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A Multicultural Northern Territory – Statistics from the 2016 Census (and more!) Fiona Shalley and Anita Maertens

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Page 1: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

A Multicultural Northern Territory – Statistics from the 2016 Census (and more!) Fiona Shalley and Anita Maertens

Page 2: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

About us ‐ Population research at CDU

Through applied research we strive to understand the causes and  consequences of population change with 

emphasis on the Northern Territory, the north of Australia and other northern and sparsely populated areas 

We are driven to make positive differences to policy, communities and society through our research

Page 3: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Part I

Introducing concepts:

Multiculturalism; the Census; Population data

Part II

All about Alice Springs:

Key statistics, comparisons and trends: 2016 Census and more

Part III

Future trends and challenges

Page 4: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Part I

Introducing concepts:Multiculturalism; the Census;

Population data

Page 5: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

What is multiculturalism in today’s Australia?

• Half Australians born o/s or have 1+ parent born o/s [birthplace]

• Identify with about 300 ancestries [ancestry]

• Since 1945, 7.5 million people have migrated to Australia [migration]

• 150+ Indigenous languages spoken in Australia (part of our CALD)

• 85 per cent of Australians think it’s been good for Australia [acceptance, integration and tolerance]

• Most common non‐English languages are Mandarin, Arabic, Cantonese,  Vietnamese, Italian and Greek [language and culture]

Page 6: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Australian Government’s Multicultural Australia statement

We are defined not by race, religion orculture, but by shared valuesof freedom, democracy, the rule oflaw and equality of opportunity—a“fair go”.

The glue that holds us togetheris mutual respect – a deeprecognition that each of us is entitledto the same respect, the same dignity,the same opportunities.” (PrimeMinister, Pg.2)

Source:  Australian Government  (2018) Multicultural Australia – united, strong, successful.

Page 7: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics from the 2016 Census

• A project for the Office of Multicultural Affairs (Territory Families)

• Profile and highlights the importance and changing nature of the Territory’s multicultural community, including information for the regions

• Today – snapshot, some context and interesting trends and changes

Page 8: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Multicultural before we existed!

Indigenous Territorians ‐ our original Cultural and Linguistic Diversity

Chinese gold miners and railway workers outnumber Australian workers 7:1 (1800s)

Japanese pearl divers made up 71% of male population of Darwin (1920s)

Afghan cameleers opened up the outback during the late 1800s

Camel team with Afghan drivers, Central Australia [ca. 1930], Argus Newspaper Collection of Photographs, State Library of Victoria

Page 9: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Census data

• Provides an understanding of who were are, where we live, what we do and how our communities are changing over time

• Contains data that informs on our multicultural make up• Tries to count everyone in Australia on Census night, but some 

people get missed• When households do not respond, their data is imputed• Allows us to drill down to detailed population characteristics but this 

attracts issues associated with small numbers• Not the "official" population count

Page 10: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

A Census population snap shot

• 228,830 people in the NT, 8% from 2011 24,751 people in Alice Springs, 2% from 2011

• Median age NT = 32, Median age Alice Springs = 35• Median weekly household income NT = $1,983

Median weekly household income Alice Springs = $1,937• Average household size NT = 2.9 people

Average household size Alice Springs = 2.6 people

Male49%

Female51%

Gender ‐ Alice Springs population

Male, 49%

Female, 51%

Gender ‐ Australia population

Male52%

Female48%

Gender ‐ NT population

Page 11: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Geography – some concepts

ABS Statistical Geography ‐ SA2NT Local Government Areas (LGA)

The LGA of Alice Springs (top),LGA with SA2 boundaries

Page 12: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Alice Springs population over time

Population ‐ age x sex structure, 2006 and 2016 Population change by age group, 2006 and 2016

Estimated Resident Population, 1996 to 2016

Page 13: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Population components

POPULATION CHANGE

NATURALINCREASE

NETMIGRATION

Page 14: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Immigration ‐ a growing contribution to our national population

Source: ABS.stat ‐ http://stat.data.abs.gov.au

Page 15: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

The big national shift in the 1990s

Permanent migrants: migration and humanitarian program visa grants since 1984–85

The Howard era

Source: Parliament of Australia:  https://goo.gl/1JBvj3

Page 16: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Skilled migrating to the ‘regions’

In order to encourage skilled migration to the regionswhere skill shortages are particularly acute, thegovernment has created state and territory specificmigration schemes that include the Skilled IndependentRegional (Provisional) (SIR) Visa, the Regional SponsoredMigration Scheme and the State and Territory NominatedIndependent Scheme.Source: https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Library/Publications_Archive/archive/Skilledmigration

Page 17: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

And reflected in the Northern Territory…

Source: ABS.stat ‐ http://stat.data.abs.gov.au

Net overseas migration, Arrivals by visa type

Page 18: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Immigration is critical to our territory population…

Source: Taylor, A. and Carson, D. (2017). Synthesising Northern Territory Population Research: A report to the Northern Territory Department of the Chief Minister. Darwin, Northern Institute.

Page 19: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Not just contributing to population size…

Younger, more female, likely to stay Many more with partners More have children

Demographic

Economic and Labour force

Social and cultural

Fill skilled occupation priority list jobs Lower unemployment/ high spouse employment Stay with same occupation with same employer

Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated and education ‘hungry’ Can stimulate community regeneration

Page 20: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Alice Springs – 5 year population movement(2011 – 2016)

Source: CDU Demography and Growth Planning Team, calculations using ABS data

Page 21: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Part II

All about Alice

Key statistics, comparisons and trends

Page 22: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Multiculturalism in Alice Springs

Picture courtesy of Multicultural Affairs, Territory FamiliesImage: Charity BounceImage: Charity Bounce

Picture courtesy of MCSCA

Page 23: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Country of Birth as a proportion of the total population

Non Main English Speaking Countries (NMESC) include all countries apart from Canada, Ireland, New Zealand, South Africa, UK and USA

Source: ABS, Census 2016: CDU Demography and Growth Planning Team, calculations using ABS Census data

Northern Territory, 2016

Alice Springs, 2016

64% 12% 11% 13%

69% 11% 7% 13%

Page 24: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Country of Birth of population, percentage change from 2011 to 2016

‐15% ‐5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 45%

Alice Springs

Overseas born ‐ NMESC Australian born Overseas born (a) Population

‐15% ‐5% 5% 15% 25% 35% 45%

Northern Territory

Source: ABS, Census 2016: CDU Demography and Growth Planning Team, calculations using ABS Census data

Page 25: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

How multicultural today?

Source: 2016 Census of Population and Housing Time Series Profile, Catalogue number 2003.0

Picture courtesy of Multicultural Community Services of Central Australia 

* as a proportion of population responding to 'country of birth' question on Census

*

Male Female Male Female Male FemaleAlice Springs 18% 20% 18% 20% 17% 18%Greater Darwin 9% 10% 8% 10% 9% 9%Whole of NT 27% 29% 26% 28% 25% 26%Whole of Australia 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3%

Male Female Male Female Male FemaleAlice Springs 18% 18% 22% 22% 27% 27%Greater Darwin 20% 21% 24% 25% 28% 30%Whole of NT 15% 16% 18% 19% 22% 23%Whole of Australia 24% 24% 26% 26% 28% 29%O

vers

eas

bor

n

2006 2011 2016

20162006 2011

Indi

geno

us

Page 26: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

The changing Territory migration landscapeSize and growth of migrant communities – NT and Alice Springs

Source: Author’s calculation from ABS Census data for 2006 , 2011 and 2016 extracted using Table Builder

                          1   England             800   England              716   New Zealand              873   New Zealand  32%

                          2   USA             709   New Zealand              661   USA              677   USA  9%

                          3   New Zealand             460   USA              623   England              666   England  ‐7%

                          4   Philippines             190   India              432   India              659   India  53%

                          5   Scotland             141   Philippines              340   Philippines              485   Philippines  43%

                          6   Germany             124   Zimbabwe              187   Zimbabwe              185   Zimbabwe  ‐1%

                          7   South Africa             104   South Africa              150   South Africa              145   South Africa  ‐3%

                          8   Netherlands                83   Germany              121   Germany              119   Germany  ‐2%

                          9   India                81   Scotland              115   Taiwan              107   Taiwan  70%                        10   Zimbabwe                78   Ireland                94   Sri Lanka              107   Sri Lanka  75%

 Top 10     2,770     3,439     4,023  17%

                          1   England          5,082   England          5,322   Philippines          5,912   Philippines  65%

                          2   New Zealand          3,295   New Zealand          3,968   England          5,584   England  5%

                          3   Philippines          1,871   Philippines          3,586   New Zealand          4,635   New Zealand  17%

                          4   USA          1,092   India          1,917   India          3,595   India  88%

                          5   East Timor          1,025   USA          1,054   Greece          1,268   Greece  25%

                          6   Greece             940   Greece          1,012   USA          1,218   USA  16%

                          7   Germany             880   Indonesia              999   China (excl SARs/Taiwan)          1,196   China (excl SARs/Taiwan)  38%

                          8   Scotland             783   Timor‐Leste              988   Nepal          1,126   Nepal  222%

                          9   Indonesia             764   Germany              970   Indonesia          1,119   Indonesia  12%                        10   Papua New Guinea             636   China (exc. SARs/Taiwan)              865   Timor‐Leste          1,029   Timor‐Leste  4%

 Top 10   16,368   20,681   26,682  29%

 Alice Sprin

gs (LGA) 

 Rank  2006 2011

 Percent growth 2011‐2016 

 Percent growth 2011‐2016 2016

2006 2011 2016

 Northern Territo

ry 

 Rank 

Page 27: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Distribution of overseas born residents

Source: ABS, Census 2016

Page 28: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Gender distribution, overseas born residents

Source: ABS, Census 2016: CDU Demography and Growth Planning Team, calculations using ABS Census data

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Sri LankaUSA

IrelandEngland

FijiIndia

ZimbabweItaly

NetherlandsNew ZealandSouth AfricaPhilippinesVietnamCanada

GermanyTaiwan

ThailandScotland

China (excl. SARs, Taiwan)Papua New Guinea

% Females2016

% Males2016

Page 29: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Alice Springs residents speaking language other than English (LOTE) at home

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

AustralianIndigenous

Malayalam Tagalog Mandarin Filipino Punjabi Hindi German Shona Italian

Source: ABS, Census 2016: CDU Demography and Growth Planning Team, calculations using ABS Census data

Page 30: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Alice Springs LOTE speakers and English language proficiency

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Al LOTE  speakers

Mandarin

Australian Indigenous

Punjabi

Malayalam

Hindi

Speak English not well/not at all Speaks English well/very well Not stated

Source: ABS, Census 2016: CDU Demography and Growth Planning Team, calculations using ABS Census data

Page 31: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Religion in Alice Springs

Source: ABS, Census 2016: CDU Demography and Growth Planning Team, calculations using ABS Census data

Source: Afghan Mosque, Alice Springs Islamic Society Facebook page 

Page 32: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Religious Affiliation, 2011 to 2016

Source: ABS, Census 2016: CDU Demography and Growth Planning Team, calculations using ABS Census data

‐50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

Sikhis

mLa

tter‐d

ay Sa

ints

Hindu

ismNo

t stat

ed

Islam

Othe

r Pro

testan

t

No Re

ligion

, so d

escri

bed

Budd

hism

Pent

ecos

tal

Presb

yteria

n and

 Refor

med

Bapti

stCa

tholi

cAn

glica

nUn

iting  C

hurch

Luthe

ran

2016 2011 % change

Page 33: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Ancestry in Alice Springs

Overseas born

Not stated Birthplace

Total responses

Ancestry (c)

Both parents born in

Australia

Both parents

born overseas

One parent OSB/one

parent Aust born

Not stated - Birthplace

for either or both

parents not stated

Australian 6,362 102 1,254 108 184 135 8,143 English 4,215 364 1,040 59 1,504 114 7,305 Irish 1,630 84 269 23 447 29 2,481 Scottish 1,220 92 270 24 407 33 2,049 Australian Aboriginal 1,345 .. 34 28 11 27 1,441 German 785 94 167 15 342 26 1,423 Italian 216 70 85 3 138 13 529 Dutch 84 54 71 .. 130 .. 347 Indian 14 149 14 .. 668 9 848 Maori 25 49 66 .. 298 5 441

Australia born

Page 34: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

New migrant communities – here to stay

NT leaving rates after one year

Source: 2016 Census data extracted using Table Builder

0 5 10 15 20 25

Philippines

Indonesia

China (excludes SARs and Taiwan)

India

Nepal

New Zealand

England

Australia

Percent who had left after a year

Long TermResidents

New Arrivals

Page 35: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Part III

Future trends and challenges

Page 36: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

In summary, Alice Springs ...

• Is not growing much but has the potential to do so through new migrant communities (India, Philippines, Taiwan, Sri Lanka).

• Has more women – with a different gender profile compared to the rest of the NT.

• Is getting older – with the number of people aged 65+ increasing substantially between the 2011 and 2016 census.

• Is more multicultural due to new migrant communities and the increased diversity in its overseas born population.

Page 37: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

The NT’s population futures 

• Despite slow growth now still increasing in size

• We’ll continue to grow in the long‐term

• Need to plan for an increase in our multicultural make‐up

• Must involve cultural groups and communities in that planning

Source: Northern Territory Department of Treasury and Finance (https://treasury.nt.gov.au/dtf/economic‐group/population‐projections

Page 38: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Some challenges 

• How do we make new migrant communities stick?

• What does appropriate population growth look like for regional centres?

• Polarised views and misinformation on the national immigration debate and population size

• Diminishing Territory budgets for supporting infrastructureand events for communities

Pictures courtesy of Multicultural Affairs, Territory Families

Page 39: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Final thoughts ….

• The multicultural databank and our other research re‐emphasise the long‐standing, vital and growing multicultural nature of the Territory’s population

• There has been a ‘big shift’ in the national overseas born arrivals picture from ‘Euro‐centric’ towards ‘Asia‐centric’

• Reflects national economic policies with skilled migration inflows changing the Territory’s multicultural make‐up

• New migrant(s) and their communities: Mean we still have population growth (thus $$) Contribute greatly to our social capital, economic, workforce 

and lifestyle endowments Are crucial for building the future population and workforce

Page 40: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Get all the information (for free!)

http://www.cdu.edu.au/northern‐institute/multicultural‐northern‐territory

Page 41: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Follow our research

• Research briefs

• Papers

• Blog – demographyNorth

• Twitter ‐ demographyNorth

Page 42: A Multicultural Northern Territory –Statistics Census · interesting trends and changes. Multicultural before we existed! ... Arts, food, markets, festivals, events Highly educated

Come along to the Australian Population Association Conference!