a re-examination of historical data for urban centres in new zealand · 2018. 4. 10. · using...

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A re-examination of historical population data for URBAN CENTRES in New Zealand By Hugh Dickey, C/- Box 8774, Auckland 1150

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  • A re-examination of historical population

    data for URBAN CENTRES in New Zealand

    By Hugh Dickey, C/- Box 8774, Auckland 1150

  • Using Electoral Rolls to estimate city populations

    Auckland City East 3,251Auckland City West 7,318Parnell 3,226Newton 3,227Onehunga 2,168Pensioner Settlements 1,541Shipboard at port 534TOTAL 21,265

    Plus parts of –

    Northern Division1,781 Franklin

    3,549Raglan 2,648TOTAL 7,978

    1867 Combined Auckland Total = 29,243

    1867 Census Auckland = 11,103

    1867

  • Ashburton 1886 - Borough 1,946Tinwald, Hampstead, Allenton 1,769

    1916 - Borough 3,280Tinwald, Hampstead, Allenton 2,900

    Timaru 1896 - Borough 3,613Suburbs 3,919

    Hamilton 1896 - Borough 1,248Outside 888

    1911 - Borough 3,542Outside 2,958

  • 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    1871 1874 1878 1881 1886 1891 1896 1901 1906 1911 1916 1921 1926 1936 1945 1951

    % difference between Population in Current Boundaries compared to

    Boundaries at the Time

    Auckland Wellington Christchurch Dunedin

  • 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    1871 1874 1878 1881 1886 1891 1896 1901 1906 1911 1916 1921 1926

    % difference between Population in Current Boundaries compared to

    Boundaries at the Time

    Auckland Wellington Christchurch Dunedin Hamilton

  • 0

    20000

    40000

    60000

    80000

    100000

    120000

    1871 1874 1878 1881 1886 1891 1896 1901 1906 1911 1916 1921

    ChristchurchTwo Measures of Population

    Boundaries at Time Current Boundaries

  • 0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    1851 1854 1858 1861 1864 1867 1871 1874 1878 1881 1886 1891 1896 1901 1906 1911 1916

    Rank of Main Towns 1851-1916

    Auckland Wellington Christchurch Dunedin Nelson

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    1

  • 0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    18

    78

    18

    81

    18

    86

    18

    91

    18

    96

    19

    01

    19

    06

    19

    11

    19

    16

    19

    21

    19

    26

    19

    31

    19

    36

    19

    41

    19

    45

    19

    51

    19

    56

    19

    61

    19

    66

    19

    71

    19

    76

    19

    81

    19

    86

    19

    91

    19

    96

    4 Main Centres 1878-1996Size per 1000 NZ Population

    Auckland Wellington Christchurch Dunedin

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    18

    74

    18

    78

    18

    81

    18

    86

    18

    91

    18

    96

    19

    01

    19

    06

    19

    11

    19

    16

    19

    21

    19

    26

    19

    31

    19

    36

    19

    41

    19

    45

    19

    51

    19

    56

    19

    61

    % Urban Population by two criteria

    Stats NZ New Definition 50%

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    % Urban Population in N.Z., Australia, Canada (Towns 1000+)

    New Zealand Australia 50% Canada

  • 0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    % Urban in N.Z & United States (Towns 2500+)

    New Zealand United States 50%

  • Alternative definitions of ‘urban’ in a N.Z. context

    From population based (1000+)

    To employment based (proposal - 350+)

    Or function based (being worked on)

    Or combination, with minimums in each category

  • Historical analysis by Seasons of Growth

    Early period – Before 1911

    Middle period – 1911 to 1961

    Later period – 1961 to 2013

    Each season of 50 years duration

  • KEY

    Before1911

    After1961

    1911-1961

    34 Towns

    Dunedin

    Auckland

    Wellington Tauranga

  • Greymouth

    Oamaru

    Invercargill

    Te Awamutu

    Queenstown

    Hamilton

  • 1 Queenstown 19942 Tauranga 19853 Rangiora 19814 Pukekohe 19805 Cambridge 19796 Auckland 19717 Taupo 1968 8 Hamilton 19679 Rotorua 196310 Whangarei 1963

    11 Whakatane 196012 Blenheim 195913 Hastings 195814 Levin 195815 Napier 195716 Nelson 195617 Tokoroa 195618 Palmerston N. 195519 Feilding 195520 Te Awamutu 195221 New Plymouth 195222 Christchurch 195123 Wellington 194924 Ashburton 1946

    25 Gisborne 193926 Masterton 193327 Invercargill 193028 Hawera 191729 Timaru 191630 Wanganui 191531 Gore 191132 Dunedin 189433 Greymouth 188734 Oamaru 188035 Thames 1868