a nuclear powered vision 2020 ()

Asian Power Forum 200815-16 July 2008 Hotel Istana, Kuala Lumpur

A Nuclear Powered Vision 2020

Mohd Peter DavisVisiting Scientist

Universiti Putra Malaysia

95 SLIDESwww.mohdpeterdavis.com

Government now seriously considering Nuclear Energy

Malaysia imports coal

& fast running out of oil and gas 41% increase in

petrol prices has woken up

Malaysian Public

to world realitywww.mohdpeterdavis.com

An international processis taking place

The world economy is disintegrating1998 oil price US$9 per barrel, soon $200

Shortage & Speculation in Food price Developing countries turning tofood production, urbanisation

Peaceful nuclear energy, maglev trains ROOSEVELT’s 1930s ‘NEW DEAL’

New Bretton Woods Financial Agreement Being considered by USA, Russia, China, India

www.mohdpeterdavis.com

MALAYSIA, ASEAN &Developing Countries

MUST GO NUCLEAR !to spearhead

a crash science programto reverse

• a disintegrating world economy• to double food production • to help end world poverty


Proposal is not new a return to 1950’s-1960’s

Science & Technology

‘ATOMS for PEACE’• Nuplexes- Nuclear powered cities with

own agriculture & industries• Greening the deserts using cheap

nuclear desalinated water• ‘Green Revolution’ in agriculture to

overcome world hunger


MalaysiaVISION 2020Dr Mahathir’s 1991

Proposals to become fully developed nation

Half population under 23 years

80% of Student Leaders say their Role Model is

Dr MahathirUPM Survey

2008 Preliminary Results

PhotoMerdeka Day Photo by John Ishii


http://www.johnwishii.com/

Fuel & Energy Density Comparisons

• 42 tons of dry WOOD (renewable fuel)

= 11 tons of COAL (fossil fuel)

= 9 tons of OIL (fossil fuel)

= 3 grams URANIUM fuel (splitting the atom)

= 1 gram FUSION FUEL(fusing atoms-2030)(deuterium & tritium isotopes of hydrogen)

Calculations by Dr Robert J. Moon 1985

See 21st Century Science & Technology, Winter 2005-2006


Sources of EnergyThroughout Human History

(Animals rely on sunlight for warmth & food chain)• RENEWABLE- Stone Age & Agricultural Man wood fire for warmth & cooking• FOSSIL FUELS - Industrial Man 18th-20th century

coal, oil & gascooking, electricity, transportation• URANIUM FUEL - Nuclear Man 20th Century splitting atom electricity & desalinated water• HYDROGEN FUEL-Thermonuclear Man 21stCentury

France building ‘Sun on Earth’unlimited energy


Dr. Mohammad El-Baradei Nobel Peace Prize Laureate

Director-General United Nations IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency)

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Dr Mohammad El Baradei“Nuclear Power: Looking to the Future”

Public Lecture 18 July 2007

Organised by Academy of Sciences Malaysia

Again and again he made the point :-

IT IS IMPOSSIBLEto meet the needs of

developing countries for Electricity

Transportation and Desalinated Water

WITHOUT NUCLEAR POWER


Electricity required to achieveAustralian 9000kwh/person/yr

1. Brunei 1.2 times present electricity production

2. Singapore 1.4 times

3. Malaysia 2.6 times CONCLUSION

4.Thailand 5 times ASEAN Countries with

5.Philippines 15 times 10% of world population

6. Laos 16 times Need about 18 times

7. Indonesia 18 times more electricity

8. Vietnam 20 times for modest Australian

9. Myanmar 75 times standard of living

10. Cambodia 900 times ASEAN NEEDS NUCLEAR



1. Brunei 1.2 times present electricity production2. Singapore 1.4 times 3. Malaysia 2.6 times CONCLUSION4.Thailand 5 times ASEAN Countries with5.Philippines 15 times 10% of world population6. Laos 16 times Need about 18 times7. Indonesia 18 times more electricity8. Vietnam 20 times for modest Australian9. Myanmar 75 times standard of living10. Cambodia 900 times ASEAN NEEDS NUCLEAR !

Compiled by Mohd Peter Davis, 2008



1. Brunei 1.2 times present electricity production

2. Singapore 1.4 times

3. Malaysia 2.6 times CONCLUSION

4.Thailand 5 times ASEAN Countries with

5.Philippines 15 times 10% of world population

6. Laos 16 times Need about 18 times

7. Indonesia 18 times more electricity

8. Vietnam 20 times for modest Australian

9. Myanmar 75 times standard of living

10. Cambodia 900 times ASEAN NEEDS NUCLEAR


SAFETY FIRST 8 Dec1953President

Eisenhower‘Atoms for Peace’

Speech to United Nations

2008Dr. ElBaradai

for IAEAMakes the same

proposal


So what is stopping the

PEACEFUL USE of

NUCLEAR ENERGY ?


There is a belief by a small powerful minority“EARTH IS OVERPOPULATED”

1798 Thomas Malthus overpopulation theory- ‘population outstrips food production’

1968 Population Time Bomb (Paul Ehrlich)

1972 Limits to Growth (Club of Rome)

2008 Prince Philip... “Everyone thinks it’s to do with not enough food, but it’s really that

demand is too great – too many people”


There is only one barrier to Malaysia & World Going NuclearThe Green environmental movement led for

47 years by Prince Philip’s World Wildlife Fund

They Love Nature But Hate MankindPrince Philip is on record

“If I am reincarnated I want to return as

A DEADLY VIRUS

in order to contribute something to solve over-population”


American Economist & StatesmanLyndon LaRouche (85yrs)

“Prince Philip and the late Prince Bernhard’s stated commitment (is) to wipe out 80% of

the human population, through a combination of wars, diseases and famine”

“If Prince Philip…and Al Gore were to succeed, the population of the planet would be reduced, in the next several

generations, to well-under 2 billion people”

21 June 2008 www.larouchepac.com


‘Back to Nature’Animal Dung Fuel, IndiaFor cooking & heating

‘Back to Science’ Fuel Pebbles, S.Africa for the Pebble Bed Modular Reactor (PBMR)

1 kg uranium fuel produces 500,000 times more power than 1kg animal dung fuel


Co-Founder of Greenpeace

in 1970s now says Greenpeace was a

mistake

Dr. Patrick Moore

“Greenpeace is against fossil fuel, nuclear and hydroelectric

THOSE THREE TECHNOLOGIES

PRODUCE OVER 99%OF WORLD ENERGY”

Back to the Stone Age !

Now Active Campaigner for nuclear power


However many are passionate about protecting the environment

1. Solar panels

2. Wind turbines

3. Biofuelsand believe

these are sustainable, renewable

green alternatives to fossil fuels


Solar is a Sad Alternativefor a modern nation

“Solar panels are not viable as

industrial energy sources”“Maybe they are good

for small-scale applications such as parking meters or street lamps”

Dr Nahrul Khair, Deputy Director General

Nuclear Malaysia Agency, The Star 15 June 2008


Leo Moggie Case Study*

Solar power for Sabah50,000 solar panels on 90 sq km land

are required to produce 300 MW electricity*Leo Moggie, CEO Sabah Electricity Sdn Bhd, NST 11June2008

By 2028 Sabah needs 3000 MW electricity

900 sq km of Solar Panel Farms (1.3 times the size of Singapore)

This will supply Sabah withDAYTIME ELECTRICITY ONLY

Perhaps 8 hours per day on sunny daysPerhaps 4 hours per day on rainy days


Wind Turbine FarmAlternative energy source?

“Wind energy schemes have a 1000-year head start so why does wind make so little difference

to our energy picture?”Howard C. Hayden, Professor Emeritus of PhysicsUniversity of Connecticut, USA


Power kW

Graph ©1998 www.windpower.org

Wind speed m/s

Malaysia

Texas

North Sea

WIND TURBINES in Malaysia will be

USELESSfor electricity generation

WIND SPEED IS TOO LOW

Even in Texas & North Sea wind fluctuates greatly

so always needBACK UP POWER PLANTS

USING FOSSIL FUELS


BIOFUELSgreen alternative to fossil fuels

Biofuels are largely produced from HUMAN FOOD

CORN, SUGAR CANE, PALM OIL but Biofuels consume more energy to farm

& process than they produce as fuel!1 tankful of ethanol from corn will feed

1 person for 1 yearBiofuels destroy food for 500 million people

World Bank Secret Report:-‘Biofuels have caused 75% of food price increase’


Starving Africans cartoon 19 April 2008 Times-Gazette, Tennessee

Al Gore’s Home State

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With the Nuclear Renaissance a whole new world becomes

possible

all the pent-up technology of the last 50 years can

now be exploited


1. Implement transition to

NUCLEAR ELECTRICITY 15 year program

IAEANuclear Malaysia AgencyTenaga National Berhad

Nuclear Regulation AuthoritiesTrain next generation with

nuclear scholarships and mentoring by 1970s nuclear scientists & engineers


2. PRIVATE TRANSPORT

There is NO present shortageof world oil

But it is running out and is better used for chemical feedstock

Malaysia can move to

ELECTRIC or HYDROGEN CARSPowered by Nuclear Electricity


The START of the HYDROGEN ECONOMYHONDA’s HYDROGEN CAR

will start commercial production in 2008Top Speed 160 kph Range 432 km

Smooth, almost silent ride, only emission is water

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http://world.honda.com/news/2007/c070625FCXConcept/photo/pages/03.html

Nissan ALL-ELECTRIC Cube car by 2010

120kph top speed, range 160kmLithium-ion batteries

Charge overnight with nuclear electricitywill be highly economical and clean

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2. Reduce Petrol dependency for Private Vehicles

Is it feasible toCHANGE TO NATURAL GAS ?

Encourage conversion to gas cars(Malaysia has more gas than oil)

Until nuclear electricity and hydrogen comes on stream

by 2020-2025


3. PUBLIC TRANSPORT

Nuclear Electricity can economically power a

Malaysian Maglev Railway system

‘Flying on Land’ Intercity passengers & freight

Fast Urban transportationLinking to proposed World Railway


Traveling by road is dangerousespecially in Malaysia!

Road Deaths per million population UK 53 JAPAN 67 AUSTRALIA 81 SPAIN 110 AMERICA 145 MALAYSIA 209

In the 20th CenturyTraffic Accidents claimed 30 million lives

There has to be a better way to travel


What is the safest way to travel ?

DEATH RATE (a)

. TRAIN (b) 1 PLANE (b) 1 . CAR (b) 12MOTOR BIKE (c) 170

(a) Per 1.7 billion passenger km(b) New York-Boston Route(c) UK and America


Railway in North Borneo,1898www.mohdpeterdavis.com

Kuala Kubu Railway Station, c. 1903


Malaysian RailwaysNo progress since the British!

1957: 71/2 hours Kuala Lumpur departure… 10.00 amSingapore arrival … … … 5.35 pm (source: Advert in The Straits Times 26 August 1957)

TODAY 2008: 7 hoursMAGLEV MALAYSIA is OVERDUE

KL Singapore: 1 hour KL Kota Baru: 11/2 hours

Mohd Peter DavisUniversiti Putra Malaysia


Maglev Train departing Shanghai StationThe 175 km Shanghai-Hangzhou (operational 2010) will take 30 minutes

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American MAGLEV 2000 TRAINS for the WORLD LANDBRIDGE

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World Maglev Railway

concept: Lyndon LaRouche www.larouchepac.com

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MAGLEV MALAYSIAconnected to the world railway

Johor Thai Border 2 hrs 20 mins KL Seremban 15 mins KL Kuantan 40 mins KL Butterworth 1 hour KL Terangganu 1 hr 10 mins KL Kota Baru 1hr 40 mins

Malaysia’s Young Scientists/Engineersare able & willing

How about our Old Politicians?


480kphPassengerMAGLEV

GUIDEWAY

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MAGLEV 2000Passenger and Freight Vehicles

run on the SAME M-2000 Guideway

MAGLEV PASSENGER MAGLEV FREIGHT

TRAIN TRAIN 3.8 meters high 6 meters high

3.5 meters wide 4 meters wide

Standard Container

GUIDEWAY

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Nuclear Electricity & Hydrogen for public & private transportationvery Economical, Safe & Sensible

21st Century Solution• ELECTRIC or HYDROGEN CARS, hydrogen

trucks and planes • Urban Maglev trains 100kph• Intercity Maglev Passenger trains 480kph• Intercity Freight trains (off peak) 300kph Malaysian rail Containers to world markets


4. Role of Nuclear desalinated water

in

Doubling World Food Production

Agriculture in most countries relies on underground water

from previous ice-ages‘Fossil water’ fast depleting


Impossible to feed the worldWithout Nuclear Power

World agriculture has depended for 200 yrs

on underground fossil water from ice ages

water fast running out

ONLY solution-Nuclear Desalinated Water

Human food (corn, wheat) increasingly fed to grass eating animals

Cows, beef cattle, sheep


A sad history of Food Production

Malaya-Malaysia has NEVER in 500 years

produced more than half its food


The Malaysian Irony

Malaysia has developed the agricultural capacity to produce

60% of the world’s Palm Oil

YetCannot feed its own tiny population

of 27 million ! (in the world economic collapse we face ‘Japanese Occupation’ type starvation)


World food crisis is now recognised

But Malaysia grossly under estimates

the problemIt cannot be fixed

simply by

increasing RICE productionwww.mohdpeterdavis.com

Malaysia Is 100% Dependent on Wheat & Corn ImportsWITHOUT WHEAT IMPORTS

(for bread, roti canai cakes etc)

we loose half our carbohydrate diet

WITHOUT CORN IMPORTS

we loose in 2 weeks our

Chicken, egg and pork industries

and left only with fish


“Malaysia produces ONLY HALF of its current food consumption

using its own resources”“ In the world economic melt down

Malaysia will face

mass starvation far worse than the

Japanese Occupation”March 2002 National Conference

Mohd Peter Davis & Makhdzir Mardan, UPM


Malaysia Food Self Sufficiencywithout imports or exports

• Bread, roti canai etc 0%• Milk 1%• Beef, Mutton, Pork 4%• Chicken & Eggs 5%• Vegetables 45% • Rice 70%• Fruits 90%• Palm Oil and Fish 100%

traditional kampung diet but willonly feed HALF THE POPULATION


Malaysia’s new agriculturalbreakthroughCombined with

nuclear desalinated water

Can dramatically increase

MILK, BEEF & LAMB PRODUCTION

in the dry tropics, even deserts

A return to Atoms for Peace


N. YOGENDRAN’S GRASS FARM

a Malaysian Invention Malaysian climate supports world’s highest rate

of Biomass Production

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N. Yogendran (who is 6 feet tall)standing in 3-footgrass, which tookonly 38 days togrow on hisMalaysian Grass FarmGrass cut asthis age is perfectfor feeding ruminantsGrass can be cut tentimes per year forthree years beforere-ploughing

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Climate Controlled Animal Shed near human housing for highly productive temperate cattle & cows in humid tropics


Evaporative Cooling in Malaysian Humid Tropics provides a perfect summer Mediterranean climate

Overcomes heat stress, improves production

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Pregnant Jersey CowsAir freight from Australia

On RM50m 1200 Cow Dairy Farm in Pahang, Malaysia

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GENETIC IMPROVEMENT &GENETIC IMPROVEMENT &FARM TECHNOLOGIES SDN BHDFARM TECHNOLOGIES SDN BHD

Hygienic disease-free PIG FARMING in MalaysiaImproved productivity pays for GIFT Shelter

Also used for valuable STUD sheep and goats

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CUT GRASS EVERY

35 DAYS FOR 3 YEARS

Fed to sheep, goats, cattle, milking cows

in cool climate sheds

GREAT increase in

Meat and Milkproduction

World Breakthrough : Malaysian Grass Farms

Yogendran’s ‘GIFT’ Animal production system 3 TIMES MORE PRODUCTIVE

THAN BEST NEW ZEALAND GRAZING FARMSwww.mohdpeterdavis.com

‘Deep Tropical’ Animal Production System

Invented & commercially developed entirely in Malaysia

RM50 million Dairy in Pahang operatingRM52 m Sheep Farm planned

for Pekan DistrictCan spread throughout Malaysia/Borneo

Milk & prime lamb productionMalaysian self sufficiency in 10 years?EXPORT the SYSTEM as world goes nuclear


With Nuclear Power abundant cheap desalinated waterDeep Tropical animal production suitable

for dry tropics, even deserts

Huge increase in world production of milk, beef and lamb

Underdeveloped counties can become

self-sufficient and achieve

western standard of human nutrition


Compiled by Jonathan Adams (1998) Oak Ridge National Laboratory


5. Malaysia

‘Nursery of the World’

A gigantic new export industry

4-year-old nursery trees

for City Landscaping

& ‘Greening the Deserts’Nuclear desalinated water

THE ONLY REQUIREMENTwww.mohdpeterdavis.com

Leptospermum poligalifolium

Trees grow exceptionally fast outdoors in Malaysia

This Australian

tree is just

11/2

years old

James Kingham

at his giant

Nurseriesin

Tanjung Malim

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2 1/2 years old

RAIN TREES

For instant landscaping projects


Amesiodendrun chinense

Colourful leaved trees

James Kingham has collected

and propagated

900 species of

Rainforest Trees

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Garcinia cowa (Kandis)

<1 yr old Fruit Bearing Trees

James Kingham exports trees to re-landscape whole of Singapore

Opening up huge markets for Malaysian nursery trees


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Malaysia ‘Nursery of the World’

Malaysia can potentially supply all the 4-year-old trees

(planted every 20 feet) to green all the world’s

deserts over next 100 years20 times more profitable per acre

compared to oil palm


Scientific Community mustconvince Malaysian Government

to

GO NUCLEAR ! Malaysian Youth are pro-technology

Then we update Vision 2020with a nuclear powered

crash science development programTo defend 50 years of Independence


Solar Power the power source for nature

Solar radiation from the sun

has powered the earth for 4 billion years

via photosynthetic bacteria and plants

Supplying the animal kingdom with food

“All flesh is grass”


BUT to sustain 6.6 billion humans, expected

to grow to 9 billion by 2050 the world needs

NUCLEAR POWER

a far more powerful energy source


kilowatt hours of electricity fromFUEL 1 kg of fuel .

Hardwood 1Coal 3Heavy oil 4Natural gas 6Natural uranium 50,000Low-enricheduranium 250,000Uranium withreprocessing 3,500,000Plutonium withReprocessing 5,000,000Source: John Sutherland, “Nuclear Cycles and NuclearResources,” June 27, 2003.

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Fuel Pebbles for the Pebble Bed Modular Reactor (PBMR)

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Government still thinksthere are alternatives to Nuclear “Government will look into alternative sources

before resorting to nuclear energy”Malaysian Deputy Prime Mininster, Najib Razak

“the Ministry task force committee to look into alternative sources of

renewable energy has recommended that crops & biological wastes be considered”

Deputy Minister of Science, Fadillah Yusof


Carbon Dioxide is NOT poisoning the earth

Carbon dioxide is

‘the gas of life’Estabished over centuries

by world renowned

chemists, physicists, biologists and

biochemists


1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2100

+2

+1

0

-1

-2

Medieval Warm Period

Little Ice Age

Present

T

E

M

P

E

R

A

T

U

R

E

DATE (A.D.)

The Earth was 20C Warmer 1000 years ago

Forecast temperature Year 2050

Simplified graph of global atmospheric temperature change Dr. Z. Jaworowski, 16 March 2007 Executive Intelligence Review (Washington)

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SEA TEMPERATURE

VS

ATMOSPHERIC CO2

CONCLUSION : Increasing global sea temperature

(NOT INDUSTRIALISATION) causing rising atmospheric CO2

LANCE ENDERSBEE

LPAC 27FEB 2008

Change in sea temperature (0C)


Eurasia during last ice age Eurasia TodayAbout 20,000 years ago 10,000 yrs Global WarmingPockets of dark green rainforests allowed the greening Served as the Noah’s Ark of the world

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1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000Year

What is causing the earth to warm?

Conclusion : The Sun !!Dr. Arthur Robinson Feb 2008 Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine


Origin of 100% ‘inherently safe’ nuclear reactor (1950s)

Prof. Rudolf SchultenGerman Nuclear Physicist

• Small particles of nuclear fuel coated in ceramic material the same size as a tennis ball- 500,000 per reactor

• Reactor meltdown IMPOSSIBLE• Radioactive fission products trapped in

the corrosion proof ceramic balls for millions of years


Fuel Pebbles for the Pebble Bed Modular Reactor (PBMR)

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South Africa’s 165MW PBMRideal ‘workhorse’ power system

for developing countriesDifferent standard modules can produce

• Electricity to power Industrial Cities- no need for national power grid

• Desalinated water for residential use & agriculture & greening the deserts

• Hydrogen for transportation- replace petrol


China invests in Pebble Bed Modular Reactor

“ China is working with South Africa in developing the

pebble-bed modular reactor… ...could also be used to

produce hydrogen…as a major alternative to oil in the

transportation sector ”www.larouchepac.com 26 Oct 2007


http://www.larouchepac.com/

When electricity is cheap and plentiful populations can prosper


The 15 year lead time for Nuclearis a big Problem

Malaysia very soon will face• Food crisis (only 50% self sufficient)• Loss of manufactured exports (60% of economy)• Mass unemployment• Social Upheaval Under these conditions Nuclear Scientists will be a

voice in the wilderness,

unless…


A Nuclear Powered Vision 2020Unite Malaysia’s

scientists, engineers, professionals around a common crash science-engineering program

1. Grass farms for hi-tech Meat, Milk production2. Mass produce trees for greening deserts3. Honeycomb housing RM40-160K for all4. National Heath Scheme ‘cradle to grave’ for all5. Turn towns into small cities with new industries6. Connect cities with 450kph Maglev railways7. 2020 large Nuclear Power comes on stream


Government still thinksthere are alternatives to Nuclear “Government will look into alternative sources

before resorting to nuclear energy”Malaysian Deputy Prime Mininster, Najib Razak

“the Ministry task force committee to look into alternative sources of

renewable energy has recommended that crops & biological wastes be considered”

Deputy Minister of Science, Fadillah Yusof


END OF SLIDESHOW


a nuclear powered vision 2020 ()

Technology

nuclear poweredvision

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world population

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disintegrating world