adapt or go extinct
TRANSCRIPT
all of the technology required to transform industries
through software finally works
Why Software Is Eating the World, 2011
information-basedenvironment
information-enable
drop to zero
Law of Accelerating returns, 2001
• Weight, height, and calorie consumption are from Mediocristan, wealth is Extremistan.
• Black Swan is an event with the following three attributes: Rarity, extreme 'impact‘ and retrospective predictability.
ExtremistanBlack swan theory
• Cynefin Framework is a problem-solving / decision-making tool.
• Problem solving is not a "one-size-fits-all" process.
• Complex contexts are often unpredictable, Cause and effect can only be deduced in retrospect.
Cynefin Framework
“Instructive patterns, however, can emerge if the leader conducts experiments that are safe to fail.”
Snowden & Boone, 2007
ExO Attribute:
Experimentation
Software development is and always will be somewhat experimental
It’s where our focus always ought to have been
Software Engineering: An idea whose time has come and gone?
having multiple providers create sample pieces of software for evaluation
Better Selection of Software Providers through Trialsourcing
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gen-17 mag-17 set-17 gen-18 mag-18 set-18 gen-19 mag-19
Typical "Project" costs profile
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gen-17 giu-17 nov-17 apr-18 set-18 feb-19 lug-19 dic-19
Typical "Product" costs
profile
constant experimental approach
Jez Humble, 2016
Instead of making a go/no go decisionbudget small experiments
Gil Zilberfeld, 2015
• adaptis a requirement
• continuously experiment
• be prepared to fail
•make failure affordable
