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1
Hour 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Price 49 45 54 53 56 64 77 82 90 83 79 78 77 73 76 76 79 79 84 91 80.3 73.8 72 64.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
EUR/MWh +500 MW Buyers
+400 MW Buyers
+300 MW Buyers
+200 MW Buyers
+100 MW Buyers
Price
-100 MW Buyers
-200 MW Buyers
-300 MW Buyers
-400 MW Buyers
-500 MW Buyers
HUPX hourly price change In case of increase/decrease
of Buyers volume - for 25.10.2018
HUPX Forecast for 26.10.2018Update at 25.10.2018 - 09:45 CET
Base: 72.3 EUR/MWh
Peak: 80.4 EUR/MWh
Data download available on our Power Portal
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
EUR/MWh
+500 MW Buyers
+400 MW Buyers
+300 MW Buyers
+200 MW Buyers
+100 MW Buyers
-500 MW Buyers
-400 MW Buyers
-300 MW Buyers
-200 MW Buyers
-100 MW Buyers
HUPX relative price change in case of increase/decrease
of Buyers volume - for 25.10.2018
Day-ahead and Week-ahead HUPX forecast
HUPX+SEE SPOT Support
www.portal.balkanenergy.com
49 45
54 53 56
64
77 82
90
83 79 78 77
73 76 76
79 79 84
91
80
74 72
64
25
35
45
55
65
75
85
95
105
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
26-Oct-18 HUPX base HUPX peak
Week 44 at average October temperatures
Base: 59.4 EUR/MWh
Peak: 72.8 EUR/MWh
Full Week-ahead report: pages 12-13
HUPX Forecast for Week 44Update at 25.10.2018 - 08:30 CET
40
50
60
70
80
29-10 30-10 31-10 01-11 02-11 03-11 04-11
Base Peak
Week 44 at average October temperatures
Week-ahead forecast summary
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Market arbitration profits and spreads
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
EUR/MWh AT > HU (price spread - daily capacity cost AT>HU)
25.10. (THU) 24.10. (WED) 23.10. (TUE)
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
EUR/MWh HU > HR (price spread - daily capacity cost HU>HR)
25.10. (THU) 24.10. (WED) 23.10. (TUE)
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
EUR/MWh HU > GR (price spread - daily capacity cost HU>SR, SR>MK, MK>GR)
25.10. (THU) 24.10. (WED) 23.10. (TUE)
THU WED TUE MON SUN SAT FRI
AT > HU 25.10. 24.10. 23.10. 22.10. 21.10. 20.10. 19.10.
Base 15.32 10.10 20.46 11.43 0.34 3.16 4.81
Peak 18.81 6.19 26.36 17.23 4.37 7.79 7.93
HU > HR 25.10. 24.10. 23.10. 22.10. 21.10. 20.10. 19.10.
Base -4.84 -0.80 1.90 2.33 -2.56 -2.99 -2.20
Peak -10.29 -3.41 2.08 0.66 -7.91 -6.35 -2.93
HU > GR 25.10. 24.10. 23.10. 22.10. 21.10. 20.10. 19.10.
Base -0.46 1.70 7.54 -3.33 0.84 1.02 -2.91
Peak -3.44 -3.44 4.40 -7.30 -0.42 -3.08 -6.75
Arbitration profit (spread, daily capacity, EUR/MWh)
* before price: one or more hours with zero ATC was offered for that product, on daily auction
ATC = 0 : whole product had zero ATC on daily auctions
THU WED TUE MON SUN SAT FRI
AT - HU 25.10. 24.10. 23.10. 22.10. 21.10. 20.10. 19.10.
Base -16.86 -15.42 -26.25 -13.22 -2.73 -4.68 -5.49
Peak -21.16 -14.29 -35.03 -19.78 -8.15 -9.96 -8.73
HU - HR 25.10. 24.10. 23.10. 22.10. 21.10. 20.10. 19.10.
Base 4.67 0.17 -2.29 -2.86 2.14 2.48 1.97
Peak 10.14 2.99 -2.31 -0.89 7.65 6.00 2.84
HU - GR 25.10. 24.10. 23.10. 22.10. 21.10. 20.10. 19.10.
Base -5.91 -11.45 -14.45 -3.18 -13.47 -7.51 -2.32
Peak 3.25 2.79 -4.84 6.77 -7.47 0.54 6.39
Price spread (EUR/MWh)
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Live outage info TPPs Type MW Event From To
ACTIVE Unplanned outages relevant for 26.10.2018
TPPs Type MW Event From To
Paks U5 HU Nuclear -57 Outage 24.10.2018, 15:30 24.10.2018, 19:00
Paks U6 HU Nuclear -54 Outage 24.10.2018, 15:30 24.10.2018, 19:00
Paks U7 HU Nuclear -64 Outage 24.10.2018, 15:30 24.10.2018, 19:15
Paks U8 HU Nuclear -66 Outage 24.10.2018, 15:30 24.10.2018, 19:15
TES G6 SLO Coal -115 Outage 24.10.2018, 11:30 24.10.2018, 12:30
Dunamenti G7 HU Gas 269 Outage 24.10.2018, 00:00 27.10.2018, 00:00
Dunamenti G8 HU Gas 132 Outage 24.10.2018, 00:00 27.10.2018, 00:00
Craiova G2 RO Coal 131 Outage 24.10.2018, 00:00 26.10.2018, 00:00
Djerdap G6 SER Hydro 190 Outage 23.10.2018, 06:00 11.11.2018, 23:59
Paks U3U4 HU Nuclear 476 Outage 20.10.2018, 20:00 26.10.2018, 23:59
Turceni G4 RO Coal 313 Outage 17.10.2018, 00:00 28.10.2018, 23:59
RECENT Unplanned outages relevant for past 3 days
TPPs Type MW Event From To
Maritsa 3 G2 BG Coal 227 Outage 23.10.2018, 14:00 25.10.2018, 14:00
Bucuresti S G3 RO Gas 84 Outage 22.10.2018, 12:00 25.10.2018, 23:59
Maritsa 3 G3 BG Coal 227 Outage 22.10.2018, 01:40 23.10.2018, 18:00
TES G5 SLO Coal 305 Outage 20.10.2018, 23:00 24.10.2018, 06:00
Bitola G1 MK Coal 225 Outage 20.10.2018, 00:00
Thermal unit outages and maintenances
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000HU+ExYU+AL (HUPX region) - MW out of operation
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
22-Oct 23-Oct 24-Oct Today D+1 27-Oct 28-Oct 29-Oct 30-Oct 31-Oct 1-Nov
Romania - MW out of operation
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800Bulgaria - MW out of operation
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500Slovakia - MW out of operation
22-Oct 23-Oct 24-Oct 25-Oct 26-Oct 27-Oct 28-Oct 29-Oct 30-Oct 31-Oct 1-Nov
HU+ExYU+AL 2,513 1,958 2,359 1,883 1,883 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,482
Romania 2,966 2,966 3,097 2,966 2,966 2,966 2,966 2,358 2,358 2,358 2,358
Bulgaria 1,570 1,570 1,570 1,343 343 343 343 343 343 343 343
Slovakia 470 470 470 470 470 470 470 470 470 0 0
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Planned outages for Week 44
TPPs Type MW From To
Dunamenti G15 HU Gas 156 15.10.2018 28.11.2018
Dunamenti G17 HU Gas 60 15.10.2018 28.11.2018
Kolubara G5 SER Coal 110 15.07.2018 29.10.2018
Djerdap 1 G2 SER Hydro 176 03.09.2018 31.12.2018
RHE B.Basta G4 SER Pump 105 15.10.2018 31.10.2018
TENT A G2 SER Coal 210 12.09.2018 31.10.2018
Ugljevik G1 BA Coal 300 09.10.2018 15.11.2018
Mochovce TG1 Sk Nuclear 235 15.09.2018 30.10.2018
Mochovce TG2 Sk Nuclear 235 15.09.2018 30.10.2018
Minitia G3 RO Coal 220 19.10.2018 10.11.2018
Isalnita 8 RO Coal 295 21.10.2018 30.11.2018
Craiova 2 G1 RO Coal 131 23.06.2018 15.11.2018
Turceni G7 RO Coal 317 20.10.2018 15.11.2018
Turceni G5 RO Coal 313 11.10.2018 10.11.2018
Iernut 6 Ro Gas 188 14.08.2018 31.12.2018
Mintia 6 RO Coal 195 01.09.2018 30.11.2018
Borzesti 7 RO Coal 194 01.08.2017 30.10.2018
Brazi 5 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018
Brazi 6 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018
Maritsa 2 G8 BG Coal 343 17.08.2018 20.11.2018
Planned in next 30 days
TPPs Type MW from to
Dunamenti G15 HU Gas 156 15.10.2018 28.11.2018
Dunamenti G17 HU Gas 60 15.10.2018 28.11.2018
Paks U1 HU Nuclear 240 10.11.2018 04.12.2018
Paks U2 HU Nuclear 240 10.11.2018 04.12.2018
RHE B.Basta G4 SER Pump 105 15.10.2018 31.10.2018
Djerdap 1 G2 SER Hydro 176 03.09.2018 31.12.2018
TENT A G2 SER Coal 210 12.09.2018 31.10.2018
Kolubara G5 SER Coal 110 15.07.2018 29.10.2018
Ugljevik G1 BA Coal 300 09.10.2018 15.11.2018
Turceni G5 RO Coal 313 11.10.2018 10.11.2018
Turceni G3 RO Coal 330 01.11.2018 30.11.2018
Turceni G7 RO Coal 317 20.10.2018 15.11.2018
Minitia G3 RO Coal 220 19.10.2018 10.11.2018
Brazi 5 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018
Brazi 6 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018
Isalnita 7 RO Coal 295 17.09.2018 28.10.2018
Isalnita 8 RO Coal 295 21.10.2018 30.11.2018
Iernut 6 Ro Gas 188 14.08.2018 31.12.2018
Craiova 2 G1 RO Coal 131 23.06.2018 15.11.2018
Borzesti 7 RO Coal 194 01.08.2017 31.10.2018
Bucuresti V 2 RO Gas 113 01.10.2018 31.12.2018
Bucuresti S 5 RO Gas 112 01.10.2018 31.12.2018
Mintia 6 RO Coal 195 01.09.2018 30.11.2018
Petrom Brazi RO Gas -430 17.11.2018 19.11.2018
Maritsa 2 G8 BG Coal 343 17.08.2018 20.11.2018
Mochovce TG1 Sk Nuclear 235 15.09.2018 30.10.2018
Mochovce TG2 Sk Nuclear 235 15.09.2018 30.10.2018
Planned outages relevant for 26.10.2018
TPPs Type MW From To
Brazi 5 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018
Brazi 6 RO Gas 98 01.05.2018 31.10.2018
TENT A G2 SER Coal 210 12.09.2018 31.10.2018
Turceni G7 RO Coal 317 20.10.2018 15.11.2018
Mintia G3 RO Coal 220 19.10.2018 10.11.2018
Mochovce TG1 Sk Nuclear 235 15.09.2018 30.10.2018
Mochovce TG2 Sk Nuclear 235 15.09.2018 30.10.2018
Kolubara G5 SER Coal 110 15.07.2018 29.10.2018
Kozloduy G10 BG Nuclear 1000 15.09.2018 22.10.2018
RHE B.Basta G4 SER Pump 105 15.10.2018 31.10.2018
Djerdap 1 G4 SER Hydro 190 10.09.2018 21.10.2018
Isalnita 7 RO Coal 295 17.09.2018 28.10.2018
Iernut 6
Mintia 6
Borzesti 7
Brazi 5
Brazi 6
Maritsa 2 G8
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Temperature forecast
0
5
10
15
20
25
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10
HU+exYU+AL
max avg min
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10
RO - Bucharest
max avg min
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10
BG - Sofia
max avg min
10
15
20
25
30
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10
GR - Athens
max avg min
Regional consumption weighted average temperature
MAX AVG MIN LT max LT avg LT min
19-10 21.7 14.9 10.1 17.5 12.6 8.2
20-10 19.8 14 9 17.5 12.6 8.2
21-10 15.9 11.8 8.3 17.5 12.6 8.2
22-10 15 10 6 17.5 12.6 8.2
23-10 15.4 11.1 7.4 17.5 12.6 8.2
24-10 16.7 11.2 7 17.5 12.6 8.2
25-10 14.5 9.3 4.6 17.5 12.6 8.2
D.A. 17.3 12.1 6.5 17.5 12.6 8.2
27-10 20 15.4 11.5 17.5 12.6 8.2
28-10 20.7 16.8 13.5 17.5 12.6 8.2
HU+exYU+AL
MAX AVG MIN LT max LT avg LT min
19-10 22 15.9 10 18 11.9 6.5
20-10 19 15.5 13 18 11.9 6.5
21-10 16 12.8 10 18 11.9 6.5
22-10 14 10.7 8 18 11.9 6.5
23-10 19 12.2 6 18 11.9 6.5
24-10 18 12.8 8 18 11.9 6.5
25-10 13 8.7 5 18 11.9 6.5
D.A. 19 12 8 18 11.9 6.5
27-10 23 13.8 7 18 11.9 6.5
28-10 24 16 9 18 11.9 6.5
Romania
MAX AVG MIN LT max LT avg LT min
19-10 22 14.2 7 17.1 11.3 7.1
20-10 18 12.8 8 17.1 11.3 7.1
21-10 16 11.8 8 17.1 11.3 7.1
22-10 11 8.3 5 17.1 11.3 7.1
23-10 16 10.5 6 17.1 11.3 7.1
24-10 16 10.1 4 17.1 11.3 7.1
25-10 10 6.3 1 17.1 11.3 7.1
D.A. 19 10.4 4 17.1 11.3 7.1
27-10 22 13.2 6 17.1 11.3 7.1
28-10 23 14.4 7 17.1 11.3 7.1
Bulgaria
MAX AVG MIN LT max LT avg LT min
19-10 24 19.2 15 24.1 19 16
20-10 24 19.5 16 24.1 19 16
21-10 21 18.5 16 24.1 19 16
22-10 19 16.5 15 24.1 19 16
23-10 19 17.8 17 24.1 19 16
24-10 21 18.5 16 24.1 19 16
25-10 17 15.5 12 24.1 19 16
D.A. 21 15.9 11 24.1 19 16
27-10 23 18.7 15 24.1 19 16
28-10 23 19.7 18 24.1 19 16
Greece
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Temperature deviation forecast
Deviation against long term monthly average
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10
HU+exYU+AL
max avg
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10
RO - Bucharest
max avg
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10
BG - Sofia
max avg
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10
GR - Athens
avg min
MAX AVG
19-10 4.2 2.3
20-10 2.3 1.4
21-10 -1.6 -0.8
22-10 -2.5 -2.6
23-10 -2.1 -1.5
24-10 -0.8 -1.4
25-10 -3.0 -3.3
D.A. -0.2 -0.5
27-10 2.5 2.8
28-10 3.2 4.2
HU+exYU+AL
MAX AVG
19-10 4.0 4.0
20-10 1.0 3.6
21-10 -2.0 0.9
22-10 -4.0 -1.2
23-10 1.0 0.3
24-10 0.0 0.9
25-10 -5.0 -3.2
D.A. 1.0 0.1
27-10 5.0 1.9
28-10 6.0 4.1
Romania
MAX AVG
19-10 4.9 2.9
20-10 0.9 1.5
21-10 -1.1 0.5
22-10 -6.1 -3.0
23-10 -1.1 -0.8
24-10 -1.1 -1.2
25-10 -7.1 -5.0
D.A. 1.9 -0.9
27-10 4.9 1.9
28-10 5.9 3.1
Bulgaria
MAX AVG
19-10 -0.1 0.2
20-10 -0.1 0.5
21-10 -3.1 -0.5
22-10 -5.1 -2.5
23-10 -5.1 -1.2
24-10 -3.1 -0.5
25-10 -7.1 -3.5
D.A. -3.1 -3.1
27-10 -1.1 -0.3
28-10 -1.1 0.7
Greece
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Consumption forecast
MW average
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
19,000
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A.
HU+exYU+AL
peak offpeak
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A.
Romania
peak offpeak
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A.
Bulgaria
peak offpeak
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A.
Greece
peak offpeak
MW Peak Offpeak
19-10 17,285 14,658
20-10 16,443 13,966
21-10 16,102 13,443
22-10 17,018 14,041
23-10 16,624 14,279
24-10 18,127 14,957
25-10 17,940 15,211
D.A. 17,728 14,893
HU+exYU+AL
MW Peak Offpeak
19-10 7,403 6,455
20-10 6,927 6,175
21-10 6,308 5,787
22-10 7,459 6,239
23-10 7,517 6,579
24-10 7,762 6,592
25-10 7,724 6,574
D.A. 7,441 6,391
Romania
MW Peak Offpeak
19-10 4,433 3,735
20-10 4,088 3,539
21-10 4,186 3,671
22-10 4,641 3,935
23-10 4,707 3,952
24-10 4,599 3,939
25-10 4,937 4,042
D.A. 4,508 3,845
Bulgaria
MW Peak Offpeak
19-10 5,785 4,851
20-10 5,616 4,694
21-10 5,158 4,447
22-10 5,859 4,772
23-10 5,953 4,892
24-10 5,981 4,917
25-10 5,811 4,884
D.A. 5,835 4,694
Greece
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Consumption forecast
Consumption changes compared to the day with minimal consumption in last 7 day, MW average
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A.
HU+exYU+AL
peak offpeak
0
500
1000
1500
2000
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A.
Romania
peak offpeak
0
200
400
600
800
1000
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A.
Bulgaria
peak offpeak
0
200
400
600
800
1000
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A.
Greece
peak offpeak
MW Peak Offpeak
19-10 1,183 1,215
20-10 341 523
21-10 0 0
22-10 916 598
23-10 522 836
24-10 2,025 1,514
25-10 1,838 1,768
D.A. 1,626 1,450
HU+exYU+AL
MW Peak Offpeak
19-10 1,095 668
20-10 619 388
21-10 0 0
22-10 1,151 452
23-10 1,209 792
24-10 1,454 805
25-10 1,416 787
D.A. 1,133 604
Romania
MW Peak Offpeak
19-10 345 196
20-10 0 0
21-10 98 132
22-10 553 396
23-10 619 413
24-10 511 400
25-10 849 503
D.A. 420 306
Bulgaria
MW Peak Offpeak
19-10 627 404
20-10 458 247
21-10 0 0
22-10 701 325
23-10 795 445
24-10 823 470
25-10 653 437
D.A. 677 247
Greece
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Wind and solar forecast
MW average
RO Solar GR Solar
Peak Offpeak Peak Offpeak Peak Offpeak Peak Offpeak Peak Offpeak Peak Peak
22-10 500 820 10 30 353 381 140 130 470 320 210 380
23-10 190 670 80 120 344 328 10 60 560 330 250 280
24-10 2270 2240 250 240 94 160 440 310 150 240 190 790
25-10 1900 2000 150 140 48 217 380 410 1050 750 270 800
D.A. 390 1290 10 60 285 183 100 250 190 240 240 790
27-10 810 650 10 10 426 348 260 160 160 140 210 680
28-10 850 1180 160 40 467 467 380 310 440 340 270 630
29-10 2390 2570 150 170 473 474 420 410 600 450 210 520
Romania Wind Hungary Wind Croatia Wind Greece WindBulgaria Wind
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
RO wind
peak offpeak
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
HU-wind
HU offpeak peak
0
100
200
300
400
500
22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
HR-wind
peak offpeak
0
100
200
300
400
500
22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
BG-wind
peak offpeak
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
GR-wind
peak offpeak
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
RO solar peak average
0
200
400
600
800
1000
22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
GR solar peak average
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Hydro generation forecasts
Probability for activation of the pump storage generation - %
Precipitation: additional run-of-river capacity activation - % chance
Danube flow: forecast and the long term average - m3/s
Precipitation (mm)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
Romania exYU+AL
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
Danube m3 flow long term average
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
19-10 20-10 21-10 22-10 23-10 24-10 25-10 D.A. 27-10 28-10 29-10
Precipitation, mm
Maribor, SLO Dubrovnik, HR Nis, SR
Belgrade, SR Bacau, RO Sibiu, RO
Maribor Dubrovnik Nis Beograd Bacau Sibiu
19-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
21-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 2.0
22-10 0.0 2.5 3.0 7.0 0.0 0.0
23-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0
24-10 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.5 0.0 4.0
25-10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
D.A. 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
27-10 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
28-10 25.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
29-10 34.0 32.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0
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NTC and NTC changes
Day-ahead NTC 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
AT>HU 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800
AT>SI 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950 950
SK>HU 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300
CZ>SK 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000
RO>HU 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550
UA>HU 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455 455
SI>IT 673 673 673 673 673 673 620 730 730 661 661 661 733 733 733 795 795 760 737 720 720 720 720 634
IT>SI 680 680 680 680 680 680 680 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 660 680
SI>HR 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300
HR>SI 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300 1300
RO>SR 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400
BG>SR 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350
SR>HU 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700 700
HU>SR 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500
RS>HR 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550 550
HR>RS 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600
BH>SR 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600
BH>HR 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800
SR>MK 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600 600
MK>GR 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350
BG>MK 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250 250
BG>GR 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450 450
GR>ITA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ITA>GR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
26-Oct-18
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
AT>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
AT>SI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SK>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CZ>SK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
RO>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
UA>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SI>IT 0 0 0 0 0 0 -50 -52 -52 -44 -44 -44 -8 -8 -8 95 95 60 -58 -75 -75 -75 -75 -49
IT>SI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SI>HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
HR>SI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
RO>SR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BG>SR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SR>HU 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
HU>SR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
RS>HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
HR>RS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BH>SR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BH>HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SR>MK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MK>GR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BG>MK 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BG>GR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
GR>ITA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ITA>GR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NTC change comparing to previous day
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*Data download available on Power Portal: www.portal.balkanenergy.com
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
29-10 30-10 31-10 01-11 02-11 03-11 04-11
Base Peak
Week 44 at average October temperatures Price Base Peak
29-10 64.0 74.4
30-10 64.0 74.4
31-10 63.5 72.5
01-11 62.8 71.5
02-11 62.8 71.5
03-11 50.2
04-11 48.5
Week 44 59.4 72.8
Week 44 at average October temperatures
Base: 59.4 EUR/MWh
Peak: 72.8 EUR/MWh
Comment:
Assumed Italian Week 44 at 72.13 EUR/MWh and assumed German Week 44 at 50.38 EUR/MWh
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN
HU+exYU+AL (weekly max temperatures)
WK43 WK44
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25
MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN
RO - Bucharest (weekly max temperatures)
WK43 WK44
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25
MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN
BG - Sofia (weekly max temperatures)
WK43 WK44
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN
GR - Athens (weekly max temperatures)
WK43 WK44
Temperature forecast
Regional consumption weighted average temperature
HUPX Forecast for Week 44Update at 25.10.2018 - 08:30 CET
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NTC forecast and changes
WK44 MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN
29-10 30-10 31-10 1-11 2-11 3-11 4-11
AT>SI 800 800 550 0 0 0 0
AT>HU 300 300 300 0 0 0 0
CZ>SK 1700 1700 1700 0 0 0 0
SK>HU 1300 1300 1300 0 0 0 0
UA>HU 455 455 455 0 0 0 0
RO>RS 250 250 250 0 0 0 0
RO>HU 450 450 450 0 0 0 0
RO>BG 250 250 250 0 0 0 0
HU>RS 700 700 700 0 0 0 0
RS>HU 800 800 800 0 0 0 0
BG>RS 350 350 350 0 0 0 0
BG>MK 250 250 250 0 0 0 0
BA>RS 600 600 600 0 0 0 0
BA>HR 800 800 800 0 0 0 0
SR>AL 250 250 250 0 0 0 0
ME>AL 450 450 450 0 0 0 0
RS>ME 600 600 600 0 0 0 0
RS>HR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
RS>SR 600 600 600 0 0 0 0
AL>GR 250 250 250 0 0 0 0
MK>GR 350 350 350 0 0 0 0
BG>GR 450 450 450 0 0 0 0
WK44 - MON TUE WED THU FRI SAT SUN
WK43 29-10 30-10 31-10 1-11 2-11 3-11 4-11
AT>SI 0 0 -250 -800 -800 -800 -800
AT>HU 0 0 0 -300 -300 -300 -300
CZ>SK 0 0 0 -1700 -1700 -1700 -1700
SK>HU 0 0 0 -1300 -1300 -1300 -1300
UA>HU 0 0 0 -455 -455 -455 -455
RO>RS -200 -200 -150 -400 -400 -500 -500
RO>HU -100 -100 -50 -550 -550 -650 -650
RO>BG 0 0 0 -250 -250 -250 -250
HU>RS 0 0 0 -700 -700 -700 -700
RS>HU 0 0 0 -800 -800 -800 -800
BG>RS 0 0 0 -350 -350 -350 -350
BG>MK 0 0 0 -250 -250 -250 -250
BA>RS 0 0 0 -600 -600 -600 -600
BA>HR 0 0 0 -800 -800 -800 -800
SR>AL 0 0 0 -250 -250 -250 -250
ME>AL 0 0 0 -450 -450 -450 -450
RS>ME 0 0 0 -600 -600 -600 -600
RS>HR -550 -550 -550 -550 -550 -550 -550
RS>SR 0 0 0 -600 -600 -600 -600
AL>GR 0 0 0 -250 -250 -250 -250
MK>GR 0 0 0 -350 -350 -350 -350
BG>GR 0 0 0 -450 -450 -450 -450
NTC change comparing to previous week
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