understanding in order to address: for a state strategy in michoacan, mexico

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http://www.noria-­‐research.com  

   

      Understanding  in  Order  to  Address:  For  a  State  Strategy  in  

Michoacán        

 (Entrance  of  Apatzingan,  Michoacan,  Mexico  –  Noria  Research  ©)  

   

Report  –  JULY  2014    

Romain  LE  COUR  GRANDMAISON      

Report  prepared  by  the  Noria  Office  for  Mexico  and  Central  America,  for  México  Evalúa.  Original  report,  in  Spanish,  available  at  http://bit.ly/1mObrEv.    

 English  translation  and  Text  edition  by  Tomas  Ayuso,  Mariano  Berkenwald  and  Olivia  Solari  

Yrigoyen  

REPORT  -­‐  NORIA  JULY  2014  –  UNDERSTANDING  IN  ORDER  TO  ADDRESS  :  FOR  A  STATE  STRATEGY  IN  MICHOACAN    

       

   http://www.noria-­‐research.com    

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  Introduction         Ever  since  the  self-­‐defense  groups  appeared  in  February  2013,  Michoacán  finds  itself  in  a  profound  political  reconfiguration  process  mainly  led  by  armed  groups,  be  they  the  diverse  self-­‐defense  groups  (autodefensas)   themselves,  the  various  cartels  that  operate  in  the  region  or  the  myriad  of  Mexican  armed  forces.  The  term  “reconfiguration”  allows  us  to  understand  and  lay  the  numerous  dynamics  at  stake:  1.  This  process  is  relatively  recent  and  is  presently  evolving  right  before  our  eyes;  2.  What  can  be  observed  is  a  phase  of  “democratization  of  violence”,  as  opposed  to   the   near   monopoly   previously   exerted   by   the   Knight   Templars   (Caballeros   Templarios);   3.  These  ongoing  dynamics,  even  though  they  are  very  much  political  in  nature,  are  treated  by  the  federal  government  exclusively   in  terms  of  violence,   focusing  solely  on  armed  interlocutors;  4.  This  process  of  dialogue  is  characterized  by  its  high  degree  of  instability,  in  a  context  where  all  parties  need  each  other,  but  do  not  trust  each  other.       How   did   these   dynamics   start?   First   of   all,   the   complexity   of   the   situation   in   a   region  where  several  political,  economic  and  social  interests  overlap,  tangle  up  and  reached  a  breaking  point.  What  makes  Michoacán  different   is  precisely  this  rupture,  a  phenomenon  that  became  a  reality  when   the   self-­‐defense  groups  arrived  on   the   scene.   Secondly,   in  what  may  be  a  unique  context   in   recent   Mexican   history,   defined   not   by   a   power   vacuum   or   the   absence   of   a  government,  but  rather,  by  a  process  of  atypical  state  making,  since  it  has  been  accomplished  by  non-­‐state   actors  who   do   not   seek   the   overthrow   of   the   government.   Finally,   a   region   and   its  inhabitants  who   had   been   for  many   decades   part   of   a   system  where   the   only   useful   political  recourse   has   been   violence,   sometimes   in   its   cruelest   form,   used   by   both   the   authorities   and  criminal   groups.  Both   sides   contributed   to   the   gradual   destruction  of   an   already   frayed   social  fabric.       What  we  will  attempt  to  accomplish  in  this  analysis  is  to  understand  what  is  happening  in  Michoacán  from  an  operative  point  of  view,  with  the   intended  purpose  of  answering  simple  but   essential   questions   regarding   the   relevant   actors:   meaning   the   different   levels   of  government  and  their  armed  forces,  the  autodefensas  in  all  their  shapes,  as  well  as  the  criminal  groups  who   have   a   presence   and   conduct   their   activities   in   the   area.   As   of   today,   the   federal  strategy  may  be  considered  as  a  failure:  security  in  the  region,  or  at  least  in  the  area  where  the  federal  forces  are  deployed,  has  not  improved;  criminal  financial  and  administrative  structures,  despite  the  apprehension  or  execution  of  several  heads  of  the  Templars  cartel,  are  still  in  place  or  reconfiguring;  the  social  and  political  conditions  that  provoked  the  crisis  have  not  been  dealt  with;  and  the  human,  or  psycho-­‐social  motivations  that  motivated  an  armed  movement  are  not  encompassed  by  the  government  initiative.         The  operational  questions  can  be  formulated  in  the  following  ways:  these  actors,  what  do  they  do?  How  do  they  do  it?  Their  actions,  what  do  they  cause?  What  do  they  mean  in  the  short,  mid,  and  long  term?  Trying  to  answer  these  will  allow  us  to  produce  a  clearer  analysis  in  terms  

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of  each  actor’s  strategy,  avoiding  normative  frameworks  that  limit  understanding  and  bog  down  the  assessment.         This  work   is  based  on   field   investigation,   carried  out  during  different  periods  between  summer   2013   and  march   2014,   as  well   as   academic   readings,   newspapers   and   data   collected  from   local   and   national   archives.   Our   aim   is   to   provide   a   qualitative   approach   to   the   ongoing  crisis.   For   security   matters,   the   names,   dates   and   locations   of   the   different   interviews   and  interviewees  will  not  be  mentioned.           I  -­‐  The  Criminal  System  of  Michoacán:  One  of  a  Kind         The   Middle   East   historian   Henry   Laurens   famously   said   in   1982:   “If   you   understood  anything  about  Lebanon,  you've  been  misinformed.”  This  phrase  can  be  applied  to  modern  day  Michoacán,   reminding   the   complexity   of   a   region   that   does   not   fit   into   any   defined   analytical  category.   There   is   no   one   single   Michoacán,   there   are   many,   intertwined   and   undergoing   a  profound   political   reorganization,   a   phase   that   does   not   leave   much   room   for   homogenous  processes.  The  latter  applies  to  the  actors  involved  in  the  region’s  crisis:  the  self-­‐defense  groups  are   no   longer   united   (assuming   they   ever   were);   the   ruling   criminal   group   has   already  transformed;   and,   finally,   the   government,   or   rather   the   governments,   going   by   all   their  branches  and  levels,  are  hardly  a  unified  body.      a)  The  Need  for  Local  Scale  Analysis         This   understanding   is   the   main   thread   of   this   analysis,   which   intends   to   identify   the  dynamics  at  play  within  the  events  taking  place  in  Michoacán,  without  forgetting  the  fact  that  the  most   important   level  of  observation  is  to  be  found  at  the  local  scale,   the  latter  being  examined  through  the  connections   it  maintains  with   the  regional  and  national   levels.  Yet,  by  recognizing  how  complex  Michoacán  and   the  mosaic   it   creates  are,  we  do  not  aim  at  dividing  and   forming  sealed   categories   of   analysis:   our   objective   is   to   understand   the   dynamics   at   play   from   one  municipality  to  another,  their  history,  their  particularities  and  the  roots  of  a  situation  that  even  though  it  has  blown  up  in  the  last  fourteen  months,  has  been  shaping  for  decades.       The   criminal   context   in  Michoacán,   pertaining   to   activities   considered   to   be   illicit   and  repressed  as   such,  do  not  have  a   set   start  date  and  are  unlikely   to  have  an  end  date  any   time  soon.  However,  when  one  asks  the  inhabitants,  particularly  in  Tierra  Caliente,  the  Western  part  of  the  region,  how  did  things  changed,  many  will  say  “Los  Zetas,”  in  the  beginning  of  the  2000s.  The  arrival  of  this  group  is  not  to  be  considered  as  the  origin  of  the  drug  trade  in  the  area,  but  rather   the  moment   in  which   society   forcibly   finds   itself  directly   impacted  by  organized   crime,  particularly  by  the  type  of  violence  conducted  by  the  Zetas.    

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  From  another  point  of  view,  the  arrival  of  the  Zetas  represented  Michoacán’s  integration  into   the   greater   violent   panorama   of   the   drug   trade   in   Mexico.   This   “invasion,”   or   “foreign  intervention”  was  suffered  as  such  by  the  society  at  large,  and  by  local  drug  trade  organizations  in   particular.   The   latter   began   to   use   a   public   form   of   territorial   rhetoric   by   presenting  themselves   as   a  Michoacán   solution   to   a  Michoacán   problem,   in   opposition   to   these   “foreign”  groups,   and   the   federal   government.   These   overt   public   positions   of   the   criminal   groups   in  Michoacán,   embodied   by   La   Familia  Michoacana   first,   and   later   by   the   Caballeros   Templarios,  demonstrate   this  unique  brand  of   criminal  behavior.  Although   there  exists   throughout   several  regions  in  Mexico  examples  of  contemporary  mafioso  behavior  by  drug  traffickers,  that  is  to  say  control  of  territory,  the  selling  of  “protection”1,  and  social  acts  “in  favor”  of  the  local  population,  no  other  organization  exhibited  such  levels  of  boldness  as  the  Michoacán  ones.  By  boldness  we  are   referring   to   their   capacity   to   publicly   express   a   clear   political   message   about   what   their  organization's   mission   is,   just   like   how   La   Familia   did,   only   to   be   further   strengthened   and  reiterated  by  the  Templarios  later  in  2009.        b)  The  Institutionalization  of  Criminal  Organizations         Michoacán’s   messianic   criminal   discourse   is   first   channeled   by   propaganda:   the  organizations  present  themselves  as  the  legitimate  defenders  of  Michoacán,  a  necessary  evil  to  prevent   further   harm   in   the   shape   of   “foreigners”.   Their   pitch   is   broadcast   by   the  media,   but  mainly  takes  root  in  day-­‐to-­‐day  life  through  the  various  points  in  which  criminal  groups  come  in  contact  with  political  power  and  social  life.  The  Familia  Michoacana  presented  itself  as  a  public  social   structure,  which  would  not  only   take   control  of   “security”   in   the   state  but  also  of   social  development,  functioning  then  as  guarantors  for  a  better  quality  of  life  and  as  defenders  of  the  meek.  The  group,  at  the  local  level  or  even  at  the  very  top  of  their  hierarchy,  acted  as  managers,  middle  men,   judges,  governors,  arbiters,  and  as  public  peace  officers,   taking  care  of  all  sorts  of  disputes,   such   as   relationship   and  property   issues.   In   these   examples,   the   organization  would  find  a  “resolution”  as  well  as  doll  out  the  punishment.       The  Templarios,  who  broke  off  from  the  Familia,  took  over  these  practices  with  a  higher  degree  of  sophistication.  What  matters  here,  the  Templarios  symbolism  notwithstanding,  are  the  consequences   of   such   activities.   The   mistake   would   be   to   ignore   that   aside   from   being   a  powerful   and   violent   cartel,   this   organization   effectively   acted   as   a   local   and   regional  government  and,  under  its  own  criteria,  in  a  very  efficient  manner.  Speaking  in  terms  of  a  power  vacuum  and  absence  of  State,  is  to  refer  to  an  inadequate  analytical  and  normative  framework  in  order  to  understand  a  region  that  does  not  fit  in  a  Realist  analysis.  In  the  past  years,  the  power  of  the   Templarios   grew   to   the   point   where   they   had   near   monopoly   over   violence   as   well   as  

                                                                                                               1  The  term  is  taken  from  Diego  Gambetta’s  work  on  the  Sicilian  Mafia,  in  particular  “The  Sicilian  Mafia:  the  business  of  private  protection”,  Harvard  University  Press,  1993  2  MONSIVAIS,  Carlos,  Fuegos  de  nota  roja,  Nexos,  Agosto  1992.  3 According to articles of Proceso (http://www.proceso.com.mx/?p=372915) and Diario de Coahuila

REPORT  -­‐  NORIA  JULY  2014  –  UNDERSTANDING  IN  ORDER  TO  ADDRESS  :  FOR  A  STATE  STRATEGY  IN  MICHOACAN    

     

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territorial  control  of  Michoacan,  in  addition  to  control  over  agricultural  and  mineral  production.  The  latter  was  not  solely  based  on  extortion:  the  organization  managed  to  design  and  implement  an  industrial  and  commercial  strategy,  something  no  one,  including  the  federal  government,  had  been  capable  of.         Simultaneously,  there  are  observable  and  fundamental  symbolic  processes  that  can  help  us  understand   the   current   situation.  To   recognize   that   the  Templarios  have  been  perceived   as  legitimate  in  the  region,  –  a  feeling  that  varied  depending  on  time,  place  and  people  -­‐-­‐  is  not  an  apologetic   assertion.   This   legitimacy   came   from   concrete   facts   and   actions   carried   out   by   the  cartel   (conflict   resolution;   security   in   daily   life;   the   setting   of   rules;   gift   distributions   to   the  community;  the  use  of  religion;  economic  opportunities,  both  legal  and  illegal;  economic  trickle  down  effect  in  the  region)  as  well  as  in  symbolic  gestures.  This  includes  the  case  of  individuals  who  feel  socially  integrated  as  a  consequence  of  their  belonging  to  the  cartel:  carrying  a  weapon,  with  all  the  violent  power  it  confers  and  the  strength  that  comes  with  being  a  part  of  a  group.        c)  The  Rise  of  the  Self-­‐Defense  groups  and  the  “Democratization  of  Violence”         Since   February   2013,   a   process   of   political   reconfiguration   and   “democratization   of  violence”  has  followed  the  Templarios’  monopoly  of  violence.  By  democratization  we  mean  that  violence,   instead   of   being   in   the   hands   of   one   entity,   which   ideally   is   public   but   in   that   case  property  of  a  criminal  group,  becomes  dispersed  and  used  by  various  groups  against  each  other  and  otherwise.  In  this  particular  instance  we  can  identify  three  different  sets,  assuming  that  they  are  homogenous:  the  self-­‐defense  groups;  the  Templarios;  and  state  forces,  being  federal  or  not.  This  democratization  provokes  the  confrontation  of  a  multitude  of  interests,  grouped  under  the  understanding   that   violence,   and   therefore   weapons,   are   the   most   important   resource   for  control   of   territory,   social   promotion,   conquest   (or   rather   re-­‐conquest)   of   political   power   and  control  of  illegal  trade  (production  and  transportation  of  drugs,  as  well  as  illegal  extraction  and  export   of  minerals).   It   is  worth  noting   that   these  objectives   are   in  no  way  mutually   exclusive,  quite  the  opposite.           In  Michoacán,  and  this  is  not  a  recent  phenomenon  but  rather  a  product  of  decades-­‐long  sociopolitical  dynamics  in  action,  the  political  recourse  of  worth  is  violence.  Yet,  it  is  essential  to  understand  the  role  played  by  violence  within  the  region’s  political  system.  When  the  leaders  of  the  self-­‐defense  groups  declare   that   “they  had  not  other  choice  but   to   take  up  arms,”   they  are  merely  expressing  what  has  been  standard  operating  procedure  in  the  region  for  decades:  if  you  do  not  engage  in  the  physical  or  symbolic  use  of  violence,  you  will  not  control  Michoacán.  This  dogma   is   shared   just   as   much   by   the   government,   federal   and   state,   by   way   of   military  campaigns,  as  well  as  by  groups  in  power,  be  they  local  caciques  or  drug  traffickers.  Organization  and  mobilization   of   violence,   rarely   held   in   legitimate   hands,   is   the   essential   resource   for   the  obtainment  and  conservation  of  power  in  Michoacán.      

REPORT  -­‐  NORIA  JULY  2014  –  UNDERSTANDING  IN  ORDER  TO  ADDRESS  :  FOR  A  STATE  STRATEGY  IN  MICHOACAN    

       

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  II.  The  Federal  Government  and  the  Use  of  the  Self-­‐defense  Groups         One   of   the   main   mistakes   of   the   Federal   government   in   Michoacán   has   been   to  superficially  assess  the  crisis  in  terms  of  a  mere  armed  conflict  opposing  two  or  more  sides,  and  to  believe   therefore   that   it  would  be   sufficient   to   pick   and   support   one   in   order   to   defeat   the  other.  This  process  evolved  through  different  steps:   first,   from  February  to  July  2013,  with  the  government  monitoring  the  situation,  scarcely  communicating  about  it,  while  the  armed  forces  already  present  in  the  region,  and  made  stronger  by  the  May  2013  operation,  oscillated  between  tolerance,   control   and   repression;   second,   from   August   2013   to   January   2014,   when   rapid  progress  by  the  autodefensas  on  the  ground,  as  well  as  their  growing  media  exposure,  convinced  the  authorities  to  actively  and  militarily  support  the  movement,  therefore  weakening  and  almost  annihilating  the  Templarios;  third,  from  January  2014  until  now,  when  the  Federal  government  decided   to   publicly   take   sides,   through   the   appointment   of   a   Special   Commissioner   for  Michoacán,  Alfredo  Castillo,  and  the  progressive  cooptation  and  dismantling  of  the  self-­‐defense  groups.  During   the   entire  process,   the   executive  power   intended   to   consolidate   its  power   and  control  over  the  region  by  feeding  oppositions:  autodefensas  against  federal  forces,  autodefensas  against   Knights   Templars,   and,   finally,   coopted  autodefensas   (rural   police)   against   “rebel   self-­‐defense  groups”,  which  is  the  phase  we  are  currently  observing.         For  many  months,  public  debate  about  the  self-­‐defense  groups  focused  on  their  nature:  who  are  they?  Where  do  they  come  from?  Are  they  similar  to  the  Colombian  paramilitaries?  How  can  they  be  controlled?  Nevertheless,  as  these  questions  were  filling  Mexican  and  international  news   columns,   feeding   what   Carlos   Monsivais   dubbed   “the   interpretive   feast2”,   the   federal  government  chose  not  to  follow  the  same  path  by  taking  a  more  pragmatic  posture.  So  much  so,  that  when   traveling   through  Tierra   Caliente,   it   is   not   uncommon   to   hear   people   say   that   “the  self-­‐defense  groups  are  a  product  of  the  federal  government.”  Although  it  might  seem  difficult  to  share  this  point  of  view,  the  people  we  have  talked  to   introduced  an  aspect  that  has  rarely  been  analyzed:   the   instrumentalization   and   co-­‐option   of   the   armed   movement   by   the   federal  government,   as  well   as   the  benefits   it  has   received   through   the   self-­‐defense  groups,   an  armed  body   which   has   a   deep   knowledge   and   understanding   of   its   own   society   and   the   way   local  people   operate,   are   evident.   Even   more   importantly,   its   extensive   knowledge   of   Michoacán’s  back  roads,  country,   trenches,  sierras  and  caves,  none  of  which  federal   forces  had  been  able  to  cover  nor  had  the  desire  to  during  their  previous  security  operations  in  Michoacán,  which  were  started   by   President   Felipe   Calderon   and   resumed   by   President   Enrique   Peña   Nieto.   In   such  situation,  the  autodefensas  became  a  crucial  ally,   likely  to  disappear  in  case  of  break-­‐up  among  the  actors,  along  with  the  strategic  coverage  of  the  terrain.           It   is   in   this   way   that   the   federal   government's   first   victory,   through   the   self-­‐defense  groups,   is   a   territorial   victory.  The  physical  presence,   although  exclusively   represented  by   the  

                                                                                                               2  MONSIVAIS,  Carlos,  Fuegos  de  nota  roja,  Nexos,  Agosto  1992.  

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armed   forces,   that   the   federal   government   is   currently   projecting   is   essentially   unheard   of   in  recent   memory.   Because   of   this,   there   has   been   a   circumstantial   rapprochement,   which   has  come   as   a   surprise   for   anyone  who  moves   through   the   region,   among   the   civilian   population,  armed  or  otherwise,  and  the  Federal  Police,  who  are  known  locally  as  the  “the  blues”  (los  azules).  An  inhabitant  of  Buenavista  would  later  comment  that  the  federales  “had  always  been  here,  but  no  one  helped  them,  no  one  spoke  to  them.”  Without  going  into  detail  as  to  why  such  a  détente  took  place,  it  is  important  to  note  just  how  crucial  this  progress  is  for  the  federal  government  in  terms   of   “symbolic”   presence,   the   gathering   of   information   and   intelligence,   proximity   to   the  people,  their  image  and  above  all  in  trust.  Trust  is  perhaps  the  most  severely  absent  ingredient  when   it   comes   to   going   into   municipalities   and   doing   what   is   necessary   to   get   in.   There   is  however   one   more   important   element:   The   political   side   of   things.   Right   now   the   state  government  and  the  federal  government  are  the  same  political  party  and  have  the  same  interest  in  finding  a  solution  to  the  situation  in  Michoacán.  In  years  past,  it  was  not  like  this.  It  used  to  be  the  two  most  adversarial  political  parties  (PAN  and  PRD)  doing  everything  they  could  to  never  coordinate  or  work  together.       Besides  their  heterogeneity,  one  of  the  only  constant  within  the  self-­‐defense  movement  was   the   call   made   by   the   self-­‐defense   groups   for   the   reestablishment   of   the   rule   of   law   and  “regular”  conditions  of  life  in  Michoacán.  There  was  never  a  will  to  overthrow  the  government,  in  fact  the  opposite  happened.  In  a  call  to  the  federal  government,  bypassing  the  lower  municipal  and   state   levels   in   the   process,   the   self-­‐defense   leaders   had   asked   for   a   strong   and   urgent  coordinated   intervention.  For   the  actors  on   the   field,   this  period  came  to  be  considered  as   the  most  dangerous  and   therefore   it   is   remembered  as   the  bravest  moment.  These  months  can  be  identified   as   laying   the   groundwork   for   the   self-­‐defense   groups   which   received   very   little  attention   from   the   national   and   international   media,   during   which   they   “slept   very   little,  patrolled   quite   a   lot   and   suffered   even   more,”   according   to   the   very   participants.   These  foundational  months  gave  a  great  deal  of  confidence  to  the  members  of  the  self-­‐defense  groups,  as   they   were   convinced   that   if   they   made   it   through   that   period   when   they   stood   alone  completely  exposed  to  the  reprisals  of  the  Templarios,  what  came  after  could  not  in  any  way  be  any  worse.  In  more  concrete  terms,  what  this  period  demonstrates  is  that  even  though  there  had  been   coordination,   as   well   as     “dialogue”   and   even   some   agreements   offered   by   the   federal  government,   this   movement   is   profoundly   autonomous;   some   critics   might   even   say   out   of  control  in  addition  to  being  extremely  diverse.      a)  The  Michoacán  Mosaic  and  the  Search  for  Legitimacy         Local  dynamics  jump  into  view  when  one  travels  around  the  region.  The  issues  in  Ostula  do  not   resemble   those   in  Patzcuaro,  which   in   turn  have   little   to  do  with  Arteaga.  However,  all  these   municipalities   are   involved   in   a   shared   political   process:   a   deep   reconfiguration   of   the  political  space  and  power,  as  well  as  the  forms  of  their  expression.  Although  they  do  not  take  the  same   form   in   every   town   they   take,   the   self-­‐defense  movement   has   provoked,   in   all   cases,   a  

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tangible  transformation  of  the  political  context,  both  through  armed  initiatives  but  also  openly  challenging  the  local  governments.       It   is   essential   to   reincorporate   these   processes   in   the   analysis   of   Michoacán’s   parallel  political  dynamics,  precisely  to  understand  its  nuances,  in  opposition  to  the  Federal  government  who   approaches   the   situation   strictly   in   terms   of   armed   security,   through   an   analytical  framework  rooted  in  the  binary  opposition  of  friend-­‐or-­‐foe.         These   two   categories,   which   serve   no   good   purpose   when   it   comes   to   understanding  Michoacán,   are  deeply  misleading.  First,  because   they  vary  with   time  and   interests:   this   is   the  case  for  friend-­‐enemy  dichotomy.  Yesterday's  friend  is  today's  enemy  with  no  one  knowing  the  true   reasoning   behind   anyone's   intentions   or  will   to   solve   the   problem.   Second,   because   they  have  no  clear  legal  bases  in  the  region:  this  the  case  for  the  legal-­‐illegal  opposition,  as  illustrated  by  the  arrest  and  detention  of  the  self-­‐defense  leader  Hipólito  Mora  in  March  2014,  for  homicide  charges,  before  his   liberation   two  months   later,  without  any  explanation.   In   these   contexts,   as  explained  by  Béatrice  Hibou,  a  French  sociologist,  the  law  represents  nothing  more  than  “a  set  of  references  one  can  contour,  pillars  around  which  are  invented  processes  in  order  to  foment  new  relationships”.  Third,  because  all  the  involved  parties  do  not  share  them  involved:  this  is  the  case  for   the   legitimate/illegitimate   opposition:   the   self-­‐defense   groups,   especially   when   they   are  supported  by  citizens’  councils,  consider  themselves  as  fully  legitimate,  something  which  is  not  always  positively  observed  by   the   federal   government,  which  obviously   considers   itself   as   the  one  and  only  legitimate  holder  of  public  force.         In   such   a   context,   the  use   of   a   normative   framework  becomes   solely   instrumental   and  counterproductive,  since   it   is   imposed  by  the  outside,  especially  when  the  government   itself   is  acting  like  a  weather  vane,  further  dampening  any  sense  of  trust,  consistency  and  transparency.  Yet,   and   here   lies   the   interesting   paradox,   these   questions   are   crucial.   In   order   to   reach   any  improvement   in   the   region,   a   rapprochement  of   opinions   and   perceptions   is   inevitable.   Then,  who   is   the   legitimate  actor   in   the  region   today?  Asking  people   in  Michoacán   this  question,   the  range   in  answers   include   the  self-­‐defense  groups,  citizen  councils  or,  more  simply,   themselves  the   people.   The   government   is   seldom  mentioned   in   the   legitimacy   category:   they   are   better  known  as  the  actor  that  “normally  should”  take  care  of  the  people.  They  are  typically  mistrusted  and  are  not  considered  legitimate  in  the  sense  of  being  recognized  as  a  representative  body.  On  the  other  hand,  the  self-­‐defense  groups  had  had  obtained  a  very  high  degree  of  legitimacy  during  the  course  of  the  movement.  It  is  difficult  today  to  foresee  whether  they  will  manage,  as  a  group,  this  evanescent  trust  capital.         As   an   armed   movement,   the   self-­‐defense   groups   represent   the   personification   of   a  civilian  population  who  became  fed  up  with  the  Templarios  and  the  inefficiency  of  the  state.  The  hopeless  feeling  of  “there  is  no  other  choice”  is  without  a  doubt  the  catalyst  and  groundwork  for  the  movement,   as   well   as   major   contributing   factor   for   overcoming   the  movement’s   greatest  obstacle:  fear.  This  process  is  a  relatively  classic  one  within  the  framework  of  social  movements,  

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rebellions   and   revolution:   a   group   of   individuals,   sometimes   even   just   a   single   individual,  mobilizes   a   population   until   it   grows   into   a   movement.   Undoubtedly,   the   feelings   of   total  discontent,  abandonment  and  an  understanding  that  they  have  “nothing  left  to  lose”  have  been  the  main  ingredients.  Traveling  around  the  state,  one  can  also  hear  locals,  as  well  as  members  of  the  self-­‐defense  groups  themselves  declare  that  they  are  partly  to  blame:  they  blame  themselves  for  having  allowed  “thugs”  to  abuse  them  and  not  having  tried  to  “do  something  sooner.”         The  expression  of  this  resentment  is  another  important  factor  of  mobilization,  just  as  the  consideration  of  self-­‐defense  groups  as  a  vector  for  opportunities.  It  is  crucial  to  understand  that  the  movement  managed,  in  certain  municipalities,  to  bring  some  concrete  improvements  to  daily  life:   the   return   to   a   normal   and   free   life,   and   the   hope   for   being   able   to   leave   behind   social  configurations  that  relegated  them  to  reasoning   in  terms  of  “better  than  nothing”  and  “at   least  they  are  the  lesser  of  two  evils”,  something  that  could  be  heard  in  the  past  years  in  reference  to  the  power  held  by  the  Templarios.  It  is  absolutely  necessary  to  come  into  contact  with  the  day-­‐to-­‐day  life  of  the  local  population  which  was  forced  by  the  organized  crime  groups  or  the  federal  government  to  respond  to  the  logic  used  by  rival  factions,  classifying  actors  into  friends  or  foes  and   enduring   direct   and   dramatic   consequences   on   their   lives.   The   self-­‐defense   groups  represent   a  possibly  unprecedented  blow   to   the   impunity  of   criminal   groups   and  government  entities,   which   supported,   tolerated   or   were   unable   to   confront   them   (or   all   three   attitudes  simultaneously).   Within   the   rhetoric   of   the   self-­‐defense   groups   and   the   citizen   movement   in  general,   there   is   an   expression   and   materialization   of   emancipation,   becoming   in   a   sense   a  dramatic   condemnation   of   the  Mexican   State:   if   “we  want”   to   change   things,  we  need   to   do   it  “ourselves”   and   do   so   “by   all   means   necessary,   without   expecting   any   support   from   the  government.”  In  this  context  of  frayed  social  fabric,  the  self-­‐defense  groups  offered  a  framework  for  social  promotion  and  integration  to  the  local  population.        b)  The  Actors’  Fragmentation         Yet,   this   turns   out   not   to   be   enough.   In   addition   to   being   extremely   divided,   the   self-­‐defense  groups  have  not  managed  to  transform  their  armed  success  into  a  clear  political  process.  Perhaps  because   this  was  never   their   intention,  or  maybe  because   the   federal  government  did  not   allow   that   to   happen,   but,   above   all,   because   the   armed   groups   and   their   leaders   did   not  necessarily  know  how  to  address  this  type  of  dynamics  and  the  people’s  expectations.         In  the  municipalities  that  were  liberated  from  organized  crime  over  a  year  ago,  locals  are  requesting   more   than   armed   protection   and   patrols   and   are   already   complaining   about   the  behavior   of   some   members   of   the   self-­‐defense   groups.   Even   though   the   liberation   of   a  municipality   should   theoretically   trigger   the   automatic   creation   of   an   autonomous   citizen  council  responsible  for  dealing  with  political  issues,  this  process  has  been  brought  to  a  standstill  mainly   because   the   self-­‐defense   groups   are   in   no  way   a   homogenous   group.   The  autodefensa  label  does  not  point  to,  at  least  in  practice,  a  single  type  of  organization;  it  depends  on  where  you  are  in  Michoacán.  

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    At   the   core   of   the   movement's   fragmentation   process,   one   can   identify   numerous  internal   and   external   dynamics.   Internally,   it   is   evident   that   the   motivations   that   guide   the  leaders  of  the  self-­‐defense  groups  vary  considerably.  As  has  been  pointed  out  by  some  analysts  and   journalists,   some   self-­‐defense   groups   are   more   similar   to   a   criminal   group   than   to   a  protector   of   public   security.   The   members’   previous   activities   have   been   intensely   debated  during   the   last   couple   of   weeks.   However,   this   issue   appears   to   have   been   assessed   from   an  incorrect   perspective.   The   question   is   not   whether   there   were   former   Caballeros   Templarios  within   the   ranks   of   self-­‐defense   groups:   it   is   obvious   that   this   was   the   case.     But   this   is   not  directly  linked  to  the  armed  movement  itself  but  to  the  social  structure  of  Michoacán  before  the  emergence  of   self-­‐defense  groups.  Considering   that   the  region  was  under  Templario  control,   it  seems  obvious   that  many  people  worked   for   them,  or  had  some  sort  of   relation  with   them,  or  had  a  family  member  who  had  something  to  do  with  them.  This  does  not  mean  that  Michoacan’s  society  has  been  criminalized,  but   rather   that  a   criminal  group  acted   like   the  State   for   several  years,   making   it   impossible   for   regular   people   to   avoid   contact   with   them.   Clearly,   there’s   a  difference   between   being   a   hitman,   a   lookout   or   simply   contacting   the  Templarios   to   settle   a  spousal  dispute.  Nevertheless,  once  the  self-­‐defense  became  more  established,  these  distinctions  lost  their  clarity  and  people  started  accusing  each  other.  As  in  every  process  of  liberation,  there  are   those  who  collaborated  with  the  “old  regime”  and  the  question  arises  on  how  to  deal  with  them.  In  Michoacán,  the  answer  was  simply  to  ignore  the  question  and  carry  on.       As   we   have   mentioned   before,   many   “regretful”   individuals   joined   the   self-­‐defense  groups.  This  reveals  a  system  of  social  advancement  based  on  violence  or,  at  the  very  least,  on  carrying  weapons.  By  moving  beyond  the  ongoing  debate  over  the  self-­‐defense  groups’  weapons  (How  did  they  get  them?  Where  do  they  come  from?  How  are  they  being  paid  for?  Who  is  paying  for  them?)  we  find  the  most   important  question:  What   is  going  to  happen  in  such  a  small  area  with  such  an  important  amount  of  high  caliber  weapons?  This  is  the  point  where  we  have  to  go  past   the   culturally   reductionist   mindset   that   suggests   that   there   is   a   “rough   Michoacán   ”  (Michoacán   bronco)   where   “there   have   always   been   weapons”.   The   self-­‐defense   groups   have  mobilized  most  of  the  population  being  able  to  fight.  Perhaps  it  could  have  happened  differently,  but  this  is  not  the  main  criticism.  The  problem  is  that  the  self-­‐defense  groups  and  the  State  have  been  unable   to  respond  to   these  dynamics  by  offering  something  other   than  weapons.  Neither  one  of  them  has  been  able  or  has  wanted  to  develop  a  political  and  social  planning  that  would  create  mechanisms  to  prevent  an  armed  movement  in  a  region  flooded  with  weapons  and  with  a  high  potential  for  conflict.  The  consequences  of  the  proliferation  of  weapons  will  undoubtedly  be  a  long-­‐term  issue  for  Michoacán.                

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c)  “People  without  arms  are  without  voice  and  without  power”         Unfortunately,   the   federal   government's   stance   does   not   appear   to   try   to   stop   these  violent  processes.  The  disarmament  proposal  doesn’t  seem  capable  of  addressing  the  violence,  first   of   all   because   there’s   very   little   actual   disarmament   to   speak   of:   the   self-­‐defense   groups  registered   their  weapons   regardless   of   caliber   and  were   allowed   to   go   home  with   them.   This  goes  without  even  mentioning  the  fact  that  some  groups  have  publicly  announced  they  will  not  hand  in  their  weapons,  and  those  who  simply  did  not  do  it.      

This   in   turn   reveals   that   the   federal   government's   stance   has   followed   from   the  beginning  the  classic  “divide  and  conquer”  tactics,  choosing  through  variable  criteria  which  self-­‐defense  groups  were  allowed  to  exist,  as  well  as  when,  how  and  what  they  did,  and  fragmenting  some  groups  by  arresting  their  leaders.  The  misguided  belief  that  progress  could  be  achieved  by  following  this  course  of  action,  which  is  essentially  playing  with  fire  and  trying  to  deteriorate  the  situation,  seems  irresponsible,  especially  coming  from  a  government  that  is  deploying  the  army  in   its   own   territory.   The   trivialization   of   violence,  weapons   and  deaths   is   not   only   a   symbolic  issue:  it  has  had,  has  and  will  have  profound  social  consequences  in  Michoacán’s  society.       What  the  current  situation  reveals  is  that  the  federal  government  has  decided  to  interact  solely  with  armed  groups.  In  the  words  of  a  Buenavista  local  “here,  people  without  weapons  are  without   voice   and   without   power”.   This   seems   to   be   valid   both   in   the   eyes   of   the   federal  government   and   the   self-­‐defense   groups.   It   was   wrong   to   believe   that   territorial   control,   or  rather   the   illusion   thereof,  was  enough   to   solve   the  crisis   in  Michoacán.  The   “presence”  of   the  state,  or  of  the  self-­‐defense  groups,  cannot  be  exclusively  military:  sending  more  armed  forces,  installing  road  blocks,  patrolling  towns  and  even  carrying  out  military  operations  in  the  sierras  certainly   establishes   a   visible   degree   of   security,   and   even   makes   it   possible   to   capture   or  eliminate  cartel  members.         However,  by  focusing  exclusively  on  displays  of  force,  the  roots  of  the  problems  are  not  being   addressed,   particularly   because   the   structures   established  by   the  Templarios   still   stand.  The   challenge   for   the   government   and   for  Michoacán’s   society   is   to  make   improvements   that  could  cause  the  model  of  the  Templarios  to  collapse.  In  that  line,  it  is  essential  to  understand  that  these   structures  have  been   growing   for   decades   and   that,   in   the  words  of   a   former  municipal  president  from  Tierra  Caliente,  “they  never  disappear,  they  transform,  change  names  in  less  than  a  month,  and  everything  else  stays  the  same.”         III.  The  Federal  Operation:  A  superficial  project         The  need   to  overthrow  the  model  of   the  Templarios   is  crucial   for   two  reasons.  First,   in  social  terms,  to  re-­‐establish  a  solid  social  fabric  to  replace  the  current  altered  social  order  that  has  been  permeated  by  Templario  elements.  Although  the  cartel’s  discourse  has  been  above  all  a  

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public  relations  tool,  with  no  real  desire  to  improve  the  life  of  the  locals,  its  system  has  created  massive   economic   profits   for   those   who   could   benefit   from   it,   as   well   as   providing   a   certain  moral   satisfaction   for   the   people   who   participated   in   specific   measures,   decisions   or  negotiations.  The  capacity  of  the  Caballeros  Templarios  to  solve  conflicts  is  an  aspect  that  cannot  be  overlooked  when   it  comes   to  dealing  with   the  region.   In  certain  areas  and  at  certain   times,  being   a   part   of   the  Templarios  was   a  means   for   protection,   power   and   improvement   in   social  status.  This  peculiar   social  mobility  mechanism,   linked   to  being  a  part  of  an  almighty  criminal  group,   has   to   be   replaced   with   employment   opportunities,   public   participation   and   social  assistance   to   prevent   the   local   social   recognition   and   progress   model   from   being   linked  exclusively  to  bearing  arms.  The  federal  government  has  to  address  the  local  social  problems  to  undermine  the  criminal  groups’  co-­‐option  power  among  the  population.         In   more   operational   terms,   there   seems   to   be   no   federal   government   strategy   to  dismantle   the   cartel’s   administrative   and   financial   structures   to   date.   The   government's   task  must   be   to   urgently   attend   to   the   matter.   The   extensive   media   coverage   of   the   insurance   of  illegally  extracted  minerals  has  been  and  will  be  nothing  more  than  mere  media  blows  until  the  government  addresses   the  actual   extraction  of   these   resources.  Everyone   in   the   region  knows  where  the  illegal  mines  are.  The  federal  government’s  inaction  in  a  highly  symbolic  subject  such  as  the  use  of  its  soil  and  natural  resources  demonstrates  the  superficiality  of  the  government's  strategy   and   a   possible   convergence   of   its   interests   with   those   of   certain   criminal   factions.  Locating   the   mines,   especially   now   that   the   area   where   they   are   concentrated   in   is   under  government   control,   should   be   a   quick   and   easy   priority   if   there   was   true   political   will   to  undermine  the  foundations  of  these  criminal  organizations  in  Michoacán.         In  the  same  vein,  what  is  being  done  about  the  properties  which  were  acquired  or  taken  by   the   Templarios   which   were   later   “legalized”   through   various   administrative   processes  involving  public  officials,   notaries,   lawyers,   local   and   state   government  officials?  What   are   the  State  Human  Rights  Commission  or  the  Federal  Human  Rights  Commission  doing  to  investigate  what  happened  before  and  since   the  beginning  of   the  movement?  Unfortunately,   it   seems   that  people   in   the   affected   communities  do  not   come   forward   to   the  organizations,   even  when   the  commissions  sent  representatives  to  their  municipalities.  There  is  a  substantial   lack  of  trust   in  these   institutions   which   must   be   dealt   with   through   deliberate   policies   by   the   federal  government  to  address  the  grievances  of  the  victims,  the  reconstruction  of  the  social  fabric  and  the   fight  against   impunity.   If  people  are  afraid   to   come   forward,   the  authorities  must   increase  their   efforts   so   that   the  victims   report   the  violations   they  have   suffered,  until   these  processes  can  be  transformed  into  something  more  systematic.                

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a)  A  Strategy  of  tactics         The  federal  government's  strategy  has  to  be  inclusive,  with  its  sight  set  on  the  medium  and  long  term,  and  to  go  beyond  an  approach  in  terms  of  a  “security  dilemma.”  Security  will  not  come  in  the  shape  of  armed  patrols,  for  that  this  solution  cannot  be  sustained  for  long.      

Undoubtedly,   the   Caballeros   Templarios   are   currently   undergoing   a   restructuring  process  and  some  signs  point  out  to  the  likeliness  of  the  emergence  of  another  group,  which  will  take   its  place  by  plugging   into   the  vacant   foundations.  At   that  point,   the   federal   government's  strategy  will  have  destroyed  a  criminal  structure  only  to  replace  it  with  another  one.  

 The  establishment  of  a  rural  police   force   integrating  certain  self-­‐defense   forces   follows  

the  same  logic  of  illusion  of  control:  instead  of  addressing  the  fundamental  problems,  the  federal  government  seems  to  try  to  control  a  side,  causing  its  division  from  the  others,  to  cast  an  image  of  governmental  power.  This  stance  can  be   justified   in  pragmatic   terms,   since   the  government  can  praise   itself   for  having  eliminated   the  self-­‐defense   forces,  giving   them  an  official   label  and  declaring  the  end  of  the  conflict  in  Michoacán.  However,  this  co-­‐option  process  does  not  address  any  of  the  crisis’  fundamental  problems  and  exacerbates  tensions  between  factions.         What  makes  a  strategy  is  the  ability  to  address  several  issues  with  a  global  and  long-­‐term  vision.  What  we  are  observing  until  now  is  not  a  strategy  but  a  tactic,  with  a  more  limited  focus  and   aimed   at   reducing   tensions.   This   is   proven   by   analyzing   the   Plan   Michoacán,   which   was  launched  by   the  President  himself   on   the  4th   of   February  2014  and   focuses   exclusively  on   the  Tierra  Caliente  and  the  Michoacán  coastline,  ignoring  the  eastern  regions  of  the  state  which  also  require   attention   as   well   as   the   bordering   federal   entities   of   Michoacán,   namely   Jalisco,  Guanajuato,  Querétaro,  Estado  de  México  and  Guerrero,  which  are  affected  by  similar  dynamics.  If   we   continue   to   borrow   military   analogies   used   by   both   the   government   and   certain   self-­‐defense  groups,  what  is  happening  in  Michoacán  is  an  attempt  to  win  a  battle  but  not  the  war  by  administering  and  managing  the  conflict  with  the  upcoming  elections  in  sight.  The  undercurrent  for   all   the   issues   in   Michoacán   is   not   being   solved,   because   in   order   to   address   one   must  understand,   a   slow   and   time-­‐consuming   process   that   the   federal   government   does   not   seem  willing  to  undertake.  When  the  people  of  Michoacán  requested  help,  the  State  attempted  to  bring  security.  By  analyzing  the  situation  in  terms  of  armed  movements,  the  government’s  bet  was  to  train   the   self-­‐defense   groups   and,   by   that   means   and   the   supposed   local   legitimacy   of   those  groups,  win  the  indirect  support  of  the  people.         Understanding   implies   observing   and   listening,   recognizing   the   diversity   within   the  groups   that   can   be   referred   to   as   “self-­‐defense”   groups.   This   is   crucial,   but   not   with   goal   of  individualizing   government   response,   or   worse,   by   pitting   groups   against   each,   or   mestizo-­‐dominated  regions  against  indigenous  ones,  in  the  case  of  the  coastal  regions  in  particular.  The  tactic  employed  by  the  federal  government  tries  to  divide  the  movement  into  rival  factions,  or  at  the  very  least  into  factions  highly  suspicious  of  each  other,  can  be  understood  in  the  short  term:  divide  to  increase  control.  However,  it  is  irresponsible  to  have  authorities  playing  this  “game”  by  

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promoting  or  openly  backing  certain  groups  against  others  based  on   their   firepower.  Granting  privileges  to  the  self-­‐defense  groups  who  have  a  greatest   firepower  will  result   in  tacit  support  for  the  next  entity  that  will  control  illegal  activities  in  Michoacán.  By  doing  so  they  are  giving  a  clear   signal   that   weapons   are   still   the   only   political   instrument   recognized   by   the   federal  government.        b)  Local  Political  Initiatives:  bases  for  a  State  Strategy?         In   contrast   to   the  armed  groups,   there  are   several   citizen   councils   in  Michoacán,   some  older   than   others   and   distributed   by   region,   which   are   undergoing   a   process   of   grassroots  political  construction.  These  councils  cover  indigenous  communities  (such  as  Ostula),  as  well  as  mestiza   communities   (like   Chinicuila,   which   has   been   functioning   for   eleven   years,   or   like  Coalcomán,   among   several   others).   Certain   councils   are   based   in   the   idea   that   self-­‐defense  groups  should  fit  within  the  realm  of  the  citizens'  political  control,  that  the  municipal  economic  resources   have   to   be   closely   followed   and   that   good   governance   is   incompatible   with   the  political  parties   in  Michoacán   in   their   current  versions.  Others  would   rather  not  have  a  direct  relationship  with   the   self-­‐defense   groups   even  when   they   recognize   that,   in   certain   locations,  they  have  created  the  necessary  conditions  for  the  councils  to  be  established  or  re-­‐established.  In  Ostula,  and  in  a  large  part  of  the  Michoacán  coastal  area,  there  is  a  desire  to  return  to  social  and  political   community  structures  within   traditional  models  and  customs.  Even   if   they   try,   in  general,  not  to  get  incorporated  by  any  political  party,  these  groups  do  not  reject  the  State.  These  councils  are  essentially  a  call   to  bring  back  the  rule  of   law,   justice  and  security  as  the  reigning  norms.         The  federal  government  should  pay  close  attention  to  the  existing  coordination  between  citizen  councils  in  different  municipalities  in  order  to  work  in  a  long-­‐term  political  framework,  which   intends   to   re-­‐build   the   social   fabric.   In  Michoacán,   each  municipality  has   its   own   set   of  problems.  Here  lies  the  key  to  understanding  the  situation  as  well  as  its  most  difficult  aspect:  to  design  and  articulate  a  strategy  at  different  scales.  This  articulation  is  precisely  what  should  be  the  constant  goal.  It  is  absolutely  necessary  to  respond  in  a  way  that  is  at  the  same  time  local  and  regional  in  scale  and  considers  all  variables.       The   process   of   reaching   out   in   order   to   understand   is   the   most   crucial   ingredient   to  overcome   the   only   observable   constants   in  Michoacán:  mistrust   and   complete   rejection   of   all  three   levels   of   government   as  well   as   political   parties,  with   some   sort   of   exception,   in   certain  aspects,   for   the   federal  government.  Here   lies   the  paradox   in  Michoacán’s  situation:   the  actors  involved  need  each  other,  but  don’t   trust  each  other.  The  proliferation  of   agreements,   treaties  and   dialogues   maintains   a   façade   of   cooperation.   However,   these   accords   are   founded   on   an  unstable   structure   where   every   actor   attempts   to   maximize   its   own   short-­‐term   profits.  Therefore,   the   restoration   of   trust   is   essential.   The   current   situation   is   complex   because   the  

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original  entry  point,  the  fight  against  the  Caballeros  Templarios,  no  longer  guarantees  the  unity  of   the   actors.   The   time   has   come   for   the   government   to   act   as   a   State,   beyond   political   party  logics.   If   it  was  unable   to  accomplish   this   shift  now,   in   the  words  of   a   ,“the   risk   is   that  people  begin  to  say  that  they  were  better  off  under  the  Templarios.”         The   key   to   overcoming   this   illusion   is   for   the   government   to   develop   a   better  understanding   of   the   region   and   its   issues,   and   to  make   its   presence   felt   through   transparent  institutions,  which  nowadays  sounds   like  an   impossible   task.  The  question  that  emerges   is   the  relationship   between   the   federal   government   and   the   different   levels   of   state   and   municipal  government   in   Michoacán.   However,   the   number   of   municipalities   without   president   or  councilmen,  as  well  as  the  total  absence  of  state  government  intervention  point  to  a  vacuum  of  public  authority  in  Michoacán.  A  short  review  of  Michoacán’s  history  is  enough  to  notice  that  any  attempt  to  control  the  region,  particularly  Tierra  Caliente,  at  a  Federal  level,  is  a  waste  of  time.  It  has  never  worked,  and  it  does  not  seem  to  be  working  now.  The  creation  of  the  Commission  for  Security  and  Integral  Development  of  the  state  of  Michoacán  in  January  2014  illustrates  the  tacit  disappearance  of  the  State's  powers.  This  needs  to  be  an  exceptional  undertaking  as  it  will  not  be  viable  in  the  mid  to  long  term.       The  political  alignment  between  the  state  and  federal  executive  powers  does  not  seem  to  have  altered  the  way  Michoacán  is  dealt  with.  There  has  been  a  transition  from  a  confrontation  between  PAN  and  PRD   to   the   total   submission  of   local   authorities   to   federal   controls,  without  addressing  the  issues  regarding  expelled  mayors  or  refugees  in  the  state  of  Morelia,  and  with  a  governor  with  fictional  prerogatives,  reduced  to  the  a  posteriori  approval  of  federal  initiatives.          c)  The  Need  for  a  Non-­‐Partisan  Discussion         The  solution  has  to  be  political,  not  partisan.  In  the  current  situation,  with  state  elections  only  a  few  months  away,  the  federal  government  is  not  discussing  politics  but  an  administration  based   on   an   armed   security   paradigm.   However,   security   is   not   only   based   on   the   control   of  violence  but  on  solid  public  institutions,  trust  within  society  and  towards  public  powers,  on  the  fight  against  impunity  and  corruption  and  on  social  development.  President  Enrique  Peña  Nieto,  who   in   a   speech   on   April   8th   2014   declared   that   “security   is   a   subject   that   should   not   be  politicized”  added  further  confusion  to  what  was  previously  mentioned.  These  words  spread  a  negative  image  of  politics.  This  semantic  issue,  as  frivolous  as  it  may  seem,  matters.       Today,  Michoacán  is  pure  politics:  the  actions  undertaken  by  all  actors  have  direct  effects  on   the   region’s   structure   and   social   life.   The   state   has   probably   never   been   this   caught   up   in  political  processes,  this  alert  and  organized  as  a  society.  It  is  difficult  to  understand  the  federal  government's   inability   to   grasp   these   processes   and   not   limit   its   approach   to   engaging   with  armed  groups.      

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The  unarmed  communities  are  not  rejecting  politics,  or  anything  political  in  nature,  but  rather  they  reject  the  way  in  which  politics  are  organized  and  expressed  at  a  local  level.  We  can  therefore  distinguish  two  distinct  dynamics   in  play  that  can  appear  at  odds  with  each  other  at  first  glance:  one  that  stems  from  the  local  level  and  the  other  from  the  federal  one.  In  the  middle  of   these   two   is   the   most   powerful   actor   in   the   region,   the   armed   actors   along   with   all   the  uncertainty  they  carry         This   gives  us   an  opportunity   to   recall   a   very   important   aspect   of   the  Michoacán   crisis.  The   region,   which   represents   2.3%   of   the   national   GDP   (up   to   7.8%   when   considering   the  primary   economic   sector   only),   is   home   to   far-­‐reaching   interests   connected   to   agriculture,  mining,   tourism,   the   importance   of   the  port   of   Lázaro  Cardenas   for  Mexico   and   the   region,   as  well  as  the  production  and  trafficking  of  drugs.  It  is  clear  that  several  groups  are  looking  to  take  advantage  of  the  ongoing  crisis  and  the  shifting  landscape  that  comes  with  it  to  get  themselves  in  a   more   advantageous   position.   Without   buying   into   conspiracy   theories   or   been   naïve,   it   is  important   to   point   out   the   strategic   dimension   of   what   is   happening   in   Michoacán.   Not  everything   is   the   consequence   of   spontaneous   movements.   At   the   very   least,   ever   since   the  movement  came  into  the  scene,  there  are  far  too  many  interests  at  work  to  ignore  the  possible  instrumentalization  of  the  conflict.         The  political  purge  that  is  taking  place  in  the  region  under  the  ever  present  specter  of  the  Michoacanazo  is  understood  within  this  framework:  Who  is  going  to  be  taken  out  of  the  picture,  how  and  why,  are  criteria  that  will  be  left  to  the  discretion  of  the  federal  government;  which  is  as  far  as  you  can  get  from  a  sense  of  justice  and  the  struggle  against  impunity.  On  the  contrary,  this  feeds   the  arbitrary  behavior   the  authorities  show   in   the  way   they  have  executed   their  belated  response,  caring  more  about  their  own  image  than  about  the  region's  issues.  If  there  are  known  ties  between  Jesus  Reyna,  former  Government  Secretary  and  then  interim  Governor  of  the  state  of  Michoacán,   and   the   organized   crime   network,  what   can   be   done   about   the  majority   of   the  political   class   that   is   now   in   power   as   a   result   of   a   seemingly   undeniable   pact   between   the  Caballeros  Templarios  and  the  PRI?  The  need  for  coherence  and  accountability  from  the  actors  is  essential,   but   even  more   so   from   the   government.   The   change   in   direction   as   well   as   partial  political  purges  only  foster  greater  mistrust  in  an  entity  that  operates  on  account  of  pressures,  blows   and   personal   and   circumstantial   interests   without   any   fixed   direction.   The   poorly  disguised   Michoacanazo,   which   is   taking   place   only   illustrates   the   selection   of   some   public  officials  to  take  the  fall  while  others  are  chosen  to  stay  and  others  are  not  allowed  to  fall.  This  is  a  tacit  and  mute  recognition  of  the  political  and  mafioso  system  currently  in  place  in  Michoacán.                

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  IV  -­‐  Conclusions:  Michoacán,  the  Triple  Illusion  of  the  Federal  Government        a)  The  illusion  of  legality    

   

  The  creation  of  a  rural  police  force  on  May  10,  2014  is  a  step  that  has  been  presented  as  a  first  conclusion  to  the  Michoacán  crisis  and  illustrates  the  Federal  Government’s  precipitation  to  act.  Aside  from  adding  an  umpteenth  armed  group  to  the  region,  because  in  practice  self-­‐defense  groups   do   not   disappear,   the   latter   development   raises   several   questions.   The   first   has   to   do  with  the  legitimacy  and  legality  of  some  of  the  members  of  the  self-­‐defense  groups  whom  in  less  than   a   year   have   gone   from   being   part   of   Los   Caballeros   Templarios   to   obtaining   the  acknowledgement  of  the  state  without  undergoing  a  control  process.  The  second  concern  has  to  do   with   the   total   lack   of   training   of   these   forces   equipped   with   weapons   of   high   caliber.  Moreover,  doubts  arise  with  regards  to  the  Government’s  illusion  of  control,  after  giving  birth  to  a  new  coercive  organization  without  having  imparted  justice  or  addressed  its  related  challenges.  Lastly,   it   is   reasonable   to   worry   about   the   newly   created   fracture   between   the   groups   of  “friends”  and  “enemies”  of  the  Government,  a  process  that  has  now  been  officially  ratified.         The   process   illustrates   the   conduct   of   the   Federal   Government   that   functions   with  “patches”.   The   cooptation   of   the   self-­‐defense   groups   does   not   bring   a   viable   solution   to   the  presence   of   armed   groups   in   the   region.     Not   having   created   the   minimal   conditions   of  transparence  and  security  in  Michoacán,  the  Federal  authorities  have  endorsed  the  founding  of  a  new  police  body   in  a  context  of  complete  distrust:  on  the  one  hand  between  the   local  actors,   -­‐armed  or  not-­‐  and  on  the  other,  between  the  first  and  the  Government.  The  role  of  the  Federal  Government  cannot  even  be  understood  from  a  “reason  of  state”  point  of  view:  in  the  same  way  that  the  municipal  police  –and  perhaps  also  the  police  of  the  state-­‐  did  not  respond  to  a  public  mandate,   it   is   utopic   to   believe   that   in   the   current   context   the   rural   police   can   represent   a  legitimate   public   force.   This   policy,  which   sought   to   generate   a  media  windfall   and   create   the  illusion  of  legality,  does  not  bring  anything  more  than  a  Government  label.      b)  The  Illusion  of  Control  

   

  The   current   bet   of   the   Federal   Government   seems   to   be   the   following:   trust   the  agreements  with  the  leaders  of  the  rural  police  and  ex  self-­‐defense  groups  in  order  to  control  its  actions  bearing   in  mind   the   institutional   limits  previously  mentioned.  Lacking  a   clear   juridical  framework  and  with  no  guarantees  concerning  the  operating  processes,  it  is  very  likely  that  the  members  of   the  rural  police  will  keep  obeying  those  that  were  their  bosses   in   the  self-­‐defense  groups,   unconnected   of   any   public   authority.   The   same   leaders   will   be   able   to   assume   their  double  character:  on  the  one  hand,  their  role  within  the  rural  police  recognized  by  the  Mexican  state  –with  the  prestige  this   implies-­‐,  and  on  the  other  hand,   their  position  as   leader  of  a   local  armed  group.  

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    It   does   not   seem   very   likely   for   ex   members   of   self-­‐   defense   groups   to   renounce   in  practice  to  the  interest  and  convenience  of  acting  with  autonomy.  The  general  process  will  result  in   a   simple   governmental   artifice   of   communication   towards   the   public   while   promoting   the  illusion  of  legality  to  the  detriment  of  legitimacy  and  reestablishing  of  a  rule  of  law.         The   arbitrary   division   of   the   region   between   friends   and   enemies   as  we   have   already  presented   keeps   being   the   guiding   thread   of   the   Federal   Government   in   Michoacán.   The  reproaches   made   to   certain   individuals   is   tolerated   in   others,   and   vice   versa,   enhancing   the  image   of   a   public   entity   that   seeks   arrangements   following   a   clientelistic   logic   and   punctual  personal   interests   that  by  definition  are  variable.  The   first   result  of   the  Government’s   stand   is  the   emergence   of   new   strongmen   undoubtedly   very   related   to   the   criminal   landscape   of  Michoacán,   and   the   cacophony   of   the   political   actors   that   contradict   themselves   continuously  (the  Commissioner  for  Michoacán,  the  Minister  of  the  Interior,  and  the  Attorney  General  of  the  Republic).         More   seriously,   it   has   provoked   the   fracture   we   observe   between   armed   groups   in  Michoacán.  On  the  one  hand,  some  self-­‐defense  groups  enjoy  certain  popular  legitimacy  and  find  themselves   integrated   in   a   medium   to   long-­‐term   political   process,   yet   refuse   the  acknowledgment  of  the  state.  Others  use  the  “label”  of  autodefensas   in  order  to  carry  out   illicit  activities  and  control  territories  out  of  any  public  control.  Finally,  we  find  the  “hybrid”  ones  that  remain  questionable  in  spite  of  now  calling  themselves  rural  police.  This  veil  of  legality  feeds  the  illusion  of  a  public  control  over  the  region  notwithstanding  the  new  mosaic  of  armed  powers  -­‐recognized  or  not-­‐  that  act  with  more  of   less  freedom  in  Michoacán,  and  the  lingering  violence  that  has  reached  alarming  levels  in  the  last  weeks  albeit  the  declarations  made  by  the  Minister  of  Interior,  Miguel  Ángel  Osorio  Chong,  according  to  whom  it  is  possible  to  transit  through  the  state  “freely  and  in  calmly”3.      c)  The  Illusion  of  Equilibrium         Perhaps   today  we  are   facing   the  most   critical  moment  of   the   conflict   in  Michoacán.  All  the   present   actors   seem  prone   to   bet   for   chaos:   to   provoke   or   to   let   the   situation   deteriorate  even  more  in  order  to  later  look  as  the  only  viable  actor.           It’s   the   classic   posture   of   “me,   or   chaos”   that  Los  Caballeros  Templarios   held   for  many  years.  Or  maybe  we  should  say  -­‐more  precise  for  this  particular  case-­‐,  “chaos,  and  then  me”.  In  spite   of   having   been   presented   as   a   project   that   offers   certainty,   the   rural   police   are   being  

                                                                                                               3 According to articles of Proceso (http://www.proceso.com.mx/?p=372915) and Diario de Coahuila (http://www.eldiariodecoahuila.com.mx/notas/2014/5/21/michoacan-pueden-transitar-tranquilamente-434999.asp)

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shaped   in   a   way   that   can   achieve   the   exact   opposite.   The   demobilization   of   the   self-­‐defense  groups  is  a  complex  process  yet  inevitable  and  should  had  been  carried  out  through  initiatives  that  seek  the  participation  and  the  consent  of  all  the  present  actors  in  Michoacán.  In  this  sense  it  would  had  represented  the  denouement  of  a  process  of  clear  and  binding  negotiations.  Further,  in   such  a   context,   the   rural  police  would  have  been  a  breakthrough.  On   the   contrary,   today,   it  embodies   under   the   public   veil   a   new   fragmentation   in   the   region   accentuating   uncertainties  and  rivalries.       What  the  Federal  Government  seems  to  be  seeking  is  not  the  reestablishment  of  the  law  but   the   quick   reinstallation   of   an   equilibrium   based   on   paradigmatic   relations   of   support   to  certain   armed  groups   in  order   to   come  back,   little  by   little,   to   a  monopolistic   configuration  of  violence,  legitimate,  or  not.        d)  The  Michoacanos,  caught  between  a  Rock  and  a  Hard  Place         The   situation   was   exacerbated   by   the   tacit   disappearance   of   political   powers   in  Michoacán,   and   the   imposition  of   an   external   figure,   the  Commissioner   for  Michoacán  Alfredo  Castillo,   who   is   in   charge   of   order   and   the   pursuit   of   justice   without   having   any   political  legitimacy.  The  Commissioner   -­‐who  serves   in  Michoacán  because  of   the  sole  motive  of  being  a  man   of   confidence   of   the   President   of   the   Republic-­‐   could   have   been   a   useful   and   important  figure   in  the   framework  of  a  process  of  clear  and   inclusive  negotiations  with  the  self-­‐defenses,  the   de   facto   power   in   Michoacán,   and   the   few   municipal   and   state   authorities   that   remain  standing.   However,   the   Commissioner   has   been   transformed   to   an   opaque   and   personal   link  between   the   chosen   interlocutors,   this   is   to   say   certain   leaders   of   the   self-­‐defenses   and   the  Federal  Executive  power.  A  firm  posture  confronted  to  the  political  class  of  Michoacán  –who  is  part   of   the   regional   criminal   system-­‐   should   have   been   the   first   step   in   the   governmental  strategy.  On  the  contrary,  the  Government  proceeded  in  reaction  to  pressures  of  the  people,  the  media  or   local  maneuvers,  while   lacking  persistence  and  a   global   vision.  The  halfway  political  purge   that   is   being   conducted   based   on   proofs   coming   from   the   self-­‐defenses,   and   recorded  videos  by  leaders  of  Los  Caballeros  Templarios,  discredits  the  action  of  the  Government.         For  its  part,  the  local  unarmed  population  finds  itself  trapped  once  again  in  the  middle  of  murky   arrangements   and  processes  while   lacking   the   tools   that  would   allow   it   to   improve   its  future.  We  are  newly  confronted  to  the  classic  saying  of  Tierra  Caliente:  “everything  will  always  keep   being   the   same”.   With   the   exception   of   certain   communities   on   the   Coast   and   other  municipalities  where  strong  citizen  councils  have  been  formed,  the  dissents  seem  sturdier  every  day.   The   most   recent   local   political   initiatives,   while   still   weak,   are   under   threat   of   being  integrated  in  the  logic  of  the  armed  confrontation.           Not   providing   the   basic   conditions   to   reestablish   the   rule   of   law,   the   Government  provokes  the  radicalization  of  the  actors  while  at  the  same  time  discredits  its  current  and  future  actions.  The  latter  with  a  crucial  -­‐and  surely  irreversible-­‐  difference:  the  frustration  and  popular  

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distrust   proportionate   to   the   positive   shock   initially   provoked   by   the   self-­‐defenses   and   the  governmental   promises.   By   focusing   on   a   dialogue   with   the   armed   actors,   the   Federal  Government  has  relegated  to  second  level  fundamental  issues  such  as  social  problems,  without  reestablishing   security.  What   the  Government   currently   does   is   “more   of   the   same”  while   not  understanding  the  failure  of  the  armed  or  military  solution4.  For  their  part,  the  autodefensas   -­‐a  term   that   has   lost   its   legitimacy   while   being   diluted   in   the   “good”,   the   “real”,   the   “fake”,   the  “corrupt”,   “the  coopted”  and  so  many  other  qualifications   that  are  heard  and  read-­‐  have  never  been  successful  in  articulating  its  armed  action  with  political  and  social  concrete  advances,  and  thus  fall  in  the  violence  equation.       It   is   time   for   the  situation   in  Michoacán   to  be   taken   for  what   it   is:  a  multi-­‐dimensional  armed  conflict  deeply  rooted  in  the  regional  social  history  within  a  context  of  complete  absence  of  justice.  A  conflict  is,  as  always,  a  realm  of  contradictory  opportunities:  some  take  advantage  of  it,  others  see  it  as  a  path  to  political  emancipation.  The  mistake  has  been  to  understand  the  crisis  through  blinded   categories,   groups   of   actors   that  were   postulated   as   hermetic   between   them,  and  not  as  a  society,  a  whole  where  all   the  dynamics  are   linked  among  each  other.  A  situation  such  as  this  one  requires  a  true  process  of  negotiations,  involving  every  available  political  actor,  as   well   as   every   level   of   government,   sitting   at   a   table   and   committing   to   juridical   based  agreements.  To  do   the  opposite  would  be   that   the  municipalities  entrench   themselves   further,  close  up  and  violently  confront  each  other  under  the  eye  of   ineffective   federal   forces  watching  how   a   region   slips   once   again   from   their   grasp.   In   this   scenario   the   non-­‐armed   local   political  initiatives  continue  to  be  models  worth   following  and  supporting.  Unfortunately,   in  Michoacán  just  like  in  many  other  places  the  person  in  charge  is  the  person  who  is  armed,  and  the  person  who  should  understand  and  address  the  situation  is  still  supporting  the  first.                    Romain   Le   Cour   Grandmaison  graduated   with   a   Masters   Degree   in   International   Relations   –  International   Security   from   Sciences   Po   Paris   (2011).   He   is   now   a   PhD   Candidate   in   Political  Science  at  the  Sorbonne  University  (Paris  1).  His  research  focuses  on  political  history  and  violence  in  Mexico.        Noria   is  a  network  of  researchers  and  analysts  which  promotes   the  work  of  a  new  generation  of  specialists  in  international  politics.  

                                                                                                               4 According to an article of La Jornada, the Federal Government, first under Calderon and then with Peña Nieto, has sent to Michoacán the chilling figure of “53.201 elements in different operations, which equates to more than a quarter part of those in the army and the Mexican Air Force”. (http://www.jornada.unam.mx/2014/05/13/politica/008n2pol).

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