ag outlook: 2007 crop condition overview august 15, 2007 fact finders for agriculture n a s s united...

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AG OUTLOOK: 2007 Crop Condition Overview August 15, 2007 FACT FINDERS FOR AGRICULTURE N A S S UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE ______________ _

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AG OUTLOOK: 2007 Crop Condition Overview

August 15, 2007

FACT FINDERS FOR AGRICULTURE

N A S SUNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

_______________

Corn Planting Date and YieldField Tests at DeKalb and Monmouth, Illinois, 2005 and 2006

218

225227

224

214

199

180

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

3/31 4/10 4/20 4/30 5/10 5/20 5/30

Bu./ac. 30,000 population

Source: February 2007 Newsletter Volume 26:2, Department of Crop Sciences, College of Agricultural, Consumer, and Environmental Sciences, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, Illinois, www.cropsci.uiuc.edu/research/rdc/monmouth/newsletters/2007/Feb_2007.cfm.

Percent planted 4/30 Crop Progress Report:

1997-2006 avg. = 44 %

2007 = 23 %

At 10-yr. avg. pace 19 mil. additional acres planted by the end of April

U. S. Progress and Condition

Corn 2007

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

4/1

4/8

4/1

5

4/2

2

4/2

9

5/6

5/1

3

5/2

0

5/2

7

6/3

6/1

0

6/1

7

6/2

4

7/1

7/8

7/1

5

7/2

2

7/2

9

8/5

8/1

2

8/1

9

8/2

6

2007 % Planted Avg % Planted 2007 % Emerged Avg % Emerged

2007 % Silking Avg % Silking 2007 Good to Excellent 2006 Good to Excellent

2007 % Dough Avg % Dough

May 7 Planting Progress and U.S. Corn Yield

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

170

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

Bu./ac.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

% planted 5/7Yield Trend Planting Progress 5/07

Source: USDA-NASS, Crop Progress, 1990-2007.

05/21 05/28 06/04 06/11 06/18 06/25 07/02 07/09 07/16 07/23 07/30 08/06

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

MN IL IA NE OH IN

Source: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office

Corn Condition 2007Percent Good to Excellent

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07

0

20

40

60

80

100

Per

cen

t

Source: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office

U. S. Corn ConditionGood - Excellent, August 1

U. S. Progress and ConditionSoybeans 2007

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

4/22

4/29 5/

65/

135/

205/

27 6/3

6/10

6/17

6/24 7/

17/

87/

157/

227/

29 8/5

8/12

8/19

8/26 9/

29/

99/

16

2007 % Planted Avg % Planted 2007 % Emerged Avg % Emerged

2007 % Bloom Avg % Bloom 2007 Good to Excellent 2006 Good to Excellent

2007 % Setting Pods Avg % Setting Pods

06/04 06/11 06/18 06/25 07/02 07/09 07/16 07/23 07/30 08/0630

40

50

60

70

80

90

MN IL IA NE OH IN

Source: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office

Soybean Condition 2007Percent Good to Excellent

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07

0

20

40

60

80

100

Per

cen

t

Source: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office

U. S. Soybean ConditionGood - Excellent, August 1

U. S. Progress and ConditionWinter Wheat 2007

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

4/1

4/8

4/15

4/22

4/29 5/

6

5/13

5/20

5/27 6/

3

6/10

6/17

6/24 7/

1

7/8

7/15

7/22

7/29 8/

5

8/12

8/19

2007 % Headed Avg % Headed 2007 % Harvested Avg % Harvested 2007 Good to Excellent 2006 Good to Excellent

KS 77% G/E

KS 44% moderate/severe freeze damage

KS 36% G/E

04/01 04/08 04/15 04/22 04/29 05/06 05/13 05/20 05/27 06/03 06/10 06/17 06/24 07/01 07/07

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

IN

KS

NE

OK

SD

TXSource: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office

Wheat Condition 2007Percent Good to Excellent

95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07

0

20

40

60

80

100

Per

cen

t

Source: USDA, NASS, Indiana Field Office

U. S. Wheat ConditionGood - Excellent, June 30