2011 summer seminar
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2011 SUMMER SEMINAR
Deadwood SDJune 22, 2011
PRODUCT TRENDS
NUSUN OIL DOMESTIC/EXPORT USAGE
2000
/01
2001
/02
2002
/03
2003
/04
2004
/05
2005
/06
2006
/07
2007
/08
2008
/09
2009
/100
4000080000
120000160000200000240000280000320000
Chart Title
MTLinear (MT)
HIGH OLEIC OIL DOMESTIC/EXPORT USAGE
2000
/01
2001
/02
2002
/03
2003
/04
2004
/05
2005
/06
2006
/07
2007
/08
2008
/09
2009
/100
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000Chart Title
MTLinear (MT)
IN-SHELL DOMESTIC/EXPORT USAGE
2000
/01
2001
/02
2002
/03
2003
/04
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/05
2005
/06
2006
/07
2007
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/100
50
100
150
200
250
300
Million PoundsLinear (Million Pounds)
KERNEL DOMESTIC/EXPORT USAGE
2000
/01
2001
/02
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/03
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/04
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/06
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20406080
100120140160
Million PoundsLinear (Million Pounds)
BIRDFOOD USAGE
2000
/01
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/02
2002
/03
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/04
2004
/05
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/06
2006
/07
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/08
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/100
50000100000150000200000250000300000350000400000450000500000
MTLinear (MT)
ACREAGE/YIELD TRENDS
OIL-TYPE YIELDS
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600US Yield
US YieldLinear (US Yield)
CONFECTION YIELDS
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600Chart Title
US YieldLinear (US Yield)
U.S. PLANTED OIL-TYPE ACRES
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000
1800000
2000000
2200000
U.S. PLANTED CONFECTION ACRES
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
WHY ARE WE LOSING ACRES? Wet Cycle Diseases
Sclerotinia Phomopsis Rust Verticillium
Corn and Soybean Technology Blackbirds
GRAND FORKS COUNTY ND
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
05000
100001500020000250003000035000400004500050000
0200400600800100012001400160018002000
Sunflower Acres
Total Planted AcresYields
POLK COUNTY MN
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
02000400060008000
100001200014000160001800020000
0200400600800100012001400160018002000
Sunflower Acres
Total Planted AcresYields
HOW HAVE WE MET MARKET DEMAND? Improved yields Years with great crops
High oil content Excellent in-shell seed size
Large carryover stocks Imports Weather/planting conditions
OIL-TYPE SUNFLOWER TOTAL SUPPLY
0200000400000600000800000
10000001200000140000016000001800000
Ending stocksDisappearance
CONFECTION SUNFLOWER TOTAL SUPPLY
050000
100000150000200000250000300000350000400000450000
Ending stocksDisappearance
YIELD GOALS Work Toward Raising Yields by 25% Oils
Five Year Average 1420 lbs/acre 1775 lbs/acre
Confections Five Year Average - 1390 lbs/acre
1740 lbs/acre
ADVANCES IN CROP PROTECTION Herbicides
Five new labels since 2005 Spartan, Beyond, Express, Dual Magnum, Select
Fungicides Quadris, Folicur, Headline
None labeled in 2005 Seed Treatments
Three product choices since 2005 Cruiser Max, Idol, Bayer Cropscience
Desiccants Two new labels since 2005 Glyphosate and Sharpen
AVERAGE YIELDS: HUNGARY AND US
1/2 2/3 3/4 4/5 5/6 6/7 7/8 8/9 9/10 1
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
HungaryUS
SOUTH DAKOTA OIL YIELDS
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0200400600800
10001200140016001800
SD OilNat Oil
SUMMARY Product trends are promising Acres are trending downward Yields are improving gradually Need to secure more product to meet
demand How do we achieve this?
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