all rights reserved © igroup 2004 mobile wireless access

All Rights Reserved © iGROUP 2004

MOBILE WIRELESS ACCESS


SCOPE OF PRESENTATION

The Vision Wireless and Wire-lineKey Highlights in Mobile WirelessTrends in Mobile ServicesWLAN Market TrendsConclusionQ & A Session


LONG TERM VISION

World convergence to a User-Oriented Equation:

SeamlessMobility

Broadband

Convergence ofTechnology &

Standards

- Mobility of Access toMultimedia Services AcrossHeterogeneous Networks,

Devices & Service Providers

- Increased Productivity &Consistent User Experience


EFFORTS TOWARDS SEAMLESSMOBILITY

Emerging examples:

Virtual Home Environment (VHE)UMTS concept of portable &network independent services.

Common VHE standard

Ad-hoc NetworkingAnywhere connectivity

WLAN/WWAN RoamingInter-operator connectivity

models

Standard InterfacesCommon APIs & Protocolssimplify the movement ofservices across different

domains


EFFORTS TOWARDS BROADBANDEVERYWHERE

Emerging signs:

Broadband AccessFree Space Optics (FSO), VeryHigh Speed Digital Subscriber

Line (VDSL)

Broadband Wireless WANNext Generation Wireless LAN (NGWLAN),

CDMA2000 1xEV-DV, High Speed DownlinkPacket Access (HSDPA) for WCDMA

Optical FibreLong haul, metro

access

Longer Term Wireless AccessUltra-Wideband (UWB), 4G

Mobile


HOW CONVERGENCE ISHAPPENING

Emerging signs where technology and standards meet:

Broadcasting & Multicast with MobileWireless

3GPP Release 6 CompletedEnd to End IP

ServicesBoth wireline &

wireless networksshifting to ALL-

IP, IPv6, Roamingwith Mobile IP.Progressing to

edge networks too.

Convergence to Open Standards &APIs

- Open Mobile Alliance (Mid 2002),Open Service Access (Early 1998).- IP Multimedia Subsystem specifications(includes GSM/CDMA IP serviceinteroperability)



The vision Wireless and Wire-lineKey Highlights in Mobile WirelessTrends in Mobile ServicesWLAN Market TrendsConclusionQ & A Session


QUANTUM LEAPS IN GSM MIGRATION

2003 20072002 200620052004

GPRS

Max: 171kbpsAve: 20-40kbps

Some goEDGE Classic

Max: 384kbpsAve: 80-130kbps

HSDPAearliest

deployed

Majority WCDMAnetworks deployed

HSDPA forWCDMA

standardised

Max: 8-10Mbps TD-SCDMAin China too Towards 4G

Max: 100MbpsAve: 20MbpsNTT in 2006Most ~ 2010

Max: 2MbpsAve: 100-200kbps

By ~ 2007, possibly384kbps video streaming

Will see multimode handset support


QUANTUM LEAPS IN CDMA MIGRATION

2002 2006/7>1995 200520042003

CDMA One

IS-95A: 14.4kbpsIS-95B: 64kbps

CDMA2000 1x

Max: 153.6kbpsAve: 60-90kbps

CDMA20001xEV-DO

Max: 2.4MbpsAve: 120-300kbps

CDMA20001xEV-DV

Towards 4G

Max: 100MbpsAve: 20Mbps

Max: 2-4.8MbpsAve: 300-600kbps

First approved by3GPP2 & TIA in June

2002

Will see allCDMA use UIM

cards


TRENDS IN MOBILE DEVICES

880 Million handsets in 2007: GSM based (80.5%), CDMA based (15%), Rest (TDMA/PDC 4.5%) [ARC Group]

Power Supply: Li-Ion, Li-poly to fuel cell technologies Display: Rotating colour LCD screens to organic LEDs Storage: Digital media cards into Gbytes, USIM towards

Mbytes Imaging & Video: Integrated cameras (200 million handsets

by 2007) [ARC Group] Human-Machine Interface: Handwriting recognition (Tablet

PCs), virtual keyboards and image sensing keyboards Machine-Machine Connectivity: Bluetooth, USB, Firewire,

integrated WLAN chips, UWB hence enabling Ad-hoc networking


TRENDS IN TECHNOLOGY &STANDARDS

Middleware: Mainly J2ME (On most handsets by 2007), BREW (CDMA)

Operating Systems: Symbian OS still leader in 2007 with new entrants, SmartPhone 2002/Pocket PC 2002 Phone Edition, Linux eCOS.

Open Mobile Alliance (device centric): Umbrella organisation pulling together the WAP Forum, Open Mobile Architecture Initiative, Location Interoperability Forum, Wireless Village, SyncML and MMS Interoperability Group.

Open Service Access (network centric): Defines open APIs for multi-vendor interoperability and rapid service creation.

Markup Languages: i-mode (CHTML), WAP (WML) have converged to XHTML Basic progressing to XHTML 2.0


TRENDS IN MOBILE PAYMENT

Billing via: Data volume, airtime, transaction, content, URL access

Large number of incompatible payment systems driven by various institutions, telcos or equipment vendors. For e.g.

- 3GPP defined content-based APIs for Open Standard Billing

- Mobile Payment Forum (Nov 2001) for payment card account based billing (Visa, Mastercard, AMEX, JCB and telcos like NTT, Hutchison3G, Vodafone, etc)

- Paycircle (Jan 2002) for Open APIs in mobile payment (equipment vendors for e.g. HP, Oracle, Siemens, Sun etc)

Micropayment Options for e.g. Bluetooth, Infrared, RFID (ISO14443)


TRENDS IN MOBILE SERVICES

Enterprise Solutions / Corporate M-Workforce Mobile Messaging Location Based Services Infotainment Personalised Services Mobile Commerce Customer Relationship Management Etc..



2002 20062005200420030%

20%

15%

10%

5%

25%

% o

f spe

nd o

n ce

llula

r

Source: Ovum

MMS - M2P

MMS - P2P

SMSM2P: Machineto Person

P2P: Personto Person

By 2007: US$22.1b global revenues in consumer & Businesssectors for MMS [Telecompetition Inc / UMTS]

[Ovum]: Earliest 2007 for MMS revenue > SMS revenue



2002 20062005200420030

Global Revenues in Location Based Services[Telecompetition Inc / UMTS]

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2007

US$b

0

$0.7b

$1.8b

$2.7b

$3.9b

$5.8b



2002 20062005200420030

10

20

30

40

50

60

2007

US$b

$0.7b

$11.2b$17b

$31.9b

$5.8b

$48.1b

Global Revenues in Infotainment[Telecompetition Inc / UMTS]



2002 20062005200420030

1

2

3

4

5

6

2007

US$b

$0.2b

$1.5b$2.2b

$3.9b

$0.8b

$6b

Global Revenues in Mobile Internet[Telecompetition Inc / UMTS]

7


WLAN MARKET TRENDS

Wireless modem chipsets going into external PC cards are on the rise whilst notebook PCs are being built with embedded modems. For e.g. Intel Centrino Solution

By 2006, the embedded miniPCI form factor will be the most popular for WLAN Chipsets.

By 2006, embedded wireless modem modules in PDAs will account for most of the WLAN and cellular modem chipsets.

WLANs are now being adopted as complementary to 2.5G and 3G cellular infrastructure. (Wireless Hotspots)

WLAN is expected to play a key role within next generation cellular handsets and handheld devices.


WLAN MARKET EVOLUTION

2003> 2002 200620052004

- 80% of WLAN market today- Going from extrenal PC card to embedded miniPCI

- Moving from .11b to .11a/b to .11a/g with various WAN options

CE

MobileDevice

- Includes PDAs, Smart phones, Cell phones, etc.- Emerging market segment realising high volumes

in 2004- Targeted with .11b due to low power limitations

- Home networking- Emerging market segment

expected to reach high volumesbeyond 2005

PC


IEEE 802.11 WIRELESSINTEROPERABILITY GROUP (WIG)

IEEE 802.11WIG

Wi-FiAlliance

PassOne

IETF

H2GF

GSMAssociation

The OpenGroup

MMAC

3GPP2 Convergence of- WLAN- WWAN- Internet- Service Providers- Qos- Security- Authentication

Objectives:- To be an integral part in the production of a generically applicableinterworking standard for WWAN and other public networks.- To be the point of resolution for ETSI, IEEE and MMAC on issuesand questions related to interworking with WWAN and other publicnetworks.


CONCLUSION

Going towards application mobility across heterogeneous networks and devices.

SMS Messaging will still be the dominant revenue generator until 2007.

Quantum leap in 4G from 3G:- 4G rates average at 20Mbps compared to 3G which is likely to see initial rates below 384kbps.- Social paradigm: 3G is a technology push to users while 4G aims (would be designed) to be indispensable to individuals in performing their daily tasks – more user focused [MITF, Mobile IT Forum]- Increasing need for security as mobile world gets feature rich like the internet

all rights reserved © igroup 2004 mobile wireless access

Documents