advancements in robotics and aiglobal robotics sales forecast source: ifr, world robotics 2019 robot...

Advancements in

Robotics and AI

Jeff Burnstein

President

Association for Advancing Automation

Agenda

Market Statistics

Technology Trends

Advanced Automation

Examples

Market Statistics

Global Robotics Sales Forecast

Source: IFR, World Robotics 2019

Robot Sales by Country

Source: IFR, World Robotics 2019

North America - Industries

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

ANNUAL Robot Orders by Industry (North America, 2010-2018)

All Other Industries

Metals

Life Sciences/Pharma/Biomed

Plastics & Rubber

Semi & Electronics/Photonics

Food & Consumer Goods

Automotive Component

Automotive

29,513Units Ordered-15% Growth

NA Jan. – Sep. Results 23,894Units Ordered

5% Growth

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

F92010

F92011

F92012

F92013

F92014

F92015

F92016

F92017

F92018

F92019

Robot Orders by Industry (North America, Jan-Sep, 2010-2019)

All Other Industries

Metals

Life Sciences

Plastics and Rubber

Semiconductor & Electronics

Food & Consumer Goods

Automotive Component

Automotive

NA – Jan. – Sep. Auto vs. Non-Auto

4,614

7,202

10,449

9,244

13,690 14,528

16,617

18,490

11,830

13,312

4,992

6,414 5,914

6,487

7,545 7,899 7,368

8,804

10,878 10,582

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

F9 2010 F9 2011 F9 2012 F9 2013 F9 2014 F9 2015 F9 2016 F9 2017 F9 2018 F9 2019

Robot Orders: Auto vs. Non-Auto (North America, January-September 2010-2019)

Automotive Non-Automotive 線形 (Automotive) 線形 (Non-Automotive)

NA Jan. – Sep. Industry Growth

-10%

-6%

-5%

0%

0%

4%

15%

47%

-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Semi & Electronics/Photonics

Metals

All Other Industries

Automotive Component

Life Sciences/Pharma/Biomed

Food & Consumer Goods

Plastics & Rubber

Automotive OEM

NA January – September 2019 Order Growth (Units, YoY)

Technology Trends

Tech Trends in Robotics

Mobility

Vision

Gripping

AI

Opening doors to new robotics applications

Mobility Applications

• Autonomously mobile bases• Onboard Intelligence Systems• Use computer vision and sensors• Can include robot arms for material

handling

Source: IFR World Robotics 2018

Professional Service Robots (Logistics, Field, Agriculture)

2018: 165,300 units (+32%)

+21% per year (2019-2021)

Domestic / Household Robots (Vacuums, Lawnmowers)

2018: 7.5 million units (+23%)

+31% per year (2019-2021)

Entertainment Robots (Toys, Leisure)

2018: 2.8 million units (+20%)

+12% per year (2019-2021)

Mobile “Industrial” Robots are

Represented in this Category

Mobile Robot Market is Growing

Credit:IAM

RoboticsIAM Robotics

Credit:MashableWalmart

Walmart / Bossa Nova

Presented by:

www.robotics.org/AMR

New AMR Conference

Vision Applications

• The ‘eyes’ of a system• Form factors of hardware are getting smaller• Often leverages software advances like

machine learning or AI

Credit:TechCrunch

Veo RoboticsVeo Robotics

Gripping Applications

• End effectors are becoming more dexterous

• Leveraging machine learning and AI to learn how to grasp objects in random orientations

Credit:Soft RoboticsSoft Robotics

Credit:OsaroOsaro

AI + IOT Survey

•THE CHALLENGE

• A New Beat For the Factory

• AI + IoT are already factory accelerators (at least for some)

• But what is required to accelerate the accelerators?

• Last 2 years – capturing moments in the real world to answer that question.

24 Faith McCreary & Irene Petrick | ACCELERATE – AI, IOT, and a New Beat for the Factory I © 2019 Intel Corporation I All rights reserved.

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- Whoever, said it really

83% Companies Planned to Invest But …

FUTURE IN MOTIONTOP PLANNED TECHNOLOGY

INVESTMENTS IN NEXT 2-3 YEARS

51% Artificial intelligence

44% Predictive or big data analytics

35% Smart machinery or equipment

31% Robotics

29% Smart upgrades to existing equipment

25% Additive manufacturing

24% Smart building

23% Smart asset tracking or monitoring

19% Virtual or augmented reality

18% Blockchain

17% Intelligent vision systems

17% Industrial automation

15% Indoor location tracking

12% Real-time coaching systems

12% Industrial wearables

10% Digital twins

10% Voice interaction

9% 5G

9% Autonomous guided vehicles

8% Integrated Controls

6% Fog or edge computing

5% Drones

“I mean we're going through an assessment period right now and I know that everybody that I work with is going to be changing due to these assessments in our organizational restructuring. If we keep on doing them, then my project is going to get passed between so many different people, that it will never see the light of day. I've had four different plans because I've had four different managers that view the initiative very differently. Changing a plan slows you down even after we have the buy-in.”

PRINCIPAL MANUFACTURING ANALYST,

END MANUFACTURER

25 Faith McCreary & Irene Petrick | ACCELERATE – AI, IOT, and a New Beat for the Factory I © 2019 Intel Corporation I All rights reserved.

Work Desk in Factory Warehouse

“I think a major outage from a security-related attack to some IoT systems that cause a big business impact might just make everyone say, ‘Hey, let's not do this. We are not ready.’ I think that is going to scare the hell out of many of us."IT AND AUTOMATION OPERATIONS

MANAGER,

ORIGINAL EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURER

36% TECHNICAL SKILL GAPS that prevent us from benefiting from our investment

27% DATA SENSITIVITY from increasing concerns over data and IP privacy,

ownership, and management

23% LACK OF INTEROPERABILITY between protocols, components, products, and

systems

22% SECURITY THREATS both in terms of current and emerging vulnerabilities in the

factory

18% HANDLING DATA GROWTH in amount and velocity as well as sense-making

18% SCALABILITY ROADBLOCKS to accommodating growth without any business

or performance loss

11% OUTPACING MARKETABILITY by our solutions getting too far ahead of

customer and partner capabilities

10% MAINTAINABILITY CHALLENGES that make the advanced systems difficult to

keep up and running

8% NOT TRUSTING advanced systems due to lack of transparency about smart

actions and outputs

Challenges with Potential to Derail Investment

Advanced Automation Examples

Tesla’s Gigafactory 1

Reno, Nevada

Employs 3,000+

Credit:Tesla

The VergeGigafactory 1 Size

Other Gigafactories

Gigafactory 1 in Reno, NV Gigafactory 2 in Buffalo, NY

Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai

Heavily Utilizing AutomationCredit:Tesla

The Verge

Digital Twins

A digital representation of a physical object or system

Main Vendors Include:

Credit:SIEMENSDigital Twins

Summary & Conclusion

1. Robot sales are growing globally.

2. Innovation in areas like mobility, gripping, AI, vision and collaboration with humans is helping drive the growth.

3. Companies are using robotics and AI to develop advanced factories that are transforming manufacturing.

Credit:P&GFuture is People + Automation

Plan Now for Automate 2021!

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Thank you!

Jeff Burnstein

President

Association for Advancing Automation

900 Victors Way STE 140

Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Phone: +1 (734) 994-6088Email: jburnstein@robotics.orgTwitter: @JeffBurnstein