a review of current worldwide ipv6 deployment

AreviewofcurrentworldwideIPv6deployment

[email protected]

IPv6capability,worldwide(weighted)

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%IP

v6Cap

able

6.5%?Googlesays10+?

•  APNICappliesaweighPngfuncPontosumthemeasurements,– basedonITUinternetpopulaPondata,toadjustforsamplesizeanomaliesworldwide.

•  Ifyoulike,considerthisworldwidefigureasalow-sidecount– andtheGoogle(andother)measuresasahigh-sidecount:

•  Itsprobablysomewhereinbetweenthetwo


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v6Cap

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CC IPv6% CC IPv6% CC IPv6% CC IPv6% CC IPv6% CC IPv6%

BE 53.35% CH 29.49% US 29.02% DE 28.44% PT 28.33% GR 26.77%

EE 19.34% PE 18.97% LU 17.63% JP 16.79% FI 16.76% MY 13.81%

EU 12.94% FR 12.54% BR 10.86% GB 10.78% CA 10.35% NO 9.65%

HT 9.50% NL 8.27% SG 8.23% RO 8.13% AT 7.26% CZ 6.21%

CC IPv6% CC IPv6% CC IPv6% CC IPv6% CC IPv6% CC IPv6%

IE 5.36% AU 4.82% HU 4.56% BO 4.35% SE 4.28% AX 4.05%

SA 3.97% BA 3.71% NZ 3.03% PL 2.86% TR 2.30% HK 1.53%

SI 1.51% LK 1.41% MT 1.34% RU 1.33% IN 1.30% KR 1.20%

TT 0.96% BT 0.86% CW 0.77% BG 0.68% CN 0.51% VN 0.50%

IT 0.49% UA 0.43% MD 0.40% DK 0.39% IL 0.36% TH 0.33%

SD 0.27% BQ 0.23% SK 0.21% LV 0.21% ZA 0.21% LT 0.21%

BW 0.17% GF 0.16% MK 0.12% TW 0.12% CL 0.12% ES 0.11%

IS 0.11% ID 0.10% TZ 0.10% GT 0.10% PA 0.10%

AboveandBelowtheLine:

EmergingprobleminAPregion

•  FeweconomiesintheAPregionareaboveworld-gradeIPv6capability(green)

•  Oftheeconomiesbelowtheline,manyarestagnant(red),somearemovingupward(yellow)

•  HardtoquanPfywhatqualitydeterminesranking:–  Itsnotjustabouteconomicsize,diversityofISP–  Isitaboutcapitalinvestment?

TwokindsofInternet?•  IPv4andIPv6can’tdirectlyinter-operateasprotocols–  Youcantunnel,andyoucangatewaybutyoucan’tsendIPpacketsdirectlyfrom•  2000::/3to10.0.0.0/8

–  ThedecisiontoproceedwithIPv6deploymentimpliesdual-stackoperaPons,shortorlongterm

–  ThedecisiontoremaininIPv4impliesincreasinguseofCGNandothertechniquestomaximiseaddressre-use

•  ThereisnoavoidanceofextratechnologycosttoconPnuetogrowtheInternet.

Itlookslikeitonmacroscale

•  Therearesignsthatatahigh-levelview,theeconomiesinvesPnginIPv6arenowdivergingfromtheoneswhoarestayinginIPv4–  Itsnotjustaboutsize,oreconomiccapacity

•  Letsreviewsomeoftheplayersineach‘camp’– SomeeconomieswithsignsofsignificantIPv6deployment

– SomeeconomieswithlioleornosignofsignificantIPv6deployment


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102013-10

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2016-02

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2016-06

%IP

v6Cap

able

HigherIPv6capabilityinAsia-Pacific

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1002011-10

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%IP

v6Cap

able

JP

AU

MY

SG

SKTelecom(Korea)

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%IP

v6Cap

able

TMNET(Malaysia)

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1002011-10

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%IP

v6Cap

able

Sopbank-BB,KDDI(Japan)

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1002011-10

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2012-06

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2013-02

2013-06

2013-10

2014-02

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2015-02

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2016-02

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%IP

v6Cap

able

17676

2516

StarHub,StarHubCableVision(Singapore)

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1002011-10

2012-02

2012-06

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2013-02

2013-06

2013-10

2014-02

2014-06

2014-10

2015-02

2015-06

2015-10

2016-02

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%IP

v6Cap

able

55430

10091

Telstra,Internode,Australia

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1002011-10

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2013-02

2013-06

2013-10

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2014-06

2014-10

2015-02

2015-06

2015-10

2016-02

2016-06

%IP

v6Cap

able

1221

4739

HighIPv6capability,selectedeconomiesWorldwide

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1002011-10

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%IP

v6Cap

able

US

GB

DE

BE

EC

BR

Top10bysample,USASN ASName IPv6

CapableIPv6Preferred

#Samples

AS7922 ComcastCableCommunicaPons,Inc. 61.75% 57.28% 14304843

AS7018 ATT-INTERNET4-ATTServices,Inc. 80.57% 73.20% 8526953

AS8075 MicrosopCorporaPon 0.00% 0.00% 5325116

AS701 VerizonBusiness 0.14% 0.01% 4728691

AS20115 CharterCommunicaPons 0.10% 0.02% 3463344

AS22773 CoxCommunicaPonsInc. 17.46% 16.15% 3164061

AS22394 VerizonWireless 89.70% 80.89% 2621733

AS209 QwestCommunicaPonsCompany 0.17% 0.10% 2432793

AS20057 ATTMobility 9.50% 9.32% 2410034

AS10796 TimeWarnerCableInternet 23.30% 21.79% 1999827

Top10bySample,BEASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS5432 BELGACOM-SKYNET-ASProximusNV 44.06% 42.09% 958021

AS6848 TELENET-ASTelenetN.V. 71.09% 67.94% 879004

AS12392 ASBRUTELEBruteleSC 72.96% 70.51% 237980

AS47377 MESMobistarSA 0.20% 0.05% 56730

AS21502 NumericableS.A. 0.01% 0.01% 48287

AS2611 BELNETBELNET 13.39% 12.44% 25361

AS44944 BASE-ASBASECompanyNVSA 0.45% 0.16% 22518

AS29587 SCHEDOM-ASschedomvof 0.00% 0.00% 9654

AS41756 OrascomTelecomAlgeriaSpa 0.00% 0.00% 8245

AS51964 ORANGE-BUSINESS-SERVICES-IPSN 0.00% 0.00% 7811

Top10bySamples,GBASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS5607 SkyUKLimited 51.06% 49.36% 798472

AS5089 NTLVirginMediaLimited 0.01% 0.01% 739599

AS43766 MTC-KSA-ASMTCKSA 0.00% 0.00% 676236

AS2856 BriPshTelecommunicaPonsPLC 0.26% 0.24% 658706

AS13285 TalkTalkCommunicaPonsLimited 0.00% 0.00% 173033

AS12576 ORANGE-PCSEELimited 0.10% 0.05% 154985

AS9105 TISCALI-UKTiscaliUKLimited 0.00% 0.00% 153678

AS9009 M247M247Ltd 0.06% 0.02% 142583

AS60339 H3GUKHutchison3GUKLimited 0.09% 0.03% 97854

AS34825 ONAVOOnavoMobileLtd 0.01% 0.00% 90392

Top10bySamples,DEASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS3320 DTAGDeutscheTelekomAG 50.24% 48.39% 256677

AS200185 XANDMAIL-ASNXANDMAILSA 0.00% 0.00% 115142

AS3209 VODANETVodafoneGmbH 0.15% 0.07% 81574

AS24940 HETZNER-ASHetznerOnlineGmbH 5.86% 4.78% 65769

AS28753 LeasewebDeutschlandGmbH 39.91% 0.71% 61988

AS31334 VodafoneKabelDeutschlandGmbH 69.06% 65.82% 59817

AS6805 TelefonicaGermanyGmbHCo.OHG 0.41% 0.33% 52396

AS6830 LibertyGlobalOperaPonsB.V. 58.68% 55.50% 40648

AS8972 PLUSSERVER-ASPlusServerAG 0.81% 0.05% 25969

AS29562 KABELBW-ASNKabelBWGmbH 56.36% 53.48% 23299

Top10bySamplesBRASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS28573 CLAROS.A. 22.60% 20.60% 1354868

AS18881 GlobalVillageTelecom 21.89% 20.73% 892808

AS7738 TelemarNorteLesteS.A. 3.84% 3.68% 575631

AS27699 TELEFNICABRASILS.A 2.26% 2.10% 419031

AS8167 BrasilTelecomSA- 2.46% 2.39% 339728

AS26615 TimCelularS.A. 4.71% 4.60% 104354

AS26599 TELEFNICABRASILS.A 13.51% 13.12% 102621

AS53006 ALGARTELECOMSA 0.05% 0.05% 62938

AS14868 COPELTelecomS.A. 22.30% 21.73% 44573

AS22085 ClaroSA 0.19% 0.04% 40324

Top10bySamples,ECASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS14420 CNTEP 45.13% 43.66% 1582536

AS14522 Satnet 0.00% 0.00% 438480

AS27947 TelconetS.A 0.03% 0.03% 424395

AS27738 EcuadortelecomS.A. 0.00% 0.00% 278140

AS23487 CONECEL 0.02% 0.01% 157551

AS19114 OtecelS.A. 0.03% 0.01% 155074

AS52257 TelconetS.A 0.01% 0.00% 135138

AS27668 ETAPAEP 0.00% 0.00% 126933

AS22724 PUNTONETS.A. 0.01% 0.01% 110372

AS28006 CNTEP 0.02% 0.01% 42226

Comcast,AT&T,Verizon,T-Mobile

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1002011-10

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2016-06

%IP

v6Cap

able

7922

22394

7018

21928

IPv6capability,China,HongKong,Taiwan

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%IP

v6Cap

able

CN

TW

HK

IPv6Capability,Taiwan

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%IP

v6Cap

able

WhatweknowaboutTaiwan23,394,842 people

19,651,667 users

84% penetraPon

342 ASes

529B GDP

IPv4 133inBGP

35,497,984 addresses

1.52 perhead

97% visible

IPv6 48inBGP

10,127,533 Maddresses

432,895 perhead

11% visible

0% capability

Top10bySamplesTaiwanASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS3462 HINETDataCommunicaPon 0.10% 0.09% 8228218

AS24158 TaiwanMobileCo.,Ltd. 0.02% 0.00% 1279840

AS17421 LongDistanceMobileBusiness 0.01% 0.00% 1211699

AS9674 FarEastToneTelecommunicaPons 0.00% 0.00% 1071602

AS9924 TFN-TWTaiwanFixedNetwork 0.00% 0.00% 576950

AS9416 HoshinMulPmediaCenterInc. 0.03% 0.00% 450236

AS38841 KBRO-AS-TWkbroCO.Ltd. 0.01% 0.00% 419858

AS4780 SEEDNETDigitalUnitedInc. 0.00% 0.00% 258359

AS24164 YEONGJIALEHCABLETVCO.,LTD. 0.00% 0.00% 205423

AS18182 SonyNetworkTaiwanLimited 0.01% 0.00% 175727

Top10IPv6CapablityTaiwanASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS131150 EducaPonBureau,KaohsiungCity 93.31% 81.61% 299

AS17713 NaPonalSunYat-senUniversity 26.35% 25.87% 2304

AS18177 NaPonalChengKungUniversity 16.34% 13.39% 1016

AS7539 TANet2,sponsoredbyNSC,TAIWAN 12.99% 10.73% 177

AS1659 TaiwanAcademicNetwork(TANet) 12.98% 11.51% 56923

AS18042 KBTKoosBroadbandTelecom 9.44% 9.44% 233

AS18420 NCU-TWNaPonalCentralUniversity 2.99% 2.99% 2239

AS131584 TaiwanIntelligentFiberOpPc. 2.90% 2.72% 552

AS9916 NaPonalChiaoTungUniversity 1.98% 1.75% 5200

AS18047 NaPonalTsing-HuaUniversity 1.12% 0.15% 1959

IPv6capability,China

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%IP

v6Cap

able

WhatweknowaboutChina1,382,013,910 people

692,388,968 users

50% penetraPon

1,273 ASes

10.35T GDP

IPv4 316inBGP


0.24 perhead

88% visible

IPv6 55inBGP


64,520 perhead

1% visible

1% capability

Top10bySamplesChinaASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS4134 CHINANET-BACKBONE 0.42% 0.24% 12628000

AS4837 CHINA169-BACKBONECNCGROUP 0.21% 0.15% 9910451

AS9808 GuangdongMobileCommunicaPon 0.09% 0.03% 2006643

AS4812 CHINANET-SH-APChinaTelecom 0.17% 0.07% 1632577

AS4808 CHINA169-BJCNCGROUPIPnetwork 1.12% 0.77% 1166552

AS56046 CMNET-JIANGSU-APChinaMobile 0.07% 0.01% 779374

AS56041 CMNET-ZHEJIANG-APChinaMobile 0.05% 0.00% 720916

AS24547 HebeiMobileCommunicaPon 0.03% 0.00% 698409

AS17816 ChinaUnicomIPnetwork 0.27% 0.19% 479682

AS23724 ChinaTelecommunicaPonsn 0.14% 0.01% 317333

Top10IPv6Capability,ChinaASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS23910 ChinaNextGeneraPonInternet 98.43% 92.52% 508

AS109 CISCOSYSTEMS-CiscoSystems,Inc. 73.08% 66.59% 416

AS4538 ChinaEd.andResearchNetwork 25.05% 18.81% 186951

AS7497 ComputerNetworkInformaPon 23.73% 22.28% 18295

AS18240 BitoneUnitedNetworksTechnology 8.12% 5.65% 15153

AS4809 ChinaTelecomNextGeneraPon 7.38% 5.48% 16227

AS56040 ChinaMobilecommunicaPons 6.81% 3.83% 73891

AS38019 MobileCommunicaPonCompany 3.30% 2.38% 13318

AS58466 CHINANETGuangdongprovince 2.79% 0.00% 11758

AS4847 ChinaNetworksInter-Exchange 2.63% 1.99% 184230

IPv6capability,HongKong

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%IP

v6Cap

able

WhatweknowaboutHongKong7,343,215 people

5,911,288 users

80% penetraPon

717 ASes

291B GDP

IPv4 402inBGP


1.57 perhead

93% visible

IPv6 102inBGP


149,147 perhead

13% visible

1% capability

Top10bySamplesHongKongASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS9269 HongKongBroadbandNetworkLtd. 0.01% 0.00% 1613594

AS4760 PCCWLimited 0.08% 0.07% 1506121

AS9304 HutchisonGlobalCommunicaPons 0.02% 0.00% 378815

AS9908 HKCABLE2-HK-APHKCableTVLtd 0.00% 0.00% 185989

AS38819 HKCSL-AS-APHKCSLGPRSNETWORK 0.00% 0.00% 107115

AS17924 SmarToneMobileCommunicaPons 0.00% 0.00% 94959

AS9231 ChinaMobileHongKongCompany 0.00% 0.00% 72516

AS55536 PACSWITCHGLOBALIPNETWORK 94.03% 0.01% 67613

AS10118 HutchisonTelephoneCompany 0.01% 0.00% 37594

AS9444 HongKongTelecommunicaPons 0.00% 0.00% 32817

Top10IPv6Capability,HongKongASN ASName IPv6


#Samples

AS55536 PACSWITCHGLOBALIPNETWORK 93.99% 0.01% 67213

AS4528 TheUniversityofHongKong 67.76% 52.91% 1253

AS24236 YahooBangaloreNetworkMonitoring 51.83% 43.90% 164

AS45187 RackspaceITHosPngASITHosPng 28.38% 28.27% 4563

AS24334 CyberportHongKong 19.49% 19.17% 313

AS36236 HostVirtual,Inc 8.98% 7.78% 167

AS10103 HKBroadbandNetworkLtd. 3.44% 0.00% 4707

AS55720 GIGABIT-MYGigabitHosPngSdnBhd 2.21% 0.37% 271

AS36351 SopLayerTechnologiesInc. 1.90% 0.46% 7770

AS132597 HongKongServerworksLimited 1.44% 0.96% 209

So:isthisanaddressdistribuPonproblem?

No!Thisisn’tadistribuPonproblem

•  Letslookatsomehistory– GrowthindisPnctINRholdersbyeconomyoverPme

– AmountofIPv4,IPv6byINRholdercountbyeconomyoverPme

•  Whatkindsoftrenddowesee?

IPv4byeconomybyholder,variouseconomies


FormsAgroup

IPv4byeconomybyholderTaiwan

TWisaboveaverage


FormsAgroup

IPv6byeconomybyholderTaiwancomparedtoMean

TWisaboveaverage

IPv6byeconomybyholderTaiwan,withTransacPonCount

FormsAgroup

IPv6byeconomybyholderTaiwan,comparedtoIPv4

SignificantlyMorespaceperINRholder

It’snotanallocaPonproblem

•  ItsclearthatTheRIRsystemandTWNICinparPcularhasperformedVERYWELLinmaintainingequitableaccesstoINR–  TWINRholdersholdmorethantheaverage–  TWINRholdershavesignificantlymoreIPv6holdingsperend-site,thantheyhaveIPv4percustomer/user

•  Thereisnodoubtwe’vedoneourjob!–  ButthereissPllmuchtodo,encouragingIPv6

•  Theproblemisadeploymentproblemnotanalloca%onproblem

Whatkindsofdeploymentareworkingworldwide?

•  DrilldownintotheAPNICdata,byASNandEconomy•  WithintheASNorEconomy,whatkindsofdevicesare

usingIPv6?•  PlottheIPv6capabilitybydevicecategory

–  Mobilevs‘Desktop’–  AndroidvsiOS

•  Note:wedon’tcontrolthepresentaPonraPobydevicetype:thisisoutsideourcontrol–  Sotheabsolutenumbersdon’tmeanverymuch–  Thereisundoubtedlyalotofinternetonmobiledevices

•  Note:mobiledevicedoesn’tnecessarilymeanoncellularcarrier–  ButweknowmanyISPsarecellularISPs

IPv6byDevice:AU

AS1221

IPv6byDevice,US

AS7018

AS21928

AS22394

IPv6byDevice:BE

AS5432

AS12392

IPv6byDevice:TW

AS131150

AS131584

AS1659

AS17713

AS9674

AS18042

AS18177

AS18420

AS3462

AS7539

IPv6byDevice:GB

AS5607

IPv6byDevice:KR

AS9644

IPv6byDevice:MY

AS4788

ObservaPons•  Successfuldeploymentsnowexistworldwideincommercial,large-scalenetworks

•  Cablenetworks–  Truedualstack,neutraltodevicetype,highvisibilityacrossalldevices•  (Comcast,Sky)

•  Cellularnetworks–  Truedualstack,NaPve-IPv6+464XLat.

•  (T-Mobile,SK-Telecom)•  (RestrictsservicetoiOSdevicesatthisPmebutApplewillmove)

•  FiberandADSLnetworks–  (Telstra,Internode,ATT,TMNET)

ObservaPons

•  ThereisunlikelytobeasignificantavoidanceofcostbydelayingIPv6deployment–  YouhavetobuyanddeployaCGNanyway

•  MomentumisnowwithISPs,carriersandcontentproviderswhoaredeployingdual-stack–  IoTandmulP-deviceowninguserslikeIPv6–  FacebooklikesIPv6– GoogleandLinkedInlikeIPv6– ApplenowrequiresIPv6capableapps(sinceJune)

ObservaPons•  ThisisnotprimarilyaresourcedistribuPonproblem•  Thisisveryprobablyacapitalinvestmentproblem.–  AndalogisPcalproblem:ittakesplanning–  Deploymentstrategiesareoutthere,incarriersandIspswhoyoudon’tcompetewithdirectly,thereisalottolearnfromdeploymentmodelsusedoverseas

•  Ifyoudon’tdeployIPv6,youmayriskfallingbehindininternaPonalcompePPveness,andbecomelessaoracPveforsignificantICTinvestmentwhichexpectsIPv6–  TaiwanhasagoodIPv6supply-sidestory.ItneedsagoodIPv6deploymentstorytogowithit.

QuesPons!