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 for ESDM PV Worksho July 15th, 2008 KANEKA CORPORATION

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Page 1: 8KanekaOnandOff-GridPVProjects

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for ESDM PV Worksho

July 15th, 2008KANEKA CORPORATION

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What is solar PV system

Off-grid Application: SHS (Solar Home System)

*PV : Photovoltaic→ Photon + voltaic→produce electricity from sunlight

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What is solar PV system

Off-grid Application: PV Hybrid system (PV + Diesel genset)

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What is solar PV system

On-grid Application: Residential PV system

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What is solar PV system

On-grid Application: Large-scale PV system

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PV growth worldwide

2,600World total: 2,500

Worldwide PV Production

2,000

2,200

, Japan

USA

Europe

1,400

1,600

1,800 Others

Total

1,0001,200

Japan: 978

400

600Others: 714

Europe: 657

0

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

:

(Source: RTS Corporation)

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PV growth worldwide

1600.0 

1200.0

1400.0Switzerland

Germany

Spain

1000.0

France

Italy

Japan

600.0

800.0

USA

400.0

0.0

200.0

(Source: RTS Corporation, Solarbuzz)

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PV rowth worldwideWorldwide PV installations by market in 2007

Rest of World,

226MW, 8%,

226MW, 8%USA, 226MW,

8%

 

Europe,170MW, 6%

Germany,

1,328MW,

47%Spain,

 

(Source: Solarbuzz)

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PV ower eneration cost trend

370400 1,600

PV system cost(10thousands yen/kWp) Cumulative PV capacity(MW)- Japan case -

,

350 1,400System price per kWp

Power generation cost per kWh

Cumulative PV ca acit Total

¥260/kWh

1,132 1,119

250 1,000

Cumulative PV capacity(Residential)

Subsid : 900K Yen/kW200

170

637

860

620

859

150

200

600

800

 

120104 102

9384

75 71 69 67 66¥120/kWh

¥140/kWh

¥65/kWh 330

452 430100 400

Subsidy: 20K Yen/kWp

¥71/kWh¥72/kWh¥82/kWh

¥58/kWh¥52/kWh¥49/kWh¥48/kWh¥46/kWh¥46/kWh

24 31 43 6091

133

209

2 6 13 33 57115

189

0

50

0

200

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Year

(Source: Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan)

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PV incentives

(Source: JPEA)

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Feed-In Tariff Case of Germany and Spain

Application Size

FIT

EUR/kWh

Decrease from

the past year Application Size

FIT

EUR/kWh

Decrease from

the past year

≦30kW 0.4921 ≦30kW 0.4675

Until 2008/12Until 2007/12

30~100kW 0.4682 30~100kW 0.4448

~1,000kW 0.4630 ~1,000kW 0.4399

>1,000kW - - >1,000kW 0.4399 -Germany

Rooftop5% 5%

Rooftop

ree an - . . ree an - . .

Period Period20years 20years

DraftUntil 2008/9

Application Size

FIT

EUR/kWh

Decrease from

the past year Application Size

FIT

EUR/kWh

Decrease from

the past year

≦100kW 0.44 ≦20kW 0.44

~10 000kW 0.4175 20~200kW 0.39Rooftop-

>200kW 0.33

Free land - 0.31

Cap/Period Cap/Period

Spain

up to 1,200MW/25years

up to 1,200MW/25years

All application

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Case study: Investment to large-scale PV systemn case o c- sysem:

Free land installation in Germany EUR/Wp EUR/200kWp

System cost 3.619 723,702

(I) Payment

Cash 0.724 144,740

Preferential loan (Payback period: 15yrs/Annual interes t: 3.5%) 2.895 578,962Payment total 3.619 723,702

(II) Annual expenditure

Repair cost 0.023 4,600

Insurance cost 0.013 2,600

Miscellaneous 0.012 2,400

Annual expenditure total 0.048 9,600

(III) Amount repaid

Loan repayment 3.854 770,829

Annual expenditure x 20yrs (inflation rate 2.5%) 1.226 245,232 

based on:

-Generated output power 

is estimated as

Amount repaid total 5.080 1,016,061

(IV) RevenueIncome from electric power selling

(Installation on March, FIT: EUR0.355/kWh for 20yrs) 6.477 1,295,475 

Germany.Interest income from electric power selling amount 0.325 64,951

Revenue total 6.802 1,360,425

(V) Calculation of profits and losses

Revenue in 20 rs 1.722 344 364

Investment amount 0.724 144,740

Asset management ratio 2.379Asset management yield 4.43%

(Remarks) These are just estimated figures for reference and are not guaranteed ones.

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Case study: Investment to large-scale PV systemn case o c- sysem:

Free land installation in Germany EUR/Wp EUR/200kWp

System cost 3.619 723,702

(I) Payment

Cash 0.724 144,740

Preferential loan (Payback period: 15yrs /Annual interes t: 3.5%) 2.895 578,962Payment total 3.619 723,702

(II) Annual expenditure

Repair cost 0.023 4,600

Insurance cost 0.013 2,600

Miscellaneous 0.012 2,400

Annual expenditure total 0.048 9,600

(III) Amount repaid

Loan repayment 3.854 770,829

Annual expenditure x 20yrs (inflation rate 2.5%) 1.226 245,232

Revenue is calculated

based on:

-Generated output power 

is estimated as

Amount repaid total 5.080 1,016,061

(IV) Revenue

Income from electric power selling

Installation on March, FIT: EUR0.355/kWh for 20 rs 7.514 1,502,751

1,044kWh/kWp/year like

Indonesia.Interest income from electric power selling amount 0.377 75,303

Revenue total 7.890 1,578,053

(V) Calculation of profits and losses

. ,

Investment amount 0.724 144,740

Asset management ratio 3.883Asset management yield 7.02%

(Remarks) These are just estimated figures for reference and are not guaranteed ones.

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Case study: Investment to large-scale PV systemn case o a- sysem:

Free land installation in Germany EUR/Wp EUR/200kWp

System cost 3.619 723,702

(I) Payment

Cash 0.724 144,740

Preferential loan (Payback period: 15yrs /Annual interes t: 3.5%) 2.895 578,962Payment total 3.619 723,702

(II) Annual expenditure

Repair cost 0.023 4,600

Insurance cost 0.013 2,600

Miscellaneous 0.012 2,400

Annual expenditure total 0.048 9,600

(III) Amount repaid

Loan repayment 3.854 770,829

Annual expenditure x 20yrs (inflation rate 2.5%) 1.226 245,232

Revenue is calculated

based on:

-Generated output power 

is estimated as

Amount repaid total 5.080 1,016,061

(IV) Revenue

Income from electric power selling

Installation on March, FIT: EUR0.355/kWh for 20 rs 8.572 1,714,345

1,191kWh/kWp/year like

Indonesia.Interest income from electric power selling amount 0.429 85,867

Revenue total 9.001 1,800,212

(V) Calculation of profits and losses

. ,

Investment amount 0.724 144,740

Asset management ratio 5.418Asset management yield 8.82%

(Remarks) These are just estimated figures for reference and are not guaranteed ones.

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Greater actually generatedGreater actually generatedwattwatt-- ow er com ared to cower com ared to c--Si PV modulesSi PV modules

Comparison Data of Generated Watt - Power

「 NEDO Ritsumeikan demonstration module field testing 」Int. PVSEC-11, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan,1999Location : Kusatsu Shiga, JapanDirection : South, Angle 15.3°

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Superior performance under highSuperior performance under high--temperaturetemperature--

160 30

 

Comparison of total generated w att-power per month

   W   h   ]

(Temp:)

120

14025

c-

Poly-Si

Kaneka a-Si

Tem ℃  p  e  r

   1   k   W  p   [

10020

   w  a   t   t  -  p  o  w  e  r

6010

  y  g  e  n  e  r  a   t  e   d

205

  o   t  a   l  m  o  n   t   h   l

0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

0

「 NEDO Ritsumeikan demonstration module field testing 」

Int. PVSEC-11, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan,1999Location : Kusatsu Shiga, JapanDirection : South, Angle 15.3°

*Temperature data: Location=Ohtsu Shiga, Source=Japan Meteorological Agency

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Superior performance under highSuperior performance under high--temperaturetemperature

120

    1   0   0   )

1) Smaller Temperature Coefficient.

60

80

   f   P  m  a  x   (   2   5   ℃

Temp. coefficient(a) : a-Si = -0.26%/ 

c-Si = -0.5%/ 

20

40

  a  t   i  v  e   V  a   l  u

  e  o

Effective performance of conversion efficiency= Conv.Effic. X { 1+ a x (module temp. - 25) }

0

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Module Temperature (℃)

   R  e   l

c-Si

2) “Annealing Effect”

Characteristic Only Amorphous Silicon has.

a-Si morp ous s con rega ns ts e c ency y

temperature rising with its so-called

“Annealing Effect.”

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Actual Generated Out ut Power of PV S stem at Thailand

 at Phitsanulok, Thailand

Hybird

c-Si:

2.88kW

a-Si:3.67kWp-Si:3.66kW

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180200

180200

a-Si

,

140160180

w 140160180

p-Si

Hyb c-Si

IRR.

100120140

tpPw

WhWp

100120140

kWhm2

6080

DOu

(kW

6080

k

02040

02040

01 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Month in 2006

0

Anual Pow er G eneration:D C (kW h/kW )Hyb c-Si p-Si knanaka a-Si

1270 1208 1385※From Jan to Sep in 2006

Solar Irradiation

1203kWh

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Output power simulation of 10kWp PV system at Jakarta

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Output power simulation of 10kWp PV system at Jakarta

1,000

1,200

25

30(kWh) (deg C)

800 20

400 10

0

200

0

5

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Irradiation(kWh/m2) 104 114 137 130 133 126 134 141 136 133 108 112

A-Si: AC power (kWh) 776 893 1,097 1,041 1,059 1,007 1,067 1,133 1,093 1,065 827 849

P-Si: AC power (kWh) 721 792 953 902 918 875 926 976 941 923 744 770

.

Annual output power by a-Si/10kWp system : 11,906kWh (+14% than p-Si)

Annual output power by p-Si/10kWp system : 10,441kWh

(Remarks)

(1) These are just estimated figures for reference and are not guaranteed ones. (2) AC power of 10kWp systemof a-Si PV module and p-Si PV module. (3) Installation point: Jakarta, Indonesia. (4) Installation angle,

direction: 10degree, North. (5) Inverter efficiency: 92% (6) Annual irradiation is estimated as 1,507/kWh/m2.