julian r - climate analogues dakar april 2012

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Climate analogues

Application for developing adaptation strategies

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Analogues• Who we are?

– Andy Jarvis (lead scientist) a.jarvis@cgiar.org

– David Arango (lead developer) d.arango@cgiar.org

– Flora Mer (FOTF-CIAT contact) f.mer@cgiar.org

– Julian Ramirez (co-developer) j.r.villegas@cgiar.org

Please contact us if you have problems with using it, if you want support, or if you want additional information

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Guiding principles and final aims

• Facilitate farmer-to-farmer exchange of knowledge

• Permit validation of computational models and trialing of new technologies and techniques

• Learning from history• Ground climate change impacts and

adaptation studies• Quantify the real effects of uncertainty

in the process of adaptation

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The principle• Differences in agricultural systems are

related to climates –hence we can transfer technologies that work if climates are similar

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Cassava yield

High yields

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Temperature similarity

Could we achieve high yields here?

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Possible analoguesBACKWARD

Adaptation options

• Where can I find the future climate of my site today?

MY SITE(future)

OTHER SITE (s)(current)

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Possible analoguesFORWARD

Adaptation options

• Where can I find the present climate of my site in the future?

MY SITE(current)

OTHER SITE (s)(future)

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Possible analoguesNONE

Adaptation options

• Where can I find the present climate of my site in the world currently?

MY SITE(current)

OTHER SITE (s)(current)

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Farms of the future: Ghana

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Farms of the future: Ghana

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Ghana (Lawra-Jirapa)

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Farms of the Future in Ghana

- Starting site: Lawra Jirapa

- Take them to Baazu

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FOTF in Tanzania (Lushoto)

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FOTF: Nepal (Rupandehi)