africa economic forum

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Africa Economic Forum

shapingAfrica’sFuture

6th March 2013Sandton Convention Centre, Johannesburg, South Africa

SpeakersProfessor Tony Hawkins

Graduate School of Business, Zimbabwe: Correspondent Financial Times (London)

Dr Rob H Davies

Minister of Trade & Industry Ministry of Trade & Industry, Pretoria, South Africa

Mary Kimotho M’Mukindia*

Division of Technology, Industry & Economics United Nations, Nairobi

Dianna Games

Director, Africa@Work, Hon. CEO South Africa-Nigeria Chamber of Commerce

Ram MahidharaPortfolio Manager, Infrastructure, ICT & Natural Resources, Sub-Saharan Africa International Finance Corporation, Johannesburg

Paul Eardley-Taylor

Director, Oil & Gas Southern Africa Standard Bank, Johannesburg

Duncan Clarke

Chairman & CEO Global Pacific & Partners

Grant Hatch

Head of Africa Strategy Accenture, South Africa

Dr Terence McNamee

Deputy Director The Brenthurst Foundation, Johannesburg

Dr Lawrence McCrystal

Director Afrifica, South Africa

Dr John Purchase

Chief Executive Officer Agricultural Business Chamber, South Africa

Louis Deppe

Director, Real Estate Actis, Johannesburg

Albert Essien

Deputy Group Chief Executive Officer Ecobank, South Africa

Carlman Moyo

Regional Director, Sub-Saharan Africa DuPont South Africa

Anthony Lopes Pinto

Managing Director Imara Securities, Angola

Annabel Bishop

Group Economist Investec Ltd, Johannesburg

Celeste Fauconnier

Africa Analyst Rand Merchant Bank

Dougie Truter

Chief Executive Officer Imperial Logistics Africa

Publications and Online Media

AFRICANENERGY

OIL • GAS • POWER • POLICY & FINANCE

SPONSOR OPPORTUNITIES7th Africa Economic Forum 2013

To find out about Sponsor Packages available:Email: [email protected]

Showcase your company to senior level executives at the 7th Africa Economic Forum 2013.

• Build BusinessContacts&Leads• TargetedAudience• CorporateDeal-Flow• ConnectwithKeyPlayers• ExpandNetworks• BuildAfricaExposure• Partnerships&NewOpportunities

UPsTrEAm*miDsTrEAm*DOwNsTrEAm Oil/Gas-Power-Energy-Future Fuels

Strategy Briefing

Our 14thsouthernAfricaOil-Gas&Energy:strategyBriefingtaking place on 5thmarch2013, provides key insights on the oil, gas and energy game, built on over 30 years of oil and gas research. It tracks shifting energy maps in Africa South of the Equator, providing seasoned insights.

Presentations are by Dr Duncan Clarke (Chairman & CEO, Global Pacific & Partners), a leading advisor, thinker, writer and strategist on Africa

Participants benefit from unique knowledge and Delegates receive online access via www.petro21.com to all Presentations (with 600 Images).

Contact:[email protected]

5th March 2013, Sandton Convention Centre, Johannesburg, South Africa

whoshouldAttend:

• Banking/Financial Institutions• Corporate Investors• Legal/Accounting Firms• Investment & Security Firms• Service & Supply Companies• Telecommunications• Transport• Tourism Industries• Engineering & Contractors• Minerals & Mining• Energy & Power Companies • State Agencies & Parastatals• Regulatory Authorities

Sepa

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“Duncan Clarke sets out to answer tough questions.Challenging theories and defying conventional wisdom, he

knows Africa too well to come up with glib answers andprovides a stimulating and thought-provoking journey.”

MICHAEL HOLMAN, former Africa editor of the Financial Times

“Duncan Clarke, one of the most astute analysts of Africa,writes from the inside about Africa’s long history.Enormously stimulating, Clarke boldly rethinks

Africa’s economic future.”PROFESSOR FRANCIS WILSON,

author of Dinosaurs, Diamonds & Democracy: A Short, Short History of South Africa

“This book exudes an intense love of subject, and regalesthe reader with exquisite nuances and fascinating insights.”

ROBERT D. KAPLAN, author of Monsoon: The Indian Ocean and

the Future of American Power

Jacket design: B R I L L

Jacket image: Tom Bonatti

Africa/Economics

www.profilebooks.com

US$32.95

53295

9 781846 685699

ISBN 978-1-84668-569-9

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With forty years’ background in the economics ofAfrica and the developing world, Duncan Clarke is aleading writer, thinker and speaker on economics andgeopolitics in Africa. Founder and Chairman ofGlobal Pacific & Partners, an advisory firm, his recentwork includes Africa: Crude Continent – The Strugglefor Africa’s Oil Prize (Profile Books, 2010; now aCNBC Africa TV/Film documentary).

Throughout the centuries, Africa has concealedmultiple secrets, waylaying and confounding theunwary. Today, as economists, politicians, experts and the cognoscenti from within and outside thecontinent seek to “fix” Africa and its perceivedproblems, the need to understand its mysteries hasnever been greater.

Africa’s Future tells the tale of Africa’s economicevolution, providing unique prisms through which toview the continent’s panoramic story – ultimately oneof triumph over the influences of nature and overmultiple political tragedies. It explains how Africa ineffect went backwards for one and a half thousandyears, from the Roman Empire to 1500 CE. Only inmore recent times has Africa gradually begun toevolve and grow, to the point at which its modern and archaic economies uneasily coexist today.

Modern Africa has developed diverse economicpathways to betterment – yet survivalist economiesstill litter the landscape. The continent’s paradox of“subsistence with many faces” is manifested in its tinymiddle class, its growing numbers of rich, and theever-greater numbers of poor expected in the future.

Duncan Clarke, acclaimed author of Africa: CrudeContinent and an acknowledged expert on theeconomics and geopolitics of Africa, provides freshand challenging insights into our vision of Africa’seconomies and future, offering seasoned views on acontinent of enormous potential which has witnessedmany false dawns. As his discerning analysis shows,Africa is coveted as much by the developing empiresof today as it was by other empires in the past. And ashe suggests, perhaps this rich continent’s destiny canindeed be discerned from its embedded history.

D U N C A N C L A R K E

How the past is shaping Africa’s economic evolution

Darkness to Destiny

A F R I C A’ SF U T U R E

£20.00

Composite to show position of gold foil on front and spine.Gold foil is set to overprint.

“Richly detailed … indispensable for anyone interested in global trends in the 21st century.”

Ian Morris, author of Why the West Rules – For Now

07:00 Registration & Light Breakfast with Coffee

08:00 CHAIRMAN’S OPENING REMARKS Dr Duncan Clarke, Chairman & CEO, Global Pacific & Partners

08:15 Session 1: Africa’s 21st Century Economic Future

What will drive Africa’s economic future to 2050? Is the prognosis for high or modest GDP growth, and will Southern Africa perform better than in the past? Natural resources provide a key asset for the future, while corporate investment is critical to raising the investment rate needed to sustain economic growth.

AFRICA: UNLOCKING NATURAL CAPITAL FOR GROwTH

DrDuncanClarke,Chairman&CEO,GlobalPacific&Partners,authorofAfrica’sFuture:DarknesstoDestiny(ProfileBooks)2012,andAfrica:CrudeContinent:ThestruggleforAfrica’sOilPrize(ProfileBooks)Johannesburg

• The resource-rich Continent could do better, if natural capital was monetised for maximal gain

• Will resource nationalism impede the optimal growth paths open to Africa’s 55 states?

SOUTHERN AFRICA’S ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE Professor Tony Hawkins, Graduate school of Business,Zimbabwe: Correspondent, Financial Times (London),andauthorofDollars,DiamondsandDevelopment:ThePolitical Economy of Zimbabwe after robert mugabe(forthcoming2013)

• Not all Southern African economies have been good performers: why?

• Constraints in integration, trade, capital and infrastructure need to be overcome

INVESTEC: SOUTH AFRICA’S PERFORMANCE & FUTURE

Annabel Bishop, Group Economist, investec Ltd,Johannesburg

• Once the economic powerhouse, South Africa has lost some traction in the growth stakes

• Plans, policies, investment issues and capital constraints will be crucial to better outcomes

UNEP: EASTERN AFRICA’S ECONOMIC GROwTH FUTUREmaryKimothom’mukindia,DivisionofTechnology,industry& Economics, United Nations Environment Programme,Nairobi*

• Trade, investment & logistics expansion is on the upside, but political and commercial risks remain

• Companies have invested, and taken new interest in the economic hubs and regional economies

wESTERN AFRICA: DyNAMICS & CORPORATE DRIVERSDiannaGames,Director,Africa@work,Hon.CEO,southAfrica-NigeriaChamberofCommerce,authorofBusinessinAfrica:Corporateinsights(Penguin)2012,Johannesburg

• Nigeria and Gulf of Guinea offer a fast-moving complex market but multiple blockages impede potential

• Local and foreign-African companies have targeted West Africa but face diverse risks

Moderator: Dr Duncan Clarke

09:30 Coffee Break & Networking

10:00 Session 2: Africa’s Investment Potential & Future

Investment in Africa has risen in volume and value with an uneven spread across economic landscapes and between industries, with resource-based capital investment and FDI inflows leading the charge. A wide range of investors is now active with more partnerships in-place although competitive threats and risks remain for the future and uncertainty has increased with softening and volatility now found in the commodity price cycle.

IFC: VENTURES & INVESTMENTS: SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

ram mahidhara, Portfolio manager, infrastructure, iCT& Natural resources, sub-saharan Africa, internationalFinanceCorporation,Johannesburg

• IFC-World Bank portfolio in Sub-Saharan Africa has grown across the investment spectrum

• What will the future economic landscape offer to multilaterals and DFIs in Africa?

WEDNESDAy: 6th March 2013

Program: 7th Africa Economic Forum 2013

Africa Economic Forum 6 March 2013,

Sandton Convention CentreJohannesburg, South Africa



STANDARD BANK: AFRICA’S “CHINA CARD”: FUTURE COMMERCIAL, TRADE AND INVESTMENT LINKAGES

Paul Eardley-Taylor, Director, Oil & Gas southernAfrica,standardBank,Johannesburg

• China’s role has expanded fast, and risk profiles and opportunities suggest more is to come

• With slower Chinese economic growth, what are the future implications for Africa?

ACCENTURE: AFRICA’S DyNAMIC MARKETSGrantHatch,HeadofAfricastrategy,Accenture,southAfrica

THE BRENTHURST FOUNDATION: AFRICA’S SHIFTING GEO-ECONOMIC-POLITICAL LANDSCAPES

Dr Terence mcNamee, Deputy Director, The BrenthurstFoundation, Johannesburg, and co-author Fault Lines,ProfileBooks,2011

• Political and economic schisms mark Africa’s past, and some remain: will others emerge?

• Will the economic growth paradigm change fundamentally, or risk reversion to type?

AFRICA & “THE wEST”: RIDING THE “COMMODITy SUPER-CyCLE”

Professor Tony Hawkins, Graduate school of Business,Zimbabwe: Correspondent, Financial Times (London), andauthorofDollars,DiamondsandDevelopment:ThePoliticalEconomyofZimbabweafterrobertmugabe(forthcoming2013)

• Traditional trade and investment partners remain significant for Africa, and will for the future

• How will future world economic cycles shift the relationship pattern, and will it be to Africa’s advantage ?

Moderator: Dianna Games, Africa@Work South Africa


12:00 Session 3: Resource Potential & Industry Growth

Africa’s resource base is undeveloped – in agrarian assets, land, agro-allied ventures, minerals, oil/gas and unconventional fuels, as well as in human capital. Private equity and foreign state capital has entered these diverse markets – now wider in scope and depth than before – and the emerging investment cycle is fundamental to long term economic growth trajectories over the coming decades.

AGRIFICA: BUILDING AGRARIAN ECONOMIES ACROSS AFRICA’S CHANGING LANDSCAPES

DrLawrencemcCrystal,Director,Afrifica,southAfrica

• Traditional land and agrarian assets are basic to social survival and economic growth in Africa

• Modernisation in agrarian economies will be a key driver to Africa’s future and economic security

ABC: AGRO-ALLIED INDUSTRIES & MARKET OUTLOOK:SOUTH/SOUTHERN/CENTRAL AFRICA

DrJohnPurchase,ChiefExecutiveOfficer,AgriculturalBusinessChamber,southAfrica

• More investment in agro-allied ventures could transform Africa: uneven markets shape outlook

• High potential exists but modernisation could pave the way to an agrarian revolution

ACTIS: PROPERTy INVESTING & PORTFOLIO IN AFRICALouisDeppe,Director,realEstate,ActisJohannesburg

• New corporate players, investors, projects and urban developments have come to the fore

• Private equity and capital has found new ventures of interest across diverse African property markets

ECOBANK: CORPORATE BANKING IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

AlbertEssien,DeputyGroupChiefExecutiveOfficer,Ecobank,southAfrica

• Ecobank’s portfolio has spread widely inside Middle Africa, and there is more to come

• Competition is growing, more banks have entered Africa’s markets, and the unbanked offer new opportunities

6 March 2013, Sandton Convention CentreJohannesburg, South Africa



DUPONT: AFRICAN ECONOMIES AT PLAyCarlmanmoyo,regionalDirector,sub-saharanAfrica,DuPontsouthAfrica

• Building Africa’s infrastructure across the spectrum is essential, but constraints are significant

• No infrastructure or power means low or even “no-growth” – a situation to be avoided

ANGOLA: ECONOMIC FUTURE, GROwTH POTENTIAL & COMMERCIAL TRAJECTORIES

AnthonyLopesPinto,managingDirector,imarasecurities,Angola

• Oil and gas-LNG development holds out huge potential for Angola, with allied energy investments

• More diversification is en route, with potential for more commercial ventures across the value chain

IMPERIAL LOGISTICS: LOGISTICS & INFRASTRUCTURE IN AFRICA

DougieTruter,ChiefExecutiveOfficer,imperialLogisticsAfrica

• Logistics will shape the economic patterns in Africa

• Ports, hubs, and economic corridors will retain significance

Moderator: Professor Tony Hawkins

13:45 Buffet Luncheon & Networking

15:00 Session 4: “Africa: Political Economy Hardball”

HARDBALL PANEL DISCUSSION: wITH LEADING THINKERS

Forget the sound bites, corporate spin, clichés and political ideologues: Listen to Insider Insights on Africa

Encounter he Critical Questions: Hear Seasoned Viewpoints with Robust Debate

Is Africa Entering Its “Golden Age”?

what Could Derail Economic Progress?

what About Global Competition?

what Are The Key Constraints/Opportunities?

How Can South African Companies Secure Advantage?

Ram Mahidhara, Portfolio Manager, Infrastructure, ICT & Natural Resources, Sub-Saharan Africa, International Finance Corporation

Mary Kimotho M’Mukindia, UNEP, Nairobi

Carlman Moyo, Regional Director, Sub-Saharan Africa, DuPont South Africa

Dianna Games, Director, Africa@work, Hon. CEO, South Africa-Nigeria Chamber of Commerce

Dr Terence McNamee, Deputy Director, The Brenthurst Foundation

INTERACTIVE “HARDBALL” DISCOURSE: wITH DELEGATES

Referee: Dr Duncan Clarke


17:00 Session 5: SA-Emerging-Africa-world Economies

How will South Africa fare in this Brave New Economic World? Will it be “business as usual” ? Or is there clear vision and strategy to drive the country from its “low growth” trajectory towards a more competitive future, and how will South Africa compete with rising economic states within Africa where another 54 countries seek their own national economic interests?

GUEST PRESENTATION: SOUTH AFRICA TRADE & INVESTMENT IN EMERGING wORLD/AFRICA ECONOMIC PARADIGMS

DrrobHDavies,ministerofTrade&industry,ministryofTrade&industry,Pretoria,southAfrica

• The view from Government, strategies for growth and global competition

• What might be done to refocus and improve South Africa’s place in the world?

RMB: AFRICA’S MACROECONOMIC FUTURECelesteFauconnier,AfricaAnalyst,randmerchantBank

• The Sub-Saharan economic outlook and context for South African corporates

• The Next Decade and beyond

INTERACTIVE SESSION: wITH DELEGATES

Moderator: Dianna Games, Africa@Work South Africa

18.15 Close of Conference

18.30 Cocktail & Networking Reception: On The Terrace With Book Launch: Dianna Games, Business In Africa: Corporate Insights (Penguin, 2012) - With Speakers, Participants, Media and Invited Corporate Guests

Program: 7th Africa Economic Forum 2013

Programme & Brochure are Copyright © Global Pacific & Partners

CONFErENCEFEEs Delegate FeesArand VAT14% Total Tick

7th Africa Economic Forum 2013 1 R 4,450 R 623 R 5,073

7th Africa Economic Forum 2013 2 R 7,750 R 1,085 R 8,835

7th Africa Economic Forum 2013 3 R 9,450 R 1,323 R 10,773

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