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Investing with external managers

The 20 year reviewNBIM Talk, 16 April 2020

Norges Bank Investment Management

2

The mandates

3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Regional Sector Small-cap Emerging Environmental

Number of mandates by mandate strategy

4

Market value of mandates since inception. Billion kroner

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Regional Sector Small-cap Emerging Environmental

5

Number of mandates by type of organisation

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Insurance/Bank owned managers Partnership/Private companiesPublic asset management companies

6

Number of mandates by size of organisation

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Large MidSize Small

7

Mexico City, Mexico

Bogota, Colombia

Santiago, Chile

Sao Paulo, BrazilRio de Janeiro, Brazil

Cape Town, South AfricaJohannesburg, South Africa

Nairobi, Kenya

Mumbai, India

Colombo, Sri Lanka

Jakarta, Indonesia

Sydney, Australia

Wellington, New Zealand

Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Dhaka, Bangladesh Ho Chi Minh,

Vietnam

Manila, Philippines

Shanghai, China

Hong Kong, China SAR

Tokyo, JapanSeoul, South KoreaBeijing, China

Dubai, UAERiyadh, Saudi Arabia

Cairo, EgyptTel Aviv, IsraelCasablanca, Morocco

Athens, GreeceIstanbul, Turkey

Milan, Italy

Madrid, SpainBarcelona, Spain

Paris, FranceLondon, UK Warsaw, Poland

Tallinn, EstoniaMoscow, Russia

Stockholm, Sweden

Bangkok, Thailand

Oslo, Norway

Edinburgh, UKAmsterdam, Netherlands

Geneva, SwitzerlandBoston, US

Budapest, Hungary

Frankfurt, Germany

Lima, Peru

San Fransisco, USSan Matteo, USLos Angeles, US

New York, USBaltimore, US

Dallas, US

Denver, US

Toronto, Canada

8

9

The managers

10

11

12

13

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Americas Asia Europe Middle East / Africa

Meetings with new fund managers by region

14

Share of assets of terminated mandates by reason of termination. Total since inception. Percent of total

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Strategy change,Norges BankInvestment

Management

Lack of confidence Left business Promoted Org. development

15

Average number of companies in the portfolio

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Regional Sector Small-cap Emerging Environmental

16

Average share of managers’ top 10 holdings. Percent

0

20

40

60

80

100

0

20

40

60

80

100

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Regional Sector Small-cap Emerging Environmental

17

Corruption risk (x-axis) and relative return in percent. 0 is highest risk and 10 is lowest risk

Country

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

18

19

The results

20

External active equity. Relative return in percent, annualized (left-hand axis). Information ratio (right-hand axis).

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

Full period (99 - 18) 1999 - 2003 2004 - 2008 2014 - 2018

Relative return

2009 - 2013

Information ratio

21

Relative return and tracking error in percent, annualized (left-hand axis). Information ratio (right-hand axis).

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

Externalstrategies

Regional Sector Emerging Small-cap Environmental

Relative return Tracking error Information ratio

22

Information ratio annualized (y-axis) and months as manager (x-axis). Bubble sizes indicates size of mandate

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

Active Terminated

23

Time-weighted and equal-weighted excess return. Percent

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Externalstrategies

Regional Sector Emerging Small-cap Environmental

Time weighted Equal weighted

24

Information ratio with 95 percent confidence intervals

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

All

man

date

s

Reg

iona

l

Sect

or

Emer

ging

Smal

l-cap

Envi

ronm

enta

l

25

Relative return by mandate strategy. Billion kroner

-15

-5

5

15

25

35

45

55

65

-15

-5

5

15

25

35

45

55

65

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Regional Sector Small-cap Emerging Environmental

26

Cumulative excess return and fees. Billion kroner

-15

-5

5

15

25

35

45

55

65

-15

-5

5

15

25

35

45

55

65

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Regional Sector Small-cap Emerging Environmental

27

Management fees and relative return by mandatevintage. Million kroner

-4,000

-2,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

-4,000

-2,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Relative return Fees paid

28

29

30

31

MissionSafeguard and buildfinancial wealth for future generations

NBIM Talk, 16 April 2020

Investing with external managers

The 20 year review

Norges Bank Investment Management

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