national center for atmospheric research atmospheric chemistry division
Post on 31-Dec-2015
45 Views
Preview:
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 1
National Center for Atmospheric Research Atmospheric Chemistry Division
ACD Science Planning.
Past, present and future
Daniel McKenna
NSF onsite panel review
24-26 Oct. 2001
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 2
Overview
Strategic Plan 1998-2002– Strengths– Accomplishments– Leverage of Core
Funding Future plans
– Themes– Relationship to previous
Plan
Relationship to other Areas– NCAR Strategic Plan– NSF Geosciences– International Activities
• IGBP-IGAC• WCRP-SPARC
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 3
ACD Mission
ScientificTo understand the composition of the atmosphere, the processes that modify and control atmospheric composition, and how they may change in time due to natural and human induced changes.
SocietalTo provide relevant, reliable, accessible, unbiased, and timely information on atmospheric chemistry to government and society
CommunityTo act as an intellectual resource and enabler to the wider atmospheric sciences community.
EducationTo play a significant role in the training of the next generation of atmospheric scientists
Science Plan.
Participation in Assessments.WMO Ozone, IPCC
Field Campaigns, Workshops, Intercomparisons, Community Models, and Instruments.
Provide a range of training opportunities for young scientists
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 4
Science Planning Chronology
Previous NSF Review 1995/1996– Troposphere, Middle Atmosphere and Climate
ACD retreats 1996,1997– Strategic Plan developed
ACD 1998-2002 Strategic Plan Published 1998– 6 key issues
Implementation 1998-2002– Many accomplishments.
New Science Planning Activity 2001-2002– 5 themes
Publish New Plan for 2002-2005 2002
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 5
ACD Strategic Plan 1998-2002:Key Issues
Stratospheric Ozone
and UV-B
Chemistry-Climate Interactions
Atmospheric Trace Gases
Tropospheric Photooxidants
Biogeochemical Cycles
Aerosol
GlobalTroposphericChemistry
ChemistryClimateInteractions
Middle AtmosphereResearch
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 6
Strategic Plan
Strengths Science Plan
– Goals & Themes– Priority Setting– Advisory Board
Interdivisional Collaboration– STERAO, WACCM, HANK,
MOZART, MIRAGE, BGSI
UT/LS
Community Service– Workshops– Field Campaigns– Intercomparisons– Community Models &
Instrumentation
Societal Contribution– Participation in
Assessments– International & National
Agenda Setting
Education & Outreach– Visitor Programs– Post Docs and Students– SOARS
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 7
Division Strengths
Instrumentation– In situ, remote & community
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 8
Instrumentation
HO2, HO2+RO2 CIMS
HO, H2SO4, MSA, DMSO CIMS
HO, H2SO4, MSA, HNO3 CIMS
NOx, NOy, O3 CL
PAN, PPN, MPAN, GC-ECD
PiBN, APAN Alcohols & Carbonyls GC-MS Fast Isoprene Sensor CL
Fast Dimethyl Sulfide (DMS) CL CO, N2O TDL
Formaldehyde TDL Multiple: CFCs, HCFC, Whole Air
HFC, CH4, C2-C5 alkanes, Sampler
C1-C2 chlorocarbons, halons, (WAS,
methyl halides, Br,Cl-methanes, GCMS)
alkyl nitrates
Total Actinic Flux Radiometers Actinic Flux
Scanning Spectroradiometers
Trace Gas Tethered Balloon Air Sampling Package
Trace Gas Cartridge Sampler FLUXTRON Plant Chamber
Multiple FTIR:
– N2O, NO, NO2,HNO3, CO, O3, CFC-11, CFC-12, HCl, HF,HCN, COS, SO2, CH4, C2H6
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 9
Community Instrumentation & Support
Ozone, CO, CO2,H2O
– NSF Deployments• ACE Asia• INDOEX• DYCOMS II• EPIC
– Enhancement of Biogeoscience Capabilities
Support with Specialist Instrumentation– Radiometers for
PROPHET– HNO3 Mass Spectrometer
(Cal. Tech.)
– VOC Cal. Facility• EPA Grant, 2000
Frequently Requested Composition Measurements
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 10
Division Strengths
Instrumentation– In situ, remote & community
Field Campaigns
–Airborne and ground based
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 11
Successful NSF core fundingActivities
NOMHICE 1994-2000 EXPRESSO 1996 STERAO 1996 ISCAT 1998, 2000 TOPSE 2000 PROPHET 2000, 2001 WACCM 1999- IPMMI 1998-2001
MOZART (also significant external funds)
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 12
Gunther et al.
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 13
TOPSE
250
200
150
100
50
0
Ozo
ne
(p
pb
v)
250200150100CO_TDL (ppbv)
Stratospheric Source
Surface Ozone Depletion
Asian Plume (?)
Marine Influence
European Surface Source(?)
Ozone_CO Relationship during TOPSE (color by NOy)
Atlas &TOPSE Team
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 14
PROPHET
Shetter et al.
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 15
Successful non-NSF fundedActivities
TOTE/VOTE(1995/1996) SONEX(1997) PSE (1998) SOS(1999) ACCENT (1999) PEM-TROPICS B (1999) SUCCESS(1999) SOLVE(2000) TRACE-P (2001) TexAQS (2000)
UARS Analysis
NDSC
MOPITT
NARSTO (1996-2000)
LBA
SAFARI
Ameriflux
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 16
MOPITT
Terra Detection of Montana Fires
MODIS Aug. 23 2000
True-color image of smoke & burn scars over Montana. Fire
pixels from 3.75 µm channel (Rong Rong Li)
MOPITT Aug. 22-27 2000Continental total CO column.Elevated levels over Montana
J.F Lamarque
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 17
Gunther et al.
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 18
Division Strengths
Instrumentation– In situ, remote & community
Field Campaigns– Airborne and ground based
Laboratory & Chamber Studies
–Gas Phase, Heterogeneous & Plant Chamber Studies
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 19
Lab. Capabilities
Techniques – FTIR/Photoreactor
• 220K-Ambient
– Flash Photolysis / TDL– UV Absorption Spectrometry– SICIMS methods– Proton Transfer MS– Flow Tubes
• Nucleation, Uptake, Solubility
• Flow Tube/MS Organic Studies
Visitors (1998-2001)– Junior Faculty 4
• Paulson, Rudich, Longfellow, Bilde
– Post Docs 4/ 3 ASP– Students 6
Intradivision Collaboration– Kinetic Data of New Species– PTRMS for Field Studies– Prep. & Cal. of Standards– Evaluation of MOZART &
HANK Chemical Schemes
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 20
Critical Cluster Analysis
Hanson & Eisele
350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850
0
10
20
30
40
with NH3nH2SO4 vs +pNH3 +HNO3 vs + HNO3 w/o NH3
4(H2SO4)p(NH3)
5(H2SO4)p(NH3)
6(H2SO4)p(NH3)
7(H2SO4)p(NH3)
3(H2SO4)2(NH3).HNO3
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 21
Division Strengths
Instrumentation– In situ, remote & community
Field Campaigns– Airborne and ground based
Laboratory & Chamber Studies– Gas Phase, Heterogeneous & Plant Chamber Studies
Community Models
–Global, regional and process
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 22
Community ModelsACD based efforts TUV, Master Mechanism GLOBEIS SOCRATES IMAGES WACCM (ACD, CGD, HAO) HANK (ACD, MMM)Community Based Efforts MOZART (ACD, CGD) WRF-Chem. (ACD, MMM) Future Earth System Transport and Climate Models
(ESTM & ESM). (ACD, CGD)
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 23
MOZART-3, Preliminary ResultsUsing WACCM Meteorological Fields
Kinnison et al.
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 24
Division Strengths
Instrumentation– In situ, remote & community
Field Campaigns– Airborne and ground based
Laboratory & Chamber Studies– Gas Phase, Heterogeneous & Plant Chamber Studies
Community Models– Global, regional and process
Intercomparisons
–NOMHICE, IPMMI
Critical Mass of Expertise and Capabilities
–Nucleus for field campaigns
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 25
Division Strengths
Instrumentation– In situ, remote & community
Community Models– Global, regional and process
Field Campaigns– Airborne and ground based
Intercomparisons– NOMHICE, IPMMI,
Laboratory & Chamber Studies– Gas Phase, Heterogeneous & Plant Chamber Studies
Critical Mass of Expertise and Capabilities– Nucleus for field campaigns
Strong Links to Other Divisions
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 26
Interdivisional Collaboration
Advanced Study Program(ASP):
– Geophysical Turbulence
– Post Docs and Affiliate Scientist
Atmospheric Technology Division(ATD):
– Community Instrumentation
– Instrument Development
– Aircraft Payloads C130
– Deployments Climate & Global Dynamics
Division(CGD):
– Aerosol Parameterizations
– Radiative Transfer
– Atmospheric Transport Schemes (MOZART)
Environmental & Societal Impacts Group(ESIG): – Societal Impact of Air Chemistry– Impact of Society on Air
Composition High Altitude Observatory(HAO):
– Middle Atmosphere Modeling– Radiative Transfer– WACCM
Mesoscale & Microscale Meteorology(MMM): – Mesoscale Chemical Modeling– Field Campaigns
Scientific Computing Division(SCD):– Numerical Simulation
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 27
Division Strengths
Instrumentation– In situ, remote & community
Community Models– Global, regional and process
Field Campaigns– Airborne and ground based
Intercomparisons– NOMHICE, IPMMI,
Laboratory & Chamber Studies– Gas Phase, Heterogeneous & Plant Chamber Studies
Critical Mass of Expertise and Capabilities– Nucleus for field campaigns
Strong Links to Other Divisions
Strong Links to the University Community
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 28
US-University Collaborators
– Christopher Newport – CU-Denver– CU-Boulder – Cal. Tech.– Drexel– Georgia Tech.– Hawaii – Harvard– Iowa State – Illinois, Urbana – Johns Hopkins – Maryland – Maryland Baltimore
County
– Miami – Michigan – Central Michigan– Western Michigan– Minnesota – MIT– Montana – New Hampshire– New Mexico– North Carolina – North Dakota– Ohio – Pennsylvania– Philadelphia – Purdue – Princeton
– Redlands– Rhode Island – Rutgers– SUNY– Texas Technical– Texas Austin – UC-Irvine– UC-Berkeley – Virginia – Washington– Washington State– Wisconsin
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 29
Non-US University Collaborators
– Toronto
– York
– Guelph
– Sao Paulo
– Buenos Aires
– Copenhagen
– Utrecht
– Leuven
– Paris 6
– Provence
– Blaise Pascal
– Savoie
– Nagoya
– Thessalonik
– Sheffield
– Lancaster
– Leicester
– Oxford
– Aberystwyth
– Cambridge
– East Anglia
– Tsing-Hua
– National Taiwan
– Beijing
– Munich
– FU Berlin
– Bremen
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 30
Leverage of NSF funds
Access to platforms at minimal cost to NSF– DC-8– P3(2) – ER-2 – WB-57 – Terra(MOPITT) – Aura(HIRDLS)
Development of division capabilities
–Airborne
Mass Spectrometers
H2CO TDL
PAN
Multi Spectral Radiometers
Fast GC-MS for
Carbonyls & Alcohols
–MOZART Development
–Lab. TDL
–Ultra fine Aerosol Composition
External funding for activity aligned with NSF/ NCAR/ Division Goals
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 31
Status of new Science Plan. Quo Vadis?
Stage 1: February 2001. Formation of core team to develop framework science plan.
Core Team Membership:Atlas, Eisele, Garcia, Guenther, Madronich,
McKenna, Randel, Ridley. Outcome:
Identification of Framework Themes & definition of leadership for thematic working groups.
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 32
May-October,2001 development
Megacity Impacts on Regional and Global Environment. MIRaGE– Cantrell, Flocke, Madronich
Reactive Carbon Research Initiative.– Atlas, Eisele, Guenther
Biosphere-Chemistry-Climate Interactions.– Hess, Kinnison, Smith
Lower Stratosphere/Upper Troposphere.– Randel, Ridley, Schauffler
Clouds: Transporters & Transformers– Barth, Tie , Weinheimer
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 33
ACD Strategic Plan 1998-2002:Key Issues
Stratospheric Ozone
and UV-B
Chemistry-Climate Interactions
Atmospheric Trace Gases
Tropospheric Photooxidants
Biogeochemical Cycles
Aerosol
GlobalTroposphericChemistry
ChemistryClimateInteractions
Middle AtmosphereResearch
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 34
ACD New Strategic Plans
Previous Future
Stratospheric Ozone
and UV-B
Chemistry-Climate Interactions
Atmospheric Trace Gases
Tropospheric Photooxidants
Biogeochemical Cycles
Aerosol
TroposphericChemistry
Biosphere-ChemistryClimateInteractions
Middle AtmosphereResearch
MIRAGE
Reactive Carbon
Biosphere-Chemistry-
Climate Interactions
Lower Stratosphere/Upper
Troposphere
Clouds : Transporters & Transformers
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 35
Relation to NCAR Strategic Plan
ProjectsThemes
Integrating Interdisciplinary Scientific Initiatives
Integrating Chemistry Climate Connections
A Biogeo-sciences Initiative
Advancing the Science of Weather and Climate Impact Assessment
Understanding Sun-Earth Connections and Planetary Atmospheres
Water CycleAcrossscales
Advancing Weather and Climate Research and Prediction
Applying the Benefits of the IT Revolution Across Research and Education
A Knowledge Environment for the Geosciences
Enhanced Capabilities for Data Management and Sharing
A Common Modeling Infrastructure for Earth System Science
A “World-Class Web” Presence for the Web
Advancing Tools and Methods
Data Assimilation Initiative
Remote Sensing Initiative
A Geographic Information Systems Initiative
Integrating Models
A First-Generation Earth System Model
A Whole-Atmosphere Community Climate Model
Proposed New Facilities Initiatives
Supercomputing for the ESM Era
AnAtmospheric Observing System
Integrating Research and Education
Please refer to the E&O Strategic Plan
Funda-mental Issues in geo-Turbulence
Main ConnectionsSecondary ConnectionsSignificant Developments
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 36
Interdivisional Collaboration
ASP: – Geophysical Turbulence– Post Docs and Affiliate
Scientists– Wildfire Initiative
ATD: – Community Instruments– Aircraft Payloads C130,
HIAPER– Deployments
CGD: – Earth System Modeling– Biogeochemistry– Aerosol Parameterizations– Radiative Transfer– Transport Schemes
ESIG: – Societal Impact of Air
Chemistry– Impact of society on air
composition– MIRAGE
HAO: – Middle Atmosphere Modeling
– Radiative Transfer– WACCM
MMM: – Regional Chemical Modeling– WRF-Chem.
SCD– Numerical Simulation– ARCS
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 37
Relationship to NCAR Divisions and other Organizations
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 38
NSF GPRA Strategic Plan FY 2001-2006
‘Develop Intellectual Capital’– ‘...enhance
individual and collective capacity to perform…’
‘Identify and support “unmet opportunities”…’– ‘...the people and
tools are available to do the work, but a greater NSF investment now will have a very large future payoff…’
People, Tools, Ideas
– Models – Field studies– Workshops– Training
–MIRAGE (C130)
–Reactive Carbon (C130)
–ESTM (ARCS)
–UT/LS Initiative (HIAPER)
–Clouds:T&T (HIAPER,C130)
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 39
NSF GPRA Strategic Plan FY 2001-2006
‘Additional investments may revolutionize our ability to understand and predict nonlinear geophysical systems, such as climate changes and their impacts on the environment... ‘
Recruiting new talent, inviting scientists in allied fields to “look across the fence,” training new investigators to work in new areas will produce better results.
– Biogeosciences Initiative.
– Earth System Transport Models
– Biosphere-Chemistry- Climate Interactions
– Scientist I Appointments
– Collaboration with other Disciplines
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 40
NSF GEOSCIENCES BEYOND 2000
Objectives: Fostering discovery and understanding of the factors that define and
influence the Earth’s environmental and planetary processes. Expanding understanding and predictability of the complex,
interactive processes that:
1. determine variability in the past, present and future states of planet Earth;
2. control the origin and current status of the forms of life on the planet; and
3. affect the interdependencies of society and planetary processes. Providing the resulting scientific information in forms useful to
society.
Understanding and Predicting Earth'sEnvironment and Habitability
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 41
NSF GEOSCIENCES BEYOND 2000
Objectives: Fostering discovery and understanding of
the factors that define and influence the Earth’s environmental and planetary processes.
Expanding understanding and predictability of the complex, interactive processes that:
1. determine variability in the past, present and future states of planet Earth;
2. control the origin and current status of the forms of life on the planet; and
3. affect the interdependencies of society and planetary processes.
Providing the resulting scientific information in forms useful to society.
Understanding and Predicting Earth'sEnvironment and Habitability
Field Observations of basic processes
Photochemical Processes
Snow Chemistry
Biogenic Fluxes
Biomass Burning
Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange
Model studies, MOZART, WACCM, ESM
Joint Studies with ESIG, MIRAGE
WMO and IPCC assessments,
Peer reviewed publications,
ACD Textbook, Seminars
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 42
NSF GEOSCIENCES BEYOND 2000
Fundamental Areas:
– planetary structure – planetary energetics – planetary ecology – planetary metabolism.
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 43
Relationship to WCRP SPARC* Initiatives
Stratospheric Indicators of Climate Change• Participation in all areas by Bill Randel
– stratospheric temperature trends– understanding ozone trends– stratospheric and upper tropospheric water vapor
• Andrew Gettelman chapter chairman for WV report. Stratospheric Processes and their relation to Climate.
– gravity wave processes– UTLS processes
• SOLVE, UT/LS Initiative , HIAPER
– Penetration of UV radiation into the lower stratosphere and troposphere• TUV
Modelling Stratospheric Effects on Climate– Intercomparison of stratospheric models
• WACCM, MOZART-3
– Stratospheric reference climatology• Chairman: Bill Randel
– Stratospheric data assimilation• HIRDLS
*John Gille is ex-officio member of SPARC (representing COSPAR)
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 44
Future IGAC Themes
1. Atmospheric chemistry-climate interactions– MOZART, ESTM, CCSM, WACCM
2. Developing a global measurement strategy…..; integrating remote & in situ measurements and models.
– MOPITT+Assim., MOZART, WRF-Chem., Reactive Carbon Research Initiative, MIRAGE
3. Intercontinental Transport and Chemical Transformation (ITCT)– MIRAGE, Reactive Carbon Research Initiative, MOZART, ESTM
4. Multiphase atmospheric chemistry/ Aerosol-cloud interactions– Lab. Studies, Clouds:T&T, MIRAGE, Reactive Carbon Research Initiative
5. Stratosphere-troposphere interactions.– UT/LS Initiative, WACCM
6. Trace gas budgets and exchange with biosphere/ocean/land– Biogeoscience, Reactive Carbon, MIRAGE
Ideas developed at the IGAC conference in Italy and the IGAC Integration and Synthesis Meeting in Aspen.
To be discussed at a January 2002 meeting in Stockholm
Daniel McKenna ACD Science Planning: Past, Present and Future 45
Overview of talks
Tropospheric Chemistry– TOPSE: Tropospheric Ozone Production About the Spring Equinox– HANK: ACD’s Regional Chemistry-Transport Model– ACD Contributions to the NASA TRACE-P Campaign– MIRAGE: Megacity Impacts on the Regional And Global Environment– Reactive Carbon Research Initiative – MOPITT: The MOPITT Experiment on Terra
Middle Atmosphere Research
– HIRDLS: The High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder – UT/LS Research Initiative– WACCM: Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model
Biosphere-Chemistry-Climate– Biosphere-Atmosphere Trace Gas Exchange– The Biogeoscience and Wildfire Initiatives– MOZART and future global tropospheric modeling in ACD.
top related