ivens consult 1 brazilian shipbuilding industry sinaval – scene 2009 (1 st quarter) commitment to...

Ivens Consult1

Brazilian Shipbuilding IndustryBrazilian Shipbuilding Industry

SINAVAL – Scene 2009 (1st Quarter)

Commitment to the mission:

Local jobs, local contents and technology

World outlookBrazilian economyOffshore investmentsShipbuilding marketShipyards capacity

Ivens Consult2

Brazilian Shipbuilding Industry

SINAVAL – Scene 2009

Commitment to the mission:

Local jobs, local contents and technology

SINAVAL - Brazilian Union of Shipbuilding, Shiprepair and Offshore

Industries

Scene (perception): A projection of information from a

physical environment

Ivens Consult3

World outlook

World slower growth estimate: 1% in 2009

World trade: vigorous value above US$ 24 trillions in exports

Oil demand: up to 112.5 millions barrels per day by 2030 (US Department of Energy)

Ivens Consult4

World outlook

Slowereconomicgrowth

Source :Unctad

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009*

4,0% 4,0%

3,5% 3,8%

2,7% 2,5%

Ivens Consult5

World outlookVigoroustrade even with lowergrowth rates

Source :Unctad

Exports 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

World 7.5 9.1 10.4 12.1 13.8

Developed countries 4.9 5.8 6.3 7.1 8.1

Developing countries 2.4 3.0 3.7 4.5 5.2

Imports

World 7.7 9.4 10.7 12.3 14.0

Developed countries 5.3 6.3 7.1 6.0 8.9

Developing countries 2.5 2.8 3.4 3.9 4.6

US$ trillions

Ivens Consult6

World outlook – oil demand

World demand for petroleum:

2008 = 86.0 millions barrels of oil per day;

2015 = 95.6 millions barrels of oil per day;

2030 = 112.5 millions of oil per day in 2030.

Source: US Department of Energy (Energy Information Administration)

Ivens Consult7

Brazilian economy

2008 - International Monetary Fund (IMF)Brazil evaluation:

• strong growth;

• implementation of

sound macroeconomic

policies;

Year US$

trillions

Growth

2004 1.9 5.7%

2005 2.1 3.2%

2006 2.3 4.0%

2007 2.5 5.1%

2008* 2.5 *2.0%

2009* 2.5 *0.5%* estimate

GDP – Gross Domestic Product

Ivens Consult8

Brazilian economy

2008 - International Monetary Fund (IMF)Brazil evaluation:

• reduction of public net

debt-to-GDP ratios;

• building of international

reserves.

2000 33.0112001 35.8662002 37.8232003 49.2962004 52.9352005 53.7992006 85.8392007 180.3342008 193.783

International reserves

Ivens Consult9

Brazilian economy

Trade surplus promoted the growth of international reserves

Year Exports Imports Surplus

2007 160.6 120.6 40.0

2008 197.9 173.1 24.8US$ billions

Ivens Consult10

SINAVAL – Scene 2009Brazilian economy

Fonte: ONU / Unctad (* previsão)

Exports Imports

US$ bi Part. Part. US$ bi

43.0 21.6% Latin America 15.8% 27.4

27.4 13.8% US 7.2% 25.6

5.5 2.8% Western Europe 3.0% 5.3

46.3 23.4% European Commun. 20.9% 36.1

37.4 18.9% Asia 27.1% 47.1

8.0 4.0% Middle West 3.6% 6.2

10.1 5.1% Africa 9.1% 15.7

Ivens Consult11

SINAVAL – Scene 2009Brazilian offshore outlook

The ‘golden triangle’ of deepwater, namely Africa, the Gulf of Mexico and Brazil, willaccount for nearly 75% of global expenditure.

Ivens Consult12

Latin American activity ( investments of US$ 29 billion) is dominated by Brazil and, given the potential of the country’s presalt reserves, this is likely to remain the case for some time.

Ivens Consult13

E & P investments:

Ivens Consult14

Royal Dutch Shell

Ivens Consult15

Shell portfolio:BC-10 field to start production operations in 2009

BS-4 field in exploration

Royal Dutch Shell

Ivens Consult16

Ivens Consult17

Frade oilfield in Brazil to produce first oil in 2nd Q 2009

Chevron’s first subsea development in Brazil and FMC's most complete scope for an overall subsea system in Brazil

Ivens Consult18

BG Groupdeveloping oil & gas fields at the Santos basin

Ivens Consult19

BG Group: three discoveries within the BM-S-11 concession area. Iara TupiTupi Sul

Concession stakeholders:BG Group = 25% Petrobras = 65%Galp Energia = 10%

Ivens Consult20

OGX: Four basins, 22 blocks. Four drilling rigs hired to start exploration in 2009. Drilling program: 51 wells up to 2013

Appraisal of exploration blocks: 4.8 billions barrels of oil equivalent (boe) of net risked prospective resources, assuming an average success probability of 27%;

Ivens Consult21

SINAVAL – Scene 2009Petrobras Business Plan 2009 - 2013

PetrobrasGlobalE&P scene

Ivens Consult22

Investments of US$ 47.9 billions are 77% in E & P

Ivens Consult23

Petrobras local content policy

Ivens Consult24

Ivens Consult25

SINAVAL – Scene 2009Brazilian shipbuilding market

Tankers for TranspetroProgram

orderQuant. / type TWD

millionsstatus

Promef I 23 tankers 2.7 Hired

Promef II 23 tankers 1.3 Hiring in process

Total 46 tankers 4.0

Ivens Consult26

E&P equipments for PetrobrasOrder Quant. / type Operation field status

Productionplatform

2 semi-subs P-55 P-56

Campos BasinP-55 – Roncador

P-56 – Marlim Sul

Platform 1 fixed platform for

gas production

Mexilhão

Total 3

Ivens Consult27

E&P equipments for PetrobrasOrder Quant. / type Operation field status

Platforms & FPSOs

8 new platforms

planned

P-57 – JubarteP-61 and P 63 –

Papa-TerraP-62 – Roncador

other four on design

Ready to start bids

Planned

Drill-ships 28 Depths over 2,000 m

Bids on 2013

Total 36

Ivens Consult28

Ships for contract service for PetrobrasOrder Quant. TWB status

VLCC tankers 2 ships (300,000 TDW

600,000 Hired / under construction

Supply vessels

146 ships(2,000 TWB

292,000 Hiring in process

Total 148 ships 892,000

Ivens Consult29

Promef I – tankers for Transpetro (hired)

Shipyard Type of construction Contract date

EAS – Estaleiro Atlântico Sul

10 Suezmax January 2007

EAS 5 Aframax November 2008

EISA 4 Panamax December 2008

Mauá 4 products November 2007

Ivens Consult30

Promef II – tankers for Transpetro (hiring)

Lot A – 20 ships Type of construction

Lot 1 4 Suezmax (DP – Dinamic Positioning)

Lot 2 3 Aframax (DP)

Lot 3 3 light products ships (45,000 metric tons)

Lot 4 5 ships (3 light, 2 dark products - 30,000 metric tons)

Lot 5 2 semi-pressure and gas tankers (12,000 m3)

Lot 6 3 pressure gas tankers (4,000 m3)

Lot B – 3 ships 3 bunker ships

Ivens Consult31

SINAVAL – Scene 2009Conclusions

Brazilian Economy

• Sound macroeconomic practices.

• International trade is only 15% of GDP – room for growth and expand merchant fleet.

• High International reserves assure financing for main projetcts.

Ivens Consult32

Brazilian shipbuilding market

Financing is assured:Marine Merchant Fund (FMM), under the Ministry of Transports, assures financing for shipbulding.US$ 10.5 billions financing alocations since 2003.

Ivens Consult33

Brazilian shipbuilding market

Shipyards orderbook (hired and planned):

4.8 millions TDW up to 2015.

Ivens Consult34

Brazilian offshore market

Douglas Westford sees Brazil pre-salt discoveries as the largest in the world, now.

All major oil & gas companies are engaged in E&P investiments.

Ivens Consult35

Brazilian domestic oil production2007 2008 2009 2013 2020

1.8 1.8

source: Petrobras - millions b/day

Ivens Consult36

SINAVAL – Scene 2009Brazilian shipbuilding capacity

2828 Shipyards in Brazil - largest Shipyards in Brazil - largest

yardsyards

570,000570,000 tons / year tons / year Steel throughput Steel throughput

4.7 4.7 millions of m²millions of m² Total areaTotal area

1919 Dry or floating docksDry or floating docks

2222 Slipways Slipways

43 43 Outfitting quays Outfitting quays

Ivens Consult37

Projects types Shipyards

FPSO, semi-submersible, modules and drill-ships

BrasFels; Mauá; Atlântico Sul; Rio Grande; QUIP; UTC; SRD; Setal; Mac Laren; Estaleiro da Bahia

Oil tankers, products and gas carriers

Eisa; Atlântico Sul; Mauá; Sermetal; Itajaí; Rio Nave; Renave-Enavi

Container ships and bulk carriers

Eisa; Atlântico Sul; Mauá; Rio Naval; Itajaí; Rio Nave; Renave-Enavi

Platform supply vessels, towboats, barges, flatboats, etc.

STX; Aliança; Wilson, Sons; Navship; TWB; Detroit; Inace; Rio Maguari; Superpesa; Cassinú; Transnave; São Miguel; Estaleiro da Bahia

Ivens Consult38

Shipyards State Steel (thousand tons /

Area (thousand m²)

Docks Slipways Quay side

BrasFels RJ 50 410 1 3 2

Eisa RJ 50 150 - 2 1

Mauá RJ 40 334 1 1 4

Sermetal RJ 60 400 1 - 4

Atlântico Sul

PE 160 1,500 1 2 2

Rio Grande

RS 30 100 1 1 1

Aker RJ 15 120 1 1 1

Aliança RJ 10 61 - 1 2

Ivens Consult39

Shipyards State

Steel (thousand tons /

Area (thousan

d m²)

Wilson, Sons SP 10 22 1 1 1

UTC RJ - 112 -- - 2

Renave-Enavi

RJ 40 200 4 - 1

Inace CE 15 180 - 1 1

Itajaí SC 15 177 - 1 1

SRD RJ 15 85 1 1 2

Superpesa RJ 10 96 - - 1

São Miguel RJ 5 21 - 1 2

Transnave RJ 6 15 - 1 1

Shipyards State

Steel (thousand tons /

Area (thousan

d m²)

Rio Nave RJ 50 150 - 2 4

Navship SC 15 175 -- 1 2

TWB SC 10 78 - 1 1

Detroit SC 10 90 - 1 1

Rio Maguari

PA 6 120 2 - -

Cassinú RJ 6 30 2 - 1

Mac Laren RJ 6 30 - - 1

Estaleiro da Bahia

BA 110 750 1 1 2

QUIP RS - 70 - - 1

Ivens Consult41

BrasFels shipyard

Rio de Janeiro – RJShips up to 600,000 TDWSemi-submersible platformsFPSO integrationPlatform supply vessels

Total area: 410,000m²3 Slipways1 Dry dock1 Gantry crane for 660 tons7 Cranes2 Outfitting quays

Steel throughput : 50,000 tons / year

Ivens Consult42

EISA - Ilha S/A shipyard Rio de Janeiro – RJ

Ships up to 200,000 TDWPlatform supply vessels

Total area: 150,000m²2 Side slipway15 Rolling bridges2 Gantry cranes for 50 tons6 Cranes3 Outfitting quays

Ivens Consult43

Mauá shipyardNiterói – RJ

Ships up to 100,000 TDWSemi-submersible platformsFPSO integrationPlatform supply vesselsTotal area: 334,000m² (3 units)1 Slipway1 Modules site1 Yard / load-out quay1 Dry dock1 Sheerlegs for 2,000 tons6 Cranes4 Outfitting quays

Ivens Consult44

Sermetal shipyardRio de Janeiro – RJ

Ships up to 400,000 TDWFPSO integration

Total area: 400,000m²2 Dry dock (1 with 350m)6 Cranes4 Outfitting quays

Ivens Consult45

Atlântico Sul shipyardSuape – PE

Ships up to 500,000 TDWSemi-submersible platformsFPSO integrationPlatform supply vesselsTotal area: 1,500,000m²1 Dry dock of 400m2 Slipways 4 Cranes2 horizontal transporters blocks – 300 tons2 Goliath Gantry cranes (1,500 tons)2 Outfitting quays (700m)

Ivens Consult46

Setal Óleo & GásNiterói – RJ

Platforms modules construction and integration

BAHIA shipyard (OAS, SETAL and Piemont)Maragogipe - BA

Steel throughput : 110,000 tons/ year

Semi-submersible platformsFPSO integrationOffshore vessels (PSV & AHTS )

Total area: 1,000,000m²Gantry crane of 1,300 tonsDry dock with two floating gates Several port cranes (75 to 150 tons)Horizontal transport of loads with 600 tons of capacity.Outfitting quays : 700m and 350m (water depth: 12m).

Ivens Consult48

Rio Grande shipyardRio Grande – RSPlatforms (FPSO, semi-submersible and Spar)

Total area: 100,000m²1 Dry dock (130x140m)1 Slipway1 Gantry crane for 600 tons1 Outfitting quay Hydraulic carts of 400 tonsIntermediate flood-gate

Ivens Consult49

STX Offshore shipyardNiterói - RJ

Platform supply vessels

Total area: 120,000m²1 Flotation dock (150m x 24.7m)Cranes (up to 250 tons)1 Slipway1 Outfitting quay (300m)

Ivens Consult50

Aliança shipyardNiterói - RJ

Platform supply vessel

Total area: 61,000m²Cranes (up to 60 tons)2 Outfitting quays (100m each)1 Slipway (3,000 tons /10,000 TDW)

Ivens Consult51

Wilson, Sons shipyardGuarujá - SP

Total area: 22,000m²Cranes and Gantry crane 1 Outfitting quay1 Slipway 1 Dry dock (205m x16m)

Ivens Consult52

UTC shipyardNiterói - RJ

Assembly and integration of platform modules

Total area: 112,000m²Cranes2 Load-out quays

Ivens Consult53

Renave-Enavi shipyardNiterói - RJ

Ships up to 80,000 DWT.

Total area: 200,000m²Cranes Outfitting quays 2 Flotation docks “Almirante Alexandrino” (215m )“José Rebelo” (70m)2 Dry docks“Henrique Lage” (184m )“Orlando Barbosa” (136m)

Ivens Consult54

Inace shipyardFortaleza - CE

Fishing shipsPatrol ships for NavyYatches Platform supply vessels

Area: 180,000m²1 Slipway / platform embarkation elevation(80m)1 Outfitting quay

Ivens Consult55

Itajaí shipyardItajaí - SC

Ships (up to 30,000 TDW)Platform supply vessels

Total area: 177,000m²CranesRolling bridgesSlipway (200m) Outfitting quay

Ivens Consult56

SRD shipyardAngra dos Reis - RJ

Semi-submersible platformsIntegration and load-outPlatform supply vessels

Total area: 85,000m²CranesRolling bridgesSlipwayFloating dock (76m x 29m) 2 Outfitting quays

Ivens Consult57

Superpesa shipyardRio de Janeiro - RJ

Area: 96,000m²1 Slipway1 Outfitting quay

Ivens Consult58

Transnave shipyardRio de Janeiro - RJ

Total area: 15,000m²SlipwayOutfitting quay

Ivens Consult59

Rio Nave shipyardRio de Janeiro - RJ

Merchant ships (up to 100,000 TDW)Platform supply vessels

Total area: 95,000m²2 slipways4 Outfitting quays2 Piers15 Cranes

Ivens Consult60

Navship shipyardItajaí - SC

Merchant ships (up to 100,000 TDW)Platform supply vessels

Total area: 175,000m²1 Slipway2 Outfitting quaysCranes and Gantry crane

Steel throughput : 15,000 tons/ year

Ivens Consult61

TWB shipyardItajaí - SC

Platform supply vesselsTowboats (port support)Fishing ships Ferry-boats

Total area: 78,000m²1 Slipway1 Outfitting quay

Ivens Consult62

Detroit shipyardItajaí - SC

Platform supply vesselsTowboats (port support)Fishing ships Ferry-boats

Total area: 90,000m²1 Elevatory dockOutfitting quay 3 Cranes2 Transfer cars

Ivens Consult63

Rio Maguari shipyardBelém – PA

Ships for waterway navigation,utility offshore tugs and bargesPlatform supply vessels

Total area: 120,000m²2 Dry docks

Ivens Consult64

Cassinú shipyardSão Gonçalo – RJ

Total area: 30,000m²1 Dry dock1 Flotation dock1 Outfitting quay

Ivens Consult65

Mac Laren shipyardNiterói – RJ

Platforms integration

Total area: 30,000m²1 Outfitting quay 1 Dry dock (planned)

Ivens Consult66

QUIPRio Grande – RS

Platforms modules construction and integration

Total area: 70,000m²

SINAVAL

Av. Churchill, 94, 2º andar – Conj. 210 a 215 – CEP 20020-050 – Rio de Janeiro, RJ

Tel.: (21) 2532-4878/2533-4568 – Fax: (21) 2532-4705/2533-5310 www.sinaval.org.br

Contact: sinaval@sinaval.org.br / secretaria@sinaval.org.br

Strategic Communication Consultancy

Ivens Consult / Ivan Leão – www.ivens.inf.br

ivens consult 1 brazilian shipbuilding industry sinaval – scene 2009 (1 st quarter) commitment to...

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