oceans of opportunity harnessing europes largest domestic energy resource european offshore wind...

Oceans of opportunityHarnessing Europe’s largest domestic energy resource

European Offshore Wind Conference 200916 September 2009

Justin Wilkes

Head of Regulatory Affairs

European Wind Energy Association

• The offshore wind power market– current status– future developments

• National policies and programmes

Outline

• The offshore wind power market– current status– future developments

• National policies and programmes

Outline

End 2008: 1.5 GW offshore – 8 EU countries

Offshore – current status

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)2008 and 2009: steady as she goes

2008: • 366 MW annual installed offshore capacity• 1,471 MW cumulative installed offshore capacity

2009:• 420 MW annual installed offshore capacity• 2,000 MW cumulative installed offshore capacity

• The offshore wind power market– current status– future developments

• National policies and programmes

Outline

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)

Offshore wind energy market in the EU in 2010

• Annual installations of 1,100 MW• Cumulative installed capacity of 3,000 MW• Electricity production of 11 TWh• Meeting 0.3% of total EU electricity demand

• Avoiding 7 Mt of CO² annually

• Annual investments in wind turbines of €2.5 billion

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)

2011 – 2020: steady growth of offshore market

Offshore wind energy annual and cumulative installations 2011-2020 (MW)

Source: EWEA 2009

• 2011: annual installations of 1.5 GW• 2020: annual installations of 6.9 GW• 2020: cumulative installations of 40 GW

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)

Offshore market growth to follow the onshore pattern

Source: EWEA 2009

Historical onshore growth 1992-2004 compared to EWEA‘s offshore projection 2008-2020 (MW)

• Onshore market growth:32%

• Offshore market growth:28%

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)

2021 - 2030: steady growth of offshore market

• 2021: annual installations of 7.7 GW• 2030: annual installtions of 13.6 GW• 2030: cumulative installations of 150 GW

Offshore wind energy annual and cumulative installations 2021-2030 (MW)

Source: EWEA 2009

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)100 GW and counting

EWEA has identified proposals for over 100 GW of offshore wind projects in European waters:

• This would meet 10% of EU electricity demand• This would avoid 200Mt of CO² annually

•100+ GW shows the significant level of developer interest

EWEA prediction:40 GW by 2020150 GW by 2030

• The offshore wind power market– current status– future developments

• National policies and programmes

Outline

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

• Online: 25.2 MW• Current pipeline: 3,755 MW• Total: 3,780.2 MW

Ireland

Source: EWEA 2009

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

United Kingdom

Source: EWEA 2009

• Online: 597.8 MW• Under construction: 1,246 MW• Current pipeline: 13,861 MW• R1, R2, STW + misc total: 15,704.8 MW• UK Round 3: 25,500 MW

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

• 2020 target : 6,000 MW• Online: 246.8 MW• Under construction: 200 MW• Current pipeline: 4,615 MW• Total: 5,061.8 MW

The Netherlands

Source: EWEA 2009

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

• 2020 target: 2,000 MW• Online: 30 MW• Under construction: 600 MW• Current pipeline: 1,114 MW• Total: 1,744 MW

Belgium

Source: EWEA 2009

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

France

Source: EWEA 2009

• 2020 target: 6,000 MW• Under construction: 105 MW• Current pipeline: >4,925.5 MW• Total: >5,030.5 MW

Mediterranean

Atlantic

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

• Objective 2025: 25,000 MW• Online: 12 MW (all near shore)• Under construction: 1,002.5 MW• Pipeline: 23,708 MW• Total: 25,322.5 MW

Germany

Source: EWEA 2009

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

• Online: 409.15 MW• Under construction: 459.2 MW• Current pipeline: > 1,218 MW• Total: > 2,086.35 MW

Denmark

Source: EWEA 2009

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

• Online: 133.2 MW• Under construction: 30 MW• Current pipeline: 10,850 MW• Total: 11,013.2 MW

Sweden

Source: EWEA 2009

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

• Objective 2020: 1,000 MW• Online: 24 MW• Current pipeline: 1,306 MW• Total: 1,330 MW

Finland

Source: EWEA 2009

Global cumulative wind power capacity 1990-2007 (MW)Country breakdown

• Online: 2.3 MW• Current pipeline: 11,296 MW• Total: 11,298.3 MW

Norway

Source: EWEA 2009

Country breakdown

Source: EWEA 2009

•Online: 0 MW• Current pipeline:

•Spain: 4,965 MW•Portugal: 301 MW

Global cumulative wind power capacity Spain & Portugal

W)

Spanish Offshore wind zoning exercise

Country breakdown

Source: EWEA 2009

Italy & Malta (Croatia & Albania)

•Online: 0 MW• Under construction: 83 MW• Current pipeline: 8,886.8 MW• Total: 8,969.8 MW

Thank you very much for your attention

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