a brief introduction to maracoos: presentation to … brief introduction to maracoos: presentation...
TRANSCRIPT
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Gerhard F. Kuska, Ph.D.
Executive Director
A Brief Introduction to
MARACOOS:
Presentation to the
Chesapeake Bay Program
BASIN Initiative
January 10, 2014
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1. Objectives of the Network
2. Operational Model
3. Business Model and Funding
4. Governance and Oversight
5. Successes and Challenges
5 Questions/Areas for Today:
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OBJECTIVES OF THE NETWORK
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Cape
Cod
Cape
Hatteras
NJ
MA CT
VA
DE
NY
NC
RI
MD
PA 10 States
111 Congressional Districts
MIDDLE
ATLANTIC
REGIONAL
ASSOCIATION
COASTAL
OCEAN
OBSERVING
SYSTEM
1000 km
Cape to Cape
MARACOOS’ MISSION:
To seek, discover, share, and apply
new knowledge & understanding
of our coastal ocean
DC
(Listen, Observe, Predict, Develop, Manage, Serve, Educate)
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(1) Climate change and weather
(2) Maritime operations
(3) Natural hazards
(4) National and homeland security
(5) Public health
(6) Coastal Ecosystems
(7) Ocean and coastal resources
Societal Goals
of the U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System
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MID-ATLANTIC REGIONAL DRIVERS
Ocean Circulation
Tropical Storms
Population Ports
Northeasters
Climate Change
Critical Habitat
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REGIONAL THEMES 1) Maritime Safety and Resiliency
3) Ecosystem Decision Support (Fisheries)
2) Water Quality
4) Coastal Inundation
5) Energy – Offshore Wind
73°30'W
73°30'W
74°0'W
74°0'W
74°30'W
74°30'W
75°0'W
75°0'W
75°30'W
75°30'W
76°0'W
76°0'W
39°3
0'N
39°3
0'N
39°0
'N
39°0
'N
38°3
0'N
38°3
0'N
38°0
'N
38°0
'N
37°3
0'N
37°3
0'N
37°0
'N
37°0
'N
Areas under Consideration for Wind Energy Areas
New Jersey
Delaware
Maryland
Virginia
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Nautical Miles
Maryland
New Jersey
Delaware
CHESAPEAKEBAY
DELAWAREBAY
Virgin
ia
Virginia
VirginiaBeach
Ocean City
AtlanticCity
Dover
WilmingtonPennsylvania
REGIONAL THEMES
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Measured Start / Expanding Future
• Focus on specific region-wide issues – Initially: Maritime, Fisheries
– Recently more: Inundation, Water Quality
• 10-year Build Out Plan (online at: http://www.ioosassociation.org/sites/nfra/files/documents/ioos_documents/
regional/MARACOOS_BOP_2011.zip)
• Increasing focus in Estuaries
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OPERATIONAL MODEL
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How can we
successfully execute R2O?
1. Research Operations/Application
2. Research ? Operations/Application
3. Research Operations/Application
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Product Development Infrastructure
• User/Stakeholder
Infrastructure
– User Council
– Product Groups
• Stakeholder Liaison Service
(Geographic and Theme-focused, and leveraged through
partnerships)
• Enhanced Cross-Regional focus
Council
User
Council EDS: EDS:
Fish
Wind
Energy
Marine
Safety
Inund-
ation
Water
Quality
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Stakeholder Liaison Travels: 2012-2013 29 Cities, 12 months!
From Observation to Prediction and End Use
Marine
Safety
Coastal
Inundation
Offshore Wind
Energy
Water Quality
73°30'W
73°30'W
74°0'W
74°0'W
74°30'W
74°30'W
75°0'W
75°0'W
75°30'W
75°30'W
76°0'W
76°0'W
39°3
0'N
39°3
0'N
39°0
'N
39°0
'N
38°3
0'N
38°3
0'N
38°0
'N
38°0
'N
37°3
0'N
37°3
0'N
37°0
'N
37°0
'N
Areas under Consideration for Wind Energy Areas
New Jersey
Delaware
Maryland
Virginia
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Nautical Miles
Maryland
New Jersey
Delaware
CHESAPEAKEBAY
DELAWAREBAY
Virginia
Virginia
VirginiaBeach
Ocean City
AtlanticCity
Dover
WilmingtonPennsylvania
Ecosystem
Decision
Support
Ocean
Observation
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From Observations To Predictions
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Real-Time Satellite Ground Stations in the Northeast U.S.
Rutgers
Johns Hopkins U. Delaware
City College of N.Y.
U. Maine
Satellites: NPP, Terra, Aqua,
NOAA Polar Orbiters, Metop &
GOES
Since 1992
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Nested Grids of Hourly Surface Current Maps ^
High Frequency Radar – Since 1996
Combined CODAR & Satellite Products >
Corporate Partner:
CODAR Ocean Sensors
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Autonomous Underwater Gliders – Since 1998
Satellite Ocean Color
Satellite SST
Subsurface
Glider
Data
Corporate Partner: Teledyne Webb Research
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4) HOPS U. Massachusetts, Dartmouth
3) ROMS Rutgers University
1) STPS U. Connecticut
2) NYHOPS Stevens Institute of Technology
The Mid-Atlantic Regional Coastal Ocean Modeling System
Established 2007
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Composite Data & Forecast Products
+ =
MVCO/CBLAST
SW06
LaTTE
ESPreSSO
/ MAR
CO
OSDelaware
NEN
A
Cuba
to G
rand B
anks
(nes
ted w
ithin
HyC
OM
or Mer
cato
r)
MAB-G
oM(H
atte
ras
to H
alifa
x)
Hudson River
Nested Ocean Models
+ =
Nested Models 4-D Forecasts
3-D Nowcasts Remote Sensing Gliders
3-D Nowcasts
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MARACOOS Asset Map
• Regional Data • Federal Data
• In-Situ • Gliders • Satellite • Radar • Models
• IOOS Standards
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Regional
Priority
Themes
Regional Observation & Modeling Capabilities
Weather
Mesonet
HF Radar
Network
Statistical
STPS
Satellite
Imagery
Glider
Surveys
Dynamical
Ocean
Forecasts
Theme 1.
Maritime
Safety
Operational Input
to USCG
SAROPS
Operational input
to USCG
SAROPS
Operational input
to USCG
SAROPS
SST for
survivability
planning
Assimilation
dataset for
forecast models
Surface currents
for SAROPS
Theme 2.
Ecological
Decision
Support
Weather forecast
ensemble
validation
Circulation and
divergence maps
for habitat
SST & Color for
habitat
Subsurface T & S
for habitat
3-D fields of T, S,
circulation for
habitat
Theme 3.
Water Quality
Winds for
transport, river
plumes, &
upwelling
Surface currents
for flotables,
bacteria, spill
response
Surface currents
for flotables,
bacteria, spill
response
Ocean color for
river plumes
Nearshore
dissolved oxygen
surveys
Surface currents
for floatables,
bacteria, spill
response
Theme 4.
Coastal
Inundation
Weather forecast
ensemble
validation
Current forecast
model validation
SSTs
assimilation into
forecast models
Assimilation
dataset for
forecast models
Nested forecast
ensembles
Theme 5.
Offshore
Energy
Historical
analysis & wind
model validation
Historical current
analysis & wind
model validation
Historical
analysis surface
fronts & plumes
for siting
Historical
analysis of
subsurface fronts
& plumes
Coupled ocean-
atmosphere
models for
resource
estimates
Leveraging Data & Products
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BUSINESS MODEL AND FUNDING
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NOAA
14.21%
Industry
5.91%
NOPP
5.72%
EPA
0.39%
USDA
0.37%
DHS
16.66% NSF
21.79%
ONR
23.80%
State Governments
0.79%
Foreign Governments
3.80%
DOE
3.36%
Foundations
2.14%
NASA
1.06%
ONR
NSF
DHS
NOAA
Industry
NOPP
Foreign Governments
DOE
Foundations
NASA
State Governments
EPA
USDA
1997 - 2008 Total Grants $76,717,845FUNDING
Typical Funding Distribution
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NOAA
ONR
NSF
DHS
NASA
Foundation
State
DOE
EPA
Other
MARACOOS 2013 Leveraged Funding
Total: $15.37 million
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GOVERNANCE AND OVERSIGHT
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Vessels -
Satellite Satellite
Ships/ Vessels
REMUS
Modeling
Leadership
CODA
R Glider
Data
Vis. Securit
y Education
IOOS Relationships
International
Component
National
Component Regional
Component
U.S. Integrated Ocean Observing System
Global Ocean Observing System
18 U.S. Federal Agencies 11 Regional Associations
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Carolyn Thoroughgood Delaware Bay
Board Chair
Edward Kelly
Board Vice Chair
Larry Atkinson
Board Secretary
Genevieve Boehm-Clifton New York Bight
Andrew McGovern Long Island Sound
William Boicourt
Wendell Brown Massachusetts/R.I.
Bays
Michael Bruno
Scott Glenn MD - Observatory
Hank Lobe
Joseph R. Vietri
Raymond Toll
Jay Odell
Doug Wilson Chesapeake Bay
Paul Cooper
MARACOOS Board of Directors
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User Council • Bruce Bailey (AWS Truepower) Offshore Energy User Group
• Bob Connell (DHHS/PHS/FDA) Water Quality User Group
• Greg DiDomenico (Garden State Seafood Association) Fisheries-
EDS User Group
• Avijit Gangopadhyay (UMASS-Dartmouth)
• Chris Heyer (YSI Inc.)
• Andrew McGovern (Sandy Hook Pilots) Maritime Safety User Group
• Joe Sienkiewicz (NOAA/NCEP/Ocean Prediction Center) Inundation
User Group
• Nancy Vorona (Center for Innovative Technology)
• Doug Wilson (MARACOOS Board)
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MARACOOS Management Team
Gerhard Kuska
Executive Director
Mike Crowley
Technical Director
Peter Moore
Stakeholder Liaison
Plus part-time admin support and part-time interns
Leverage support externally for stakeholder outreach,
government relations, and communications
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SUCCESSES AND CHALLENGES
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U.S. Coast Guard: Search And Rescue Optimal Planning System SAROPS
Mid-Atlantic Operational Data Flow to SAROPS
SAROPS 96-Hour Search Area: SAROPS 96-Hour Search Area: HF Radar 12,000 km2
SAROPS User Interface
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Ecological Decision Support – Fisheries
Our Approach:
Develop statistical models using
bottom trawl surveys and
MARACOOS 3-D data to
predict species distribution
based on observed or forecasted
MARACOOS 3-D fields.
+
Downwelling Upwelling Downwelling Upwelling
Like
Upwelling
Hate
Downwelling
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Hurricane Irene Approaches the
MARACOOS HF Radar Network
Maritime Safety – Tracking Hurricane Irene
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Reduced Impacts from Sandy
– Navy: “…80 ships sortied, saving $500M…”
– Shipping: “…Christmas 2012 was saved…)
– Hoboken: IOOS high resolution surge forecasts saved
lives & property
– Oil and Gas: “…relied exclusively on US IOOS products
and services…”
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From Forecast
To Impact MATURING TECHNOLOGY
•Regional scale atmospheric wind forecast
model
•Very high-resolution hydrodynamic models
with land flooding
• Very high-resolution land elevation data
(LIDAR)
• Emerging GIS and visualization
capabilities for integrated, high-resolution
pictures and products
Chesapeake
Inundation
Prediction
System
(CIPS)
Partners
Coastal Inundation
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Water Quality
Data and Modeling to respond to 120+ million gallons of sewage released into the
Hudson River following North River Wastewater Treatment Plant fire in NYC, July 2011
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MARACOOS partners will
• Integrate CBIBS data into MARACOOS
data management system, including
IOOS DMAC standards and services
and QARTOD QA/QC procedures.
• Integrate CBIBS data feeds into NOAA
PORTS system.
• Support CBIBS planning, operations,
and maintenance activities.
• Expand CBIBS system
• Support Research and Development
applications (e.g., Nutrient Monitoring,
Ocean Acidification)
CBIBS: MARACOOS partners with NOAA
to enhance utility of CBIBS
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MyMARACOOS Fishing
• Web Site • Mobile Site • Extensive outreach
activities • Customized to
meet user needs
• IOOS Standards
mymaracoos.org
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Gliderpalooza 2013: So much more than gliders
1. Provide a unique data set to
modelers
2. Provide standardized dataset
a over ecological scales and
information on fish/mammal
migrations
3. Provide a 3-D snapshot of the
MAB cold pool
4. Provide an extensive
distributed network through the
peak period of fall storms,
demonstrating "surge"
capacity
5. Demonstration of a national
glider network
6. Proof of data flow through
IOOS to NDBC via DMAC
7. Engage undergraduates in
ocean observing efforts.
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Some successes, but…
Big challenges lie ahead:
1. Growing needs of the stakeholders
2. Expectation to continue to build out the
system (10-year BOP)
3. Fiscal future? (in & out of government)
4. Pressure to demonstrate value
5. Misperceptions of MARACOOS / IOOS