air connectivity in africa: challenges & opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 intra africa intra...

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Airline Industry Economics Advisory Workshop 2016 1 Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities Brian Pearce, Chief Economist, IATA www.iata.org/economics

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Page 1: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

Airline Industry Economics Advisory Workshop 2016 1

Air Connectivity in Africa:

Challenges & Opportunities

Brian Pearce,

Chief Economist,

IATA

www.iata.org/economics

Page 2: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

Aviation connects African businesses to world markets

Source: SRS Analyzer

Page 3: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

But connectivity could be improved across much of Africa

Source: IATA Economics based on SRS Analyzer

Global Air Connectivity Rank (2017, Sample = 140 countries)

Page 4: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

Intra-African connectivity is a particular challenge

Source: IATA Economics based on SRS Analyzer

Number of African countries served direct

Page 5: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

Fares on Intra-Africa routes are high

Source: IATA Economics based on PaxIS (2016 data)

Passenger yields and average trip length

Page 6: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

But load factors aren’t

Source: IATA Economics based on IATA Statistics

Passenger load factors by region

Page 7: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

Competitiveness performance varies significantly

Source: World Economic Forum

Air Transport Competitiveness, TTCR 2017 (140 countries)

Page 8: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

Lack of market access is a key issue

Source: WTO Air Services Agreement Projector

Page 9: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

The potential for air travel growth is very significant

Source: IATA, Tourism Economics

Page 10: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

Air connectivity facilitates economic activity

Source: Intervistas for IATA & AFCAC

Policy

Change

Page 11: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

New routes would translate into major time savings

Source: Intervistas for IATA & AFCAC

Page 12: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

National economies would see significant benefits

Source: Intervistas for IATA & AFCAC

Page 13: Air Connectivity in Africa: Challenges & Opportunities€¦ · 0.14 0.12 Intra Africa Intra Asia 0.10 ...Intra.S America Intra Europe 0.08 Africa -RoW N-S America North Atlantic Asia

Airline Industry Economics Advisory Workshop 2016 13