ENERGY, TECHNOLOGY, AND THE FUTURE

Digital Government Summit

Roger Duncan

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Agenda

02

Energy and Technology

The Future of Buildings,

Transportation and

Power

The role of IT

Information in

Technology

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SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGYThe conversion of fuel to work with

LESS WASTE

LESS POLLUTION

LESS TOTAL

ENERGY CONVERSION

04

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We are meeting workloads with:

LESS

MATERIAL

LESS

MOTION

LESS

TIME05

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Technology Megatrend

More productivity from less material

Accelerating Ephemeralization

Fuller

Law of Accelerating

Returns Kurzweil

Moores Law Moore

06

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"Smaller Faster Lighter Denser

Cheaper"

- Robert Bryce

Printing Press

Vacuum Tube

Diesel Engine

Jet Turbine

AK-47

Telescope/Microscope

Digital Communications

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Will we eventually

get everything from

nothing?

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Smallest technology limit is

Nanotechnology

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Atomic Precision Manufacturing

Highest Quality

Zero Waste Manufacturing

New materials

Nanocomputers

10

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Stronger and lighter structures with less mass

Radical Cost Reductions

Less rare materials

CAMD (Molecular Design)

Bottom Up Manufacturing

Radical Abundance- Eric Drexler

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How is Technology Doing

This?

INFORMATION

12

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INFORMATION IN

TECHNOLOGY

MaterialsDesign and

EngineeringSensors

Processors

Automation/Robot

ics

EffectorsCommunication

Technology

Autonomy

13

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PHASECHANGE Energy Solutions

PCMs Release and Absorb Heat to Balance

Temperatures

14

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Nanopore Insulation

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Lovins Reinventing Fire 2011

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3D P

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Disposable Housing

18

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Smart Matter

Smart furniture

Buildings that can reconfigure and repair

themselves

Nanotechnology and Buildings

19

Smart Walls

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IoT

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Appliances that Learn

23

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Enchanted Objects- David Rose

Wallets

Livescribe pens

Furniture that melts

Understanding lights

Traffic situation key fobs

Umbrellas that read weather reports

Pill bottles

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Future Smart James Canton

6 waves of the Internet

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Future Smart James Canton

1. ARPANET

2. Graphics and Video

3. Social Web

UT Austin

31

Fourth Wave Collaboration Web

Dynamic Interaction

Deep Learning

Managing the Big Data tsunami

UT Austin

32

Fifth Wave Evolutionary Networking

Always Aware Internet

Personality

Voice Activation

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33

Sixth Wave Living Ecosystem

Independent knowledge

agentsSelf-organizing and creative

Smart, Aware physical spaces

UT Austin

34

The Future Mind Michio Kaku

Telepathy

Telekinesis

Augmented Reality

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Brain Net

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The Age of Robotics

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Autonomy

43

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Spintel s.r.l.

47

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Electric Microgrid

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Solar Roof Shingles

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Solar Generating Windows

52

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Solar Paints

53

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Fossil Fuel Power

PlantOffice Building

Petroleum

Vehicle

Conventional Energy System

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Zero Energy Home

PHEV/BEVDistributed Utility

Fossil Fuels

Solar Wind

Nuclear

Unified Energy System

Autonomous

Sentient Appearing

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SAAM

Sentient-Appearing Autonomous Machines

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RELATIONSHIP?

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RACE AGAINST THE MACHINE

Andrew McAfee and Erik Brynjolfsson

Man working with Machine is superior

to either alone

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Artificial Intelligence

Artificial General Intelligence

Artificial Super Intelligence

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ENHANCEMENT

Man/Machine Merger Enhanced Senses Strength (Exoskeletons)

Internet Connected Implants

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Will we develop classes

of enhanced and

unenhanced?

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The role of

IT

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What happens when

everything is smart,

connected and

interacting with you??

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Everything

becomes

an IT

problem!!

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IT Problems

Health

Transportation

Energy Security

Buildings

HR Issues

Employment

Entertainment

67

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New Communication Skills

Chatting with SAAM

Mediating between people and machines

Dealing with enhanced people

Post-human skills?

68

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Will IT

Personnel be

the first

Post-

Humans?

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70

QUESTIONS

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