10.10.1

7.33.5

5.831.0

If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow which political party would you vote for secondly?

If you had a second choice which political party would you vote for?

If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly?

Bidzina Ivanishvili’s

Party

United National Movement

Christian-Democratic Movement

New Rights Party 0.3% 0.7% 0.2%

Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party 2.4% 0.9%

Democratic Movement- United Georgia 0.8% 0.1%

United National Movement 3.3% 1.0%

National-Democratic Party 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

National Forum 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%

Free Democrats 3.3% 1.4% 0.3%

Topadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia 0.5% 0.1%

Labour Party 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%

Republican Party 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Georgian way 0.0% 0.0%

Georgian Party 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Christian-Democratic Movement 4.3% 6.8%

Georgian Troupe 0.0% 0.1%

We-Ourselves 0.1%

People’s Party 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

None from the listed 6.7% 3.5% 0.2%

Refuse to answer 0.6% 1.8% 0.1%

Difficult to answer 7.8% 10.0% 0.9%

Ivanishvili BidzinaSaakashvili Mikheil

Alasania IrakliTargamadze Giorgi

Ugulava gigiNatelashvili Shalva

Okruashvili IrakliGilauri Nika

Usupashvili DavidBurjanadze NinoBakradze DavidShartava Kakha

Gamkrelidze DavidSanikidze Gubaz

OtherNone

Refuse to answerDifficult to answer

2.91.5

1.00.9

0.80.20.20.2

0.10.2

0.10.2

0.10.20.20.1

1.75.7

Whom do you want to see as a Prime-Minister in the country from 2013 ?

Data is calculated according to the respondents who indicated “difficult to answer” (12.8%) or re-fused to answer (3.4%) the question- “which political party would you vote for in parliamentary

elections? (totally 16.2%)

Ivanishvili Bidzina

Ugulava Gigi

Alasania ikarli

Targamadze Gioergi

Bakradze David

Other

None

Refuse to answer

Difficult to answer

3.8

0.9

0.8

0.4

0.1

0.5

0.2

1.5

8

Whom you would like to see as Georgia’s President after Michael Saakashvili resigns?

Data is calculated according to the respondents who indicated “difficult to answer” (12.8%) or re-fused to answer (3.4%) the question- “which political party would you vote for in parliamentary

elections? (totally 16.2%)

Tbilisi

Imereti

Kvemo Kartli

Kakheti

Samegrelo & Zemo svaneti

Achara

Shida Kartli

Samtskhe-Javakheti

Guria

Mtskheta-mtianeti

Racha-lechkhumi & kvemo svaneti

39.6

43.8

24.0

35.8

8.4

27.8

33.9

15.2

24.6

41.8

39.8

23.9

30.7

46.3

34.9

52.7

35.9

42.9

71.7

22.2

21.2

42.1

2.0

2.0

0.8

0.8

0.9

0.6

6.1

1.8

2.4

7.2

5.0

5.2

10.5

5.1

4.5

3.0

1.2

3.0

2.9

If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly?

(Data according to regional section)

New Rights Party Bidzina Ivanishvili’s Party United National Movement Free Democrats Labour Party

Republican Party Christian-Democratic Movement

Employed Public Sector

Employed Private Sector

Self-employed

Student / pensioner

Unemployed

21.3

37.0

41.3

37.7

36.4

52.1

28.1

27.4

32.6

29.6

1.9

3.9

4.7

4.0

4.9

3.1

4.4

3.3

3.4

2.6

12.8

12.6

11.0

12.0

14.6

3.4

4.4

3.5

If parliamentary elections are held tomorrow, which political party would you vote for firstly?

(Data according to employment section)

New Rights Party Bidzina Ivanishvili’s PartyUnited National Movement National Forum Free Democrats Labour Party Republican Party Christian-Democratic Movement None from the listed (I would cross out everyone) I wold not participate in votingRefuse to answer Difficult to answer

Which political party you would not vote at all?

Democratic Movement- United GeorgiaUnited National Movement

Labour PartyGeorgian Party

Georgian Democratic PartyBidzina Ivanishvili’s Party

Christian-Democratic MovementNew Rights Party

Georgian wayGeorgian Troupe

National-Democratic PartyFree Democrats

Topadze- Industrialists Save the GeorgiaWe-Ourselves

Conservative PartyRepublican Party

People’s PartyNational Forum

Levan GachechiladzeNone from the listed

There is no such party Difficult to answer

16.513.6

11.32.72.62.32.11.81.71.51.21.00.80.80.70.60.60.40.2

2.09.8

25.9

Bidzina Ivanishvili already named political partners with whom he would actively cooperate: Free Democrats (Irakli Alasania) and

Republican Party (Davit Usufashvili). In your opinion how justified is his choice?

Fully justy-fied 11%

More justyfied than un-justyfied

28%

More un-justyfied

than justy-fied 20%

Fully unjustyfied11%

Difficult to answer

31%

Chart Title

If the elections are held fairly, will Bidzina Ivanishvili’s political force have enough recourses to compete with:

United National Movement

Other opposition parties

60.6

70.4

25.1

14.7

14.3

14.9

YesNoDifficult to answer

Yes59.1%

No15.4%

Difficult to answer25.6%

Do you think that the parliamentary elections planed for October 2012 will be held fairly?

Ruling power

43%

The

opposition38%

None of them2%

Difficult to answer17%

Who will have most support of the population in upcoming parliamentary elections – more ruling power, or more op-

position?

United National MovementBidzina Ivanishvili’s Party

Christian-Democratic MovementFree Democrats

Labour PartyRepublican PartyNew Rights Party

National ForumDemocratic Movement- United Georgia

Georgian PartyTopadze- Industrialists Save the Georgia

People’s PartyConservative Party

Georgian TroupeNational-Democratic PartyGeorgian Democratic Party

We-OurselvesGeorgian way

Refuse to answerDifficult to answer

26.021.4

14.77.9

4.43.6

2.41.8

1.31.2

0.80.70.50.40.30.30.20.1

1.410.7

Which political force will overcome the 5% barrier in the forthcoming parliamentary elections?

Positively

More positively than negatively

Neither positively nor negatively

More negatively than positively

Negatively

Difficult to answer

Refuse to answer

22.1

16.9

18.2

9.7

26.1

1.3

5.7

How would you evaluate the possibility of Michael Saakashvili staying in power after his Presidential term would expire in 2013?

Ivanishvili BidzinaSaakashvili Michael

Alasania IrakliTargamadze Giorgi

Ugulava GigiNatelashvili Shalva

Okruashvili IrakliGilauri Nika

Usupashvili DavidBurjanadze NinoBakradze DavidShartava Kakha

Gamkrelidze DavidSanikidze GubazDzidziguri Zviad

Gachechiladze LevanOthernone

Refuse to answerDifficult to answer

26.124.2

7.86.8

6.41.61.61.4

1.110.90.80.60.60.4

0.10.9

0.53.4

13.8

Whom would you want to be a Prime-Minister of Georgia from 2013?

Ivanishvili BidzinaUgulava Gigi

Alasania IrakliTargamadze Giorgi

Bakradze DavidNatelashvili ShalvaGamkrelidze David

Okruashvili IrakliUsupashvili David

Burjanadze NinoSanikidze GubazShartava Kakha

Gachechiladze LevanDzidziguri Zviad

Othernone

Refuse to answerDifficult to answer

31.812.7

9.37.1

2.31.5

10.90.90.80.60.5

0.20.1

1.40.9

3.923.9

Whom would you like to be Georgia’s President after Michael Saakashvili resigns?

UnemploymentLost teritories

PovertyProduct price increase

High prices for healthcareHigh utility prices

Low pentionsHigh prices for medication

Cutting contacts with russiaExpanssive transportation fares

Bank lawn burdenAbuse of fundamental human rights

Unavailability of fair and independent trialHard conditions for inmates

Environmental problemsElite corruption

Overcoming fear in the societyNo prospects for integrating into NATO or EU

Pressure on mediaOne party governance in the country

Poor conditions of the roadsUnsecured safety of the country

OtherDifficult to answer

19.113.4

10.29.9

8.17.5

6.45.2

3.63.3

2.11.71.6

1.11

0.80.80.80.80.80.7

0.50.3

0.1

Solution of which problems should be pripority for a political party or a politician today?

Fully possible

16%

More possible rather

than not

possible 29%

Rather not

possible than

possible 21%

Fully im-

possi-ble

24%

Difficult to answer10%

In case of staying in power, how it would be possible that the ruling party would solve problems mentioned by you?

Fully possible

26%

Rather possible than not possible 31%

Rather not pos-

sible than

possible 14%

Fully impos-sible6%

Difficult to answer23%

In case of coming into power how it would be possible that Bidz-ina Ivanishvili’s party would solve the problems mentioned by

you?

Bidzina Ivanishvili's partyUnited National Movement

Christian-Democtatic Movement Our Georgia- Free Democrats

Republican Party National Forum

Industrialists Save Georgia People’s Party Labour’s Party

New Rights Par ty Conservative Party

Georgian Troupe We- Ourselves

For United Georgia Whites Party

National-Democratic Party Georgia’s Way

Georgian Democratic Party United Georgia

0.700.30

0.240.16

0.070.15

0.320.360.37

0.410.43

0.530.64

0.680.730.730.74

0.781.02

Do you have positive or negative attitudes towards to each political party?

(means on five point scale: -2 “very negative”, +2 “very positive”)

PositiveNegative

Shalva Natelashvili

Irakli Alasania

Photo reporters

Vakhtang Maisaia

Bizina Ivanishvili

Irakli Okruashvili

Kakha Bendukidze

Erosi Kitsmarishvili

Zurab Nogaideli

Nino Burjanadze

0.95

0.84

0.81

0.65

0.62

0.25

0.18

0.06

0.22

0.23

How fair are allegations of being Russian agent towards the persons listed below ?

(means on four point scale: below zero “totally fair”, above zero “totally

unfair”)

Unfair

Fair

Adj

ara

tele

visi

on

Imed

i

Kavk

asia

I Cha

nnel

II ch

anne

l

Firs

t Cau

casi

an

Mae

stro

Real

TV

Rust

avi 2

1.29

2.37 2.00 1.67 1.44 1.742.16

1.512.45

65.2

14.3

39.9 41.3

72.1 80.5

47.167.2

13.7

how often do you use news programs on various TV channels? (means on three point scale: 1- “rarely”, 2 – “More or less of-

ten”, 3 – “very often”)

Mean Do not watch, percentage %Tbilisi

Rustavi 2

Maestro

Imedi

Kavkasia

I Channel

First C

aucasia

n

Adjara televisio

n

Real TV

Patriarch

ate TV

II Channel

Trust

neither o

f them

Difficu

lt to answ

er0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

18.3

14.912.7

8.9

3.01.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1

27.5

12.2

Which TV channel do you trust mostly??

Tbilisi

Thank you

for your attention