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Air Pollution and Health What is needed for more health impact studies in India Prof. Rajesh Kumar, MD PGIMER School of Public Health Chandigarh

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Page 1: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Air Pollution and Health

What is needed for more health impact studies in India

Prof. Rajesh Kumar, MD

PGIMER School of Public Health Chandigarh

Page 2: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Human Health

Clean AirSafe FoodSafe Water

Adequate Housing Safe Working Places

Safe Streets

Page 3: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Environmental Health

Air, Water and Places

Hippocrates (460 - 370 BC)

Page 4: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Adverse Effects of Air PollutionLondon Smog

• Acute Respiratory Infections

• Chronic Respiratory Diseases

• Cardiovascular Diseases

• Low Birth Weight

• Cataract

Page 5: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Are Health Effects of Air Pollution Similar in Developing World?

• Socio-economic conditions – poor nutrition

• Demographics- younger

• Climates - tropical

• Air pollutants- level/ mixtures/ fuels

Page 6: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Air Pollution and Morbidity

Mandi Gobindgarh Study

Page 7: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Study Design

• Cross Sectional Survey: 1999-2001– Mandi Gobindgarh & Morinda

• Air Quality Monitoring: Twice a Week– High Volume Sampler: SPM, NOx, SO2

• Sample Household Survey: 4000 Adults– Socio-demographics, Symptoms, Height,

Weight, BP, Spirometery, ECG

Page 8: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Ambient Air Quality

Microgram/ cubic meter

Mandi Gobindgarh Morinda

SPM 890.3 291.3

NOx 27.4 7.4

SO2 29.6 8.9

Page 9: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Air Pollution RiskMandi Gobindgarh

1.5

2.4

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

2.2

2.4

2.6

Repiratory Symptoms Ventilatory Defect

Odd

s R

atio

Logistic Regression- Adjusted for age, sex, social economic status, smoking, kitchen fuel

Page 10: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Air Pollution and Mortality

Ludhiana Study

Page 11: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Study Design

• Time Series- 2002, 2003, 2004

• Air Quality- RSPM, NOx, SO2

• Meteorological- Temp. Humidity, Visibility

• Mortality- Age, Sex, Address, Cause

• Relationship of RSPM/ Visibility with mortality with after

taking into account the effect of temperature & humidity

Page 12: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88
Page 13: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Air Quality Monitoring DaysSite Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall

Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88 138 448

Site 2 Jolly Hosiery 103 73* 0* 176

Site 3 Verka Milk Plant 126 86 119 331

Site 4 Rita Sewing Machine 128 104 100 332

* Monitoring stopped in middle of 2003

Page 14: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Air Quality MonitoringSite Type Days of monitoring

Mon Tue Wed Thurs Fri Sat Sun

Site 1 Commercial X √ X √ X √ X

Site 2 Commercial X √ X √ X √ X

Site 3 Residential √ X √ X √ X X

Site 4 Industrial √ X √ X √ X X

Page 15: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Rita Machine Milk Plant Vishawkarma Chowk

200

400

600

800

Box Plot for RSPM (All Sites), 2002-04R

SPM

Page 16: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

0 200 400 600 800 1000

020

040

060

080

0

Sitewise Plot of RSPM(2002-04),df=20

Days

RSP

M(u

g/m

3)

Vishavkarma-1Milk plant-3Rita-4

Page 17: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

0 200 400 600 800 1000

010

0020

0030

0040

0050

0060

00

Smooth Plot of Visibility,df=20

Days

Visi

bilit

y(m

eter

s)

Min VisMax VisAVG.Vis

Page 18: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

0 200 400 600 800 1000

010

2030

4050

Daily number of deaths(2002-04),df=20

Days

Num

ber o

f Dea

ths

Total DeathsMale DeathsFemale Deaths

Page 19: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Association of RSPM/ Visibilitywith Mortality

• Time Series:

– RSPM, Visibility, Temperature, Humidity, Deaths

• Generalized Additive Model (GAM) with Natural Spline

Smoother (3-6 degree of freedom)

• Quasi Possion Function- Daily Mortality and

RSPM/Visibility adjusted for the effect of temperature &

humidity

Page 20: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Air Quality & Mortality

Page 21: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Association of Air Quality with Mortality

• Visibility (proxy for air pollution)

– 2.4% rise in mortality for every 1000 meter decrease in visibility (p <0.001)

Page 22: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Conclusion

Air pollution adversely affects human

health in subtropical climatic conditions

of northern India

Page 23: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Limitations

• Air Quality of City – RSPM rather than PM2.5– large number of missing days– Lack of log books for quality assessment– Semi quantitative visibility measurement

• Death Registration– lack of computerization of data– incomplete death recording – cause of death data not available

Page 24: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

The Way Forward

• Better exposure monitoring techniques• Regular monitoring for all criteria

pollutants• Health effects of persistent pollutants and

emerging pollutants• Effects of vulnerable populations • Long term epidemiological & toxicological

studies

Page 25: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Acknowledgements

Dr. HK Parwana, Punjab PCB, PatialaDr. GPI Singh, DMC, LudhianaDr. Manoj Sharma, PU, ChandigarhDr. ML Garg, PU, ChandigarhDr. Suresh Sharma, PU, ChandigarhDr. SK Jindal, PGI, ChandigarhDr. JS Thakur, PGI, ChandigarhDr. PVM Lakshmi, PGI, Chandigarh

Page 26: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

• Ministry of Environment & Forests, GOI, New Delhi

• World Health Organisation, India Country Office, New Delhi

• Health Effects Institute, Boston, USA

Acknowledgements

Page 27: Air Pollution and Healthcdn.cseindia.org/attachments/0.02657300_1510641785... · Air Quality Monitoring Days Site Site Name 2002 2003 2004 Overall Site 1 Vishawkarma Chowk 114 88

Thanks

[email protected]