national weather service development activities

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES

Office of the Federal Coordinator

25-26 July 2000

Bethesda, MD

• Product List Domestic - CONUS

• New Products

• What Will it Take?

• International Products

• Promising Programs

OUTLINE

Product List Domestic (CONUS)

TAFS

TWEBS

Area Forecast

AIRMETs/SIGMETs: icing, turbulence, IFR, volcanic

ash

Convective SIGMETs - thunderstorms (1hr.)

New: CCFP - thunderstorms outlook (2/4/6 hrs)

Low Level SIGWX

Convective SIGMETS valid at 1600UTC 28 June

Traditional Operational Products (CONUS) - text and polygons

The Forecast Area at AWC

7X24 Surveillance

CCFP (Summer 98, 99, 2000)

Global Graphics

Area Forecasts

What will it take? The TEGO Discipline

TEST

EXPERIMENTAL

GUIDANCE

OPERATIONAL

Location: PDTs, other FAA Testbed AWC Ops. NWS research labs

Distribution: Uncertain ADDS/AWC ADDS/AWC NWS, NCEP,

home page home page, ADDS/AWC aviation net. home page,

aviation net.

Availability: Uncertain 5 X 8 7 X 24 HighestBacked-up Long-term

Quality: R&D Promising High Quality BEST

TE

GO

New Products (July 2000)

CCFP (Collaborative Convective Forecast Product)

#C-11Operational (16hrs/day; 7 months/yr) (1 April 2000) CDMNet

NCWF (National Convective Weather Forecast)

#C-7 Guidance Product (5 mins; 24hrs/day) (6 May 2000) CDMNet

CDMNet (Collaborative Decision Making Network)

New Products (July 2000)

IIDA (Integrated Icing Detection Algorithm)

#I-6 Experimental Product Guidance (FY2001) ADDS

ITFA (Integrated Turbulence Forecast Algorithm)

#T-5 Experimental Product Guidance (FY2002) ADDS

MWAVE (Mountain Wave Turbulence)

#T-2 Test Experimental Product

Guidance (FY2001) AWC Homepage

IIFA (Integrated Icing Forecast Algorithm)

#T-8 Test ?

ADDS (Aviation Digital Data Service)

Experimental <www.awc-kc.noaa.gov> 1997

Supported by AWC (FY2001)

CCFP

NCWF

New Products in FY2000

CCFP POD 0.4BIAS 2.4

NCWF POD 0.2BIAS 0.4

C-SIGMETS POD 0.4BIAS 1.2

What will it take? The Testbed Idea

• Cooperation

• Technical personnel - implement (meteorologists)

• “ “ - evaluate (meteorologists)

• “ “ - transfer (systems engineers)

• Offline evaluation teams

• Consensus of experts

• On line verification (RTVS)

• Operational environment for reliable delivery

• Hardware, software, input data, product delivery

• Training

• Cooperation

FAA Aviation Weather

Research Program

University Research

FAA Hughes

Tech CenterNWS

Tech. Develop.

Lab

NCAR-RAP

NOAA Forecast Systems

Lab

FAA Lincoln Labs/ MIT

Aviation Weather Center

Connections to Partner Research

NASA

AWIN

WxAP

The Concept of an Aviation Testbed

AAWU

AWC

Cooperative Roles of Operations and Research

model output

NCEPobservations

Technology Transfer

Research

Products

21 CWSU’s

121 WFO’s

Operations

User Feedback

ClientsFAA Ops.Air TransportationRegionalBusinessGeneral Aviation

FSL NCAR Universities Lincoln Labs FAA Tech Center

Quality Assessment Team

Graphics DesignForecast A

ssessment

User E

valuation

RTV

S Sk

ill

TEGOProducts

TEST

EXPERIMENTAL

GUIDANCE

OPERATIONS

Internet/ADDS

CDMnet

The AWC Testbed is the ANVIL on which convective, turbulence, icing, ceiling visibility products are evaluated and prepared for operational applications

International Responsibilities

CommunicationsAWC.……to…….CUSTOMER

AWCDELIVERY

END USER

Production

Fax Back

24 HOUR HELP Desk

877 Toll Free ServiceProduct

International Products

Tropical Desk

Global Graphics

High Level SigWx

IFFDP

Promising ProgramsWeather Service Offices (WFOs):

Dallas- Ft. Worth Collaborative Aviation Forecast Study (DCAFS)

Airport Specific TAF Amendment Criteria (ASTAC)

Center Weather Service Units (CWSUs):

New equipment ( RTA Replacement) to provide FAA personnel with more accurate information

Traffic Management Unit (TMU) Needs Document

- FAA and NWS forming a Team to address the goals

- Future NWS products for Air Route Traffic Control Center

traffic managers

- Involvement from other NOAA agencies, such as FSL

- Could change products for the terminal area that would be

available for the aviation community.

NWS Development Activities

SummaryNWS response to clients and users:

The National Weather Service has delivered research products into an operational environment ( CCFP, NCWF, ADDS).

Aviation weather products are now readily available on AWC Homepage, ADDS, and CDMNet.

Activities are underway to improve terminal forecasts and services to the ARTCCs

Continuing success depends on collaboration, partnership, and resources.