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strategic transportation & tourism solutions Advancements in Aircraft Technology Presented by Rob Beynon InterVISTAS Consulting Group IAAE Canada Conference, Victoria, BC, June 6 th 2012

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strategic

transportation

& tourism

solutions

Advancements in Aircraft

Technology Presented by Rob Beynon

InterVISTAS Consulting Group

IAAE Canada Conference, Victoria, BC, June 6th 2012

Aviation Trends

Global Air Passenger Traffic

2 Source: International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

and International Air Transport Association (IATA).

Average Annual Forecast Growth Rate of

Passenger Traffic

3

Source: Boeing Current Market Outlook 2011-2030

Boeing & Airbus Projected Aircraft Deliveries

4 Source: Airbus and Boeing websites, The Airline Monitor Jan/Feb 2012.

New Aircraft Forecast Deliveries (Long-Term)

5 Source: Airline Monitor – Commercial Aircraft Monitor, Jan-Feb. 2012

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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

A350 B787

Aircraft Design

Fuel Efficiency

• Oil prices continue to rise

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Crude Oil Spot PricesJanuary 2007 to March 2012

Composite Construction

• Composite aircraft designs allows for lighter aircraft and less restrictions on design

• Boeing 787 constructed with composites allows for larger windows

• A350 XWB will be over 50% composites

8

Fuel Efficiency

• Rising fuel costs leading to redesign of aircraft, retooling of engines

• A320Neo, B737 MAX

• Need for greater efficiency and longer range

9

Increasing attention to in-cabin experience

• Lower cabin pressure = greater comfort

• Transparent rooflines, mood lighting, ergonomics related to changing demographic of passengers including more women passengers

• Winglets also reduce in-cabin noise

10

Source: Airbus

Turbo props and business aircraft

• The growing orders for Q400 signals improvements for short-haul routes from new turboprop technologies

• and in-cabin noise cancellation

• Bombardier projects strong biz aircraft growth to 2030

11

Source: Bombardier

In 2010 the busiest traffic regions and pairs

remain in Western Europe…

12 Source: EUROCONTROL – Business Aviation in Europe 2010 Briefing

… but the growth can be found in Turkey and

the Ukraine

13 Source: EUROCONTROL – Business Aviation in Europe 2010 Briefing

Fight Deck Enhancements

• Corporate and commercial aircraft benefit

• Information concentrated in smaller areas

• Allows for flight crew ease of control

• Vision Flight Deck is industry’s first to feature synthetic vision imagery on HUD’s

14

Existing Technology Advanced Technology

Enhancements to Small Aircraft

• Float planes are benefiting from technological advancements

• Improved cockpit designs and navigational instruments

allows for IFR navigation

15

Engine Technology

Engine Technology

• Engines are quieter, lighter and more fuel efficient (i.e. GEnx)

• Continual testing of bio fuels in search of alternate fuels (Lufthansa trans Atlantic flights)

17

Engine Technology

• High Efficiency Engines

• Twin ETOPS of 330 min for B777 aircraft & eventually the

B787

• Airbus studying 350min ETOPS for A350 XWB

• Longer flights to reach more points non-stop

18

Shaded

areas

represent

flight

restrictions

Impacts of Long Range

Aircraft

Airport Impacts of Long Range Aircraft

• Some airports may be bypassed

• Airports now focused on connectivity

• New aircraft create new non-stop markets

• UA IAH – AKL / JL NRT – BOS / ET ADD – YYZ*

20

(*Currently served with B777 with stop in FCO until B787 introduced on route)

Ultra Long-Haul Flights

• US gateways rank high in ultra long haul sectors

• Longest is SIN – EWR at 10,000nm, 18h55min flying time

• Gulf carriers looking to create one-stop global network through geographic advantage on long-distance routes

• Though most flights are within 3000 – 4000nm

• Long hauls are focused on Americas and Australia

• Asia is aviation’s busiest region but few ultra long haul services except to US

21

Central Asia as the Centre of the World

22

• Examples of destinations over 6,000nm from East and West Coasts

US Gateways with Long Haul Flights

Between 9,000nm+ 8,000nm+ 7,000nm+ 6,000nm+

New York Singapore Bombay Abu Dhabi

Delhi Dubai

Shanghai Tokyo

Los Angeles Bangkok Hong Kong Auckland

Dubai Melbourne Beijing

Singapore Sydney Istanbul

Tel Aviv Taipei

23

Persian Gulf Airports with Long Haul Flights

• Examples of destinations over 6,000nm from Persian Gulf

24

Between 9,000nm+ 8,000nm+ 7,000nm+ 6,000nm+

Doha Houston Melbourne New York

Sao Paolo Washington

Dubai Houston Atlanta Toronto

Los Angeles Sydney

San Francisco Washington

Future Sectors in Long Haul Market

• Better links between Oceana and India

• Northern Asia to points in Africa and South America

• Long haul aircraft may enable more effective trade flows

• North Asia – Latin American market is underserviced

• Currently need to connect via Europe or North America

• Advancements in aircraft will shrink markets further

25

Air Traffic Control

Air Traffic Control

• FAA’s NextGEN Program

• Europe’s EUROCONTROL SESAR

• Improving technology creating:

• Better utilization of space

• Sequencing tools improve airport capacity

• Direct routings (cost and time savings)

• Improved situational awareness (safety)

• ADS-B will support Airborne Traffic Situational Awareness

• Provides in-cockpit position information on other aircraft

27

FAA’s NextGEN

28

Source: FAA

FAA’s NextGEN

29

New WAAS

Coverage Clears the

Way for New Access

to Airports

The FAA has

published more than

3000 Wide Area

Augmentation System

or WAAS approaches

in the US.

Source: FAA

Future of Transport

Future of Aviation

31

Future of Aviation

32

Dragon is a free-flying, reusable spacecraft

developed by SpaceX under NASA's

Commercial Orbital Transportation Services

(COTS) program.

The Dragon spacecraft is made

up of a pressurized capsule and

unpressurized trunk used for

transport of cargo and/or crew

members.

Source: SpaceX

strategic

transportation

& tourism

solutions

Thank You!

www.InterVISTAS.com