a rapidly prototyped vegetation dryness index evaluated for [email protected] asprs 2007...

31
Stennis Space Center A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for Wildfire Risk Assessment at Stennis Space Center Kenton Ross 1 , William Graham 2 , Don Prados 3 & Joseph Spruce 1 1 Science Systems & Applications, Inc. Stennis Space Center, MS 39529 2 National Aeronautics and Space Administration Applied Science & Technology Project Office Stennis Space Center, MS 39529 3 Computer Sciences Corporation Stennis Space Center, MS 39529 POC: [email protected] ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 RELEASED - Printed documents may be obsolete; validate prior to use.

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Page 1: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

ter

A R

apid

ly P

roto

type

d Ve

geta

tion

Dry

ness

Inde

x Ev

alua

ted

for

Wild

fire

Ris

k A

sses

smen

t at

Sten

nis

Spac

e C

ente

rKe

nton

Ros

s1 , W

illiam

Gra

ham

2 , D

on P

rado

s3&

Jos

eph

Spr

uce1

1S

cien

ce S

yste

ms

& A

pplic

atio

ns, I

nc.

Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

r, M

S 3

9529

2N

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d Sp

ace

Adm

inis

tratio

nA

pplie

d S

cien

ce &

Tec

hnol

ogy

Pro

ject

Offi

ceS

tenn

is S

pace

Cen

ter,

MS

395

29

3C

ompu

ter S

cien

ces

Cor

pora

tion

Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

r, M

S 3

9529

PO

C: K

ento

n.W

.Ros

s@na

sa.g

ov

ASPR

S 20

07 A

nnua

l Con

fere

nce

Tam

pa, F

L, U

SA

May

11,

200

7 R

ELEA

SED

- Pr

inte

d do

cum

ents

may

be

obso

lete

; val

idat

e pr

ior t

o us

e.

Page 2: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

ter

Bac

kgro

und

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 3: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

2A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

ter

Land –

Fee

Are

a (F

ee S

impl

e)–

Buf

fer Z

one

Land –

Fee

Are

a (F

ee S

impl

e)–

Buf

fer Z

one

138,

871

Acr

es–

13,8

00 A

cres

–12

5,07

1 A

cres

138,

871

Acr

es–

13,8

00 A

cres

–12

5,07

1 A

cres

Bui

ldin

gs/F

acili

ties

–St

ruct

ures

–B

uild

ing

spac

e–

Can

als

–R

oads

Bui

ldin

gs/F

acili

ties

–St

ruct

ures

–B

uild

ing

spac

e–

Can

als

–R

oads

–14

2–

1.5

Mill

ion

sq ft

8 M

iles

–45

Mile

s

–14

2–

1.5

Mill

ion

sq ft

8 M

iles

–45

Mile

s

Popu

latio

n–

Pers

onne

l–

Scie

ntis

ts &

Eng

inee

rs–

Fede

ral &

Sta

te A

genc

ies

–Te

chno

logy

Com

pani

es

Popu

latio

n–

Pers

onne

l–

Scie

ntis

ts &

Eng

inee

rs–

Fede

ral &

Sta

te A

genc

ies

–Te

chno

logy

Com

pani

es

–46

00

–17

00–

Ove

r 30

–O

ver 6

0

–46

00

–17

00–

Ove

r 30

–O

ver 6

0

Sten

nis

Spac

e C

ente

rTh

e Fe

dera

l and

Com

mer

cial

City

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 4: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

3A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terTh

e Fe

dera

l and

Com

mer

cial

City

FED

ERA

L C

ITY

Dep

artm

ent o

f D

efen

se

Dep

artm

ent o

f C

omm

erce

Dep

artm

ent o

f Tr

ansp

orta

tion

Dep

artm

ent o

f In

terio

r

Envi

ronm

enta

lPr

otec

tion

Age

ncy

Gen

eral

Ser

vice

s A

dmin

istr

atio

n

Stat

e of

M

issi

ssip

piSt

ate

of

Mis

siss

ippi

Stat

e of

Lo

uisi

ana

Cen

ter o

f Hig

her

Lear

ning

Cen

ter o

f Hig

her

Lear

ning

Inst

itute

for T

echn

olog

y D

evel

opm

ent

Com

mer

cial

C

ompa

nies

Com

mer

cial

C

ompa

nies

Nat

iona

l Aer

onau

tics

and

Spac

e A

dmin

istr

atio

n (N

ASA

)

Mai

nten

ance

and

Rep

air

Food

Ser

vice

s

Fire

Pro

tect

ion

Cus

todi

al

Wel

lnes

s C

ente

r

Roa

ds a

nd G

roun

ds

War

ehou

sing

Phys

ical

Sec

urity

Tran

spor

tatio

n

Tele

com

mun

icat

ions

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 5: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

4A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terPr

oble

m 1

: Hur

rican

e K

atrin

a

•H

urric

ane

Kat

rina

mad

e its

third

an

d fin

al la

ndfa

ll on

the

mor

ning

of

Aug

ust 2

9, 2

005,

nea

r the

LA

/MS

bor

der a

bout

10

mile

s fro

m th

e ce

nter

of S

tenn

is S

pace

C

ente

r (S

SC

)•

It w

as d

efin

ed a

s a

Cat

egor

y 3

stor

m w

ith s

usta

ined

win

ds o

f 12

5 m

ph•

Max

imum

sto

rm s

urge

(24

to 2

8 fe

et) c

ame

asho

re a

bout

15

mile

s so

uth-

sout

hwes

t of S

SC

ce

nter

ed o

n S

t. Lo

uis

Bay

©20

05 E

arth

Sca

n La

bora

tory

, Lou

isia

na S

tate

Uni

vers

ityU

RL:

http

://w

ww

.esl

.lsu.

edu/

katri

na/

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 6: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

5A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terIm

med

iate

Sto

rm Im

pact

s on

SSC

•S

SC

was

clo

sed

for n

orm

al

oper

atio

ns fo

r abo

ut o

ne m

onth

be

caus

e of

sto

rm d

amag

e•

152

build

ing

suffe

red

som

e ty

pe

of d

amag

e w

ith 6

2 su

fferin

g m

oder

ate

to s

ever

e da

mag

e•

3,70

0 pe

ople

(inc

ludi

ng

empl

oyee

s, th

eir f

amili

es a

nd th

e pu

blic

) sou

ght s

helte

r at S

SC

Sur

ge s

urro

unde

d S

tenn

is S

pace

Cen

ter o

n 3

side

s•

Mai

n E

ast-W

est s

urfa

ce tr

ansp

orta

tion

corr

idor

s cu

t off

•H

owev

er, c

ente

r inf

rast

ruct

ure

larg

ely

not a

ffect

ed (v

alid

atin

g or

igin

al c

hoic

e of

si

te)

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 7: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

6A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terSt

orm

Impa

cts

on F

ores

ts

Cen

tere

d 45

mile

s no

rthea

st o

f S

SC

, with

est

imat

ed w

ind

inte

nsity

sl

ight

ly lo

wer

, the

U.S

. For

est

Ser

vice

foun

d th

at a

bout

70%

of

trees

sam

pled

had

som

e le

vel o

f da

mag

e, w

ith o

ver 4

0% d

ispl

ayin

g se

vere

dam

age

that

wou

ld li

kely

re

sult

in th

e de

ath

of th

e tre

e (M

eeke

r et a

l., 2

006)

.

•Fo

rest

dam

age

at S

SC

pro

babl

y m

ore

seve

re•

NLC

D 2

001

estim

ated

fore

sts

to c

over

ove

r 75%

of S

SC

•La

rge,

sud

den

shift

from

live

veg

etat

ion

to d

ead

mat

eria

ls

surr

ound

ing

SS

C in

frast

ruct

ure

De

Soto

Nat

iona

l For

est

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 8: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

7A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terSu

ppor

ting

Cen

ter R

espo

nse

& R

ecov

ery

SS

C/A

RTP

O im

plem

ente

d a

syst

ems

engi

neer

ing

appr

oach

to•

Cha

ract

eriz

e th

e pr

oper

ties

of g

eosp

atia

l inf

orm

atio

n re

leva

nt to

SS

C

conc

erns

•A

dd v

alue

to g

eosp

atia

l dat

a so

urce

s so

they

met

SS

C in

form

atio

nre

quire

men

ts•

Cre

ate

info

rmat

ion

prod

ucts

to m

eet s

peci

fic S

SC

reco

very

nee

ds

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 9: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

8A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terSy

stem

s En

gine

erin

g Ef

fort

s

•C

hara

cter

ized

FE

MA

hig

h w

ater

m

ark/

surg

e in

unda

tion

leve

l es

timat

es•

Cha

ract

eriz

ed re

mot

e se

nsin

g pr

oduc

ts ra

ngin

g fro

m 3

0cm

ai

rbor

ne to

56m

sat

ellit

e•

Con

verte

d m

ultis

pect

ral s

ourc

es

(ALI

, AS

TER

, AW

iFS

, IK

ON

OS

, Q

uick

Bird

, Lan

dsat

5) t

o pl

anet

ary

refle

ctan

ce to

allo

w

com

paris

on a

nd c

hang

e de

tect

ion

•O

rthor

ectif

ied

high

-res

olut

ion

sate

llite

imag

ery

for a

bas

e m

ap

for t

he c

ente

r “Fe

e A

rea”

as w

ell

as th

e su

rrou

ndin

g ac

oust

ic

buffe

r zon

e•

Cre

ated

all-

sour

ce in

tegr

ated

pr

oduc

ts to

hig

hlig

ht

surg

e/flo

odin

g ris

k po

stur

e•

Cre

ated

bot

h m

ap a

nd

mul

titem

pora

l veg

etat

ion

chan

ge p

rodu

cts

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 10: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

9A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

ter

Tem

pora

l Ana

lysi

s of

SSC

Are

a Ve

geta

tion

Impa

cts

with

NA

SA M

OD

IS D

ata

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 11: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

10A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terPr

oble

m 2

: 200

5-20

06 D

roug

ht

•A

fter H

urric

ane

Kat

rina

clea

red

the

Gul

f Coa

st, t

here

was

littl

e ra

infa

ll un

til N

ovem

ber.

At t

he

sam

e tim

e, in

jure

d tre

es

resp

onde

d w

ith a

“sec

ond

sprin

g”ra

pidl

y sp

rout

ing

new

gr

owth

. The

com

bine

d ef

fect

s m

ay h

ave

exac

erba

ted

fore

st

loss

es.

•W

inte

r rai

ns w

ere

abou

t hal

f no

rmal

lead

ing

to c

ritic

ally

low

av

aila

ble

soil

wat

er in

spr

ing.

•Th

ere

was

alm

ost n

o pr

ecip

itatio

n in

Mar

ch, M

ay, a

nd

June

with

onl

y a

brie

f res

pite

in

Apr

il.

SSC

200

5-20

06 R

ainf

all

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

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11A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

ter

Dro

ught

/Fire

Rel

atio

nshi

p in

For

ests

Nea

r SS

C

Spi

kes

in d

etec

tion

of fi

res

in

Han

cock

Cou

nty,

MS

(whi

ch

incl

ude

the

SS

C F

ee A

rea)

cl

osel

y m

atch

ed m

onth

s w

ith

criti

cally

low

rain

fall.

The

buffe

r zon

e ar

ound

SS

C,

with

less

frag

men

ted

upla

nd

fore

sts

had

a gr

eate

r co

ncen

tratio

n of

fire

s th

an

the

rest

of H

anco

ck C

ount

y.

Han

cock

Co.

200

5-20

06 F

ires

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

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12A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

ter

App

lyin

g Ve

geta

tion

Cha

nge

to D

roug

ht &

Fi

re R

isk

Ext

ende

d ve

geta

tion

chan

ge d

etec

tion

appr

oach

to c

aptu

re b

oth

vuln

erab

ility

an

d da

mag

e•

Obs

erve

d se

ason

al c

hang

e at

m

ediu

m re

solu

tion

•O

bser

ved

shor

t ter

m c

hang

e at

lo

wer

reso

lutio

n/hi

gher

tem

pora

l fre

quen

cy to

cap

ture

sud

den

dist

urba

nces

Seas

onal

AW

iFS

Jan-

Mar

06

16-D

ay M

OD

IS7

to 2

2 M

ar 0

6•

Hig

h te

mpo

ral f

requ

ency

M

OD

IS d

ata

bette

r at

dist

ingu

ishi

ng fi

re fr

om

phen

olog

y or

stre

ss•

Mod

erat

e (L

ands

at-li

ke)

reso

lutio

ns b

ette

r at

delin

eatin

g bu

rned

are

as R

ELEA

SED

- Pr

inte

d do

cum

ents

may

be

obso

lete

; val

idat

e pr

ior t

o us

e.

Page 14: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

ter

Rap

id P

roto

typi

ng o

f a V

eget

atio

n D

ryne

ss In

dex

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 15: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

14A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terR

equi

rem

ent D

efin

ed

•A

s dr

ough

t and

fire

risk

aro

und

SS

C b

ecam

e m

ore

acut

e, it

bec

ame

appa

rent

that

mon

itorin

g ve

geta

tion

chan

ge a

lone

was

an

inco

mpl

ete

solu

tion

–V

eget

atio

n ch

ange

was

ess

entia

lly c

aptu

ring

a po

st m

orte

m

view

of t

he d

ange

r–

Veg

etat

ion

chan

ge m

onito

ring

iden

tifie

d re

gion

al d

ange

r, bu

t di

d no

t pro

vide

a s

patia

l foc

us o

n ar

eas

of h

ighe

st ri

sk•

To b

ette

r man

age

reso

urce

s an

d pr

otec

t inf

rast

ruct

ure,

dec

isio

n m

aker

s w

ould

be

idea

lly s

erve

d w

ith a

n in

form

atio

n pr

oduc

t tha

t hig

hlig

hted

sp

atia

l var

iatio

ns in

veg

etat

ion

moi

stur

e as

an

estim

ate

of ri

skpr

ior t

o ig

nitio

n

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 16: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

15A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terPot

entia

l Sol

utio

ns Id

entif

ied

from

Lite

ratu

re

•Id

entif

ied

seve

ral c

lass

es o

f rem

ote

sens

ing

prod

ucts

use

d in

mon

itorin

g ve

geta

tion

moi

stur

e st

ress

, dro

ught

and

wild

fire

dang

er:

–Ta

ssel

ed-c

ap w

etne

ss (e

.g.,

Hea

ley

et a

l., 2

005)

–R

elat

ive

gree

nnes

s (e

.g.,

Bar

tlette

& B

urga

n, 1

994)

–N

DV

I to

ther

mal

ratio

(e.g

., C

huvi

eco

et a

l., 2

003)

–In

dice

s of

NIR

(~0.

8 μm

)and

SW

IR (~

1.6 μm

)•

Man

y of

thes

e w

ere

of th

e “n

orm

aliz

ed d

iffer

ence

”with

the

gene

ral f

orm

(NIR

–S

WIR

)/(N

IR +

SW

IR).

Thi

s w

as v

ario

usly

term

ed N

DM

I (N

orm

aliz

ed D

iffer

ence

M

oist

ure

Inde

x), N

DW

I (N

orm

aliz

ed D

iffer

ence

Wat

er In

dex)

, and

eve

n ot

hers

(e

.g.,

Den

niso

n et

al.,

200

5).

•A

n in

tere

stin

g va

riant

, VD

I (V

eget

atio

n D

ryne

ss In

dex)

, com

bine

dN

DM

I and

N

DV

I to

map

out

a d

ryne

ss in

dica

tor w

ith re

duce

d in

fluen

ce o

f phe

nolo

gy (M

aki e

t al

., 20

04).

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 17: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

16A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terSe

lect

ing

an A

ppro

ach

•Th

e ap

proa

ch w

as la

rgel

y de

term

ined

by

avai

labl

e da

ta–

Var

iety

of m

ultis

pect

ral s

ourc

es m

ade

tass

eled

cap

diff

icul

t–

Long

dow

nloa

d tim

e an

d pr

oces

sing

requ

irem

ents

to e

stab

lish

mul

ti-ye

ar n

orm

s m

ade

rela

tive

gree

nnes

s di

fficu

lt–

Man

y av

aila

ble

data

sou

rces

did

not

hav

e a

ther

mal

cap

abili

ty, w

hich

le

ft th

e m

etho

ds c

ombi

ning

NIR

and

SW

IR•

Pre

limin

ary

anal

ysis

of N

DM

I ove

r SS

C s

how

ed s

trong

land

cov

er

and

phen

olog

y de

pend

enci

es•

Bas

ed o

n th

is p

roce

ss o

f elim

inat

ion,

atte

ntio

n w

as fo

cuse

d on

the

VD

I

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 18: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

17A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terN

otes

on

Estim

atin

g VD

I

•N

DV

I and

ND

MI a

re e

stim

ated

ove

r a re

pres

enta

tive

time

perio

d an

d ar

ea o

f int

eres

t to

defin

e a

two-

dim

ensi

onal

feat

ure

spac

e•

A tr

apez

oid

is u

sed

to b

ound

the

data

dis

tribu

tion

with

in th

e fe

atur

e sp

ace

–Fo

r ND

VI,

the

uppe

r sid

e of

the

trape

zoid

is N

DV

I = 1

and

the

low

er

side

is N

DV

I = 0

.3. N

o po

ints

with

ND

VI b

elow

0.3

are

incl

uded

with

th

e no

tion

that

low

er b

iom

ass

pose

s m

inim

al w

ildfir

e ris

k.–

The

rem

aini

ng 2

sid

es o

f the

trap

ezoi

d ar

e be

st fi

t to

the

wet

ter a

nd

drye

r bou

nds

of th

e N

DM

I-ND

VI d

ata

dist

ribut

ion

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 19: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

18A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terC

alcu

latin

g VD

I

B

D AE

C'

A'

ND

VI

NDMI

C Poor

veg

etat

ion

Poor

wat

er

Ric

h ve

geta

tion

Poor

wat

er

Ric

h ve

geta

tion

Ric

h w

ater

Poor

veg

etat

ion

Ric

h w

ater

VD

I for

E =

1 –

(A'E

/A'C

)

Figu

re a

dapt

ed fr

om M

aki e

t al.,

200

4

The

VD

I is

inte

nded

to re

mov

e th

e no

n-w

ater

effe

cts

on N

DM

I lea

ving

a

stro

nger

veg

etat

ion

moi

stur

e (o

r dr

ynes

s) p

roxy

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 20: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

19A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terIn

itial

Pro

toty

ping

Land

sat 5

, 27

Apr

05

(wet

)A

WiF

S, 1

5 M

ar 0

6 (d

ry)

Cer

tain

cov

er c

ateg

orie

s ar

e m

aske

d. T

hese

cat

egor

ies

tend

not

yi

eld

reas

onab

le e

stim

ates

, and

they

are

als

o le

ss re

leva

nt to

as

sess

ing

fire

risk.

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 21: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

20A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terU

pdat

ing

the

Prot

otyp

e

B

D AE

C'

A'

C Poor

veg

etat

ion

Poor

wat

er

Ric

h ve

geta

tion

Poor

wat

er

Ric

h ve

geta

tion

Ric

h w

ater

Poor

veg

etat

ion

Ric

h w

ater

•A

fter e

stab

lishi

ng th

e po

tent

ial o

f the

app

roac

h w

ith

the

initi

al p

roto

type

, the

pro

ject

team

sou

ght t

o re

fine

the

met

hod

•A

mor

e ro

bust

feat

ure

spac

e w

as e

stab

lishe

d us

ing

MO

DIS

Sur

face

Ref

lect

ance

dat

a fo

r the

yea

r 200

5•

Insp

ectio

n of

this

spa

ce le

ad to

mod

ifica

tion

of th

e w

ette

r and

drie

r bou

nds

to a

per

cent

ile a

ppro

ach

inst

ead

of a

sim

ple

linea

r bou

nd R

ELEA

SED

- Pr

inte

d do

cum

ents

may

be

obso

lete

; val

idat

e pr

ior t

o us

e.

Page 22: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

21A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

ter

Cal

cula

ting

Mod

ified

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

In

dex

(MVD

I)

B

D AE

C'

A'

ND

VI

NDMI

C Poor

veg

etat

ion

Poor

wat

er

Ric

h ve

geta

tion

Poor

wat

er

Ric

h ve

geta

tion

Ric

h w

ater

Poor

veg

etat

ion

Ric

h w

ater

•M

VD

I for

E =

1 –

(A'E

/A'C

)•

Sam

e as

VD

I, on

ly th

e bo

undi

ng

appr

oach

is d

iffer

ent

•10

than

d 90

thpe

rcen

tile

boun

ds

wer

e ch

osen

heu

ristic

ally

as

the

grea

test

rang

e th

at d

id n

ot le

ad to

ov

erm

uch

varia

tion

from

one

ND

VI

bin

to th

e ne

xt

ND

MI 1

0th

Per

cent

ile B

ound

ND

MI 9

0th

Per

cent

ile B

ound

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 23: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

ter

Res

ults

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 24: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

23A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terM

VDI –

ND

MI –

ND

VI (1

)

15 J

ul 0

510

Sep

05

MVDI NDMI NDVI

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 25: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

24A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terM

VDI –

ND

MI –

ND

VI (2

)

15 N

ov 0

55

Feb

06

MVDI NDMI NDVI

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 26: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

25A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terCro

ss-P

rodu

ct C

ompa

rison

Sum

mar

y

•Th

e M

VD

I pro

duct

s al

l app

ear t

o be

“noi

sy.”

•W

etla

nds

tend

to a

ppea

r drie

r tha

n up

land

s.•

For t

he p

erio

d ev

alua

ted,

as

the

drou

ght d

eepe

ned

all i

ndic

es w

ere

cons

iste

nt w

ith w

orse

ning

con

ditio

ns. T

his

did

not a

llow

a d

irect

co

mpa

rison

of a

situ

atio

n w

here

ove

rall

vege

tatio

n co

nditi

on a

ndve

geta

tion

moi

stur

e w

ere

mov

ing

in d

iffer

ent d

irect

ions

.

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 27: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

26A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terM

VDI R

elat

ions

hip

with

Fire

Wea

ther

•C

ompa

ring

MV

DI a

vera

ged

acro

ss th

e S

SC

aco

ustic

buf

fer z

one

with

prod

ucts

bas

ed o

n lo

cal w

eath

er a

nd fi

re w

eath

er s

tatio

ns, a

com

plex

re

latio

nshi

p is

reve

aled

•Th

e ov

eral

l tre

nd fi

ts w

ell w

ith th

e cu

mul

ativ

e pr

ecip

itatio

n de

ficit,

but

it

reve

rses

its

rela

tions

hip

durin

g sp

ring

gree

n-up

•M

DV

I ten

ds to

sho

w d

rops

in c

onco

rd w

ith th

e K

eetc

h-B

yram

Dro

ught

In

dex

(KB

DI)

–bo

th in

resp

onse

to ra

infa

ll ev

ents

, but

aga

in th

e M

VD

I is

affe

cted

by

sprin

g gr

een-

up w

here

the

KB

DI i

s no

t R

ELEA

SED

- Pr

inte

d do

cum

ents

may

be

obso

lete

; val

idat

e pr

ior t

o us

e.

Page 28: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

27A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terC

oncl

usio

ns

•M

VD

I, w

hich

effe

ctiv

ely

invo

lves

the

diffe

renc

ing

of N

DM

I an

d N

DV

I, ap

pear

s to

dis

play

incr

ease

d no

ise

that

is

cons

iste

nt w

ith a

diff

eren

cing

tech

niqu

e.•

This

effe

ct m

asks

fine

r var

iatio

ns in

veg

etat

ion

moi

stur

e,

prev

entin

g M

VD

I fro

m fu

lfilli

ng th

e re

quire

men

t of g

ivin

g de

cisi

on m

aker

s in

sigh

t int

o sp

atia

l var

iatio

n of

fire

risk

.•

MV

DI s

how

s de

pend

enci

es o

n la

nd c

over

and

phe

nolo

gy

whi

ch a

lso

argu

e ag

ains

t its

use

as

a fir

e ris

k pr

oxy

in a

n ar

ea o

f div

erse

and

frag

men

ted

land

cov

ers.

•Th

e co

nclu

sion

of t

he ra

pid

prot

otyp

ing

effo

rt is

that

MV

DI

shou

ld n

ot b

e im

plem

ente

d fo

r SS

C d

ecis

ion

supp

ort.

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 29: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

28A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terN

ext S

teps

•R

ecom

men

datio

n 1:

Any

rem

ote

sens

ing

prod

uct a

sses

sing

fir

e da

nger

at S

SC

mus

t tak

e la

nd c

over

into

acc

ount

. Lan

d co

ver s

houl

d pr

obab

ly b

e up

date

d an

nual

ly fo

r nor

mal

co

nditi

ons

and

seas

onal

ly in

dyn

amic

con

ditio

ns s

uch

as

thos

e th

at fo

llow

ed H

urric

ane

Kat

rina.

•R

ecom

men

datio

n 2:

Rem

ote

sens

ing

base

d es

timat

es

shou

ld b

e co

uple

d w

ith fi

re w

eath

er s

tatio

n ne

twor

k in

form

atio

n su

ch a

s th

e U

SD

A’s

Wea

ther

Info

rmat

ion

Man

agem

ent S

yste

m (W

IMS

).•

Rec

omm

enda

tion

3: A

ny fu

rther

wor

k w

ith M

VD

I or s

imila

r co

mbi

natio

n in

dex

shou

ld a

pply

noi

se re

duct

ion

appr

oach

es

such

as

tem

pora

l or s

patia

l ave

ragi

ng.

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 30: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

29A

Rap

idly

Pro

toty

ped

Veg

etat

ion

Dry

ness

Inde

x E

valu

ated

for W

ildfir

e R

isk

Ass

essm

ent a

t Ste

nnis

Spa

ce C

ente

rN

atio

nal A

eron

autic

s an

d S

pace

Adm

inis

tratio

n

Sten

nis S

pace

Cen

terR

efer

ence

s

Bar

tlette

, R.A

., an

d R

.E. B

urga

n, 1

994.

Veg

etat

ion

cond

ition

and

fire

occu

rrenc

e: a

rem

ote

sens

ing

conn

ectio

n. P

roce

edin

gs o

f the

199

4 In

terio

r Wes

t Fire

Cou

ncil

Mee

ting

and

Pro

gram

, Nov

embe

r 1-4

, 199

4, C

oeur

d'A

lene

, ID

, pp.

273

-279

, ht

tp://

ww

w.fi

rela

b.or

g/ol

d/fb

p/fb

ppub

s/fb

ppdf

/rbar

tlette

/veg

cond

ition

.pdf

, acc

esse

d A

pril

18,

2007

.C

huvi

eco,

E.,

I. A

guad

o, D

. Coc

ero,

and

D. R

iaño

, 200

3. D

esig

n of

an

empi

rical

inde

x to

es

timat

e fu

el m

oist

ure

cont

ent f

rom

NO

AA

-AV

HR

R im

ages

in fo

rest

dan

ger s

tudi

es.

Inte

rnat

iona

l Jou

rnal

of R

emot

e S

ensi

ng24

(8):1

621-

1637

.D

enni

son,

P.E

., D

.A. R

ober

ts, S

.H. P

eter

son,

and

J. R

eche

l, 20

05. U

se o

f nor

mal

ized

di

ffere

nce

wat

er in

dex

for m

onito

ring

live

fuel

moi

stur

e. In

tern

atio

nal J

ourn

al o

f Rem

ote

Sen

sing

26(5

):103

5-10

42.

Hea

ley,

S.P

., W

.B. C

ohen

, Y. Z

hiqi

ang,

and

O.N

. Kra

nkin

a, 2

005.

Com

paris

on o

f tas

sele

d ca

p-ba

sed

Land

sat d

ata

stru

ctur

es fo

r use

in fo

rest

dis

turb

ance

det

ectio

n. R

emot

e S

ensi

ng o

f Env

ironm

ent9

7: 3

01-3

10.

Mak

i, M

., M

. Ish

iahr

a, a

nd M

. Tam

ura,

200

4. E

stim

atio

n of

leaf

sta

tus

to m

onito

r the

risk

of

fore

st fi

res

usin

g re

mot

ely

sens

ed d

ata.

Rem

ote

Sen

sing

of E

nviro

nmen

t90:

441

-450

.M

eeke

r, J.

R.,

T.J.

Hal

ey, S

.D. P

etty

, and

J.W

. Win

dham

, 200

6. F

ores

t hea

lth e

valu

atio

n of

H

urric

ane

Kat

rina

tree

dam

age:

De

Sot

o N

atio

nal F

ores

t, M

issi

ssip

pi. P

oste

r del

iver

ed a

t 20

06 F

ores

t Hea

lth M

onito

ring

Wor

king

Gro

up M

eetin

g, J

anua

ry 3

1-Fe

brua

ry 2

, 200

6,

Cha

rlest

on, S

C, h

ttp://

fhm

.fs.fe

d.us

/pos

ters

/pos

ters

06/k

atrin

a_tre

e_da

mag

e.pd

f , ac

cess

ed

Janu

ary

12, 2

007.

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.

Page 31: A Rapidly Prototyped Vegetation Dryness Index Evaluated for ...Kenton.W.Ross@nasa.gov ASPRS 2007 Annual Conference Tampa, FL, USA May 11, 2007 uments ma y e; alidate p rior to use

Par

ticip

atio

n in

this

wor

k by

Sci

ence

Sys

tem

s an

d A

pplic

atio

ns, I

nc.,

and

by C

ompu

ter S

cien

ces

Cor

pora

tion

was

sup

porte

d by

NA

SA

at th

e Jo

hn C

. S

tenn

is S

pace

Cen

ter,

Mis

siss

ippi

, und

er T

ask

Ord

er N

NS

04A

B54

T.

REL

EASE

D -

Prin

ted

docu

men

ts m

ay b

e ob

sole

te; v

alid

ate

prio

r to

use.