7 황인식 scenic byway 개발방안에 관한 기초연구

Scenic byway

A Introductory Study on the Developmentof Scenic Byway

2007. 6

( )

(CIP)

Scenic byway / .--. -- : , 2007 113p. ; 26. -- ( ; 2007-7)

1. 2. 3. ISBN 978-89-8351-139-3-93980 :

989.11-KDC 912.519-DDC

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Scenic byway

- ii -

3 Scenic byway 33 1 35 1. () 35 2. () 36 3. 37 2 Scenic byway 38 1. Scenic byway 39 2. Scenic byway 39 3. Resource-Center 40 3 () 40

4 Scenic byway 43 1 45 2 46 3 Scenic byway 61 1. 61 2. Scenic byway 70

5 Scenic byway 75 1 Scenic byway 77 2 Scenic byway DB 77

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91 : 93

- iii -

(4- 1) 45(4- 2) Scenic byway () 46(4- 3) Scenic byway () 47(4- 4) Scenic byway () 48(4- 5) Scenic byway () 49(4- 6) 50(4- 7) 51(4- 8) Scenic byway 52(4- 9) 53(4-10) 54(4-11) () 55(4-12) 56(4-13) 56(4-14) 58(4-15) 58(4-16) 59(4-17) 59(4-18) 60(4-19) 70(5- 1) 78

Scenic byway

- iv -

(1- 1) 5(2- 1) Scenic byway 10(2- 2) Scenic byway Scenic byway 12(4- 1) Scenic byway () 46(4- 2) Scenic byway () 47(4- 3) Scenic byway () 48(4- 4) Scenic byway () 49(4- 5) 50(4- 6) 51(4- 7) Scenic byway 52(4- 8) 53(4- 9) 54(4-10) () 55(4-11) 56(4-12) 57(4-13) 57(4-14) 58(4-15) 59(4-16) 60(4-17) 60(4-18) 72(4-19) 72(5- 1) () 81

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(4-1)

Scenic byway ()

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2007. 4. 1013

: 493 : 197 : 184 : 112

Scenic byway

- 46 -

2 , Scenic byway

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(4-2) Scenic byway ()

132 26.8 103 20.9 200 40.6 58 11.8 493 100

305 61.9 67 13.6 94 19.1 27 5.5 493 100

331 67.1 69 14 40 8.1 53 10.8 493 100

294 59.6 61 12.4 134 27.2 4 0.8 493 100

295 59.8 55 11.2 133 27 10 2 493 100

332 67.3 76 15.4 72 14.6 13 2.6 493 100

26.8

20.9

40.6

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27

2

67.3

15.4

14.6

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0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


4 Scenic byway

- 47 -

Scenic byway

.


42 21.3 48 24.4 93 47.2 14 7.1 197 100

114 57.9 33 16.8 37 18.8 13 6.6 197 100

143 72.6 28 14.2 15 7.6 11 5.6 197 100

48 24.4 43 21.8 103 52.3 3 1.5 197 100

64 32.5 31 15.7 95 48.2 7 3.6 197 100

95 48.2 53 26.9 46 23.4 3 1.5 197 100

21.3

24.4

47.2

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57.9

16.8

18.8

6.6

72.6

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21.8

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32.5

15.7

48.2

3.6

48.2

26.9

23.4

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0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


Scenic byway

- 48 -


43 23.4 37 20.1 72 39.1 32 17.4 184 100

127 69 18 9.8 32 17.4 7 3.8 184 100

115 62.5 21 11.4 14 7.6 34 18.5 184 100

171 92.9 4 2.2 8 4.3 1 0.5 184 100

147 79.9 14 7.6 20 10.9 3 1.6 184 100

153 83.2 6 3.3 17 9.2 8 4.3 184 100

23.4

20.1

39.1

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0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


4 Scenic byway

- 49 -


47 42 18 16.1 35 31.3 12 10.7 112 100

64 57.1 16 14.3 25 22.3 7 6.3 112 100

73 65.2 20 17.9 11 9.8 8 7.1 112 100

75 67 14 12.5 23 20.5 0 0 112 100

84 75 10 8.9 18 16.1 0 0 112 100

84 75 17 15.2 9 8 2 1.8 112 100

42

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40%

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,

.

Scenic byway ,

, .

Scenic byway

- 50 -

, , 80%

.

46.7%

, 34.5%. ,

80% .

(4-6)

( ) 230 46.7

170 34.5 TV 50 10.1

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TV ,10.1%

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(

), 46.7%

(4-5)

,

32.7% .

4 Scenic byway

- 51 -

(4-7)

99 20.1

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161 32.7 13 2.6 493 100.0

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(4-6)

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Scenic byway

- 52 -

(4-8) Scenic byway

71 14.4

202 41.0

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493 100.0

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,4.3%

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,

41.0%

,14.4%

(4-7) Scenic byway

, , Scenic byway

.

24.5% , , 23.4%,

22.9% .

4 Scenic byway

- 53 -

(4-9) ()

324 23.4

317 22.9

78 5.6

339 24.5

98 7.1

155 11.2

31 2.2

34 2.5

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(4-8) ()

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.

Scenic byway

- 54 -

(4-10) ()

222 15.7

194 13.7

85 6.0

214 15.1

210 14.9

113 8.0

326 23.1

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() ,

32.3% .

4 Scenic byway

- 55 -

(4-11) ()

() 320 64.9

() 159 32.3

14 2.8

493 100.0

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(4-10) ()

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, Scenic byway

.

Scenic byway

- 56 -

(4-12)

375 76.1 118 23.9 493 100.0

, 76.1%

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(4-11)

4-10

, 46.2%

.

.

(4-13)

118 23.9 147 29.8 228 46.2 493 100.0

4 Scenic byway

- 57 -

, 46.2

, 29.8

, 23.9

(4-12)

,

.

, 46.2%

, 53.8%

(4-13)

Scenic byway

- 58 -

(4-14)

228 46.2

265 53.8

493 100.0

(4-15)

17-19 30 6.1

20 219 44.4

30 71 14.4

40 103 20.9

50 70 14.2

493 100.0

40, 20.9%

50 , 14.2%

30, 14.4% 20, 44.4%

17-19, 6.1%

(4-14)

4 Scenic byway

- 59 -

(4-16)

200 103 20.9

300 196 39.8

400 119 24.1

500 51 10.3

600 8 1.6

700 6 1.2

800 10 2.0

493 100.0

800 , 2.0%700 , 1.2%

500 ,10.3%

600 , 1.6%

400 ,24.1% 300 ,39.8%

200 ,20.9%

(4-15)

(4-17)

335 68.0

158 32.0

493 100.0

Scenic byway

- 60 -

,32.0%

,68.0%

(4-16)

(4-18)

211 42.8 282 57.2

493 100.0

,42.8%

,57.2%

(4-17)

4 Scenic byway

- 61 -

3 Scenic byway 1. 11)1) (Aggregate Model)

(Disaggregate Model) ,

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(Disaggregate

Behavioral Model) (Individual Choice Model) .

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Scenic byway

- 62 -

.

Random

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Random . 1 2

n 2 1 1 2

1 .

U 1 U 2 --------------------------------------------(1)

U 1 : 1 , U 2 : 2

U i n 2 1

P 1n 2 .

P 1n= P r [ U 1 U 2 ]------------------------------------(2)

P 1n : n 1

P r [ U 1 U 2 ] : 1 2

U i V i,

i , ,

U i (3) .

U i= V i+ i --------------------------------------------(3)

U i : i

4 Scenic byway

- 63 -

V i : ,

i :

(3) (2) (4) .

P 1n= P r [ U 1 U 2 ]= P r [ V 1+ 1 V 2+ 2 ]

= P r [ V 1- V 2 1- 2 ] --------------------------(4)

2) (Logit) Logit (4) V 1- V 2 ()

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n i, j i (5)

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exp ( V i )+ exp ( V j ) ----------------------------(5)

, V i (6) .

V i= 1 X i1+ 2 X i2+ 3 X i3+ k X ik ------------------(6)

Scenic byway

- 64 -

V i = i

X ik = i k

k = i k

(5) (Binary Logit Model)

i (7)

(Multinomial Logit Model) .

P in=exp ( V in )

j A n

exp( V jn ),( i A n ) -----------------------------(7)

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P in : n i( i=1, , I n)

V in : n i

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Alternative Property) .

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3)

(Regression), (Discriminant Analysis),

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(Regression)

8 .

4 Scenic byway

- 65 -

P in= 1 X i1n+ 2 X i2n+ 3 X i3n++ k X ikn ------------(8)

P in = n i

k = k

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, .

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(Discriminant Analysis)

9 .

Z in= 1 X i1n+ 2 X i2n+ 3 X i3n++ k X ikn -----------(9)

Z in : i n

X ikn : i n k

k : k

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(Maximum Likelihood Estimation)

.

Scenic byway

- 66 -

A n, N , in

n i 1, 0 n

1n , , in , , jn 10 .

P 1n1n P 2n2n P

inin P

jnjn =

i A nP

inin ----------------------(10)

1, , n, , N L ,

11 .

L= N

n= 1i A n

P inin ----------------------------------------(11)

.

log 12

L * .

L *= logL= N

n=1i A n

in log P inin -----------------------(12)

k 0 .

L 2 2L

( k ) 2

. 13 k

.

2L

( k ) 20 , L

*

k =0 --------------------------(13)

, k()

. Newton-Raphson,

DFP(Davidson-Fletcher-Powell), BFGS(Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb), BHHH

4 Scenic byway

- 67 -

(Berndt-Hall-Hall-Hausman), SteDes(Steepest Descent) -

Limdep default .

4)

. (Goodness of Fit)

, , .

(-) .

.

t-value t

. t-value 0

, 95% () t 1.96, 99%

() 2.58 1.5

.

2

2 .

2 (Likelihood Ratio Test) (14) .

2=-2 [L(0)-L()] --------------------------------(14)

L(0) : 0

L( ) :

2 K( ) 2

. , 2

Scenic byway

- 68 -

2 () .

R 2()

R 2 2 (15) .

2= 1- L( )L(0) ---------------------------------------(15)

R 2 1.0 , 2 R 2

, 2 0.2 0.4 .

2

(16) 2 .

2= 1-L( )/

N

n=1( I n-1)-K

L(0)/ N

n=1( I n-1)

-------------------------(16)

I n : n

K :

N : ( )

Ben-Akiva Lerman .

. , (Restricted Model-) (Un-

restricted Model-)

2 17 .

2=-2 [L( R)-L( U)] ----------------------------(17)

4 Scenic byway

- 69 -

(= K U - K R )

L( R ) : ( R)

L( U) : ( U)

K R :

K U :

(17) 2 .

.

2. Scenic byway Scenic byway Scenic byway

.

Scenic byway

.

,

, , ,

, (=1, =0), ,

, (=1, =0), (=1, =0)

.

Scenic byway

- 70 -

(4-19)

t -1.113403 -1.396533 *

-0.034621 -1.471932 * 0.002689 0.087451 -0.032533 -0.465293 0.099430 1.580168 * -0.078722 -1.239951 0.026785 0.303687

0.005876 2.582563 *** 0.745807 3.168896 ***

-0.021659 -0.088153 -0.035197 -3.354512 ***

0.001335 1.410582 * 0.423250 1.454643 * 0.368633 1.183235

L(o) -341.722L() -249.207 0.2707

Adjusted 0.2298) *** 0.01

** 0.05 * 0.1

0.20.4

, 0.2707, Adjusted 0.2298

.

, (-) ,

,

(+) .

. ,

.

0.01

4 Scenic byway

- 71 -

.

.

(-)

, (-)

. (+)

, ,

.

,

. 30 , 70%

,

. Scenic byway ,

,

.

,

1 47% , 3 80%

. 1 3 33% ,

Scenic byway

- 72 -

()

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300

()

(4-18)

()

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

()

(4-19)

4 Scenic byway

- 73 -

5

, . ,

4 90% ,

. , 4 ,

Scenic byway .

5 Scenic byway

1 Scenic byway 2 Scenic byway DB

5 Scenic byway

- 77 -

5 Scenic byway 1 Scenic byway Scenic byway

. Scenic byway

.

?

.

. ()

()()

. ,

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Scenic byway .

,

.

2 Scenic byway DB Scenic byway

. ,

, .

.

.

, .

Scenic byway

- 78 -

(5-1)

12 VR Q&A

2006

8

Q&A

5 Scenic byway

- 79 -

VR Q&A

8

VR E-Book WallPaper

12

38

Scenic byway

- 80 -

5-1

. ,

.

Scenic byway DB

, , ,

.

,

, Scenic byway

DB .

Scenic byway . ,

, DB

.

, Scenic byway , (

) , 5-1 .

DB

. ,

.

,

,

.

.

- 81 -

(5-1) ()

6

1 2

6

- 85 -

6 1 Scenic byway , ,

,

Scenic point

Scenic byway .

Scenic byway 1927 Scenic byway

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,

, Scenic byway

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.

5

, . ,

, ,

. 5

.

Scenic byway , Scenic byway

Scenic byway .

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.

,

Scenic byway

- 86 -

Scenic byway

Scenic byway ,

,

. Scenic

byway ,

, .

, Scenic byway

, ,

24.5% , ,

23.4%22.9% .

23.1% .

, 14.9%

.

, 5

3 , ()

76.1% .

, 5 ,

,

, Scenic byway

.

, Scenic byway

.

,

. ,

, ,

, , ,

.

6

- 87 -

, ,

. 30 70%

,

. , Scenic byway , ,

,

.

, , 1

47% , 3 80% .

5

,

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, Scenic byway

. Scenic byway DB

,

, DB

.

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Scenic point Scenic

byway DB .

2 ,

,

,

.

, Scenic byway

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.

, ,

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byway ,

.

- 91 -

[]

, , 2007.

, , , 2005.

, 5 , , 2004.

, , , 2004.

, , 2003.

, , 2002.

, , , 1997.

, , 1995.

, Scenic byway, 2007.

Takeshi CHISHAKI, Scenic way project, () , 2006.

http://www.mlit.go.jp/sogoseisaku/kanko/koudoukeikaku.htm

, http://www.greentech.or.jp

www.infogogo.com

( /), 2005.

- 95 -

Scenic byway()

?

, Scenic byway()

.

Scenic byway()

,

.

, 13(

)

.

.

. .

: 055-239-0113 : 055-239-0121

2007. 4.

Scenic byway

- 96 -

Scenic byway

Scenic byway ()()() Scenic byway .

.

1. ( )2. ? ( )3. scenic byway() .

.

()

( )

3-1 3-2 3-3

()

( )

3-1 3-2 3-3 3-4 3-5 3-6

4. . ( , )

() ()

()

()

1 2 3 4

- 97 -

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( : )

1 1 302

2 30 3

(, )

1 1 302

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(, )

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Scenic byway

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11. 1 ? 6( 1 ) 5 ( )

12. () , () ?() () ( )

13. , (), () ? ?

13-1 () ?

13-2 () ?

14. ?

15. ? 17-19 20 30 40 50 60

16. ?

17. ? ( )

18. ?200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

19 ?

20. ?

. !!!

Scenic byway 2007 6 25 2007 6 31

152(:641-060) 152 Joongang-ro, Changwon, Gyeongnam 641-060 Tel(055)239-0113. Fax(055)266-2079# #Homepage : www.gndi.re.kr ISBN 978-89-8351-139-3-93980

. . .

7 황인식 scenic byway 개발방안에 관한 기초연구

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