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DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2014

27 november 2014

ENERGY

De wijk als energieleverancier

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Homelab2050

Petra de Boer

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

The World of Energy: Six major trends

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1. Increased electricity demand

2. Environmental responsibility or stewardship

3. Declining fossil fuel supplies

4. Aging assets and workforce

5. Advancing technology, e.g. ICT

6. Maintaining reliability

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

Energy transition in the view of WWF

Source: WWF energy report 2011

100% renewables in 2050

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Scenario’s uit het Energieakkoord voor Nederland

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Nederland wil naar 14% duurzame energie in 2020

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Solar market in The Netherlands

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Nederland heeft een doel van 4 GW zon in 2020

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Three parallel trends in European power sector

Affordable

2014 2050

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Impact of solar production

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Hoe passen deze duurzame energiebronnen in de bestaande

infrastructuur?

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Large volumes of RES require more flexibility …

� Fast controllable power generation, including curtailment of

e.g. wind power

� Large(r) interconnection capacity, and cross-border trading

� Energy storage, small-scale and large-scale systems (and

services)

� Smart local energy, i.e. integration of DG, demand

response, and active participation of end-users

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

A day in 2050 seen through the ‘eyes of the individual’

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.....I can’t imagine how things were done in 2014.”

Nieuwe technologieën zijn een bron van flexibiliteit van het

energiesysteem

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Demand Response

Smart local energy systems …

Smart metering

Real Time Ratings

Home Automation

Energy Storage

Microgeneration

Electric Vehicles

Network Automation

Distributed Generation

Dynamic Load Management

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The energy consumer will have a more active role …

� Passive energy consumers become participating prosumers, and

finally modern ‘energy down- and uploaders’

� They will affect power flow and the energy market which will stimulate the development of new market mechanisms, and new services

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

… and ‘new’ companies will enter the energy market

� ICT and telecom

� Building industry and contractors

� Technology providers and manufacturers

� Automotive industry and suppliers

� Service providers and other energy providers

� Housing corporations and local governmental bodies

� Virtual organizations of energy consumers

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From R&D, via pilots to large-scale implementation

Time (years)R&D, first developments

Take-off

Acceleration

Stabilization

Siz

e o

f im

ple

menta

tion

First field tests, e.g.

PowerMatching CityLarger demonstration

projects

Large-scale implementation

2010 2015 2020 2030 2050

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DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

Strengthen the business case for New EnergyS

mart

Energy

System

sSmart domestic appliances

Smart Grids

Infor-mation

Electricity storage

Consumer > prosumer

Incr

ease

d en

ergy

de

man

dby

new

app

licat

ions

EV

Domotica

Heat Pump

Airco

Added

Business V

alues

•V2G •G2V

Second life applications of EV batteries

Dis

trib

uted

Ene

rgy

Res

ourc

es PV

CSP

HRe

Wind

µµµµ-CHP

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DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

Sm

art E

nergy S

ystems

Smart domestic appliances

Smart Grids

Infor-mation

Electricity storage

Consumer > prosumer

Added

Business V

alues

•V2G •G2V

Second life applications of EV batteries

Dis

trib

uted

Ene

rgy

Res

ourc

es PV

CSP

HRe

Wind

µµµµ-CHP

Incr

ease

d en

ergy

de

man

dby

new

app

licat

ions

EV

Domotica

Heat Pump

Airco

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Strengthen the business case for New Energy

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 201427 november 2014

We are participating producers of energy

… in which end-user acceptance & participation is key

Matched by ICT

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We like electric cars

We like smart home

appliances

We save

money with

micro CHP and

solar-PV

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

Smart Grid Rendement voor Iedereen

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AmersfoortNieuwland

• Ontwikkeling van 8 smart grid dienstverleningsconcepten

• Toetsen van deze concepten in 2 pilots van 100 huishoudens in Amersfoort en Utrecht

• Dienstverleningsconcepten gericht op energiebesparing en optimaal gebruikeigen opgewekte zonne-energie

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Innovatieve diensten

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Solar4All

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Inzicht in je eigen energieverbruik: Insight4All

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• App voor smartphones en tablets

• Webportal

• Slimme meter, zonnepanelen, wasmachine, droger, vaatwasser, koelkast, vriezer

Doel: 5% energiebesparing

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Gezamenlijk energiebesparen: Together4All

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+

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

Governments

Traditional Top-down Bottom-up Approach

Suppliers

“Pushing” offers

Lack of

acceptation

“lazy confi

customers”

Network operator

Governments

Suppliers

“Participating” community

Network operators

Active

involved

community

Bottom up benadering

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

BEWONERSCOLLECTIEF

� Via ICA methodiek gerichte publiciteit

� 100-10-1 regel

– 1200 woningen met PV

– 120 aanmeldingen

– 12 ambassadeurs

� Alle ambassadeurs zijn professionals op eigen vakgebied

� Communicatie / Techniek / vaktechnisch

� 100 deelnemers van begin tot eind

– (1 invaller, wachtlijst van 20 mensen)

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Doel Together4All: continu verbruik verminderen

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0

50

100

150

200

250

300

5-m

ei-

14

12-m

ei-

14

19-m

ei-

14

26-m

ei-

14

2-j

un-1

4

9-j

un-1

4

16-j

un-1

4

23-j

un-1

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30-j

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7-j

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6-o

kt-

14

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14

Watt

/u

ur

AmersVolt

Doel: verminderen continu verbruik met 20%

DNV GL © 2014 27 november 2014

Vraagsturing apparaten: Flex4all

Profiel Wasmachine Profiel Droger Profiel Vaatwasser

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10Po

we d

em

an

d (

W)

Time steps in 15 minutes (1/4

hour)

Conclusie: geen mogelijkheden tot significante markt tradingmet deze 3 apparaten

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De piek in het energieverbruik verschuiven: profit4All

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Doel: Meer zonne energie verbruiken en lagere pieken in het verbruik

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Solar4All: Een wolk trekt over Amersfoort…..

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Doel: De energielevering van zonnepanelen voorspellen door informatie te delen

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SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

www.dnvgl.com

Vragen?

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Contact

Petra.deboer@dnvgl.com

026-356 2552