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Advancements in Aircraft
Technology Presented by Rob Beynon
InterVISTAS Consulting Group
IAAE Canada Conference, Victoria, BC, June 6th 2012
Global Air Passenger Traffic
2 Source: International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)
and International Air Transport Association (IATA).
Average Annual Forecast Growth Rate of
Passenger Traffic
3
Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook 2011-2030
Boeing & Airbus Projected Aircraft Deliveries
4 Source: Airbus and Boeing websites, The Airline Monitor Jan/Feb 2012.
New Aircraft Forecast Deliveries (Long-Term)
5 Source: Airline Monitor – Commercial Aircraft Monitor, Jan-Feb. 2012
0
50
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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
A350 B787
Fuel Efficiency
• Oil prices continue to rise
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Crude Oil Spot PricesJanuary 2007 to March 2012
Composite Construction
• Composite aircraft designs allows for lighter aircraft and less restrictions on design
• Boeing 787 constructed with composites allows for larger windows
• A350 XWB will be over 50% composites
8
Fuel Efficiency
• Rising fuel costs leading to redesign of aircraft, retooling of engines
• A320Neo, B737 MAX
• Need for greater efficiency and longer range
9
Increasing attention to in-cabin experience
• Lower cabin pressure = greater comfort
• Transparent rooflines, mood lighting, ergonomics related to changing demographic of passengers including more women passengers
• Winglets also reduce in-cabin noise
10
Source: Airbus
Turbo props and business aircraft
• The growing orders for Q400 signals improvements for short-haul routes from new turboprop technologies
• and in-cabin noise cancellation
• Bombardier projects strong biz aircraft growth to 2030
11
Source: Bombardier
In 2010 the busiest traffic regions and pairs
remain in Western Europe…
12 Source: EUROCONTROL – Business Aviation in Europe 2010 Briefing
… but the growth can be found in Turkey and
the Ukraine
13 Source: EUROCONTROL – Business Aviation in Europe 2010 Briefing
Fight Deck Enhancements
• Corporate and commercial aircraft benefit
• Information concentrated in smaller areas
• Allows for flight crew ease of control
• Vision Flight Deck is industry’s first to feature synthetic vision imagery on HUD’s
14
Existing Technology Advanced Technology
Enhancements to Small Aircraft
• Float planes are benefiting from technological advancements
• Improved cockpit designs and navigational instruments
allows for IFR navigation
15
Engine Technology
• Engines are quieter, lighter and more fuel efficient (i.e. GEnx)
• Continual testing of bio fuels in search of alternate fuels (Lufthansa trans Atlantic flights)
17
Engine Technology
• High Efficiency Engines
• Twin ETOPS of 330 min for B777 aircraft & eventually the
B787
• Airbus studying 350min ETOPS for A350 XWB
• Longer flights to reach more points non-stop
18
Shaded
areas
represent
flight
restrictions
Airport Impacts of Long Range Aircraft
• Some airports may be bypassed
• Airports now focused on connectivity
• New aircraft create new non-stop markets
• UA IAH – AKL / JL NRT – BOS / ET ADD – YYZ*
20
(*Currently served with B777 with stop in FCO until B787 introduced on route)
Ultra Long-Haul Flights
• US gateways rank high in ultra long haul sectors
• Longest is SIN – EWR at 10,000nm, 18h55min flying time
• Gulf carriers looking to create one-stop global network through geographic advantage on long-distance routes
• Though most flights are within 3000 – 4000nm
• Long hauls are focused on Americas and Australia
• Asia is aviation’s busiest region but few ultra long haul services except to US
21
• Examples of destinations over 6,000nm from East and West Coasts
US Gateways with Long Haul Flights
Between 9,000nm+ 8,000nm+ 7,000nm+ 6,000nm+
New York Singapore Bombay Abu Dhabi
Delhi Dubai
Shanghai Tokyo
Los Angeles Bangkok Hong Kong Auckland
Dubai Melbourne Beijing
Singapore Sydney Istanbul
Tel Aviv Taipei
23
Persian Gulf Airports with Long Haul Flights
• Examples of destinations over 6,000nm from Persian Gulf
24
Between 9,000nm+ 8,000nm+ 7,000nm+ 6,000nm+
Doha Houston Melbourne New York
Sao Paolo Washington
Dubai Houston Atlanta Toronto
Los Angeles Sydney
San Francisco Washington
Future Sectors in Long Haul Market
• Better links between Oceana and India
• Northern Asia to points in Africa and South America
• Long haul aircraft may enable more effective trade flows
• North Asia – Latin American market is underserviced
• Currently need to connect via Europe or North America
• Advancements in aircraft will shrink markets further
25
Air Traffic Control
• FAA’s NextGEN Program
• Europe’s EUROCONTROL SESAR
• Improving technology creating:
• Better utilization of space
• Sequencing tools improve airport capacity
• Direct routings (cost and time savings)
• Improved situational awareness (safety)
• ADS-B will support Airborne Traffic Situational Awareness
• Provides in-cockpit position information on other aircraft
27
FAA’s NextGEN
29
New WAAS
Coverage Clears the
Way for New Access
to Airports
The FAA has
published more than
3000 Wide Area
Augmentation System
or WAAS approaches
in the US.
Source: FAA
Future of Aviation
32
Dragon is a free-flying, reusable spacecraft
developed by SpaceX under NASA's
Commercial Orbital Transportation Services
(COTS) program.
The Dragon spacecraft is made
up of a pressurized capsule and
unpressurized trunk used for
transport of cargo and/or crew
members.
Source: SpaceX