a.d. 2000 a.d. 1000 a.d. 1 1000 b.c. 2000 b.c. 3000 b.c. 4000 b.c. 5000 b.c. 6000 b.c. 7000 b.c. 1+...
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A.D.2000
A.D.1000
A.D.1
1000B.C.
2000B.C.
3000B.C.
4000B.C.
5000B.C.
6000B.C.
7000B.C.
1+ million years
8
7
6
5
2
1
4
3
OldStoneAge New Stone Age
BronzeAge
IronAge
MiddleAges
ModernAge
Black Death —The Plague
9
10
11
12
A.D.3000
A.D.4000
A.D.5000
18001900
1950
1975
2000
2100
Future
Billions
Source: Population Reference Bureau; and United Nations, World Population Projections to 2100 (1998).
World Population Growth Through History
Ninth
Eighth
Seventh
Sixth
Fifth
Fourth
Third
Second
First Billion
Number of years to add each billion (year)
All of Human History (1800)
130 (1930)
30 (1960)
15 (1975)
12 (1987)
12 (1999)
14 (2011)
14 (2027)
21 (2050)
Sources: First and second billion: Population Reference Bureau. Third through ninth billion: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
World Population Growth (Billions)
1.17
1.12
0.94
0.84
1.22
1.24
1.24
1.23
1.23
1.20
Belarus
Bulgaria
Republic of Moldova
Republic of Korea
Slovenia
Slovakia
Czech Republic
Ukraine
China, Hong Kong Special AdministrativeRegion
China, Macao Special Administrative Region
10 Places With the Lowest Total Fertility Worldwide
Average number of children per woman, 2000-2005
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005.
Rates of birth, death, and natural increase per 1,000 population
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1950-1955
1955-1960
1960-1965
1965-1970
1970-1975
1975-1980
1980-1985
1985-1990
1990-1995
1995-2000
2000-2005
Birth rate Death rate
Natural Increase
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005.
Birth and Death Rates, Worldwide
• Birth rates and death rates are declining around the world. Overall economic development, public health programs, and improvements in food production and distribution, water, and sanitation have led to dramatic declines in death rates. And women now have fewer children than they did in the 1950s.
• Nevertheless, if death rates are lower than birth rates, populations will still grow
Notes on Birth and Death Rates, Worldwide
Life Expectancy at Birth, in Years
49
6772
76
6565
7780 82
75
Africa Asia Latin Americaand the
Caribbean
More DevelopedRegions
World
2000-2005 2045-2050
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
Trends in Life Expectancy, by Region
•In 2045-2050, infants born around the world can expect to live an average of 75 years — up ten years from today
• Africa will experience the largest increase in life expectancy: from 49 years to 65 years
• Life expectancy varies widely by region. In more developed countries, life expectancy averages 76 years, compared with only 49 years in Africa.
Notes on Trends in Life Expectancy, by Region
Millions
Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2003 Revision (medium scenario), 2004.
1950 2000 2015
Largest Cities, Worldwide
811 12
17 18
34
2123
36
London Tokyo New York
Sao Paulo
MexicoCity
Tokyo Delhi Mumbai(Bombay)
Tokyo
•The largest cities in the world are growing rapidly, and they are shifting from the more developed regions to the less developed regions. In 1950 the three largest cities were in more developed countries; by 2000, only Tokyo remained in the top three.
• In 1950, New York was the largest city in the world, with a population of about 12 million. By 2015, the largest city worldwide is projected to be Tokyo, with triple this population size: 36 million.
Notes on Largest Cities Worldwide
http://www.census.gov/population/www/popclockus.html
• http://www.ibiblio.org/lunarbin/worldpop
• http://www.popco.org/irc/popclocks/