risk management for adults

Risk Management for Adults

@cl0d

Warg

am

es

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[ ]Claudio Sabia

Founder at OptionFactory

10+ years experience in ICT security and software dev D

oct

or

who -

19

63

Danger is very real,but fear is a choice

Aft

er

eart

h -

20

13

Labyri

nth

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6

People prefer to be wrong than in doubt

Thelm

a &

Louis

e -

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91

Why?

20

01

: A

space

odyss

ey -

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Choice-supportive bias

The M

atr

ix -

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99

Hindsight bias

The u

sual su

spect

s -

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95

Normalcy bias

Donnie

Dark

o -

20

01

Ostrich effect

The inte

rnsh

ip -

20

13

What about organizations?

Eyes

wid

e s

hut

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99

9

Hindsight bias

The h

itch

hik

er’

s guid

e t

o t

he g

ala

xy -

20

05

Hindsight is always twenty-twenty

-- Billy Wilder

Ostrich effect

Weeke

nd a

t B

ern

ie’s

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9

The W

izard

of

Oz

- 1

93

9

Choice supportive bias

Normalcy bias

Lots of folks confuse bad management with destiny

-- Kin Hubbard

Back

to t

he f

utu

re -

19

85

Sta

r Tr

ek:

the m

oti

on p

ictu

re -

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Space-time bending

● Choice-supportive bias

● Ostrich effect

● Normalcy bias

● Hindsight bias

Antidotes

House

- 2

00

4:2

01

2

Ince

pti

on -

20

10

Debiasing

Socr

ate

s -

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71

Naming

Analysis

Sherl

ock

– 2

01

0

Exc

alib

ur

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98

1

Ownership & Accountability

India

na Jones

and t

he t

em

ple

of

Doom

- 1

98

4We have options

The a

vengers

- 2

01

2

Collaboration

Transparency

Ponyo -

20

08

Wall

stre

et

- 1

98

7

Real Options

The s

hin

ing -

19

80

Resilience rather than Robustness

In any given moment, we have two options: to step forward into growth or to step back into safety

--Abraham Maslow

Slid

ing d

oors

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8

Bam

bi -

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42

The persons and events in this motion picture are fictitious.Any similarity to actual persons or events is unintentional.

Where you can find me:@cl0d

claudio.sabia@optionfactory.netwww.optionfactory.net

Thanks

References

Arm

y o

f dark

ness

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Barry Schwartz - The paradox of choice

Daniel Kahneman - Thinking fast and slow

Tom DeMarco, Tim Lister - Waltzing with bears

Tim Lister - Risk Management Is Project Management For Grown-ups

Olav Maassen - Commitment

Dave Snowden - Managing under conditions of uncertainty

Ryan Hanisco - Building Agile Accountability