ag outlook: 2007 crop condition overview august 15, 2007 fact finders for agriculture n a s s united...
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AG OUTLOOK: 2007 Crop Condition Overview
August 15, 2007
FACT FINDERS FOR AGRICULTURE
N A S SUNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
_______________
Corn Planting Date and YieldField Tests at DeKalb and Monmouth, Illinois, 2005 and 2006
218
225227
224
214
199
180
170
180
190
200
210
220
230
3/31 4/10 4/20 4/30 5/10 5/20 5/30
Bu./ac. 30,000 population
Source: February 2007 Newsletter Volume 26:2, Department of Crop Sciences, College of Agricultural, Consumer, and Environmental Sciences, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, Illinois, www.cropsci.uiuc.edu/research/rdc/monmouth/newsletters/2007/Feb_2007.cfm.
Percent planted 4/30 Crop Progress Report:
1997-2006 avg. = 44 %
2007 = 23 %
At 10-yr. avg. pace 19 mil. additional acres planted by the end of April
U. S. Progress and Condition
Corn 2007
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
4/1
4/8
4/1
5
4/2
2
4/2
9
5/6
5/1
3
5/2
0
5/2
7
6/3
6/1
0
6/1
7
6/2
4
7/1
7/8
7/1
5
7/2
2
7/2
9
8/5
8/1
2
8/1
9
8/2
6
2007 % Planted Avg % Planted 2007 % Emerged Avg % Emerged
2007 % Silking Avg % Silking 2007 Good to Excellent 2006 Good to Excellent
2007 % Dough Avg % Dough
May 7 Planting Progress and U.S. Corn Yield
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
Bu./ac.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
% planted 5/7Yield Trend Planting Progress 5/07
Source: USDA-NASS, Crop Progress, 1990-2007.
05/21 05/28 06/04 06/11 06/18 06/25 07/02 07/09 07/16 07/23 07/30 08/06
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
MN IL IA NE OH IN
Source: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office
Corn Condition 2007Percent Good to Excellent
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
0
20
40
60
80
100
Per
cen
t
Source: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office
U. S. Corn ConditionGood - Excellent, August 1
U. S. Progress and ConditionSoybeans 2007
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
4/22
4/29 5/
65/
135/
205/
27 6/3
6/10
6/17
6/24 7/
17/
87/
157/
227/
29 8/5
8/12
8/19
8/26 9/
29/
99/
16
2007 % Planted Avg % Planted 2007 % Emerged Avg % Emerged
2007 % Bloom Avg % Bloom 2007 Good to Excellent 2006 Good to Excellent
2007 % Setting Pods Avg % Setting Pods
06/04 06/11 06/18 06/25 07/02 07/09 07/16 07/23 07/30 08/0630
40
50
60
70
80
90
MN IL IA NE OH IN
Source: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office
Soybean Condition 2007Percent Good to Excellent
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
0
20
40
60
80
100
Per
cen
t
Source: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office
U. S. Soybean ConditionGood - Excellent, August 1
U. S. Progress and ConditionWinter Wheat 2007
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
4/1
4/8
4/15
4/22
4/29 5/
6
5/13
5/20
5/27 6/
3
6/10
6/17
6/24 7/
1
7/8
7/15
7/22
7/29 8/
5
8/12
8/19
2007 % Headed Avg % Headed 2007 % Harvested Avg % Harvested 2007 Good to Excellent 2006 Good to Excellent
KS 77% G/E
KS 44% moderate/severe freeze damage
KS 36% G/E
04/01 04/08 04/15 04/22 04/29 05/06 05/13 05/20 05/27 06/03 06/10 06/17 06/24 07/01 07/07
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
IN
KS
NE
OK
SD
TXSource: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office
Wheat Condition 2007Percent Good to Excellent