achieve the weave

24
achieve the weave by Kenny Flynn

Upload: kenneth-flynn

Post on 13-Aug-2015

101 views

Category:

Data & Analytics


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

achieve the weaveby Kenny Flynn

local networking app

WEAVE

http://youtu.be/b3APgZK5hDc

achieve the weave.usforecasting “user churn”

0.88AUC

feature predicts user churn

> 21 days since last user interaction

> 21 days since last user interaction

feature predicts user churn

deactivated notifications

low response rates

number of interactions

> 21 days since last user interaction

feature predicts user retention

deactivated notifications

low response rates

number of interactions

fewer (and better?)conversations

predict user retention

quality over quantity

achieve the weaveby Kenny Flynn

by Kenny Flynn prediction is hardbut extremely valuable

science blogger

experimental microbial evolution

Questions?

BONUS SLIDES

low matches > convosfewer than 2 convosfewer than 5 convos

often initiates convos (>66%)rarely initiates convos (<33%)

more than 21 days since last convomore than 21 days since last match

more than 7 days since last matchfewer than 2 matchesfewer than 5 matches

rarely initiates matches (<33%)only swipes left (declines user engagement)

deactivates push notificationshigh response ratelow response rate

uses Weave infrequentlyswipes left often

engi

neer

ed fe

atur

es

optimization of window size

app development - temporal bias?

source: appannie.com

location

hard to network with limited users around?the Churn rate appears to be highly location specific

0" 100" 200" 300" 400" 500" 600"

Charlottesville, Virginia AreaChina

Dallas/Fort Worth AreaGreater Chicago Area

Greater Minneapolis-St. Paul AreaGreater Philadelphia Area

GreeceHawaiian Islands

Hong KongJohannesburg Area, South Africa

Kansas City, Missouri AreaLincoln, Nebraska Area

Santa Barbara, California AreaShanghai City, China

South AfricaSouthampton, United Kingdom

United Statesactive!churned!

counts

Proactive marketing example